John Schettler

Kirov Saga:

CONDITION ZEBRA

The War in 2025

If you want peace, prepare for war….

CONDITION ZEBRA:

All US Navy ships will be at one of three states of readiness, designated condition X-Ray, Condition Yoke, or Condition Zebra.

Condition X-Ray leaves most watertight doors and compartments open, providing the greatest ease of access throughout the ship. It is used only when the ship is exposed to minimal threat, or when docked in port where there is no threat of attack. The only doors closed and secured under this condition are those marked with a black letter X.

Condition Yoke is an intermediate state of readiness and watertight integrity, most often set when the ship is underway at sea or docked in port during wartime. Under this condition, all doors, hatches, and fittings marked X or Y will be closed and secured.

Condition Zebra is the highest state of readiness, providing the maximum watertight integrity and survivability. Under this condition, all doors, hatches, and fittings marked X, Y or Z will be closed and secured. It is set anytime the General Quarters alarm is sounded, whenever a ship leaves a port during wartime, to seal off and localize fire or flooding on the ship when the crew is not at General Quarters, or anytime the Commanding Officer determines this maximum condition of survivability should be set.

On the 10th of November 2025, the USS Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group departed Darwin Harbor, heading west towards the Indian ocean outpost of Diego Garcia. It was Condition Zebra…

Author’s Note:

Dear Readers,

November 2019 finally saw the LRASM certified for Early Operational Capability (EOC) with the United States Navy. The carrying platform is the F/A-18 Superhornet, and the missile was also certified for the B-1 bomber last year. So the day of the old Harpoon is finally coming to an end, and the Navy is getting a valuable standoff strike weapon with range at long last. Oh, they always had the Tomahawk, for land attack, and a program converting some of those to the Multi-Mission variant so they could also strike ships. (Sometimes called the Maritime Strike Tomahawk, or MST). The Navy has also officially selected the Konsberg-Raytheon Naval Strike Missile for their struggling Littoral Combat Ships, as I have been modeling them here in this series.

We still won’t see them in the VLS bays of the destroyers, but that is coming. It is all part of the slow awakening of the US Navy to the fact that its mission is no longer to support the hunt for small cadres of would be terrorists in the mountain and desert wilderness areas of the Middle East, or to simply show the flag with freedom of navigation patrols in the South China Sea. The new mission is reorienting the Navy for “Great Power Competition,” and at the top of that list of competitors is China.

At this time, and thankfully, China presents no sign of ever acting in the way they do here in this series. The modern segments of the story present hypotheticals, showing what China would be capable of doing by 2021 in Season Six, and in the 2025 to 2030 timeframe here in Season 7. The cost of a war like this, in economic and social disruption throughout the world, would be profound, and that is one reason why the proverbial “cooler heads” may prevail, and we may never see such a war. This story, however, is an attempt to model what might happen if such a conflict ever came. At the same time, it takes a hard look at what the various militaries are and are not really capable of, a kind of warfighters testbed that reveals the strengths and weaknesses on all sides.

Last season we saw the US go to war with no more than 123 LRASM’s by the year 2021. They had 700 SLAM-ER’s, 625 Standard Missile-6, and just 296 Multi-Mission Tomahawks, though that conversion program continues on Block IV models. In this war in 2025, I add four more years of procurement and production, and with an awareness that Great Power Competition is the name of the game in those future years. The fact that the 2025 conflict is also arising from the alternate history crafted in the main series (Books 1-40), allows me to show you a US Navy that has corrected many of the glaring deficiencies it labors with today.

The USN in 2025 has standardized on the MMT or Maritime Strike Tomahawk, though it still is using up its older inventory of TLAMS and TACTOM’s for land strike missions. It has the LRASM, for both naval aircraft and on many of its destroyers. It has given the Zumwalt class destroyers ammunition for its advanced deck guns. It has Standard Missile-6 in good numbers, and SM-3 deployed on most every cruiser, and on some destroyers. It put the Naval Strike Missile, and a VLS section with the ESSM on its Freedom Class Littoral Combat Ships. It has the F-35 on all of its carriers. Beyond that, it has some interesting fringe aircraft like the rebuilt Super Tomcats, a new carrier based strike plane, the Avenger II. In short, I’m showing you a US Navy that will be as good as it could possibly get by 2025. Even though there are fewer big deck carriers, those that are active here are all one might expect to see operational from our current group.

As for the Royal Navy, I have boosted their strength a great deal, with twice as many Daring Class destroyers, and the addition of some Type-31 Frigates, and more of the Type 26. Yet the combats I modeled suddenly showed a glaring weakness with their new Sea Ceptor missile system—it can’t track, catch, or kill very high supersonic or hypersonic missile threats. As for their carriers, I floated both Queen Elizabeth and Prince of Wales, but also showed how Britain built an intermediate carrier class between the Invincible class and those newest flattops. That said, note well the effectiveness, or deficiencies, of the British carriers when it comes to actual combat. They just don’t have any effective standoff strike munitions fir their F-35’s.

As for China, you will see a much stronger navy, assuming the Chinese go all out with their breakneck naval production. (They built 24 new ships in 2019). As I was writing this, China commissioned its second aircraft carrier, Shandong, on December 17—a copy of the Russian built Liaoning. Here they get six carriers, though one has already been sunk. They also get a big production run on the new Type 055 destroyers, using them as the heart of all their many surface action groups, and this at a time when the US is retiring its own cruisers. Antietam, Bunker Hill, Leyte Gulf, Lake Champlain, Mobile Bay and San Jacinto are all scheduled to be decommissioned.

Yet in spite of that, the Chinese carriers can’t really get out into the Deep Blue, and also have limitations in strike capability. Yet the adoption of the J-31 as the primary carrier based fighter here gives them good defensive ability, as you will see. Their main naval strength, however, is in the formation of massive fleets built around strong Surface Action Groups, with submarine screens.

We’ll take a look at how even a revitalized Royal Navy fares against this new Chinese fleet, and then the big kid on the block shows up, the USN. Just where can China fight, and for how long? Can it protect and secure its maritime lines of communication, or are the “String of Pearls” strung along the maritime silk road a will-o-the wisp fantasy? In the end, naval power boils down to one thing—sea control, and we will see who can deliver that, looking closely at China, the UK and the USN.

I thought I would spend a lot of time in Tangent Fire describing the nuclear exchange in 2021, but found it would be too ghastly to sit there putting all that into descriptive prose. The stories and fates of the major characters were therefore uppermost in my mind, and so they led us on to 2025, the future they helped to forge, and perhaps the only future where any of them might survive.

The nuclear holocaust on the 2021 timeline involved the destruction of most major cities, terrible aftereffects caused by radiation and fallout, and a general collapse of civilization. All those nukes also lit firestorms, which raged through outlying areas, darkening the skies with radioactive smoke. Keeping in mind that the Demon Volcano had already thrown over 100 cubic kilometers of ash and gas into the atmosphere the resulting effect on the climate was profound. The winter of 2021 on that unfortunate timeline was the coldest ever recorded, and there was nothing resembling a summer the following year either.

The diminished sunlight from soot, ash, and other materials in the atmosphere quickly cooled off the planet, until the average temperature fell by eight to nine degrees Celsius. This persistent cold reduced precipitation by as much as 45% across the globe. Such a severe blow to the climate would cause worldwide crop failure. Without adequate sunlight or water, nothing grew or thrived, and rivers and streams were contaminated by radioactive fallout and “Black Rain.” It was estimated that it might take as long as ten years for all the soot aerosols in the upper stratosphere to clear, and during those years, the survivors of the cataclysmic event itself would cope with famine, disease, and the violence of a ruined society.

The EMP effects of all those nuclear detonations would have shut down anything electronic, and caused the collapse of all electrical power systems. So the survivors would be forced to a subsistence level of life, struggling to secure shelter, clean water, food, and a way to keep warm in the increasing cold. As burning wood only exacerbated the already polluted atmosphere, it became a vicious circle.

In such a scenario, what happens in the Baltic States, the Ukraine, or the East China Sea becomes irrelevant. The outcomes of these military engagements were seen only as the prelude to the real war, which was fought by the ICBM’s and their deadly warheads.

Yet there was one last effect, at least in this saga. We have all learned that these detonations affect more than space. They also impact time, or rather spacetime as Einstein defined it. The temporal condition of the world throughout this saga has been like a great pane of shattered glass, still holding together after the baseball called Tunguska plowed into it, but slowly being compromised. Webs of cracks and fissures spread out from that center point of impact, and our characters have been navigating them, and creating more cracks with each nuke they used.

So in addition to all these terrible physical effects, we also have catastrophic temporal damage when several thousand nuclear warheads all go off in the space of a few hours. Believe me, it is not a world you would ever want to spend any time in, and those that perished in the initial holocaust may have had the easiest fate.

Fedorov and Karpov saw this oncoming train wreck as inevitable, and so they made good their escape, along with Tyrenkov. The Fairchild group came forward on Argos Fire, and Ivan Gromyko followed with Kazan. So here they all are, together on the only future left to them, and yet still facing the dangerous scourge of war in 2025.

Here, in these altered states, nuclear arsenals are perhaps only ten percent of what they are now in our day, and so it is Fedorov’s hope that the conflict will remain a conventional war. After the initial clash that set off the war in the Pacific, Tangent Fire portrayed the alarming escalation that soon swept across the Med. There, China had just enough of a fleet to raise havoc, and bring the flow of seaborne commerce to a halt. Those events cut the maritime connections to Persian Gulf oil, and forced all that traffic to shift south around the Cape of Good Hope. Yet even that route is by no means secure, which brings us to the events of this volume, Condition Zebra.

Admiral Wells has been heavily reinforced with the arrival of the Prince of Wales carrier group, which will now join the two standing British carrier TF’s that were already there, centered on Victorious and Vengeance. The Royal Navy now moves around the Cape to Durban, and is about to begin operations aimed at clearing the Indian Ocean of enemy shipping, and opening the vital sea lanes to the Middle East. They will soon be joined by the US Navy Carrier Strike Group Roosevelt, which mustered at Darwin to reinforce Saudi Arabia after an ominous buildup by Saddam’s military on the borders of Kuwait.

The Gulf War that was never fought in this altered future history may now be another battle that cannot be avoided. While I refer to “Saddam’s” military here, it really belongs to his son Qusay, who led the Republican Guard for many years, and was named Saddam’s successor when the old man retired years ago. (Saddam still lives at the ripe age of 88 years, but now acts only as a figurehead advisor to his son Qusay.)

In our history, 2020 greeted us with an escalating situation in the Middle East. The US strike that killed Iranian General Soleimani was more significant than many realize. This is the man who invented Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the man principally responsible for exporting Iranian Jihadi mischief around the world. He was behind the design of ingenious armor penetrating IED’s to kill and maim US soldiers in Iraq. He was the builder of scores of Iranian “Shiite Militias,” whose only grace was that they set themselves in opposition to ISIS, which was a predominantly Sunni based movement. So no tears here for the fate he suffered, and good riddance.

While the man had a lot of blood on his hands, his death is equivalent to the assassination of the head of our own Joint Chiefs by a foreign power, and was a fairly clear act of war. That said, virtually everything he conspired to do was a fairly clear act of war against Western countries he targeted, principally the United States.

Yet every action of this magnitude in the Middle East has consequences. Amazingly, the attack was made right after the US embassy in Iraq had been under siege for the last two days. Its timing could not have been worse, but these target opportunities often present themselves at awkward times. Now we have had to rush a company of Marines to the embassy, and a battalion of the Ready Brigade of the 82nd Airborne to Kuwait, with the rest of the brigade following soon after. That’s about 4000 troops, and plans already exist to send as many as 120,000 troops back into that simmering cauldron of the Middle East if so ordered. Iran has a standing army of about 545,000 troops, including the Revolutionary Guards, and 350,000 reserves. So just what, exactly, is the Ready Brigade to do? It’s there for things like embassy or base defense, nothing more.

Iraq today has been vacillating between allegiance to the US, or embracing Iran, as they do here in my story. Many Iranian militias were actually helping kill off ISIS cadres in the region’s strange patchwork of odd alliances and rivalries. When ISIS went down, those cadres and militias remained in Iraq, the equivalent of another well-armed and trained political faction in the country now. They have been stirring the pot in Iraq, and when you bring in a good old Western enemy like the US, an attack like this does little to push Iraqi sentiment our way. Could we see a kind of alliance develop between Iran and Iraq as I portray here in this story? That remains to be seen.

Now to the consequences…. This assassination, carried out by US military assets, will certainly trigger a strong reprisal from Iran, a country that has already mined and commandeered oil tankers, shot down US unmanned aircraft, and launched a big drone attack that took 50% of Saudi Arabia’s oil production off line for weeks. What could we see from Iran in the weeks and months ahead?

Start with mines, all through the Strait of Hormuz or the Gulf of Oman. Add in the ever present swift boat nuisance. Those won’t bother a US destroyer, but they will chill the spine of a commercial tanker Ship Master. I’ve already modeled Iranian operations with their Ghadir class mini subs. They are a harassment, but don’t last long. Shore based SSM batteries will also have to be considered if things continue to heat up.

Expect a cyber war too, with power grids being key targets, including those that run all those refineries over there. That will go both ways, with the US military prepared to launch a blistering cyberattack code named “Nitro Zeus.” I’d bet on the US in that realm.

Then come jihadi attacks against soft targets in the Gulf States friendly to the US, or in Israel. Think car bombs, drone attacks, IED’s, and shooting incidents like we suffer here in the US on a monthly basis. Face it, when people have guns, they end up using them, and so will Iran.

As in this story, it will either take stealth fighters to get in and start taking down Iran’s air defense systems, or it will take bombers with standoff missiles. But something always remains hidden, and we saw the Iranians use their ballistic missiles in both the 2021 scenario and here in 2025. Right now, they have avoided hitting the refineries and oil terminals, but if they realize they can never control them in the 2025 war, all bets are off. So we will see a lot of this play out in the series books ahead.

In our own history, this level of escalation will have some pretty grave consequences, but let’s remember that this was a path chosen by the current administration three years ago when the US pulled out of the nuclear deal with Iran. That country was in complete compliance with the agreement, as verified monthly by independent inspection teams. Then the treaty was torn up, and heavy sanctions put in its place. We had years of relative stability before that happened, now look at what’s in front of us with these dramatic escalations over the last several months.

This new flashpoint sparks off after the big setback in Syria that saw us abandon the Kurds because of a desire to extricate ourselves from endless wars in the Middle East. Ironically, the troops are now flowing into the region in much greater numbers, and facing the prospect of a greater war that would dwarf the actions in Syria. The reason given for the killing of Soleimani was that he was planning more attacks against US assets in the region, but the law of “blow back” will now assure that we get those attacks in droves. These are the “unintended consequences” of this chest thumping between the US and Iran, and they will be nothing but bad, for both sides.

In this story, we are about to see how all of this might play out, a war involving Iraq and Iran in the most volatile region of the world. While that fight would be a mismatch in the naval / air arena, on the ground, throughout that entire region, Iran’s ability to conduct ongoing “asymmetric” warfare would never end. Nor will we ever invade Iran to defeat its conventional military. If you thought ten years of fighting in Iraq was a waste of lives and treasure, a war in Iran would be much worse.

It isn’t likely to happen, so all this escalation does is further destabilize an already fragile and vital region of the world, which presently maintains 50% of global oil production. You think gas prices are high now? You ain’t seen nuthin’ yet if this thing blows up. Iran’s ability to put harm on our regional allies and partner states in the Middle East cannot be underestimated, and this could go on and on and on….

Old Indian saying: ‘If you keep heading in the direction you are going, you just might get there.’ The direction we are heading in the Middle East is, to say the least, quite dangerous. Yet when has it ever been otherwise? If left alone, our enemies there would have continued to expand their terror and mayhem throughout the region. Someone has to present a countervailing power to check Iran’s dark ambitions, and that someone had been the United States, under four different Administrations. Things just never seem to get better over there, but after this stunning strategic blow with the assassination of Soleimani, I wonder what the House of Saud is thinking about it now?

- John Schettler

Part I

Nightmares

“Tell the tyrants that nightmares are coming; and I am the night—the true vessel of nightmares.”

― Mecha Constantine

Chapter 1

The shock of Karpov’s collapse on the bridge lay heavily on the ship and crew, though few really understood the gravity of what had happened to him. How do you mourn and grieve the loss of your own self?

Karpov could feel it, know it, just as you would surely feel and know the loss of an arm or leg. The pain he felt was as much physical as it was emotional, and the look of anguish on his face shocked Fedorov as he leaned over the table where the Admiral lay. As Doctor Zolkin tried to examine his eyes, Karpov’s outstretched arm found Fedorov’s, reaching like a drowning man for anything he could hold on to at that moment. It was as if a great yawning chasm was opening beneath him, and Karpov could feel the sucking roar of a mighty wind.

The pain and misery he felt was the onrushing flood tide of memories all seeking refuge in his mind when that DF-11A found the Siberian that hour. He saw all that had happened to his Brother Self, from that first shocking moment when the two men first encountered one another at Murmansk, through the years of WWII, where the Siberian fought, to secure and preserve the fate of his Free Siberian State.

Whenever Karpov was at sea aboard Kirov, his brother ruled the state in his absence, riding the thick cold skies of Siberia in his airships, holding the Ob River line against Volkov’s troops, raising and organizing new units that were sent off to help Sergei Kirov’s Soviet Army. Now Karpov knew the memories of all that had happened after the war, where his brother lingered to set up a strong leadership group in his place, taking a few chosen confederates into his confidence and telling them that he had a journey to make.

“I may be gone for a very long time, but do not be surprised if I should return, suddenly, unexpectedly, like a man taking shape and form from the icy fog over the tundra.”

Karpov knew it all. He saw the shift forward to the late 1980’s, the return of his brother to Siberia, where the nation was shocked to see him rise again to lead the Free Siberian State. It was as if Churchill had vanished at the end of WWII, only to suddenly appear again 40 years later. Of course, few believed it was really the same man, but most accepted that this was his son, and embraced him as they had his father during that long terrible war in the 1940’s

Karpov saw it all, the rising tension with China that had resulted in the first Sino-Siberian war, one that had ended badly for Siberia. He saw the long struggle to rebuild the nation and assuage its wounded pride, and he learned now the slow growth of his brother’s plan to make good that loss. Through it all, he saw his own face aging, the lines deepening, hair thinning and going grey. He felt the loneliness of the man, feeling that half his true self had been lost long ago when Karpov and Fedorov made their dramatic shift forward. Yes, he felt the anguish, the fear, the yawning isolation of the Siberian, and with it came a feeling of sorrow born of shame and regret. As he made his bold leap forward in time, Karpov had never thought of what might happen to his brother.

Now he knew it all….

When Fedorov and Karpov first launched their plan to try and stop the initial regression of Kirov to the past, they had faced, and accepted, the death of their local selves to make room for their own arrival. Yet any emotion bound up in that moment had been masked by the abstract machinations of the time theory they had been wrangling with, and then quickly replaced by the elation of having made good on their plan.

But this was different.

For Karpov, it had only been a few brief months since he left his Brother Self. For the Siberian, it had been long cold decades, alone, abandoned by his own self, struggling, fighting, dying…. Now Karpov saw that whole life, like the long curled ash of a cigarette that had been left to burn and wither, the red ember of its fire finally going grey and dim.

And now it was gone… gone….

The terrible sensation of loss was the first wave that swamped the bow of Karpov’s mind, rocking the core of his very being with a sense of wrenching loss. Yet as Fedorov held on to his arm, he could see him close his eyes, his breathing growing more calm and measured. He looked to Zolkin with a stab of fear.

The Doctor was listening to Karpov’s heartbeat with a stethoscope now, slowly making one assessment after another. He had ruled out the onset of a sudden stroke or heart attack, and was slowly coming to the conclusion that, at least in body, Karpov had suffered no serious harm.

“Doctor?”

“Not to worry, Mister Fedorov, he’s in no immediate danger—at least physically.” Yet Zolkin watched the clear movement of Karpov’s eyes beneath his closed lids, as if he had fallen into a deep REM state, dreaming the life of the Siberian, seeing the lines deepening on his brother’s slowly withering face, his eyes darkening as the light and energy of his soul faded.

There, in that seeming sleep, his restless eyes saw the proud bow and rising battlements of a great ship, crowned by the searching ears of radar, turning, turning. Karpov knew it at once—Kirov. There, in that solitary chair on the bridge, he had come to be the man he was that turbulent hour. The chair was his saddle, and the ship his great steed of war. Kirov….

Now he could see himself standing on a far off shore, looking through the eyes of his Brother Self. In his mind he saw the ship wrenched from within by the scuttling charges that ravaged the keel. He heard the thumping march of one explosion after another, saw the bow break, the ship keeling over, over, and making that awful wrenching slide into the oblivion of the sea. It had carried them all through time and tide, on every sea of the earth, carried that crew into battle in one age after another. Now the Siberian was Captain of a sinking ship, and no man can ever know the misery that befalls that heart.

Then he heard the mournful piping of the bosun’s call, heard the last clang of the ship’s bell, saw the honor guard slowly folding the battle ensign that had flown so proudly over that high mast. The white gloved men turned smartly, marched slowly, and then one leaned to present that flag to the Siberian.

It was over…. but nothing was lost!

No, the day was not lost, the hour held not the slightest inkling of defeat. That flag had always flown in the smoky airs of victory, never vanquished, never bested, unconquered. The Siberian could see the tightly folded ensign, and knew that as long as he held it within, unfurled in his mind and heart, Kirov would never die. The sea had not taken her, for he had given up the life of the ship willingly, sending the proud battlecruiser to a fitting rest, and shunning forever the cold, callous indignity of the scrap yard.

Yes, the ship was gone, but it sailed on and on, within his pilgrim soul, and those of all the crew that had gathered there that brave hour to let it go. Yes, yes… ‘there are wanderers o’er Eternity, whose bark drives on and on, and anchor’d neer shall be.’

“I think it best that I give him a mild sedative,” said Zolkin. “He’s in no physical danger, but it’s clear that he needs rest. The man is exhausted. Perhaps you could make an announcement, Fedorov, to settle the crew.”

Fedorov nodded. “Of course. Take good care of him, Doctor. I’ll see to the ship. If he should wake, and be in any state to speak, please call me.”

* * *

The long walk back up to the bridge seemed like it would never end. Along the way, in the close corridors and ladder ways of the ship, Fedorov met the crew, and told them not to worry; that all would be well. When he finally climbed the last stairway up and emerged through the hatch, Rodenko’s voice greeted him with all due respect.

“Captain on the bridge!”

Fedorov looked up, his heart still heavy with misgiving. “As you were,” he said, walking instinctively towards his old post at Navigation. When he realized what he was doing, he stopped, turning to see the eyes of the entire bridge crew on him now. Nikolin had set aside his headset, as had Tasarov, for there was no danger here in port at Sendai where Kirov, Kentucky, and New Orleans had sailed. Destroyer Halsey, badly damaged, had remained at Amori, waiting for a transport ship to arrive from Pearl Harbor, where it would be sea lifted back to that port.

Fedorov looked at the men, knowing he should say something, anything, for he could clearly see the doubt and uncertainty on their faces. So he would tell them what Zolkin had said.

“Rest assured,” he began, “the Admiral is in no danger, and has suffered no serious physical injury. He is taking a well-deserved rest now, in sick bay with Doctor Zolkin, and we will carry on. Wish him well. I will make this same announcement to the crew in a few moments.”

He saw Samsonov nod, then glance furtively at the empty Captain’s chair. In that moment, Fedorov knew that was where he belonged, and he turned and walked deliberately to the chair, taking his seat. The moment he did so, it seemed as though the bridge crew let out a long breath they had been holding since the Admiral was rushed away in that uncertain hour. That empty space had been filled, and they had seen Fedorov there on more than one occasion. When his first order followed soon after, the doubt in their eyes had dissipated.

“The ship will make ready to get underway at 06:00,” said Fedorov.

“Aye sir,” said Rodenko, now acting Starpom until the Admiral resumed command and Fedorov returned to that role. “Deck crews are posted on all lines.”

“Very well. Lieutenant Nikolin, please send a secure message to the Siberians. Ask if there is any news of note we should be made aware of. Request a status update on the situation near Vladivostok.”

Nikolin nodded, and put back his headset, turning to his radio. Samsonov and Tasarov settled in as the ship prepared to deploy again, checking their equipment. They would soon learn that the last Chinese naval brigade in Vladivostok had been evacuated by sea, along with the headquarters of the Beihaian Garrison there. But a specially encrypted message was attached, and he noted the label:

EYES ONLY – COMMANDING OFFICER – BCG KIROV.

That would be me, thought Fedorov, taking the message when Nikolin handed it to him on a memory key. He went to the ready room, and slipped it into the decoding module, watching the blue screen light up with the decrypted message. It was from Lieutenant General Erkin Kutukov, Commander of the 1st Siberian Guards.

“We regret to inform you that Premier Karpov was killed in action on the 7th of November, and his remains taken to Vladivostok for interment. The city is ours, yet sabotage and demolitions leave the harbor unusable, and all quays and docks were destroyed by the enemy. Pursuant to instructions and arrangements made by the Siberian Premier prior to his untimely passing, I will assume the position of acting head of state, until and unless Admiral Vladimir Karpov should decide to ascend to that post, or appoint another. Now having liberated all of Amur and Primorskiy Provinces, an attempt will be made to settle the present dispute by negotiation. Should the enemy cede these liberated territories unconditionally, the Free Siberian Army will withdraw to the old Amur River border zone, which will be defended to the last should this conflict renew or persist.

With profound regret for the loss of all who died to liberate these lands and deliver this victory, General Erkin Kutukov.”

Fedorov took a long breath, thinking. Would Karpov want that—to leave the ship here and return to Siberia? Would he be in any condition to make such a decision soon? Should he inform the General as to his present condition? He knew he could not go to Karpov with this now—not until he had recovered from his fall. He therefore wrote and coded a return message saying that the General should proceed as he saw best, and that the Admiral would contact him in the near future.

On the 8th of November, seeing that the Siberians were willing to withdraw from all territories they had occupied in Heilongjiang, returning to the old Amur River border in exchange for Primorskiy Province, the Chinese accepted a cease fire to allow both sides to disengage and redeploy. General Kutukov was firm in demanding that the Chinese Army should not advance to reclaim lost ground until the Siberians had completed their withdrawal to the Amur River, and secured assurances that there would be no attempt to move military forces within 50 kilometers of that boundary line.

As negotiations proceeded over the next several days, one thing was perfectly clear in the General’s mind—the Chinese did not want a war along this long northern front while they were slowly becoming involved in a much broader general war at sea with the US and UK. The drain on supplies, and the need to devote a considerable portion of the PLAN Air Force to that theater, was a great burden. No nation wanted a two front war if that could be avoided.

So in keeping with the maxims of Sun Tzu, who said: “The greatest victory is that which requires no battle,” the Chinese were only too happy to wait and watch the Siberian troops pull back to the Amur River. They would see the threat to Mudanjiang relieved, recover Mudan, Jiamussu, and Fujin in the Rhino’s horn without a fight, and see the liberation of both Daqing and Qiqihar, along with the valuable oil district in that region. When they saw what the Siberians had done to many of the wells, an angry message was transmitted to Irkutsk, but in return, the Siberians simply sent photographs of the devastated docks and quays of Vladivostok.

Honor would be served, on both sides, and the hot war would slowly cool down to a low boil all along that front. A kind of DMZ was established along the river, and both armies would sit eyeing one another through field glasses, probing with UAV’s and drones, ever guarded against any possible attack and renewal of hostilities.

In truth, the Siberians wanted nothing to do with a general occupation of the territory they had overrun during the campaign. Such an occupation would have been fruitless, and would only fuel the fire of an incipient guerilla war that had already started behind the front line when the withdrawal began. If modern war proved one thing it was this, countries were no longer conquerable as they had been in the past, and no nation would ever really be able to sustain any occupation of Chinese territory for any length of time. Heilongjiang Province had only 38 million Chinese citizens, but this was more than the entire population of all Siberia. Behind that border province, there were over 1.3 billion more Chinese in the heartland of their country.

General Erkin Kutukov knew China would never be defeated in a land war, and never occupied by a hostile power for long, as this brief campaign had clearly proved. So in his mind, getting the army safely back to the Amur River was the smartest thing he could do. Strategically, he knew the old borders were not easily defended. The ‘Rhino’s Horn’ jutted ominously up through Fujin towards the liberated Siberian city of Khabarovsk. It had always been a dangerous salient that could see Primorskiy easily cut off, isolating Vladivostok if the river borders were ever crossed and the rail lines cut.

To forestall that, he knew the Siberian Army was now in for a long watch along that disputed border. The Chinese had come for resources they could not secure by trade. While occupying Amur and Primorskiy province, they had harvested vast amounts of timber, diverted fresh water, drilled new oil wells in many areas. In doing so, they had also improved roads and rail lines, so the raw, unfinished land was somewhat of a remodeled house for the Siberians now. Yet as he took that long ride north, watching his tanks and APC’s snaking along the roads and turnpikes, Erkin Kutukov knew that unless Siberia found a way to mend relations with the Great Dragon to the south, the fate of Siberia would always live under the shadow of war.

While Fedorov was pleased to hear of the cease fire and negotiations, a thorny question would soon arise: what would the Free Siberian Navy do now? He was sitting on it—Kirov the flagship, with Kursk its faithful escort. What would they do in the long struggle at sea that might lay ahead? He would soon find out.

Chapter 2

“You have no idea what it was like,” said Karpov. “It was as if another mind was rushing into my head, years, decades of life, the memories all crowding one on top of another. I didn’t think I could bear it. The pain was terrible.”

“Yes,” said Fedorov. “Something like that happened to Orlov, and it was lucky that I was with him at the time to talk him through it. And I think it also happened to me when I disappeared aboard our old warhorse, the very first ship we took out for those live fire exercises. Yet in both our cases, it was only a year or so that jumped into our heads, not half a lifetime.”

“That first ship…. Seems ages ago,” said Karpov. “Yes, we had all that old ordnance to get rid of, the old Moskit-II’s. Remember? We even had the Klinok, stocks of the export variant if that SAM system, though we also had the early prototype that became our new Zircon. Yes…. We called it the MOS-III.”

“How are you feeling now?” Fedorov’s eyes were still laden with concern.

“Better, Fedorov. Much better. Oh, I am still grieving the loss of my brother, and it is so terribly strange. It’s as if I bury my own future, for he lived through decades that remain ahead for me, should I be so lucky to survive and live those years out. Just meeting him again was one thing…. Seeing how your own self would grow old and wither is a very hard thing to do. Yet now, I can feel him inside me—literally. I can see the days he lived in my memory—not everything, as recollection is seldom ever that way. But I remember the salient events of his life, my life, really. Now I carry all of that within.”

Fedorov nodded. “You are one man again,” he said. “You are whole in heart and mind. All his experience, the lessons he learned, mistakes made—all of that is there for you to draw upon. In some ways, it’s an enviable thing—to see all you might have done had you remained in Siberia, and now to have that opportunity before you again. Only this time, you are a younger man—stronger, and fortified by all the Siberian brought to your soul when he passed. I suppose that begs a question. What will you do now that he is gone? General Erkin Kutukov was named as acting head of state upon his death, but he asked me to put this question to you. I hope it’s not too soon. You may just need to rest and recover now before you make these decisions.”

“No, no, I am quite alright,” said Karpov. “Erkin Kutukov… Yes, I can see the man’s face in my mind’s eye, though I have never met him personally. My brother trusted him, and relied upon him a great deal. I can pull up many conversations, long hours he spent with that man. He would be a very good choice if Siberia needs a new leader now, though he is not an administrator.”

“Then you would not want to take up the reins where your brother left off?”

“And rule Siberia? No Fedorov, no…. I have sea water running through my veins. What do they call them, these men of the sea?”

“Old Salts.”

“Yes, I’m an Old Salt. I took my post in Siberia, because it was necessary at the time. I had to get rid of Kolchak, because he was incompetent, and Volkov would have eaten him alive. I held Siberia Free, and forged the alliance with Sergei Kirov so we could save Russia and win that war. That we did, but I have no desire to take over as head of state there. Why, it would mean I would have to leave the ship and crew—leave you, Fedorov, and that I cannot do.”

Fedorov smiled.

“We’ve come a long way together since you were last shooting missiles at my helicopter. Very well. I can say that the entire crew is pulling for you, and that they wish you well. I don’t know this for a fact yet, but I can feel something in them, as if they also carry the memories of all we did in the past. It’s not obvious, more a latent thing, but it’s there. I can sense it.”

“You say Orlov remembered everything?”

“Yes, but that was the man who disappeared on the stairs of Ilanskiy. Tyrenkov and Volkov got rid of him. As for the man we have here now, he’s bound to be carrying the latent memories of all we experienced, which is why I’ve been checking in on him from time to time. While I don’t think he would experience a flood-tide like you just went through, he’s a Prime Mover in all these events as well. He’ll start to remember in time, and wake up as before.”

“That may be dangerous,” said Karpov. “To begin with, he carried quite a grudge concerning my first attempt to take the ship, and that’s understandable. Hell, I used him. I can admit that, but I was another man then too, young and foolish in so many ways, and too god-awful greedy for power.”

“I spoke with Tyrenkov earlier when he asked about your condition,” said Fedorov. “He sends his best regards.”

“Does he? Big of him,” said Karpov. “Fedorov, there’s a man we might want to send to Siberia to stand in for my brother. Erkin Kutukov is a fighter, a military man, but now that you’ve told me things are moving to the negotiation table, Tyrenkov is tailor made for that role. Here on the ship, he’s a useful asset, but suppose we put this to him. Wouldn’t he be better used in Siberia?”

“You want to make him head of state there?”

“Why not, assuming the locals will accept that. I don’t need his shadow here on the ship any longer. He’s efficient, but vastly underemployed here.”

“He might say the same of you,” said Fedorov. “Are you sure you do not want to stand at the head of the nation you helped build, and led in the last war?”

“More than sure. I’m staying here, on Kirov. I don’t know why, but I just feel that needs to be so. Let’s see if Tyrenkov might be interested in taking up a position in Siberia.”

“Are you sure we should risk that? You know how dangerous he could be. We had him over a barrel, as they say, because he needed us to make his escape from the situation in 2021, but are you certain we should empower him like this again? After all, here on the ship, we’ve got the man on a proverbial leash, and we might want to keep him there.”

“I understand what you’re saying, but that’s just the sort of situation that will fester trouble between us. We can’t lord it over him. He’s a proud man, Fedorov. I’ve tried to show him respect, and I think he knows that, but I do not really need an intelligence chief on this ship. Looking at things another way, we will have to trust one another now if we ever resolve this. If we think of Tyrenkov as our enemy, that is exactly what he will become. My vote is that we make this offer, and then see if it will be acceptable to the Siberians. Send him to me. I’ll endorse him if he wants the job. Tyrenkov can handle the Chinese. He’s just the man Siberia needs right now. I have no taste for that. I’ll stay here on Kirov.”

“Which brings up another question,” said Fedorov. “If Tyrenkov does this, and negotiates a peace, then what? We’re the Free Siberian Navy here, and he could be talking us right out of a job.”

“I doubt that,” said Karpov. “The Chinese will negotiate to make sure they get back the cities and territories our army just rolled through, but I don’t think they’ll look upon us as friendly neighbors any time soon. Erkin Kutukov will have to stand a watch on that border with the army now, and I would not put anything off the table when it comes to the Chinese. They’re in things up to their knees now, but soon it will be eyeballs.”

“Why are they doing this?” asked Fedorov. “They just shut down most commercial traffic through the Med, and closed Suez. Now the Royal Navy is mustering to push into the Indian Ocean, and the Saudi’s are getting very nervous about Iraq. Remember how China used its ally in North Korea to add pressure on the US position in the Pacific? Well, in this history, China has backed Iraq and Iran heavily, while the US backs the House of Saud.”

“Yes,” said Karpov. “Which is why this war may just be getting underway. My brother took a great risk crossing the Amur River as he did to cut off the Rhino’s Horn and liberate Vladivostok. Volsky was here yesterday, and he told me the port is useless, but at least it will no longer be called Haishenwei. It’s the Golden Horn Harbor, and it’s ours again. One day soon we’ll go there for a visit.”

“That may depend on the Chinese Navy,” Fedorov cautioned.

“Yes… They put up a damn good fight in the Sea of Japan this time around. We caught them by surprise earlier, but they have reinforced. The war here is dangerous, Fedorov, which is why I feel such a strong need to remain here and stay involved. We can make a difference here—Kirov and crew. We may only have two ships to float for Siberia, but we can fight like hell at sea, and the Chinese know it.”

“If we clash with them,” said Fedorov, “won’t that exacerbate the situation on the border?”

“Possibly, but we’ll let Tyrenkov solve that problem. Right now, this war is going to be fought at sea in the Pacific and Indian Ocean. If the Chinese persist, particularly in holding on to the Ryukyu Islands they seized, then we’ll have some hard decisions to make with the Americans. This is far from over. My brother’s whirlwind three week campaign into Manchuria was just the overture. I think China is in this for the long haul.”

“I can’t see how that benefits them. Soon trans-Pacific trade will falter as well. This war will crush the economies of everyone involved. The British have already run the Chinese Navy out of the Med. How do they see any victory here?”

“I don’t think the British really beat them,” said Karpov. “In fact, the Royal Navy took the worst of that fight. No, China redeployed those ships to the Indian Ocean, and that is what I would have done too. They could not support them in the Med, and by closing Suez, they put the thumbscrews on that trade route to Europe and the US. Now they’ll beef up in the Indian Ocean and make a fight there. Mark my words.”

“What do you think they’ll do?”

“Raise hell, just like they did in the Med. Tanker and sea carrier insurance rates must be through the roof by now. Commercial carriers can’t use the Med, so they’ll have to go around the Cape, which is why the Royal Navy is mustering there.”

“Yes, and the Fairchild Group is with them.”

“Good for them,” said Karpov. “Well, the war moves there next. The Chinese have a lot of bases in East Africa, and even in Pakistan. They can still route Middle East oil south of Sri Lanka to the Bay of Bengal and their terminals in Myanmar.”

“Myanmar? No, it’s still called Burma here in this history, but yes, the Chinese do have oil terminals there, and then rail and pipeline routes into China. The old Burma Road is an oil road now.”

“See my point? Europe and the US lose the sea lane to the Middle East through Suez, but it doesn’t really bother China. Their problem now is how to control the Indian Ocean. To do that they have to stop the Royal Navy incursion, and the Americans as well. What are they up to, Fedorov?”

“The Americans? At the moment, Tyrenkov says they are mustering at the port of Darwin—moving troops and equipment there by sea.”

“Bound for Saudi Arabia,” said Karpov. “Well, I’ll say this much. Job one for China is the Strait of Malacca. They have to gain control there, and it won’t be easy. Does Tyrenkov have a line on Chinese Naval strength in the Indian Ocean theater?”

“After being reinforced from the Med, about 40 ships and subs, not counting patrol craft, and they will be backed by Pakistan’s navy at Karachi—another twenty ships, mostly frigates, corvettes, and patrol craft, but they have a number of very capable diesel subs.”

“That’s a formidable force.”

“Almost as big as the entire Royal Navy in this region,” said Fedorov. “But the British can count on support from Singapore. They have 30 ships, mostly patrol craft, but several good frigates. Then there’s the Americans at Darwin.”

“So it’s going to be a real fight,” said Karpov. “It will start with sea control operations. That’s what the British and Americans have to do—clear a way to Saudi Arabia for the US Navy to get troops in there. And here we sit in a Japanese port, when all the action will be down south.”

“You could use the rest,” said Fedorov, though he could see how the mere discussion of these impending naval battles had breathed life into Karpov. His eyes had that glitter of fire in them again, and he was sitting up in the bunk. “Let’s not plan on conquering the world here just yet.”

“I’d still like to get down there. We should probably get face to face with the Fairchild Group and plan overall strategy.”

“In good time,” said Fedorov. “Rest, rest, there will be war enough left here for us when you feel ready to take the helm again.”

“Don’t worry. I’ll recover. In fact I have come to think my brother has not really left me. No, he came to me in that terrible moment, reaching, and now I have him safe within my very own mind, and I know him in a way I never could if he was standing here face to face with me at this moment. We sit in these shells, Fedorov. We put on uniforms and take up our roles, but we’re all old souls by now. We’ve seen this world from 1908 to this moment, a time spanning over 100 years. I’ll take your advice and rest here a few more days, but we should be ready for operations again soon. Has the crew had shore leave?”

“A good deal of it. They find the Japanese quite hospitable.”

“Good. They need the rest as well.”

They lapsed into silence for a time. Fedorov thought to leave it there, but wanted to know what he should be planning for.

“So are you serious about going south? Shouldn’t we stay up here near Vladivostok?”

“No, we have no business there. It will be a month before they can get that port cleared of mines, and rebuilt, and even then, using it would be too dangerous for Kirov. Once the Chinese found out we were there, they could lob ballistic missiles all day and night. That’s the first hard lesson for Russia in this war—once China becomes a hostile power, then we truly have no port on the Pacific with Vladivostok. We’ll have to rely on Sakhalin Island, Magadan and Petropavlovsk, and speaking of that, we should get some kind of a seaborne munitions carrier to move ordnance south. Yes, that is where we must go. If we stay up here, we’ll be on the fringes of the action, unless the Americans get serious about the Ryukyus, and that could take a good long while. Right now, the strategists in the UK and US have but one thing on their mind… The House of Saud.”

“Very well. Should I notify Captain Gromyko?”

“That would be wise. I’m not sure if Captain Rose and his battlecruiser will be accompanying us, but we will have to get some support from the Americans. It’s 2000 nautical miles from Sendai to the Surigao Strait in the Philippines. Kirov can sail there with no refueling needs, but Kursk will need support.”

“I’ll look into it,” said Fedorov.

Karpov nodded. “The Philippine Sea,” he said. “I want to be there in ten days.”

“That’s three or four sea days,” said Fedorov, “depending on our speed. That gives you a good long week to rest while we think this through and make the logistical arrangements. In the meantime. I’ll ask Tyrenkov to come see you here. I hope he can see this as an opportunity to change for the good. We have to stick together if we want to prevail here and shape the future beyond this conflict, and we’ve also got to keep a lid on things—no nukes, correct?”

“Don’t worry, my friend. We’ve learned a few things together on this long journey, haven’t we?”

Chapter 3

The door opened, and a man in a dark overcoat walked into the sick bay where Karpov was still resting quietly on his cot. Seeing him, Doctor Zolkin offered a brief greeting, and then excused himself, as per Karpov’s earlier request.

“Still cold, Tyrenkov?” said Karpov noting the overcoat.

“Something about the sea,” said Tyrenkov, smiling.

“The sea…” Karpov closed his eyes for a moment. He had spent the last day in a quiet slumber, dreaming the life of the Siberian, slowly playing the memories that had come to him so suddenly. It was as if he had been given a great sea chest, finding stacks of letters, photographs, and journals recounting that life. It was at once revealing of all the Siberian had lived and done, while also standing as a testament to his life. It was also ashes work, as Karpov also came to terms with his sudden demise. He was reliving it all, the triumph, the tragedy, the dreams become nightmares. They were one and the same.

“Yes, the sea,” he said again. “I never wanted to be anywhere else, Tyrenkov. Oh, I passed my time in Siberia during the war, doing what I had to there to consolidate power. I reveled in those wonderful old airships, the closest thing I could find to do that resembled my days aboard Kirov. Yes, I was Admiral of the Fleet. Then, when I learned Kirov had returned, the only thing on my mind was getting back to that ship, and I was willing to take it, by force or deception, from both Volsky and Fedorov at that time. I never once thought that I, myself, might already be there. You recall the night you came to me and told me that was so?”

“Indeed,” said Tyrenkov. “It was most remarkable.”

“Quite an understatement,” said Karpov. “There I was, fresh off the boat, if you will. There I was. I stood there looking at my very own self. He seemed just a little younger, raw, unfinished, yet full of potential. There was so much he did not yet know, and at that moment, I came to feel like his older brother. I had taken the first long loop through time aboard Kirov, but he had only just arrived, bewildered, and perhaps still struggling to comprehend and believe what had just happened to his ship and crew. Strangely, Fedorov was the only man on his ship that knew anything, because the soul that served with me aboard Kirov in that amazing first loop had somehow found its way into the mind and heart of the young Navigator serving aboard my brother’s ship. Understand?”

“I grasp what you are saying, but how could I ever really understand?” said Tyrenkov.

“Of course. Well, Tyrenkov, you are the man I recruited to my side during those early years in Siberia, my trusted Chief of Intelligence—until you became a wayward moon. Yet I suppose any man can turn, falling prey to some lure or another, and power is often the most compelling gravity that can seize a man. Do you remember when we labored to turn Kymchek, Volkov’s security man?”

“Of course, though I never truly believed he had come over to our side. Volkov would have had too many ways he could make Kymchek suffer. So while he paid us lip service, and bowed and scraped as he had to once we had him, Kymchek was always in Volkov’s service, secretly, as he believed, but it was quite transparent to me.”

Karpov nodded.

“And you, Tyrenkov… the man who was always seemingly in my service…. Who were you really serving?”

Tyrenkov smiled. “My own self,” he said frankly. “Yes, I served my own ambitions and desires, like every man. Have you ever really been foolish enough to think things were otherwise? That is not the way of the world, Karpov. Men serve others, and sometimes they even dupe themselves into thinking they serve some greater cause, but in the end, I think they really serve their own ambitions.”

“Perhaps true,” said Karpov, “if somewhat jaded. Well, speaking of service, be it to some greater cause or to the petty desires we are all prey to, I have a proposition for you. I am certain you are aware of the death of the Siberian.”

“Most regrettable. My condolences.”

“Yes… How do you lay your own self to rest, Tyrenkov? How do you bury your own future? That is what I have been struggling to do these last few days. I once thought of the Siberian as my younger brother, but when we arrived here, and I finally met him again, he was an old grey man. He had lived out decades that remain waiting for me in the years ahead, all in service to the Free Siberian State, and certainly to his own ambitions as well, as we both know. Now he is gone, and that leaves a great void at the top of the leadership pyramid over there. How would you feel about taking that throne?”

Tyrenkov inclined his head. “As Premier and General Secretary of the Free Siberian State?”

“Exactly. It has a nice ring to it, does it not? My brother left instructions with his most trusted lieutenants, but first and foremost, he specified that I should stand in his place if anything should happen to him, or have the final say as to who would advance to that post in the line of succession. In truth, I knew nothing of the men in his orbit, until recently. There are some very good men there, and chief among them is General Erkin Kutukov. He commanded the 1st Siberian Guards, and is presently serving as acting head of state, but now I offer this position to you. Interested?”

“How could I fail to be?” Tyrenkov replied.

“Of course,” said Karpov. “Here on the ship, your duties are simply too limited to satisfy. Frankly, you are made for bigger things, Tyrenkov. Analyzing message traffic, studying orders of battle, sifting through intelligence channels was the work you did in your early years, but now you are a man. The days and years ahead are going to be hard and difficult for Siberia. The Chinese may have agreed to this cease fire, because they get all of Heilongjiang province back from my brother—ground we overran in the last three weeks in this fight for Vladivostok. Yet you and I know that the conflict will remain at the boil for some time now—perhaps for years. It will need a good cook to stir that pot, and I cannot think of anyone better suited to the task. So I offer it to you.”

“Then you forsake the post yourself?”

“That should be evident in this offer.”

“This is not a temporary assignment?”

“No, I can tell you now that I have no intention of returning to Siberia to take up the reins of its affairs. My brother Self has already lived that. I want to take a different course, and remain here, aboard Kirov. Of course I will insist that I retain complete authority over this ship, and over any others that might ever join the ranks of the Siberian Navy. There isn’t much of that around these days, but it’s one thing we might fix in the years ahead. I will also expect your full support, logistics, air support, whenever requested.”

Tyrenkov nodded. “The lure of war has you in its gravity here. Yes?”

Karpov smiled with a nod, knowing that was true. “Tyrenkov, I am a fighter. I do my scheming and planning simply to make sure I get to the fight, and with everything I need to prevail. As for the day to day machinations of state, I built a government beneath me to manage that, and yes, I found you as well. This is what you wanted, correct? Stay here, and you will always be in my shadow. In Siberia, you will have come as close to your general ambition of ruling over all of Russia as is presently possible.”

“And who serves who in this arrangement. Are you expecting me to keep my vow of service, or should I expect you and your navy to pledge allegiance to Siberia?”

“I think we understand one another,” said Karpov. “Once it was in your mind to try and get rid of me, as you discarded Orlov when you thought to set up a little triumvirate with Volkov. Once Fedorov and I had your name penciled at the very top of our list of problems, yet, as we have seen, we are able to reason things out and reach accommodations. In taking you on here, we gained much, did we not? You brought weapons, that interesting key you found at Ilanskiy, and you would be under my thumb. I never pressed it too firmly upon you, and for good reason. I know your caliber, Tyrenkov. I have taken your measure, as you have certainly taken mine. So let us leave it with this—we will cooperate with one another, and all in the general aim of what we both know we must do for Siberia—for Russia.”

“Yet a moment ago I said men only dupe themselves into thinking they act for reasons beyond their own ambitions,” said Tyrenkov.

“Until they take one step more on their path. Think of Sergei Kirov. He formed and led his Soviet Union through its most tumultuous and darkest hours, and being there, meeting and speaking with him on numerous occasions, I could clearly see his greatness. Look at the Soviet Union now. Instead of 50 years of useless and wasteful ‘Cold War’ with the West, he found a way to reach an accommodation, and he did so while still preserving the government we brought to life in the revolution. To do this, he only let go of one thing, the need to export communism to the rest of the world. So in this history, we had no Castro in his Cuba, and if China embraced communism, they did so in their own way, and in their own time. Today the Europeans see our politburo as nothing more than a variant of their own governing systems, and frankly, if you study what Sergei Kirov built in Russia here, you will see we never really shunned democracy. Perhaps we can do the same.”

“Perhaps,” said Tyrenkov. “Yet this war will end, Karpov. What will a fighting Admiral do when that happens one day? When Kirov has no more battles to fight, then where will you go, and what will you do with this ship and the crew that serves you so faithfully in all these adventures?”

Karpov gave him a long look. “That is tomorrow,” he said. “In one sense, I have already seen it. Yes, we are the men who move from yesterday to tomorrow in the blink of an eye. I never fooled myself in that, knowing it was power beyond the measure of that ever held by the world’s mightiest leaders. You drank from that same cup, Tyrenkov, and it’s a dizzy, heady brew. But its exacts a price, it has consequences, terrible consequences, as we have seen in more than one world where we found ourselves. So let us face tomorrow when it comes. Today, we have other business. I offer you this position in Siberia. Do you want it?”

“Of course! And I thank you for your consideration. You have grown, Admiral. We give ourselves these names and titles, and we wear these uniforms to play the part, but sometimes certain men grow so large that no tailor can ever really fit them. We saw some of the truly great men of the last century, Churchill, Kirov, Roosevelt. The thought that our names might ever be mentioned in the same sentence with such men never occurred to us, but we now have a good deal to say what happens when they write the history of this century.”

“Well said. Yes, we grow. Ambition is one thing, and some men never get beyond its grip. Only the truly great men accomplish that. I won’t soft sell this to you. There will be difficulties ahead, for both of us. The Chinese cannot be underestimated. This is their century, and they are rising now in a way that few clearly see. And there are other forces, other men out there, all serving their own ambitions. We must speak now of one man in particular—Ivan Volkov. He is not here. I had Fedorov try and sleuth him out in this history, but nothing was found.”

“I can confirm that,” said Tyrenkov.

“But this is not to say that we are rid of the man,” said Karpov. “Frankly, when I learned you had taken up with him in the past, I was quite surprised. You know how ruthless and conniving that man can be. He made his bed with the likes of Adolf Hitler, betraying Russia in that devil’s bargain, and then simply disappeared when we prevailed in WWII. Yet I wonder what really became of that man. Then, imagine my surprise when you send him over to me for a nice little chat!”

“Ah, but that was not the man we fought in the last war. I got to him early, before the weed took root, and I thought I was able to prune him well.”

“I would not fool myself in thinking that,” said Karpov. “A weed is a weed, no matter where it sits in your well sculpted garden. Volkov may yet be a problem, and now I am talking of the man we just left behind in 2021. Both you and I were able to make good an escape from that world, but we both know the missile that struck near the airfield at the Northern Shamrock was meant for you, and I don’t have to tell you who was behind it.”

“Yes,” said Tyrenkov, “it was Volkov. I knew he was never a reliable partner. The two of us pulled the same carriage for a while, two horses lashed together in the same team, but he was always scheming, and never satisfied. I took steps to seal off any avenue he might find to cause further trouble, either in this future, or in the past. I burned Ilanskiy to the ground once, then rebuilt it to serve my needs. And as for that amazing airship you built, I gave orders that it should be destroyed before we embarked on this ship.”

“Yet we must be wary,” said Karpov. “We must remain vigilant. Volkov is a very resourceful man, and while this version of the man may not have lived out the enmity we engaged in during the war, Fedorov and I have learned that the memories and recollections of a man can emerge, either by slow degrees, or all in one wild rush. When I was very young, I learned to play the balalaika. Then with the business of life, I set it aside for decades. Yet once I picked one up, twenty years later, and I could still play. It’s old memory, Tyrenkov—muscle memory. Volkov already acts and moves in ways that belie that old muscle memory of enmity with us. I clearly saw that, and I think you did as well.”

“Quite true,” said Tyrenkov.

“Then we must not put him out of the equation here just yet. You took precautions, but he knows about Ilanskiy. That said, I do not think he will have time to do anything with that, given the situation we hurriedly left behind in 2021. We have no further history to read of what may have followed those nukes in Korea, but Fedorov and I have seen its end, and with our own eyes. It wasn’t speculation. No, we knew what was going to happen, because we sifted the ashes long ago, when my own wanton use of a special warhead pushed the ship forward into a shattered world, in a future where none of us could ever hope to find a home again. So we must be careful here, not only in shaping the outcome of this war, but also in making sure that Volkov never gets a toe-hold here, or a chance at finishing his dastardly unfinished business.”

“Yet how could he reach this time?”

“I don’t know, but what I can say is this…. Anyone who has managed to escape the world of 2021 has ended up here. We came here, then Argos Fire and Kazan. Was that mere coincidence? I think not. There is a reason why this is so, and it is a very dark one. It may just be that there is no other place to go—no other future that has survived our thoughtless intrusion in the past. So we must beware. If there is any way that Volkov might move, then he may just get to this time as we did. Remember what nuclear detonations do to the continuum—they open holes, create rifts, and things move through. Remember also that Volkov is Prime Mover in all of these events.”

“Undoubtedly,” said Tyrenkov.

“Well,” said Karpov, “there is an old saying that goes something like this…. if we keep heading in this direction, we might just get where we're going. Volkov is the last missing actor in this little play. Everyone else is here, all ready to take their part on the stage. So we must be wary. There could be a few more nightmares heading our way.”

“I understand.” Tyrenkov nodded. “So then, will you want me in Siberia soon?”

“When you are ready. Yes, you set the hour and day now, Mister Prime Minister. I have every confidence in you, and I know you will not disappoint me. No, not a second time. Are you the man I think you truly are? I suppose we shall see in good time. Pack your sea chest, Tyrenkov. You’re getting a big promotion!”

Part II

Rock of the East

“In the confrontation between the stream and the rock, the stream always wins, not through strength but by perseverance.”

― H. Jackson Brown

Chapter 4

In November of the year 2019, an aging old diplomat, Henry Kissinger, warned that the trade war between the US and China had put the two great nations in ‘the foothills of a Cold War’ that could easily escalate, even over a minor incident, into a conflict worse than the wars of the last century. He was correct….

Admiral William J. Pearson, Royal Navy Command Singapore, was alerted just after 08:00 on the 18th of November. The satellites had seen an alarming congregation of Chinese naval assets in the south China Sea, and they appeared to be heading his way. He wasted no time in calling a war council with the senior fleet officers present.

The Royal Navy presence in Singapore had a long history, a bastion in the east that Churchill called his Pacific Gibraltar. In this history, he had relieved General Percival after his timorous treatment of the situation in Malaya following the Japanese landings, and instead sent a man who would later be called “The Rock of the East,” Sir Bernard Law Montgomery. Under Monty’s generalship, the Japanese Army was fought to a standstill on Singapore, and eventually forced to withdraw. It was only after they abandoned that siege, taking units to bypass Singapore and land on Java, that the British saw their position there as untenable, and retreated to fight the Japanese elsewhere. The Dramatic eruption of Krakatoa soon followed, and in time, Montgomery was recalled to North Africa to join the fight against Rommel.

After the war, the British settled back into their long held nest at Singapore again, roosting at Changi Naval Base with a permanent Far East Squadron. It was composed of the light carriers Illustrious and Invincible, each with a dozen new F-35B’s and numerous helicopters. Three destroyers, including two Daring Class, and ten frigates were in support, along with one older Trafalgar class sub, the lead boat in that group. These fifteen warships held the fort, and for a long time there was no direct threat to Singapore, until the Chinese began to move south.

China had long ago mended fences with Vietnam, gaining access to the harbor at Cam Rahn Bay and the airfields at Da Nang and Tan Son Naht, which were in a perfect position to support all the small outposts they had built on the reef islands. They had also cut elaborate infrastructure deals with the Philippines to gain access to the long archipelagic province island of Palawan, which stretched like a great stone wall between the main islands of Mindoro and Luzon, and Malaysia on the big island of Borneo. Anchored by Taiwan in the north, Chinese outposts and military bases stretched south through the Batanes Islands, to Manila, and across Palawan. There they set up radars, and SAM and SSM sites to hold the outer perimeter of their South China Sea.

By 2025, with the US having to resort to bases it maintain further east on the so called “Second Island Chain,” there was no question as to who really dominated the South China Sea. It was a Chinese lake, seeing 80% of that nation’s commercial traffic pass daily, all mostly coming through the great southern bottleneck of the Strait of Malacca. In that region, the Chinese had then worked to put a cork in that bottle, making great efforts to obtain a presence in the Riau Archipelago. They negotiated with Indonesia to get basing rights at Ranai AFB on the main island there, and that bastion formed their southern anchor.

“Gentlemen,” said Admiral Pearson. “We have a situation developing. It seems the Chinese have moved strong naval elements south, mustering here, near the Island of Riau. Royal Navy Intelligence is of the opinion that this may be a prelude to, or the advanced stages of, an operation aimed at Singapore. We all know that most everything they ship into China passes within eight miles of our watch here. It’s as if every ship coming to Britain had to check in at Shanghai first. We are, and have been, the gatekeepers of the Malacca Strait since Sir Stanford Raffles established a port here in 1818. Yet I will note that in the 150 odd souls that first established his shore party here, 30 were Chinese.”

It was commerce that brought the British to Singapore, for all the traffic from British India passed through the Strait of Malacca, including the opium traffic to China. And it was commerce that kept Britain there for the next two centuries. Aside from a temporary eviction by the Japanese, Britain had sat there, inviolate, for over 200 years.

“I don’t have to tell anyone here just how important this watch is,” said Pearson. “As things have already gone to hammers and tongs with the Chinese in the Med, Whale Island has put us on a full alert war footing. We are to sortie this morning and maintain a strong fleet presence in the Natuna Sea, east of Singapore, and we are to prevent any advance or passage of Chinese naval forces in those waters. After Malta, gentlemen, I don’t have to tell you things may get disagreeable rather soon. This is a vital maritime outpost, and one the Chinese will dearly want to dominate. We simply must not let that happen. Questions?”

One man raised his hand, Captain James Albert Snow of HMS Illustrious. “Sir, might we expect help from the UK soon?”

“Admiral Wells has brought the entire Mediterranean Squadron south to Durban, and with Prince of Wales. But that fleet is presently 5000 miles away. I’m told Queen Elizabeth is putting out to sea, but gentlemen, any force from the UK is between thirteen and sixteen thousand miles away from us as we speak here. So we mustn’t count on that in the foreseeable future. More to the point, we do have Ark Royal, and frigates Brazen and Kenya at Diego Garcia, but that force has been part of the Anglo-American TF there, and Whale Island has tasked it for a potential move north to Oman. The situation in the Middle East is presently what this is all about. It’s why Admiral Wells is entering the Indian Ocean. Sea control, gentlemen, sea control. We cannot move forces necessary to deter Iraq unless we first control the seas that will carry them there. In that instance, here at Singapore, we’re on our own.”

“What about the Aussies, sir?”

“Ah yes, our friends from Down Under are with us, but they’ll be huddling on the scrimmage line with the Yanks at the moment. The US carrier Roosevelt is at Darwin, and if we do get any help, that’s where it will come from. Until then, we put out to sea this morning, standing to, and we’ll show the flag proudly. If they see us in strength, we just might dissuade them from any real move on the Strait of Malacca. Anyone else?”

There were no further questions.

“Very well, go with God, gentlemen, and take King and country along in your thoughts as well. Remember Malta.”

12:00 Noon, Local Time, 18 NOV 2025

Natuna Sea, 100 miles East NE of Singapore

Admiral Wu Jinlong was a careful man, particularly when he was now facing battle. He had received his orders days ago from South Seas Commander, Admiral Yang Kai Yong, and he knew this was a most important mission. Thus far, the war was going according to plan, but with mixed results. The operations aimed at the Ryukyu Islands had taken the enemy by surprise, and led to the swift occupation of all planned objectives. The first Island Chain was now completely under the control of the Chinese Navy.

Then the thrust towards Iwo Jima had been parried by the Americans, and with the loss of the big fleet carrier Haishen. That was an embarrassing defeat, he knew, though he could not ever characterize it that way to other fleet officers.

He had subsequently learned that it was a Siberian ship that had sunk Haishen, which raised more than one eyebrow in the General Staff, for no one knew this ship even existed! A few heads would roll in the Naval Intelligence Division, for how could the Siberians hide a ship that size? It was therefore determined that this ship had to have been built by the Soviet Union, and then sold to Siberia, but this remained an inexcusable and unaccountable intelligence lapse. That it was followed soon after by the surprise attack of the Siberian Army across the Amur River was salt in the wounds.

Yet that flood tide has now become a stagnant pool, thought the Admiral, a matter for the Army to worry over. That said, we have been forced to relinquish Haishenwei, Vladivostok, and that clearly was not part of the general war plan. No matter, we rendered that port useless to the enemy, and our Korean ports still allow us to project power throughout the Beihai region.

The Siberians… Always a problem, he mused, and then turned his thoughts to the most recent engagements. Operation Wildfire in the Med had been a great success, in spite of inevitable losses. The fleet there has disrupted commercial traffic from Gibraltar to Suez, destroyed the British bastion at Malta, and then it made a well-coordinated exit through Suez and the Red Sea to reinforce the Indian Ocean. All our West African assets have been withdrawn there as well, for the Indian Ocean will surely be a decisive battle zone in the days ahead.

And that is where I am going.

The Admiral was a determined man. His given name, Jinlong, meant “Golden Dragon,” and he was very pleased when the navy named one of its newest Type 055 destroyers by that same name.

Yes, he thought, we have moved a considerable portion of our South Seas Fleet under my command for operation Dongmen, the Eastern Gate. That is as good a name for Singapore as any. This is far more significant than my earlier operation with the Thunder Gods. There I was largely in a supporting role for the invasion of the Ryukyus, here I become the tip of the spear. Do we have the strength to prevail?

He ran down the list in his mind. He had his flagship, Zhendong, the only carrier that could be spared. In support, there were twenty more fighting ships, which included six in the squadron from Viet Nam. That group makes up the bulk of our destroyers, but can they fight? Those ships were all acquired from the French, and Viet Nam is an odd bridge between east and west. They maintained good relations with their old colonial masters, and now they have been wise enough to forsake their enmity with China and become our ally.

Will they fight?

We shall soon see. If not, I still have five destroyers, including two of the new Type 055’s. The rest are frigates, twelve in all, and then there are three submarines. Will it be enough? Will I have enough air cover to protect the invasion group?

There were many questions in Admiral Wu’s mind, for all of this was a great unknown. This initial mission with the Thunder Gods had been the first time any of the ships and crews under his command had been in combat. Now he was sent to engage the Royal Navy, and their reputation cast a long shadow over his thoughts, which he tried to dispel.

They are new to war here as well, he told himself. Yes, they may have experienced officers and sailors, but Great Britain has not fought naval engagements since the last war… until we faced them in Operation Wildfire. What did they do? We destroyed Malta, but for that, we have abandoned the entire North African Coalition. All our bases there were left unguarded, Oran, Algiers, Bizerte, Tunis, Sfax, Benghazi. Egypt was the only place we held firm, but that was with ground contingents and air units, not naval assets. Then the Royal Navy hounded us out of the Atlantic, and chased us from all our West African bases. The General Staff says this was all in the plan, but I think otherwise.

We could not hold….

That much is patently clear to me. We could not hold. So now I face the entire British Far East Fleet, and with the Americans dangerously close at Darwin. This will be a decisive engagement, and I must not fail. China needs a great victory here, but can I deliver it?

Air support will be a concern. Cam Rahn Bay is 600 miles from Singapore, so fighters there can only cover our initial move south. The same can be said for our forces at Miri airfield in Malaysia, also 600 miles from Singapore. I must then rely on our base at Ranai, with 30 fighters, including 18 J-20’s. To these, Zhendong adds my superb squadrons of J-31’s—25 more excellent stealthy fighters to confound the British. Let us see what they can do.

“Admiral, sir, we have picked up enemy fighters!”

“Where?”

“About 75 miles northeast of their naval forces.”

“Of course,” said Wu Jinlong. “They have carriers, and that is undoubtedly a combat air patrol. Order our J-20’s to destroy them.”

* * *

That patrol was a pair of F-35’s off the light carrier Invincible, and their first order of business that day was to get after the Chinese AEW plane, a KJ-200 orbiting about 70 miles south of the main island of Riau. Unseen by the Chinese radars, they would move into range and put a pair of meteors out after the plane, Britain’s long range lance, with a 75 mile range. Yet that flight had not seen three Chinese J-20’s off Ranai AFB, and the moment they fired they were detected. This quickly saw them come under attack by the best missiles the Chinese had, the PL-15.

In the ensuing duel, each side would lose two planes, and when two more F-35’s off the Illustrious came charging in to the fray, the missile fire coming from a different direction was enough to convince the last surviving Chinese pilot he was outgunned. The J-20 turned and went to a thousand knots, running for home, but the brief engagement had been the tripwire on the impending battle. Soon more fighters were revving up their engines on both sides, roaring off the decks of the three carriers involved.

Aboard HMS Invincible, Captain Henry Hargood was a 30 year veteran, all his time spent with the carriers. He had been among the most vocal supporters of Britain’s carrier fleet, arguing that these smaller ships could provide valuable fleet support in far off outposts where a big deck carrier was not present. He liked to think that he had a good deal to do with the fact that Illustrious and Invincible were still afloat, when Parliament had tried to sell or scrap them twice in the last ten years. He fought the good fight to save them, and now his ships had to return that favor.

“We’ve got a fairly good look at them, sir,” said his Number One, Commander Avery Russell. “This destroyer screen here is all reading as French Aquitaine Class ships.”

“The Vietnamese,” said Hargood. “So they want in on this argument as well. Where’s the Chinese carrier?”

“Here sir, about 20 miles northwest of the main island, and 40 miles behind that destroyer screen, about 180 miles out.”

“Well beyond our SSM range at the moment.”

“Except for frigates Newcastle and Sheffield, sir. They have the new American LRASM, 24 each. That’s our main punch with any range. In fact, those frigates hit harder than any of our destroyers.”

“Indeed,” said Hargood. “Might we try for an early round knockout?”

“We might, sir, but there are a lot of defending assets out there, and when those frigates have their say, then we’ll have to hold our peace until the range closes to within 100 miles.”

The Captain nodded. “At the moment, we’ve got to see if we can get air superiority out here. It’s a bit of a draw with this first butting of the heads. Let’s get more fighters up, Mister Russell.”

“Aye sir.”

Chapter 5

This was not going to be a typical carrier duel, like the many engagements that had been fought in the previous war. The planes on either side actually had very limited ability to put harm on enemy ships at sea, and in fact, most of the carrier magazines were filled with gravity bombs in various sizes, all requiring the delivering aircraft to penetrate inside 10 to 15 miles, or less. The Chinese did have an extended range 500 pound glide bomb that could be released 30 miles out against land targets, and the British had their SPEAR light attack munition, but beyond that, any strike by the aircraft aimed at ships would have to run a terrible gauntlet of SAM fire to get in close enough to drop those bombs.

So the unmanned anti-ship missiles would act in place of the fighter bombers of WWII, and their range would figure prominently in how this battle would unfold. The carriers were largely there to contest the airspace, with strike missions being a secondary role if that could be achieved. The Chinese knew this, which is why some ships were also armed with land attack cruise missiles they intended to use against enemy airfields. The six Vietnamese destroyers all carried the French SCALP, their version of the British Storm Shadow.

A little after 13:00, the air duel continued as each side got more fighters up. The Chinese threw the first punch, jabbing at the Merlin AEW Crow’s nest twice before they were able to knock it down with a J-31. This plane was then set upon by a flight of F-35’s. Two of the stealthy Falcon Eagles were knocked down, but not before the Chinese had those PL-15’s in the air. Then three J-20’s came into the fight on another vector and things really began to heat up. The planes off Invincible had a very rough go in the second round, with the entire flight of three shot down in exchange for only one Chinese J-20.

Those off Illustrious carried on, firing four Meteors at a pair of J-31’s only to see them all evaded, the enemy planes turning and then firing an angry quiver of PL-15’s in reprisal. Both sides were stealthy, but the missiles were, in the end, better than the planes if a decent target lock could be resolved.

Captain Hargood was becoming concerned. He was now down to just six ready fighters, but gave orders to send up another flight of three. This time, they linked up with three planes off Illustrious, and the British tried a new tactic. The Chinese fighters were stealthy enough that the F-35’s had to go to active radar to engage and get locks, but that allowed other enemy planes, as yet unseen, to then rush in and counterattack. This time the British flights of three each detached a single fighter, which veered off and then went to active radar to find the enemy. Once acquired, this information was immediately shared with the remaining F-35’s, which could then stalk them with radars passive while still getting target locks from the scouting plane.

The result was three quick kills on a flight of J-20’s, evening the score for the lopsided duel fought ten minutes earlier. The tactic worked so well, that the British swept the board, getting those three J-20’s and another three J-31’s without losing a single plane. As the wind began to smear the missile trails, the fighters, low on darts, began to break off and return to their bases. Then, at 14:30, the battle suddenly took a different turn. The forward screen of six Vietnamese destroyers all began to fire….

* * *

The British radar screens suddenly displayed a wide front of contacts, like a great storm building beyond the horizon. That was quite literally true, for all six Vietnamese destroyers were equipped with the French SCALP attack cruise missile, a weapon that was, in fact, identical to the British Storm Shadow. In the heat of that moment, it was first assumed that this was a big cruise missile attack aimed at the ships, so the Captains ordered weapons free, and the British defensive SAM’s charged out to give battle.

As the storm front swept over the fleet, it was soon determined that they were not the targets. About 40 enemy missiles had been tracked, all on different attack vectors instead of the normal missile trains as they made their approach. This made the defense more difficult, because the SAM fire could not be concentrated at a single point. So Asters and Sea Darts were flying everywhere, and their contrails painted a wild pasta plate in the blue sky as the speedy SAM’s chased the stealthy cruise missiles across a front that was over 60 miles wide. In the end, only 18 SCALP’s got through, continuing their sedate course towards Singapore.

“Bloody Storm Shadows,” said Captain Hargood. “They’re going to try a repeat performance on Singapore, just like they did at Malta.”

“Ironic, sir, isn’t it? Here we are fighting off our own missiles.”

“Well, we can’t just sit here and let them fire at will. Let’s get after them. Order the fleet to engage with ordnance in range.”

“Aye sir.”

The alarms sounded, decks clearing for SSM fire, and soon the British were sending a mix of Harpoons, Naval Strike Missiles, and LRASM’s back at the enemy destroyers. As they began to fire, the SCALP attack had finally reached its target on Singapore, not the harbor, but the big airfield at Changi East. The eighteen missiles came in low, with penetrating BROACH warheads to get through hardened targets and smash runways and tarmacs. Several planes hosted in open parking were hit, most notably the two big Poseidon P-8 ASW patrol planes, which went up in spectacular explosions. An F-35, a Typhoon, and a Wildcat helo were also smashed, and the attack left fires all over the airfield, including the main control tower, which had taken a severe direct hit.

Yet the British counterstrike was out to even the score. Their SSM’s surged in, closing the 60 mile range to the nearest enemy ships in little time. The strike would result in two good hits, one missile plowing into the destroyer Mekong, which would sink that ship within minutes, and another striking DDG Hai Phong. The three ships in the second line of that formation, Saigon, Da Nang, and Hanoi, now fired off the last of their SSM’s, a salvo of 16 Exocets aimed at TF Illustrious. This attack was now supported by fire from the distant island of Riau, where the Chinese had deployed batteries of SSM with the YJ-12, a high speed demon that had been copied from a Soviet air launched cruise missile that had crashed in the first Sino-Siberian war. Then it was adapted for land and sea based usage.

Captain Snow on Illustrious had been overseeing the launch of another four F-35’s when the missile warning sounded. It was time for the Asters again, and they began to leap off the forward decks, engaging the incoming strike in a tense battle that rolled inside the five mile range mark before it was finally defeated. HMS Invincible, cruising about 15 miles to the southeast with her escorts, also joined in that action.

“Sir,” came the warning. “A second group of Exocets just broke the horizon. Invincible is already targeting.”

“Let’s get to it,” said Snow. He had been relying on the air defense destroyer Lookout, a Flight II Daring Class ship, but now learned they had just expended the last of their SAM ordnance repelling those Exocets. The defense was now going to be up to the Sea Ceptors on the frigates, which had a 15 mile range.

The Captain watched as five Asters came up from the southeast to get the first four missiles in that attack, not knowing that they were the last available to destroyer Loyal in the Invincible group. The long engagement against those 40 SCALP/Storm Shadows had been very costly in terms of the SAM count. As the last Exocet was blasted from the sky in a bright yellow ball of fire, the alarms wailed again. Another train of missiles had just broken the horizon, only these were coming much faster, at 1450 knots as opposed to the slow approach of the Exocets.

The YJ-12’s were burning their way in, right down on the water at 30 feet elevation. Targeting radars and computers on every ship grappled with them for a good firing solution, and then the Captain saw the Type 23 Class frigate Portland begin to fire its Sea Ceptors. There was no longer any fire coming from the southeast, and Snow instinctively realized they didn’t have the range—the Asters were all gone….

The new Type 23B Trinidad and the Type 26 Sheffield now joined the action, as the first of the enemy missiles penetrated inside the two mile mark. They got the first two, but the third missile broke through and came lancing into Illustrious, which was the primary target of this attack. There came a tremendous explosion, the ship shuddering with the terrible impact. Three fully fueled and armed F-35’s, a Merlin, and two Wildcats were on the flight deck, and the resulting shrapnel and shock tore at them, igniting a major fire on deck. One F-35 blew up, the fire engulfing the entire plane. A horrified flight service crewman on deck saw the pilot thrown from the wrecked fighter, his body devoured by flames. But the missile had come in so low that it tore into the ship’s guts, opening the hull to the sea, and severe flooding was underway at the same time.

In they came, nine more sea demons at breakneck speed. The Sea Ceptors and guns got three, and chaff spoofed a fourth, but the next missile struck Illustrious again, dooming the light carrier to a fiery death. Captain Snow was thrown to the deck with that second hit, which came in just below the island. Fire raged up, the bridge windows shattered, and heavy black smoke rolled in.

“All hands! Abandon ship!” came the call, and it was the last thing the Captain would say on this earth. He would die there on the bridge, in spite of a gallant effort by the crew to save him. Two more missiles swept through the heavy smoke, finding no target as Illustrious keeled over and began to sink. The last found destroyer Lookout, setting her torpedo mounts off in another big explosion, and then igniting the helicopter magazine aft. That ship would soon be dead in the water, and that would leave the three hapless frigates with the unenviable job of trying to recover the survivors.

Aboard HMS Invincible, Captain Hargood was peering through his field glasses when he saw the big explosion broil up on the horizon. Another followed soon after, and he knew that Captain Snow’s TF had taken heavy hits. There was silence on the bridge for some time, until a signalman turned to the Captain, his face grim.

“It’s Illustrious, sir. She’s going under, and Lookout right along with her….”

“Damn,” said Hargood.

There had been just over 1000 officers and crew on Illustrious, and another 200 on the Lookout. The frigates could not hope to even get as many as 100 out of the water, but close at hand, cruising about 35 miles to the southwest, TF Ocean was centered on that big amphibious assault ship, and with several more frigates.

The loss of Illustrious now placed the burden of the tactical command on Captain Hargood. Admiral Pearson, was aboard HMS Ocean, and given this setback, Hargood decided to request further orders. Speaking on the secure radio channel, the two men would soon discuss the gloomy situation they were now facing.

“Just got the signal,” said Pearson. “We’re losing Illustrious.”

“I’m afraid so, sir, and there may be hundreds of men in the water out there now. The frigates can’t handle that, and that group reports they have just 24 Sea Ceptors left between the three ships. Lookout is on fire, and out of the action. I’m afraid we’ll lose her as well, sir.”

“Damn bloody business,” said Pearson. “And the enemy?”

“Well sir, we were just engaging their forward screen, a group of six destroyers. We put one under, damaged a second, and the whole lot has turned to break off to the north, but we have contacts on five more enemy surface groups out there. This thing is just getting started, and We haven’t a single Aster left on Loyal. It’s all on the frigates now.”

The Admiral knew his fleet was in a bad situation. “Captain, I think it best if we withdraw towards Singapore. The RSN has sortied from Tuas Naval Base with the bulk of their fleet. So your orders are to fall back on home port, and try to keep out of range. The Chinese are getting close, about 100 miles out, and we believe they have most of their missile strength limited to that range at the moment, except for the two Type 055’s. You’ll come under further attack, but we need to open the range.”

“What about those men in the water out there, sir?”

“We’re sending every helicopter we have. Get the frigates out of there. Understand? Turn Invincible immediately.”

“Aye sir.”

Captain Hargood gave those orders, and the ships began to turn, but the Admiral’s prediction had been accurate. Off to the northeast, safe from all harm at a range of 215 miles, the South Seas detachment was being led by the Type 052D class destroyer Changsha, and it was carrying the deadly YJ-18, with the range to strike. Eight of sixteen missiles were fired at Invincible as the British ships turned, and the first group of four came in so fast at 1900 knots that the British Sea Ceptors could simply not engage. That spelled the end for Type 26 Class frigate Newcastle, struck amidships with a fatal blow by the first group of four enemy Sizzlers.

As there were no Asters remaining on Loyal, the frigates were simply targets, having only their close in guns for any defense. Destroyer Liverpool was the only ship that could engage, being an older Type 42 class with the Sea Dart. As the second group of four Sizzlers came in, it began to fire, catching one of the speedy Vampires and splashing it into the sea. A second was spoofed by a bloom of chaff from Loyal, and the last two were taken down at very close range by the weight of all the Gatling guns.

The Royal Navy had yet to really come to grips with the weight of the Chinese Fleet, but by 16:00, the retreat to Singapore was on.

* * *

Aboard the carrier Zhendong, Admiral Wu Jinlong was wrapped in stoic calm. His mind was on other things—he had sunk an aircraft carrier! In truth, none of his ships accomplished that feat, the killing missiles had come from the land-based TEL on Riau Island, firing YJ-12’s, but he was overall theater Commander, and he would be more than happy to take credit for the kill.

The Vietnamese destroyers fought well, he thought. They saw half their flotilla sunk or damaged, but there presence in the vanguard was decisive. The British wasted so many missiles trying to knock down the land attack cruise missiles, that I now believe they are easy prey for my cruise missiles. They know this as well, which is why they now withdraw so we cannot close the range and overwhelm them. At present, only a few of my ships have the range to engage them now. As per earlier reports from the action in the Med, our YJ-18 is proving to be our most effective missile. The enemy close range defense missiles are unable to stop it, and I now have 40 of those demons available, all within striking range.

It is time to turn this early advantage we have obtained into a crushing defeat for the enemy. I will order my destroyers to fire, but first we must refresh the locations of the enemy ships. That is work for Zhendong….

Chapter 6

DDG Changshan still had eight more YJ-18’s, cruising far to the east off the jutting cape of Borneo as it reached out towards the Riau Islands. That ship would target the last enemy carrier and its escorts, selecting two ships in that group. Further north, in the support group behind Zhendong, the Type 052D destroyer Hefei had 16 Sizzlers in its VLS cells, and was ordered to target the three British frigates that were now withdrawing from the wreck of Illustrious at high speed.

Let us see if we can draw blood with those claws, thought Admiral Wu Jinlong. I will launch four J-31’s to find and paint the targets. Then we will see what our missiles do before I make a decision on whether or not to fire a second salvo.

The attack on the frigates would see the first four missiles find and kill Sheffield, even after three of the four Vampires were defeated by chaff and guns. Two more groups came on in a tight formation of four missiles each. About 25 miles out, they went into their high speed terminal run, accelerating rapidly to 1900 knots. Within minutes, they would find and kill both Portland and Trinidad, nothing more than helpless targets at sea against the Sizzlers, with no missile that could catch the Vampires. All three ships would sink within minutes, putting over 500 more men and women in the sea, and not long after, DDG Lookout, which had been foundering, would take yet another hit by a YJ-83, and sink for good. Illustrious and all her escorts were gone….

Advantage has been forged into victory, thought Admiral Wu. The enemy setback has now become defeat, and if I press them, I can make this even worse—a disaster at sea that will make headlines all across the globe. So now I will show the world how a Chinese carrier can fight.

* * *

If it had not been for the last Sampson Radar on HMS Loyal, the stealthy J-31’s might not have been seen until it was too late. But the superb radar system saw what was coming, and 70 miles out. The Chinese had launched a formation of nine fighters, and they were coming right for HMS Invincible.

“A big fighter sweep,” said Commander Russell.

“Perhaps,” said Captain Hargood. “They don’t want out F-35s out there to pick off their cruise missiles. Just the same…. I’ve got a tickle in me tooth about this one. It could be a strike mission with them all lumped together like that. Probably why we picked them up so far out. Launch the ready CAP, and tell them to engage those planes at once!”

The Captain’s tooth had not failed him. The contact bogies were a squadron of nine J-31’s, each carrying a pair of YJ-91 anti-radiation missiles with a long 70 mile range. They would not have to go far before they fired them, and it was just happenstance that they were spotted just as they began to reach their release point.

Three British F-35’s had roared off the deck, climbing on afterburners to get into the fight. They were able to get target locks on the J-31’s, and loosed their Meteor missiles at long range, but the Chinese planes were just too slippery, the target locks too imprecise. Not one hit was scored. Throughout the battle, the British pilots had complained that their Meteors were not tracking true against the J-31’s. They handled the bigger J-20 easily enough, getting many kills on that plane, but the small, agile J-31 had evaded 80% of the missiles fired, a very good defensive performance, which made the plane quite deadly when it countered with its PL-15’s.

The F-35’s had failed, and now the Chinese fighters were taking aim at HMS Invincible. Loyal was empty, but Type 42 class destroyer Liverpool and Type 23 class frigate Marlborough were still in escort. Sixty miles out, the fighters released their ordnance, well beyond the range of the Sea Darts and Sea Ceptors, and then turned for home. Seconds later, 18 enemy missiles were in the air, boring in on the British task force.

“Damn,” said Hargood. “Without a Daring class destroyer at the ready, we’re sitting ducks out here.”

“We’ll just have to get those Vampires when they get closer sir,” said Russell, but that would not be as easy as it sounded. Sea Dart was slow, an older system that had too much lag time as it reloaded missiles onto the firing rails from its magazine after each shot.

At 18:36, with darkness settling over the sea, Invincible took its first hit, the 90Kg warhead destroying an F-35 parked on the flight deck. The resulting explosion took out a Phalanx gun and another 20mm Oerlikon, the shrapnel flaying sensors all over the islands. Systems were down everywhere, though the ship was in no danger of sinking, with no flooding. It was as if a hail of steel marbles had been thrown at the carrier, and for all intents and purposes, HMS Invincible was out of action. She had no ready planes, and was now nothing more than an inviting target.

Captain Hargood looked over his shoulder and also saw the DDG Loyal had been struck, and soon got the report that they had minor flooding.

“Mister Russell,” he said grimly. “We’re in rather desperate need of some air cover at the moment, and for a carrier, that’s rather embarrassing. See what you can do about it.”

“Right sir, but we’ve got help on the sea, sir. Republic of Singapore frigates are out in force—group of six will be breaking our horizon in a few minutes.”

“Ah, friends in need,” said Hargood. “Layfayette Class?”

“Yes sir, and data log shows they’ll be bringing 48 Harpoons and better yet, 192 Aster 15’s.”

“God knows we can use the Sea Vipers. Good show. Let’s see if we can get Invincible back to port safely. Signal Loyal that we need to press on, but help is on the way.”

“Sir… What will become of the tankers?”

Commander Russel was speaking of the huge herd of commercial shipping that was hove to just off the southern coast of Singapore. Ships had taken refuge at any friendly port. And at that moment there were just over 210 tankers and another 40 odd commercial carriers riding at anchor offshore, and another 50 already hugging every available berthing spot at Singapore. Further up the strait to the northwest, there were another 100 commercial ships in and around the smaller port of Klang, and at least100 more navigating the strait between that point and Banda Aceh. That was a massive maritime prize, with billions in valuable oil and cargo, and it was now all within a hundred miles of the Chinese South Seas Fleet.

19:35 Local, 18 NOV 2025

Admiral Wu Jinlong was quite pleased. He knew his immediate superior, Admiral Zheng Bao, would be very pleased with the onset of this campaign, but he was far from finished here. The enemy had been engaged and driven back, but he knew the British would consolidate at Singapore, and gain support from the small but capable navy of that country. There was still much to be done.

His J-31’s had done well, sinking their talons into the last enemy carrier, and crippling another British destroyer. So he sent an order to the frigate Yunchen to put two more missiles on it. A pair of YJ-83’s went out, the Eagle Strike 83 according to the Chinese, a missile mounted on many frigates classes. It’s range was limited to about 100 miles, and its warhead was relatively small at 190Kgs, which explained why Loyal was able to take both those punches in the gut and still stay on its feet.

It was a brave stand. The British destroyer had no SAMs left, and now fired off its last four SSM’s, like a boxer flailing in the late rounds, battered and bruised. The ship was all but wrecked above the water line, though the Mk141 missile bays had not been damaged. It had major flooding and the Captain was already ordering personnel into boats and rafts, but Loyal to the last, the destroyer was still fighting. The missiles would catch her pursuers by surprise.

The Type 056 corvette Suqian had been up front in a group of three ships, but reported having problems with their radar. As it happened, just as the attack came in, there was a power outage on the frigate. The lights winked, went out. Red emergency lights appeared, then the main power sputtered back on again, but the radars had lost sight of anything they had been tracking.

The ship that had started the fight, Yuncheng, was 14 miles behind Suqian, and it fired four HQ-16 SAM’s, but they would get to the scene too late. Suqian was struck and killed, with multiple hits, and would sink a little after 20:00. Angered when they saw their comrades burning, the third ship in the group, corvette Guangyuan, fired two more Eagle Strike missiles, intending to finish the British destroyer off once and for all. At 20:10, just as the main body of the Singapore Naval contingent enroute to Loyal came in sight, the crews saw the horizon light up with fire, and they knew they were too late.

The Royal Navy beaten and driven to the corner, it was now the Republic of Singapore Navy, or the RSN, that was standing to and forming a rearguard. A flight of six F-15’s were flying CAP, and the heart of the fleet, those six frigates, was still advancing to aid the sinking British destroyer. Yet their role now was strictly defensive, because the only harm they could put on the enemy would have to come from the Harpoon missiles they were carrying—and they were still out of range.

While all the frigates were relatively new, commissioned between 2007 and 2009, they had not been given a modern offensive weapon. In truth, it was never thought that they would attempt to fight a major adversary like China, and for any scrap that might occur in the constricted waters around Singapore, the Harpoon would certainly do the job—but not here, not now.

Admiral Wu Jinlong was still in hot pursuit, his ships like a pack of marauding hyenas out after the wounded beasts ahead. Now he ordered the Type 052 destroyer Hefei to use four of its YJ-18 Sizzlers to see if they could reach and hurt the retreating British carrier. These fired at 20:40, making their way on a path north of the target at 530 knots, but programmed to swing south and accelerate to 1900 knots when they got close. Invincible was alone, following her escorts destroyer Liverpool and frigate Marborough, which were eight miles ahead. But Captain Hargood knew he had six RSN Frigates carrying 192 Aster-15’s behind him, and was not concerned.

His problem now was the fact that the Chinese had seen the frigates, and plotted an attack path that would take those four missiles well to the north, and out of any harm’s way. That might have spelled the end for Invincible, but it was the presence of those F-15 Eagles that would make all the difference. They had sparred earlier with a pair of Chinese J-31’s, losing two of the six planes and seeing the enemy slip away for its home deck with impunity. But this time the remaining four planes were ready when those Sizzlers made their approach. They saw them on radar, and swooped down like the great birds of prey they were, putting their AIM-120’s into the air. This missiles were so good, that they found and killed all four Sizzlers before they began their high speed terminal run. Invincible would live out that hour, and might just survive the long day.

At 22:00 the three British ships would enter the eastern mouth of the Strait of Malacca, a chastened and dispirited lot. As they turned for the harbor at Changi, their thoughts were heavy with the loss of so many ships and crewmen. Illustrious, Lookout and Loyal were gone, along with frigates Sheffield, Newcastle, Portland and Trinidad. The Royal Navy had not suffered such a loss since the Battle for the Falkland Islands, where six ships went down in that campaign, including one HMS Sheffield, which was a Type 42 Class Destroyer at the time.

Only the support group with Admiral Pearson on HMS Ocean had been unscathed. It still had three frigates in attendance, (Battleaxe, Singapore, and Malaya ), making a total of six surface warships remaining in the British Far East Fleet. While disaster had been averted, it was still a stinging defeat, and the Chinese South Seas Fleet was still advancing.

* * *

So the enemy army is fleeing for the refuge of their castle walls, thought Wu Jinlong. Unfortunately, I have only 36 missiles remaining on my destroyers with the range to strike them now. All my remaining SSM’s are with the frigates, the YJ-83’s, with a more limited range. Yet they are getting close. Soon I will be able to make a combined strike. Singapore’s navy has also sortied, but they pose little offensive threat. On defense, however, those frigates will be able to throw up a wall of SAM fire that could seriously degrade my attack. I have a total of 68 YJ-83’s, and with those 36 longer range missiles, my offensive strength now sits at 104 SSM’s, and anything more I can send with my J-31’s.

But the River God is coming… Yes, the River God, another of our fine Type 055 destroyers, and that TF will bring 64 more missiles to this argument. It was stationed in the Bay of Bengal, and given my success here, the General Staff decided to move it into the Strait of Malacca from the west to support my battle. That force raises my offensive strength to 168, and I think that will be enough to prevail and complete this victory. By midnight, we should be in position to attack, but I must wait until all my ships are in range.

That time was very near, and by 01:00 on the 19th of November, orders were given for all ships in range to strike their assigned targets. The two sides had exchanged inconsequential air strike in the last minutes of the 18th, with neither side able to get good target locks with the anti-radiation missiles they had been carrying. Ships running in EMCON mode offered nothing for the missiles to find and home in on, and so the Admiral was convinced he had to use his cruise missiles to achieve the decisive result he was hoping for.

By this time, Captain Hargood and his escorts had reached the port at Changi Harbor. The Singapore Strait itself was now being defended by the escorts from Admiral Pearson’s TF Ocean, when that ship and other fleet support vessels also took refuge in Changi Harbor. This left the British frigates Battleaxe, Malaya, and Singapore to join with the RSN frigates, four still in action, and two withdrawing due to damage suffered in the air exchanges earlier.

The opening salvo of 40 missiles was soon clouding up the sea as the missiles fired, tipped over, and turned on their assigned headings. They would all take varied routes, but inevitably converge on the mouth of the strait, where the frigates stood in lines like soldiers on a battlefield, ready to volley fire with SAM’s. The RSN ships all had the Aster 15, and it would get many kills as the attack began, the missiles screaming in, SAM’s leaping off the decks of the frigates to chase them down. Of the 40 Zulus that came charging in, all but four would die, and those fearless survivors, all the speedy YJ-18’s off the Chinese destroyers, would press through that thick defensive fire and score hits.

Frigates Singapore, Tenacious, and Formidable would be skewered by those missiles and die, and another RSN ship, the Intrepid was damaged and dead in the water. A Harpoon counterstrike was aimed at the Chinese TF Subi, and it was able to even the odds a bit, hitting and sinking corvette Hanzhong, and more importantly, the 052D class DDG Yinchuan was also damaged so badly that it would sink within the hour.

The missiles on both sides, of every kind, were slowly running out. This was what made the kill count rise so dramatically in those hours around midnight. Ships without SAM’s in the VLS bays were defenseless, and with each salvo fired by either side, the offensive power diminished. The battle was simply burning itself out.

What had happened here? In the twelve hour duel, the Chinese had sunk or damaged 60% of the British Far East Fleet, and put the RAF airbase at Changi out of commission. But what were the Chinese really trying to do? It was inconceivable that they would want to see the Strait of Malacca closed, and equally dubious to think they could ever control it. They certainly could not land forces on Singapore Island itself, which had three full divisions mustered and ready for battle. Somehow, in some equation being drawn out at the Naval General Staff HQ, the purpose of the battle was only to do what it actually accomplished—to so attrite the Royal Navy forces here that they could not offer meaningful resistance against any future Chinese operation on this scale. That was coming.

Perseverance, thought Wu Jinlong. Water always prevails over stone, as long as it perseveres….

Part III

Livewire

“Music resembles poetry, in each

Are nameless graces which no methods teach,

And which a master hand alone can reach.”

― Alexander Pope

Chapter 7

Lessons learned…. That was the heart of post-combat briefing in HQ’s the world over as the news rolled in concerning the dramatic and costly battle fought off Singapore. At Whale Island, Sir Frederick Graham Cooper, 1st Sea Lord of the Royal Navy, was looking at the reports from Singapore with some trepidation. He had taken over from Admiral Anthony Radakin two years ago, and was now the man in the chair, as it were, for this sudden and violent outbreak of war.

In truth, every Admiral wonders if they will ever serve in time of real war, or hold the tiller as the navy steered its way through genuine crisis. It had been a long, sleepy time for the Royal Navy since WWII, with only that scrap in the Falklands to rattle the teacups in the Naval Staff HQ. This was something quite more.

“Pearson damn near got handed his hat,” said Cooper, a tall man, strait and strong for his years as he entered his early 50’s. He looked at his 2nd Sea Lord, Admiral George Oliver, and his concern was evident.

“Heavy losses all around,” said Oliver. “He had just one Type 45 destroyer with each carrier, but it wasn’t enough, because the frigates simply couldn’t offer adequate support.”

“Why?” asked Admiral Cooper.

“The Type 23 is getting a bit long in the tooth, sir, as you well know. But it was more than that. The Sea Ceptor was faced with a missile it simply couldn’t catch, the Chinese YJ-18. It’s the best they have, with good range, stealth, and hitting power, but the real trick is the terminal attack run, with maneuvers—at 1900 knots. Sea Ceptor can only handle targets moving a little over 1300 knots, so it can’t even engage this Chinese missile, which befuddles the gun systems as well when it comes in at that speed. Our frigates do quite well against subsonic cruise missiles, but this is something altogether different.”

“Well, we’ve also put the Ceptors on the newer Type 26. What in blazes are we going to do about this? We can’t very well rip those missiles out of all those VLS bays, can we?”

“It’s something we’ll have to think about. Our Type 31 does just a little better with the American ESSM. We may have to make a crash effort to use that system.”

“Could it be done?”

“Chili did it with the three older Type 23’s we sold them. The Yanks shipped them everything they needed, including the Mark 41 VLS bays and ESSM fire controller.”

“The missile won’t fit into the CAMMs bay?”

“Sea Ceptor is 3.2 meters long and weighs 99 kilograms. The ESSM is 3.6 meters long and weighs 280 Kilograms.”

“Three times the weight?” Admiral Cooper inclined his head. “Would that be a problem?”

“It wasn’t one for Chile. Sir, we’ve got four Type 23’s in home waters, and we might start with them if we can get the necessary missiles and equipment from the United States.”

“Very well…. Look into it. But this won’t do us much good now in the Indian Ocean. What’s the latest from Singapore?”

“There was another big attack on the RSN frigates standing the watch now, mostly with the older Chinese YJ-83 cruise missiles. It was quite intense, but it was defeated without further losses. Those ships have the Aster 15.”

“Indeed. Is that a consideration for our frigates?”

“Possibly, but we would have the same size and weight problem. Aster 15 is 310 Kilograms, and it needs a full cell for every missile. If we go with the American system, we can quad pack four ESSM’s into one cell.”

“And it can stop these YJ-18’s?”

“Yes sir. It has the necessary speed, and with a bigger warhead. The missile can even be used effectively against patrol craft and other small boats, and the ESSM has twice the range of our new Sea Ceptors.”

Admiral Cooper nodded. “A pity that nobody thinks these things through before we get into a situation like this. I suppose this is as much my fault as that of anyone else. At the moment, with the ships already deployed, we must play the hand we have dealt, but surely exercise more caution, and see that the frigates are defended.”

“They’re still capable, sir,” said Admiral Oliver. “It’s only been this one enemy missile that they’ve been unable to track and kill. I would suggest we use them in tight around our carriers, and for ASW purposes, but by no means should they ever be picketed forward of the main body. If a forward screen is posted, that job will have to go to the destroyers.”

“See that Admiral Wells is notified of this, Mister Oliver. He’s about to lock horns with the Chinese off Madagascar, is he not?”

“Yes sir. It seems that has just about come to the boil. I’ll get a message off immediately.”

* * *

“Interesting,” said Vice Admiral James Wells. “This is a rather pointed warning from Whale Island.”

“Yes sir, and I’ll vouch for it. Sea Ceptor is a fine weapon system, but it has one blind spot—missiles at high supersonic speeds.” Commodore John Charles “Jack” Westfield, Commander of TF Vengeance, had joined Captain Grant off the Victorious for a meeting of the senior officers.

“For that we need the Aster system,” said Westfield, “or the American ESSM installed on our new Type 31’s.”

“There’s talk of trying to retrofit that missile on our other frigates.”

“That won’t happen soon,” said Grant. “I can say the same about the Sea Ceptor. Frankly, without the Type 45 destroyers, we would be in trouble here if they have a good number of destroyers out there with the YJ-18.”

“Very well, then we’ll abide by this cruising order. The frigates form the inner screen, destroyers out on point. We’ll just have to fill the hole in our overall defensive scheme with the F-35’s. Those will be our forward pickets, not ships.”

“Good enough,” said Westfield. “Admiral, what’s the plan?”

Wells walked them over to the lighted map table, pointing at the northern tip of Madagascar. “We thought they were going to mass here, north of the island,” he said. “But in the last 24 hours they’ve fallen back off the coast of Tanzania and Kenya.”

“Air cover,” said Captain Grant. “If they stay off Madagascar, then they have just this one small airfield at Toamasina, and this one here at Andrakaka on Madagascar. They may joust with us from those fields, but if I were the Chinese, I’d want to be off the East African coast, closer to the bigger bases there.”

“Right,” said Wells. “They’ll have four fields there, Dar es Salam and Zanzibar in Tanzania, and Mombasa and Lamu in Kenya. Most of their air strength will be at Dar es Salam and Mombasa. Intelligence estimates they have no more than 20 aircraft on Madagascar, but perhaps twice that in East Africa below the Horn. Yet it’s the naval threat that we’ll have to deal with. They haven’t shown any real ability to use their air force to interdict sea traffic. Their destroyers and frigates are another matter. We’ll be opposed by at least twenty ships, and an unknown number of submarines.”

“A fleet the size of the one they pressed on Singapore,” said Captain Grant.

“Yes, but with many more destroyers here. At Singapore, the Chinese used their carrier Zhendong to good effect, and reports indicate our F-35’s were matched by the Chinese J-31. I doubt if we’ll see that plane here, but they will have the J-20, so the pilots will have to be sharp. Here, they’ll be relying on their destroyers, and land based air assets. Hence this withdrawal towards East Africa. From a position there, they can still get support from their bases in northern Madagascar.”

“Just how many enemy destroyers will we be looking at, sir?”

“Fourteen, which means they outnumber us two to one in that category. The advantage we have, of course, is three carriers, and that means we’ll have to use them as strike assets, not simply for air superiority. I’ll want flights armed with both SPEAR and Storm Shadow, and at the ready.”

“Will we retain our present TF assignments, sir?” asked Grant.

“Correct,” said Wells. “I considered grouping all three carriers in one TF, but once identified, it would become the primary target, so we’ll continue to operate in separate formations as presently established. Now then, gentlemen, they’ve had a good long while to get sorted out, so this is likely to heat up soon once we come into range. We will be facing an Admiral Sun Wei, coming up through the ranks in their South Seas Command. Unfortunately, not much is known about the man, though he was a strong proponent of Chinese expansion into the Indian Ocean. Now he sleeps in the bed they made.”

“Time we woke them up, sir,” said Captain Grant, always ready for a scrap at sea.

“Indeed, but let’s us be careful what we wish for here. Five years ago one might come across the occasional article in defense related sites concerning China’s slow and quiet entry into the Indian Ocean. It started with Djibouti, then Hambantoa on Sri Lanka, and look at them now. They’re even roosting out in the Seychelles at Victoria Harbor! Now we see what it was all bending towards. Here we are, with half the Royal Navy, and we’ll have to fight our way forward from this point on. Our mission is a simple one, sea control. Without it, the Yanks can’t reinforce Saudi Arabia as planned, and that situation could erupt at any time. We’ll begin by putting our land attack ordnance on the Madagascar bases to clear our left and rear as we advance. May God be with us, gentlemen, and remember, destroyers forward—frigates in the second rank.”

11:50 Local, 19 NOV 2025

Several Daring Class destroyers had been upgraded with a 32 cell Mk41 VLS section so they could carry the US made Tomahawk—a contingency made necessary by the retirement of the Harpoon. The British had considered going with the Norwegian Naval Strike Missile, which was on the Type 31 frigates, but decided to follow the American model and add Tomahawk to the bigger destroyers. Just before noon, the first TACTOM’s fired by the British began their attack run on Toamasina harbor, but results were not encouraging. It was discovered that the base was defended by batteries of HQ-9A SAM’s, and only one significant hit was scored, destroying the COMINT compound on the base. A radar station was also taken out further up the coast, but the attack was deemed marginal at best, and did not diminish the Chinese ability to use that base in the future.

As the British fleet advanced, it had been the Chinese strategy to withdraw before them, shifting air assets and any ships or boats out of harm’s way. They then left their ground garrisons in place, and their SAM batteries, and while the British had three troop carriers in the fleet, there were no immediate plans to land anything on Madagascar. Royal Marines would be tasked with landing at Victoria in the Seychelles later, seizing and securing that mid-ocean base. Trying to run the Chinese out of Madagascar, an island over 800 nautical miles long, was out of the question. As the fleet was well north of Toamasina now, the decision was made to cancel a follow up strike there, and shift assets to Andrakaka, on the northern tip of the island.

The British would throw a jab first, testing the enemy guard. They send six TACTOM’s, one after a radar station, and five aimed at the harbor to see if it was also defended by SAM batteries. This fire mission went off at 12:15 Local time, and as it turned out, the Chinese had left air assets at that base. A single J-20 was up on a recon mission, and spotted the first Tomahawk around 12:36 in the afternoon. That plane alone was enough to begin breaking up this small attack, sniping at the Tomahawks with its PL-15’s and killing two of the six missiles. The HQ-9A batteries, suspected but as yet unseen, would deal with the rest. Admiral Wells was given the report that the fire mission had gone bust, and in his mind he came to an unwelcome conclusion.

Half the bloody navy is here under my command, and I can’t take down a radar site and SAM battery. Oh, we could get serious and go in heavier, but at what cost? It would expend the last of my TACTOM’s, so perhaps I’ll use my F-35’s to try and suppress these targets. It would give the men some good experience.

It was a pointed reminder on the limits of his power, and the need for discretion in the hours ahead. These fire missions left him with 60 TACTOM’s, which he decided to hold in reserve. Admiral Wells did not know the actual missile count available to the enemy, or what ordnance the enemy ships were carrying, but the two fleets were very evenly matched, at least in overall numbers.

The British had the edge, with 232 ship killers and 60 more TACTOMS. The Chinese had 258 Ship killers, but their advantage lay in the weapons themselves. Due to the preponderance of destroyers, there were 166 of the lethal YJ-18’s with a 290 mile range, and 32 YJ-100’s with a 430 mile range. They also had a few YJ-12’s and YJ-62’s all over 200 miles in range.

That gave the Chinese 220 missiles they could throw at the British at a range of 200 miles or more. On the British side, they could only answer with 64 Multi-Mission Tomahawks and 48 LRASM’s, mostly on the Argos Fire. So for any battle fought out at the 200 mile marker, the Chinese could throw twice as many punches. The remainder of the British SSMs were all limited to about 100 miles in range.

In effect, the Chinese ships simply outgunned the Royal Navy in any ranged fight, but this is where the three carriers could act to redress that imbalance. The F-35’s could fly out 450 miles and then deliver the British SPEAR’s, a light attack weapon that could travel another 80 miles to the target. Yet to do that, they would first have to operate in the fighter role to win air superiority.

* * *

Admiral Sun Wei was a party man, staying as close to the red line as possible when it came to attitudes, beliefs, and public comments. A man of 50 years, he had witnessed the whole of China’s dramatic rise to world superpower status, most of that accomplished in the last 25 years. China did not really want to harm others, he said, but if its interests and security needs were challenged, it would fight to the last breath if necessary. It was his mantra that as long as the people of China believed the same thing, then nothing would stop China’s eventual domination of the globe in this century.

The time of America’s hegemony in world affairs is coming to a close, he said. They are turning inward, with fewer and fewer allies on the world stage, and wherever they take a backward step, we will step forward in their place. So yes, I argued mightily that China needed to be able to project power through the Malacca Strait and into the Indian Ocean.

Our workarounds where the Malacca Dilemma was concerned have helped the situation, but they could never cure it. We send ships carrying 6.2 million barrels of oil through that strait every day. The pipelines through Pakistan, and the new oil line through Burma can only make up for a third of that total. So if we must be in a position to secure and defend the Strait of Malacca from interdiction by a hostile power, then we had to have strength on either side—in the South China Sea, and also in the Bay of Bengal and Indian Ocean.

Admiral Wu Jinlong has just delivered a heavy blow in the action off Singapore. Now I must do my part, and stop the Royal Navy from bulling their way forward here. We could not contest the waters off West Africa, but those off East Africa are well in hand. I labored ten years to see those bases built in Kenya and Tanzania, and we must hold them, as we still hold Madagascar, in spite of our strategic withdrawal from those bases.

It was necessary to consolidate our strength, and now we will fight the first of two great battles we must win here in the Indian Ocean. First we must stop the British, and crush the Royal Navy, then we must turn and face our old nemesis from the Pacific—the United States. Time is of the essence. The Americans have already put out from Port Darwin, and we must engage and defeat the British before they can advance to their outpost at Diego Garcia.

Tomorrow we begin….

Chapter 8

“Anything new to report?” asked Commander Dean.

“Not a word,” said Mack Morgan. “Authorities are all over the scene, but find absolutely nothing. They’ve gone to every settlement within 100 miles and questioned all the locals, but no one has seen hide nor hair of our people.”

“This is completely befuddling,” said Dean. “It’s as if the earth just opened up and swallowed them.”

“It’s more than befuddling,” said Morgan. “I’ve pretty much ruled out kidnapping. There is no sign of foul play, and the isolated nature of the terrain out there supports that. Besides, how would anyone get the better of MacRae and four Argonauts? They’d need a small army! Ground search has turned up nothing, no tracks at all in the area they were having that lunch. So I’m beginning to think they may have moved in other ways.”

“Other ways?”

“Aye. You do recall we visited Malta in the 1800’s, and that after leaving Gibraltar in the 1940’s. We’ve come to accept these impossible things as commonplace, and this may be what we’re looking at here.” Morgan folded his arms.

“A time shift?” said Dean. “But how?”

“The proverbial good question. Their disappearance was too stark and sudden, and without any possible explanation other than time shift. I’m thinking there’s no trace of them out there, because they aren’t in this time any longer. Aye, there was no detonation, thank god. This world hasn’t started throwing nukes about. But Elena told us these time rifts we’ve discovered are physical, and this may be a case of that. They may have just stumbled on a rift no one knew about.”

“Good lord,” said Dean. “Well, how would they get back?”

“Another good question. This is all speculation. We don’t really know what happened yet, but it doesn’t seem that we can do anything more about it. We’ll just have to wait. In the event they did shift in time, and to the past, I’ve put a man on the history.”

“I don’t understand,” said Dean.

“Well, it isn’t easy to muck about in the past without leaving some trace. And if I know the Captain and Miss Fairchild, they would find a way to signal us as to their whereabouts.”

“Signal us? You’re speaking as if they could just get on the radio and phone home.”

“No, Mister Dean, but they could use more pedestrian means—simply writing a letter and getting it to a place that would likely be preserved. If they did such a thing, then the letter would just suddenly appear in the historical records. At least this is the way I understand this business. It’s pretty arcane, I’ll admit it. For the moment, we’ll have enough to worry about as things stand. The Chinese Navy has 20 ships out here, and they’re heading our way.”

* * *

The distances involved in this region made for a slow approach as the two sides closed on one another. By 17:00 on the 19th of November, 650 nautical miles still separated them, and both sides were simply conducting recon operations. A second strike against Andrakaka was much more successful. Flown by six F-35’s off HMS Vengeance, the planes carried the Storm Shadow this time out, and it was much stealthier than the ship launched Tomahawks. Hits were scored on the north cape radar, the SAM battery and at the airfield, where six J-10’s and another four J-20’s were destroyed on the ground.

Seeing it was a use them or lose them proposition, the remaining planes at the airfield were ordered up. There were only three planes still operational, one being a J-20, but the smoke and fire on the airfield was going to delay this launch for some time. In effect, the surprise attack by those unseen F-35’s, and an equally stealthy weapon, had all but neutralized Andrakaka as a functioning air base.

“That’s more like it,” said Wells. “This may just set the template if we get a shot at their East African fields. At least one of our missiles is living up to the advertising. Mister Hurley, the Type 42’s should be getting thirsty by now. See that they undertake replenishment. I’ll want them full and fit when it comes time for a fight.”

“Right away, sir.”

Older ships, those destroyers actually had shorter legs than any of the frigates, which was why the fleet had a pair of fast oilers assigned, one with Vengeance and one with Victorious, each being escorted by a pair of Type 42’s.

“The next problem is that we’ve lost our contacts on the Chinese fleet. Let’s send out a reconnaissance. Let Victorious handle it. The last we heard, the Chinese were operating 300 miles off the coast. “

At 22:00, the first report from that mission came in.

“Sir,” said Hurley, the Admiral’s adjutant. “Skybolt reconnaissance has reacquired the enemy. We have four discrete surface groups, presently about 480 miles from Victorious.”

“So their longer range missiles will be able to reach us by midnight,” said Wells. “But weren’t there at least five separate groups this morning from the satellite report?”

“Yes, but they may have consolidated, sir.”

“Just the same, have that recon linger a bit. I’d rather be certain. Redesignate that plane Livewire, and have it act as an air controller for the other fighters.”

It would not be long before Livewire found group five. The Chinese Fleet was still advancing, in a long series of TF’s, line abreast, over 100 miles wide. It was a seaborne storm of steel, and still headed directly for the British carriers.

Wells considered the situation, taking note of the fact that his recon plane had not been spotted. He was considering an air strike, but he could also elect to use his Multi-Mission Tomahawks, a most welcome gift from the Americans on the Daring Class upgrades.

We might as well simply buy their ships, he thought. Here we are needing their ESSM instead of our Sea Ceptor, and if not for these Tomahawks, I would either have to turn and close the range dramatically, or stand off and be limited to air operations only. For now, with the range this open, let’s see what our F-35’s can do.

Wells was a carrier man, and wanted to spread his wings. He ordered up six F-35’s off each of the three carriers, all laden with the SPEAR, and sent them east. Livewire would picket on active radar, with all the other strike groups coming in EMCON. The strike would be directed at the southern end of the Chinese TF line.

The Chinese had one KJ-200 AEW plane up over the center of their line, but it saw nothing as the F-35’s began to approach release range. Aside from that, at 01:30 in the morning on the 20th of November, there were apparently no other enemy contacts airborne, though that was not ruled out.

“Livewire, this is Whalerider, we are in position. Over.”

“Roger Whalerider. You are cleared hot. Sharktail, Skybolt, Cleared hot when ready.”

“Livewire, Sharktail. In position and going hot.”

The Chinese ships saw nothing, until the planes had flung their SPEAR’s and turned for home. About 30 miles out, they finally picked up the incoming Vampires, and the entire southern end of their TF line lit up with active radars. The British had achieved complete tactical surprise. Yet when the SPEAR’s closed inside 20 miles, long streams of defending SAMs began to lance out at the incoming Vampires, and the battle had finally been joined.

While the British SPEAR was not a real ship killer, its small 8Kg warhead could still do damage if it hit radars, gun mounts, and other sensors on a ship. The defense against those thrown by Whalerider and Sharktail was too good, with only two missiles getting close to their targets, only to be gunned down by Gatling guns. Skybolt had better luck. It had attacked the southernmost TF, unseen until the planes got into position, and was able to get a single hit on the frigate Jinhua, which took out a twin 37mm gun, and destroyed an I.R. range finding camera. Corvette Bengbu was struck twice, with damage to sensors and one of the gun magazines. Neither ship had fires or flooding, and they were in no danger of sinking, but the British had drawn first blood, even if it was only a scratch or two,

The real lesson Admiral Wells took from the strike was that his planes were indeed stealthy enough to get in close and deliver their missiles from their 80 mile range. If only I had a decent air launched cruise missile worth the name, he thought. What will we have to do, go begging to the Americans again for ordnance that can put real harm on the enemy? We built these damn carriers at great expense. What in the world did we think we would do with them? We have no real teeth.

Yet as he thought the situation over, he realized the strike had accomplished one more thing. It had put 136 missiles into the air, and if they were defeated, he had just pulled 136 SAM’s, or more, from beneath the enemy decks. He didn’t hurt them as he had hoped, but he had weakened their defensive strength a good deal.

Now then, he thought. Should I follow up with my 64 Sea Tomahawks and see if we can box their ears?

* * *

Admiral Sun Wei was glad the enemy attack had struck at the southern end of his line. The two northernmost TFs had been refueling their destroyers, and that would have been difficult if they were attacked in the midst of that operation. He received the damage report from his southern TF, ships that had come up to join the fleet from the small port of Narinda on Madagascar. There was nothing to be concerned about, though he inherently took notice of ordnance expended. He presently had the range with just 32 YJ-100’s.

I might use them, he thought, just for spite. If I do, they would have to be concentrated on one enemy carrier. We could pull a few teeth as well with such a strike, as the enemy will likely have to use upwards of 50 missiles to defeat it.

My great disadvantage now is that in order to engage and really fight the British, I must move east, further and further away from any land based air support. Our J-20’s can come out here, and still loiter for a reasonable time, but not the J-10’s. They can only be used for air defense over our bases on the coast. Yet we have one little surprise for them in the Seychelles at Victoria. A flight of six J-31’s joined the two J-20’s we had posted there. I can use them to keep a good eye on the British carriers as we move to intercept. My aim, of course, is to close inside 300 miles where I can then bring my real power to bear, the YJ-18’s. Do they know their peril now? Do they have intelligence on what we might be carrying?

05:30 Local, 20 NOV 2025

“Sir,” came a voice, and Admiral Wells turned to see it was Sir Frederick Simon Gill, Captain of Prince of Wales on this outing.

“Yes Mister Gill?”

“I’ve got the latest on the enemy positions. They’re coming on like gangbusters. Their two northern TF’s are up near 30 knots, heading 095 east. It seems to me they are trying to close the range, and that can only mean one thing.”

“Indeed,” said Wells. “They’re trying to get missiles in range to get after us.”

“Precisely sir, and given that, we might give some thought to making a heading change to keep them at arm’s length.”

“We’re gut punchers, Captain. I can only jab at them with the F-35’s. If we want to put real harm on them, we’ll have to get inside.”

“We could throw Tomahawks at any time,” said Gill, a man in his mid-40’s, yet prematurely grey, in spite of a thick head of hair.”

“And when they are gone?”

“Well sir, this new ship that’s been attached, the Argos, I’m told it has the American Long Range ASM. They should have the range shortly, and if we combine a strike with our Tomahawks, that would make 100 missiles. Very good saturation, sir. We might even follow that up with the F-35’s again.”

“Understood.”

“Yes sir. If we’re going to hit them, the sooner the better. We’ll have to cover the landing at Victoria tomorrow. Wouldn’t it be best if we stop them before they can get into range to interfere with that?”

“Sound thinking, Mister Gill. Send to Argos Fire. Have them come to a heading of 355 degrees northwest. That should get their missiles in range directly.”

“Very good, sir.”

Wells could see that the Captain was eager to get into the swing of things, but the Admiral was playing a cautious opening here. Half his SSM strength resided in those Tomahawks and the missiles on Argos Fire. The remainder was another foreign buy, the Naval Strike Missile that was installed on many frigates three years earlier. Wells shook his head.

If we hadn’t done that, the Type 23’s would be sitting empty, with no offensive power at all, and a new air defense missile that has serious shortcomings against high supersonic targets. By god, the only reason this fleet is even half way ready for what’s in front of us is the fact that we’ve acquired better missiles from Norway and the United States. We haven’t a single domestically built missile that we can put on a ship or plane and have a decent chance of sinking an enemy warship at sea. Yet this Chinese fleet out there is armed to the teeth, and for one main purpose—to sink enemy ships.

Captain Gill wants to fight at range, which means we would fire now and then run, because closing to get the Naval Strike Missiles into it will expose us to the Full Monty—everything they have would be able to hit us. I hesitate to do what the Captain asked, only for the reason that once I do throw my long range missiles, then there would be little else we could do.

The Admiral had a sinking feeling now, but he would not have time to mull it through. Word came in from his F-35 on forward recon, and the enemy was firing. Alarms sounded throughout the big carrier, and now Wells knew he had one thing in hand when it came to defending this fleet. His F-35’s may not be ship killers, but by god, they could kill cruise missiles. He turned to Captain Gill.

“Freddy, they’re coming. Scramble the ready alert fighters at once.”

Chapter 9

Fourteen F-35’s would respond to that call from the three carriers. Some were held back to take up a ready CAP assignment, and the remainder were on the hangar decks, rigging out with SPEAR’s and Storm Shadows.

The radar picket plane, Livewire, had gone Bingo fuel, but would pass its controller role to another plane given the same code name, so Livewire lived on, a constant presence orbiting and monitoring the arrival and targeting of all the other fighters. They had been tracking the Chinese ships fired off missiles at the Vampires, getting a few kills, but another 20 pressed on toward the British fleet. At 07:00, with the sun up and clear skies, that wave of 14 F-35’s switched on their targeting radars and saw the Vampires, low on the sea. Seconds later, their Meteors started hunting them down. The crossfire of missiles had sliced through the enemy SSM’s and cut them to pieces.

When word got back to Prince of Wales, Admiral Wells smiled. So, he thought. I’m told the enemy has a fast attack missile that our Sea Ceptors can’t handle, effectively reducing this fleet to seven destroyers and the single Type 31 frigate we have on hand. But that missile makes its approach to the target as a slow dog indeed. It just cruises in at 500 knots, relying on its stealth and low altitude to get within range before it sprints home to attack.

It seems I have just discovered the solution to this problem—get them before they sprint. Our destroyers could never accomplish that, because even if the Asters had the range, they could not get good target locks. Now, the F-35 can take the fight well out to sea, catching these demons in their slow cruise mode.

“Mister Gill!”

“Sir?”

“What are the rest of our F-35’s doing?”

The Captain looked at a clipboard he was carrying. “Sir, we’ve got four in the ready CAP position, six more arming with the SPEAR, and another six below decks ready with Storm Shadow.”

“Belay all strike ordnance operations. I want all those planes rearmed with Meteors, and as quickly as possible.”

“That will take three hours, sir.”

“I’m aware of that, but we’ve just solved our problem with the Chinese YJ-18. Our fighters just cut that enemy strike to pieces. We’ve got to get them in their cruise run, Mister Gill. See that this order also gets out to the other two carriers.”

“Yes sir. By god, I think you’re on to something.”

Let’s just hope we can hold them off for another three hours, thought Wells.

* * *

When Admiral Sun Wei received the report that his first strike had failed he initially took the setback in stride.

“Their VLS bays are full,” he said to the messenger.

“No sir, our missiles did not get close enough to make their terminal runs. They were intercepted by enemy fighters.”

That news struck the Admiral, though he showed no emotion. Clever, he thought. Our lack of air power at sea allows the enemy fighters to do this without being challenged. We cannot allow this to continue. Those planes could neutralize the great advantage we have in the YJ-18.

“Order all our ready YJ-20’s at Mombasa and Dar es Salam to sortie at once! The mission is fighter sweep. They must clear the enemy F-35’s before we launch our next missile strike. Signal Victoria airfield in the Seychelles. All J-31’s must launch and undertake the same mission. We must neutralize the enemy fighters at all cost!”

What happened next would decide the outcome of this naval engagement. While both Admirals had been counting SSM’s, the action now became a contest for the airspace between the two fleets. The two J-20’s that had taken off from Victoria earlier had been hovering, and now they rushed in toward the suspected position of the enemy F-35’s, but they were seen, and one was immediately killed by two British Meteors. The second plane was driven down on the water to escape, then poured on the power to climb and fire. The pilot could see the enemy fighters on radar after they fired, but could not get a confident target lock on them. As he climbed into the clear morning sky, two more Meteors would end his war forever….

* * *

Livewire was still up there, scoring the music of war in the sky above the wild sea below. The air picket strike controller was now using his radars to surveille the space between the two fleets, and coordinate ten other F-35’s that were still in his zone of operations. Four had gone Winchester and returned to the carriers, and after fighting off a rush by a pair of J-20’s, the remaining ten fighters still had 16 Meteors between them. The defensive shield they represented was thin, but it was still there.

“Livewire, Sundog. What about those two bandits east of the carriers barking on radar?”

“Negative Sundog. Hold your position and await further instructions. Livewire Over.”

“Roger Livewire, standing by.”

The pilots saw eight cruise missiles launching from their friendly TF’s, looking down on them as they passed well below them on the sea. Then four more fired, much faster, coming off the decks of the Argos Fire. They were all being aimed at a single enemy destroyer to the north, a Type 055 Renhai Class ship that was leading the enemy charge. It was then that the first of the four J-31’s from the Seychelles were picked up on radar. Two more planes were detected a few seconds later.

“Sundog, Sundog, be advised. Bogies at One-Zero-Zero degrees northwest, range 112, bearing 250…. Now turning to 215 on intercept vector. You’ve been made. All planes Winchester, break, break, break. Armed planes cleared hot.”

“Roger that Livewire. Tally Ho!”

As Sundog flight turned to challenge the J-31’s, destroyer Gloucester, a Type 42 escorting Vengeance, saw them stray into their SAM defense zone and fired a Sea Dart. It spoiled the party, because when the Chinese pilots realized they were under threat, they turned, put on speed, and slipped away to the north. They had not seen the British planes, but it looked as if they had.

“Livewire, Sundog. No Joy. Over.”

“Roger Sundog. Standby.”

Livewire was keeping his fighters on a tight leash. The missile off the destroyer had chased off the prey. So he would hold his planes in their defensive role unless challenged again. He had just seen two Chinese ships fire cruise missiles, and knew every missile counted as a possible kill on one of those deadly SSM’s.

“All hounds, Livewire. Turn on a heading of 350 and descend to Angels 30. Close on Vampires, Over.”

The planes tipped their noses down to attack, and they would expend the last of their Meteors, getting nine of the 32 Vampires tracking in from the west. As they turned for home, Prince of Wales launched the last of its ready CAP, just four planes that had been spotted on deck while the remainder were being rearmed as ordered. Those would need at least another hour before they could be ready.

As the fighters finished their attack on the Chinese cruise missile trains, they were seen and attacked by the four J-31’s off Victoria, and after their missiles had all been expended. The PL-15’s were merciless, coming in to savage the formation, and getting four kills, which was a very costly loss for the British, their only consolation being the fact they at least took down two of the four J-31’s in that brief engagement.

07:30 Local, 20 NOV 2025

At 07:30, the British strike of twelve SSM’s was well to the west and bearing down on designated targets. DDG Yinshen, came under sudden and unexpected attack. Their radars had seen nothing until the four LRASM’s off the Argos Fire were almost on top of them. The Eagle God reacted, radars locking on as the HQ-9’s began firing. It was just barely able to fend off the missiles, getting the last inside the two mile marker.

Now the Chinese strike was also getting close, and there were only two fighters ready to scramble, on HMS Victorious. Designated Seafire, that flight roared off the deck and climbed west, even as the first of the surviving Chinese SSM’s were closing on Vengeance.

All 16 of the YJ-100’s off the Eagle God had been killed by the F-35’s, but there were still eleven of the more deadly YJ-18’s, and they were just reaching their jump point for the terminal run. Twenty miles from Vengeance, their turbojet engines ignited with sudden fire, and they began to accelerate rapidly, jogging with evasive maneuvers as they came. Destroyers Edinburgh and lightning were east of the carrier, and that left Type 23 class frigate Sutherland as the only ship screening Vengeance from immediate harm, nine miles due west of the carrier.

It was those two brave pilots in the Seafire flight that rushed in to attack, putting all their eight Meteors out after the Vampires in an attempt to defend that carrier. They would get only two of the speedy enemy lances, which screamed right past the bow of the Sutherland, intent on bigger fish.

Commodore Jack Westfield was back on his ship, aghast as he saw the enemy missiles ignore the frigate and come burning in after Vengeance. Four Sea Ceptors off the Sutherland were fired, all failing to even get close to the Vampires, which were just too fast for them. Then Vengeance lit off with every gun it had, knocking down the lead missile with a Phalanx.

Chaff and decoys fluttered into the sky all around the carrier. Defensive jammers wailed like banshees, but none of the enemy missiles were fooled. That target was just too large, dead ahead, and they came in like sharks to the kill. When the first missile hit, the ship was jolted and the radar screens on the bridge fluttered and went dead.

Two more missiles were finally spoofed, but the next three would slam into the carrier with heavy explosions amidships. The port side of the ship was ravaged, open to the sea, and fires leapt from the great yawning gash in the ship’s hull. Inside on the hangar deck, the feverish rearming effort on the F-35’s was caught up in a holocaust, which set off a series of explosions that rocked the ship heavily as the planes blew up. Six more Merlin helicopters that had been assigned to the planned assault on Victoria were now consumed by the raging fire. Men were down everywhere, some killed in the blast, others groping through the choking black smoke. Captain John Grant on the Victorious was out on the horizon to the southwest, and he saw the heavy column of smoke rising up into the morning blue. In spite of every effort, the YJ-18 had scored again.

Aboard Argos Fire, Commander Dean had taken the ship west after joining the cruise missile attack that nearly hit the Eagle God. They had been coming up to support Vengeance when the enemy attack pounded the carrier senseless, and now they were 13 miles southwest of the scene, just beyond the position of Victorious.

“My god,” said Mack Morgan. “Look at Vengeance.”

Dean was too busy to gawk, ordering his Aster-30’s to get after the last two harassing J-31’s that had tried to break up the fighter defense of the carrier. Four missiles tracked them down, and killed both planes.

“We’d better answer that,” said Morgan, fuming as he stared at the burning carrier.

The Eagle God was now about 215 miles to the west, leading in a squadron of eight enemy ships, but that put every ship in TF Vengeance out of range, except DDG Lightning, but it had only four missiles left. Dean saw them fire, for honor’s sake, if nothing more. The four LRASM-A class missiles started away to the north, programmed to jog west about 60 miles out. It seemed a pathetic response, with little chance of putting any real harm on the enemy. Commander Dean knew that, and finally the anger that had been burning in Mack Morgan started to rile him up as well.

“We’ll put eight missiles on that lead ship,” said Dean. “Two salvos of four. Jog the leading set, then just ram the last four home.”

As they were firing, they saw that the Victorious group was also putting Tomahawks in the sky. They would fire off twelve, but now that TF had nothing left that could reach out more than 100 miles and target a ship. The Chinese, well aware of their advantage in missile range, had decided that not one of those shiny new Naval Strike Missiles the British had bought from Norway would ever be used here. They had over 250 SSM’s, and all but 36 of them could achieve ranges of at least 200 miles. That was where they would fight their battle, which had only just begun.

The Eagle God was already firing again, a series of 16 YJ-100’s aimed at TF Vengeance to try and finish her off. That seemed to be a signal fire, because all the ships following in that destroyer’s wake suddenly began to launch a storm of YJ-18’s, a total of 48 missiles in that massive salvo. The Chinese were now opening their main effort against the British. They had drawn blood, putting heavy wounds on a carrier, and now they would deal the death blows to TF Vengeance, while also targeting TF Victorious to the east.

By 08:40, the Eagle God had defeated the LRASM attack, and was finally seeing the twelve Tomahawks fired by Coventry. Now it was time for turnabout, always fair play in war. When Admiral Sun Wei saw what the British were doing with their fighters, he had called for any support that could reach the scene from East Africa. That sent out ten J-20’s, the only planes with the range to get out there, and now they had overflown the Chinese fleet to take up forward screening positions 150 miles further east. It was their searching radars that had spotted the Tomahawks, and now they swooped down to sink their talons into them, and all while the British were struggling to get more fighters ready.

Six more lined up for takeoff on Prince of Wales, all freshly rearmed with Meteors. Victorious reported it now had another six ready and they were immediately ordered aloft. That was going to put a dozen F-35’s into the fight, carrying a combined 48 Meteors to the defense. The British ships could now see the incoming missile storm, with a light squall of 12 Vampires 60 miles out, and the main missile front another 60 miles on.

“Rabid One, Livewire. Make your heading 270 degrees west, and cleared hot. Vampires! Vampires! Continue dry on opposing fighters. Over.”

“Roger Livewire, Weapons hot on Vampires. Over.”

The Meteors would stream out, immediately breaking up that leading squall of 12 Vampires. Then the F-35’s turned their fire on the main stormfront, the missiles racing out and diving for the sea. It was a Perseid shower of death that got six quick kills, but it wouldn’t be enough. More Chinese ships had fired, making up for the 18 missiles the fighters had taken down, and there were still 48 Vampires tracking in on the British Fleet….

Part IV

A Near Run Thing

“I hope to God that I have fought my last battle. It is a bad thing to be always fighting. While in the thick of it, I am much too occupied to feel anything; but it is wretched just after. It is quite impossible to think of glory. Both mind and feeling are exhausted. I am wretched even at the moment of victory, and I always say that next to a battle lost, the greatest misery is a battle gained.”

― Arthur Wellesley Wellington

Chapter 10

At 09:00 that morning HMS Vengeance was dying, her speed down to a crawl, heavy flooding pulling the 60,000 ton carrier into a list to port side, her fires still raging amidships. She still had a RIM-7P Sea Sparrow mount active, and it was among the first to engage the enemy SSM’s, along with Type 42 class destroyer Gloucester, with her Sea Darts. As these went out, aimed at missiles cruising in at 500 knots, they were suddenly evaded when the missiles leapt ahead. The Sea Darts turned at 1360 knots, unable to catch up to the Sizzlers as they sped away.

Three came for Argos Fire, but her Aster 15’s were able to take them head on and kill them. Commander Dean was riveted at the radar screen, seeing his ship now engaging missiles heading for the stricken carrier. They saw the frigate Iron Duke maneuvering between their position and Vengeance, and then the YJ-18’s found the frigate and blew it to hell. Destroyer Edinburgh took the next hit off the starboard side of Argos Fire, and both those ships would sink that hour.

Then Dean and Mack Morgan watched in horror as another set of four YJ-18’s fired up their rocket boosters, surged away from two more Sea Darts, and then slammed into the listing hulk of HMS Vengeance. With one more mighty explosion, the carrier was swallowed by the sea, her fires boiling into steam as it started the long journey down, men sliding off the aft deck into the water. There had been over 1500 officers and crew aboard that carrier, which took down all the remaining planes and helicopters that had somehow survived that first strike. Aboard Prince of Wales, Admiral Wells got conformation of the sinking of those three ships, his jaw tight.

“Victorious reports four Sea Harriers ready with Sidewinders for close in defense, and two F-35’s in an hour,” said Hurly, his faithful adjutant. “Captain Kemp tells me we now have six fighters on deck in Sundog Flight, and ready for operations. We’ll have a dozen more still rearming.”

“Thank you Mister Hurley. Please have the Captain put out a fleet wide message. All ships to assume a heading of 058 degrees northeast, and make your best speed. We’ll not linger here. The fleet will move to support the Victoria landings, and if the Chinese want to follow us out into the Deep Blue, we’ll carry on.”

It was stiff upper lip, as might be expected of a British Admiral, but the fact that the fleet was being horsewhipped and relentlessly driven east was evident to all, if unspoken. Things were bad, but they were going to get much worse, and Wells could feel the pressure mounting.

The Chinese were still pursuing, and at good speeds as they attempted to bring their frigates and the trailing groups in the line into range. At 12:15, some of those groups, led by Jinlong, (Golden Dragon ), began firing salvos of YJ-18’s at the retreating British ships. DDG Lightning was the first to feel their wrath, bore sighted by a string of 16 Sizzlers. The ship still had Asters, but with targets moving that fast, and maneuvering, they would have to empty the barn.

The missiles raced in, the Asters speedy enough to catch them, and the defensive missile stream was slowly eating them up—but they just kept coming. There were still six more at the tail end of the missile train, and the ship was down to its last four SAM’s. Two of those six Sizzlers were going to get through, and that would end the career of yet another Type 45. Lightning would sink at half past noon.

Type 23 Class frigate Sutherland had been 16 miles ahead of Lightning, running for all she was worth at 34 knots. Then the Captain and crew saw a train of eight missiles coming for them, and with SAM’s dry, it was down to guns and chaff. It seemed as though the frigate was doomed, but to the amazement of the crew, they saw the demons tip nose down and knife into their boiling wake. It was their speed that saved the ship, for the enemy had fired at extreme range, and the missiles simply ran out of fuel. The margin of safety had been slim, just five miles being the space between life and death for the ship and every soul aboard.

Yet the measure of life granted them was equally brief. At 12:33, another series of eight YJ-18’s locked on to Sutherland and this time they had the energy to ride its wake all the way to the ship. Elation would soon turn to utter misery. The frigate blazed away with its Gatling guns, got two of the eight, and then the rest stormed in to blast Sutherland from the sea. Only three men would survive.

Next it was Gloucester’s turn on the hot seat, with eight more Sizzlers storming over the horizon. The destroyer had 52 Sea Darts in the magazines, but could only fire them in pairs. The first four YJ-18’s were hit and killed, but the number five missile skewered the ship, damn near blowing the entire aft section of the destroyer apart.

The enemy was slowly killing one ship after another as the British fleet fled northeast, and Admiral Sun Wei was beaming ear to ear with the news when his radar crews would confirm those kills. The death of Type 26 Class frigate Coventry was the last for that action, all but eliminating every ship that had sailed with HMS Vengeance. Admiral Wells now had 2500 souls in the sea to try and save.

The Royal Navy was bleeding out, having suffered the loss of fifteen warships since the opening of hostilities in the Med. Of those, eleven had been killed by the dread YJ-18, which was proving to be a war winner for the Chinese Navy. The British had nothing to match it, and very little that could kill it when it was out on the hunt. That made for the painful loss of so many proud ships, and the men and women who served on them. Helicopters would flutter off the decks of the two carriers to save as many as possible, but Admiral Wells’ worst fears had come home to roost on his bridge.

* * *

As Admiral Sun Wei gloated over his rather decisive victory, he was now to be reminded of the uncertainty and danger inherent in every moment of war. There had been two Astute Class attack subs attached to the fleet, and instead of running escort, they had moved out towards the enemy, sailing right across their line of advance. Moving fast and deep at 32 knots, they were able to get into position to attack as the churning ships above pressed home their pursuit.

Anson and Howe bore the names last hung on a pair of King George V Class battleships from the WWII era, and now they were Britain’s most stealthy and dangerous attack subs. They had crept into the heart of the Chinese advance, like wolves stalking a fold of sheep, and they were completely undetected.

Anson had taken position just north of the Chinese Golden Dragon Group, composed of Type 55 destroyer Jinlong, a pair of Type 052D destroyers, Chaowu and Kangji, and the Type 054A class frigate Sanya. The British Captain on Anson had a famous name, Francis Drake, and he was perfectly cast for this part, an undersea pirate of the highest order.

Drake was using the new Advanced Common Combat System, which was integrated with all the boat’s sensors and sonars to track and process its firing solutions. The first torpedoes, the heavyweight Spearfish, were not even seen by the enemy until they were just three miles out, and they were coming at 80 knots. The Chinese ships had no weapon capable of targeting the torpedoes. Steaming at 30 knots, all they could do was turn and scatter in a desperate effort to evade the enemy lances.

Kanji had launched its ASW helo, and then turned completely about, the water surging about the ship, as it ran due west. Seconds later, the first spearfish hammered its sister ship, and Chaowu was gutted by a big explosion, the watersplash rising high above the mainmast. Three more Spearfish were hot in the turbulent wake of the Golden Dragon, which was now racing southwest with Sanya. The three torpedoes were just too close, and neither ship had the ghost of a chance at evading them, or surviving this attack.

The Chinese helo had deployed dipping sonar, at last getting a general idea of where the British sub was. In desperation, Jinlong fired an Asroc YU-7 torpedo at the fleeting contact, which would put it very close to Anson, forcing the sub to cut the wires on its torpedoes and run.

“Decoys!” said Captain Drake. “Come to 270 west and dive. All ahead flank!”

“Two-seven-zero and diving, sir.”

“Make your depth 780.”

Anson had fired while at 420 feet, and was now trying to disappear into the Deep Blue, still quiet as a mouse, even when running all out at 32 knots. It left a pair of decoys behind it as the nose of the sub tipped downward, hoping to fool the pursuing YU-7 torpedo.

“Conn, Sonar—three explosions.”

That was Chaowu, Jinlong, and Sanya, all going down that hour when the 300KG warheads in the Spearfish broke their backs and opened their hulls to the sea. Anson dove, knowing an enemy torpedo was in hot pursuit. Sonar reported it tracking true, then thought it was circling a moment before tracking true again. Then the sound of the torpedo was completely lost. The YU-7 Asroc had very little fuel, which is why it had to get quite close to its target to get a hit. In this case, the torpedo had run out of energy after 4 miles. It had come to within 2000 meters of the British sub, then died….

A fourth explosion reported by sonar made for a clean sweep, and in that single hot minute, HMS Anson had avenged the terrible losses just suffered by the British. It took a minute for Captain Drake to realize what he had just accomplished. They had even bested the remarkable attack that had been made by HMS Triumph in the Med, when Captain Peter Hill had scored three hits on a Chinese TF.

“My god,” said Drake. “We’ve buggered them good.”

“Torpedo in the water!” There was no time to celebrate.

“Come right, and circle to 130 degrees southeast. Ahead flank.”

Anson danced in the deep, another YU-7, this time off the hunting helicopter, was now hot in its wake, but the quick maneuver had confused it. The torpedo lost contact, circled, reacquired, and started its attack run. But the British sub had put on speed, and it would evade this lance as well, by the narrowest margin.

The British sonar was now tracking three more Chinese ships, all coming up to assist their stricken comrades. Word of the attack was flashed to every ship in the fleet, and Admiral Sun Wei was red faced with anger. He knew he had made the same mistake as his comrades had made in the Med.

Fools rush in, he thought, and then issued a fleet wide order for all ships to post ASW patrols, with pickets assigned to sprint and drift, and advancing ships were to take evasive maneuvers and alter course immediately. It was the old zig-zag, not as viable a tactic as it had been in WWII, but better than simply rushing ahead in his mad pursuit of the British carriers.

The fourth ship Anson had hit was the Type 052D class destroyer Kanji, but it had only been damaged. Now it was turning for Mombasa as it fought to control flooding, escorted by the frigate Weifang. That effort would fail, and Drake would later learn that Kanji would capsize and sink enroute, making his attack a perfect four for four.

It was a spectacular success, completely disrupting the entire southern arm of the Chinese fleet. With four ships sunk and three more rescuing survivors, it had taken seven Chinese ships out of the fight, and Admiral Sun Wei had already detached four ships that had exhausted all their SAM’s in the fight, sending them home. This had reduced his fleet from twenty ships to nine, and now he gave orders to reduce speed, post ASW patrols and consolidate his remaining force.

* * *

When Admiral Wells received the report on the exploits of HMS Anson, he was very gratified. “Finally something the navy got right,” he said to Captain Kemp.

“That bloody well evens the score, sir,” said Kemp.

“Perhaps,” said Wells. “Honor is assuaged, if nothing else. Any word from Howe ?”

“There was no report in the last fleet update cycle,” said Kemp.

“Well let’s hope she’s lying low and still in the hunt.”

HMS Howe was indeed lying low, but she was not in the hunt any longer. The sub lay broken and lost, found by two Z-9 helicopters off a destroyer she had been stalking, Yingshen, the Eagle God. The attack sub had crept into the midst of the Chinese fleet, picked that target, and then sonar was unable to process a good firing solution. The boat hovered, trying to resolve the contact, but the alert put out by Admiral Sun Wei had been taken to heart. The destroyer immediately launched a helicopter, and dipping sonar had found Howe just six miles off the port side of the destroyer.

Needless to say, the Eagle God turned and ran, and also launched a second helicopter. In the ensuing game of cat and mouse, the mouse lost this time out, and a torpedo sent Howe to the bottom, her hull crushed and broken, over 11,000 feet deep.

Built just after Anson, it was the first boat in the class whose name did not begin with the letter A, and some said that would be bad luck. In fact, it was the only sub that had violated that unwritten rule in any submarine class still active in the navy. Others had said that modifications to the design of the sub actually warranted giving it a new class, and making it the lead boat in that instance. Two others were being built, and to reinforce this notion, they were to be named Holland and Hood, after two other famous British Admirals.

Wells would not get confirmation on the loss for some time, his mind now firmly focused on matters at hand. He had turned his back on the Chinese, and seen them claw at him as he withdrew, at great cost. The loss of Vengeance and her escorts still burned, but he subdued his emotions, and looked to the day ahead. He launched the last of the three planes in Sundog flight to take up the early warning watch. The ship had Merlins for AEW, but they were nowhere near as good as an F-35.

“Captain, our oilers are trailing behind, so I’ll want them covered. Launch six more fighters for that watch. Then I think we should try and dissuade the Chinese from making any further advance. We’ll move to the Tomahawks now. Target their leading ships.”

“Right, sir.”

Wells was thinking he would have liked to storm out after them with his fighters, but they had all rearmed with meteors for a defensive role. They can see where we’re headed, he thought. They must know that we’re going to take the Seychelles from their greedy grasp, but if they come any closer, they would have the landing ships in missile range of those YJ-18’s. So in spite of my urge to use the carriers offensively, I think it remains wise to keep the fighters in a defensive role. We’ve already lost too many ships in this fight, and SAM’s are running thin.

So what is this Chinese Admiral thinking?

He’s now 700 miles east of his supporting airfields and harbors in East Africa. His force has been attrited, as ours, but he still represents a powerful threat, and as long as he stays there, with those ports to sustain him, nothing can move round the Cape for the Middle East. All shipping is being held in South African ports until this issue is resolved, one way or another.

There were only three ships left in his task force that had missiles able to reach the pursuing Chinese ships. They were Dragon and Daring escorting Prince of Wales, which each carried Multi-Mission Tomahawks, and then Argos Fire, which still had 32 Long Range ASM’s. The shot he had just ordered over his shoulder used up 16 Tomahawks, without any confirmed hits. That now left him with a total of 64 missiles that he could use in any ranged combat with the enemy. After losing the TF Vengeance, he also had 64 Naval Strike Missiles, but the fight would have to be inside 100 miles for those.

We carry on, he thought. We cover the mission to occupy the Seychelles, and make that a Royal Navy base for the duration of this bloody war. I can only imagine what the headlines on this scrap will be like in London tomorrow. We’ve just had our Isandlwana here, but by God, Anson has given us our Roark’s Drift.

Chapter 11

Captain MacRae might have known what Wells meant with that thought, as he had been explaining it all to Elena just before they suddenly found themselves literally swallowed by the famous hill of Isandlwana, which delivered them right into the history he had been pontificating on.

The battle had been a disaster, but the heroic defense of the mission and supply station at Roark’s Drift, where 120 men held off 4000 Zulus, was trumpeted by the London press. The government lavished Victoria Crosses on more men than in any other battle in British history. Would Anson’s stunning reprisal be enough to tamp down the hue and cry over the losses the fleet had sustained?

The blow had been a hard one, but Admiral Wells pressed stoically on towards his objective at Victoria, and every mile the Chinese fleet followed him took them further from their support bases in East Africa.

19:00 Local, 20 NOV 2025

The Battle for the Seychelle Islands

If you were to ask someone where the Seychelles were, they might respond that you could find them on many beaches, thinking you had asked about sea shells. The islands were nearly a thousand nautical miles from East Africa, and seldom in any news cycle. That was the way the locals liked it, living their quiet lives on a little island paradise… until war came.

The Royal Marine landing on the main island of the Seychelles at Victoria would be swift and painless, or so it was believed. The country had no military to speak of, a force of about 400 men tasked with maritime security and anti-piracy operations. Their “order of battle” included six BRDM-2 APC’s and six M-43 82mm Mortar Carriers, all unserviceable. Their lone RPG-7 rocket launcher wouldn’t work, nor would any of the SA-7 Strela air defense missiles. Their navy had a handful of small patrol boats donated by other countries, and their air force had eight planes, mostly for maritime patrol, with no combat role. The single battalion they fielded included a few troops of the so called Barbaron Commandos, but on the 20th of November, at the appointed time of 20:00, they were scheduled to make the acquaintance of real commandos, Number 47 Commando, the Royal Marines Raiding Group.

The threat to the landings would not come from the locals, but from the Chinese. Intelligence had discovered that, as with many of their bases, the Chinese had placed SAM and SSM batteries on the islands. These batteries had to be destroyed before the Royal Marine Commandos could go in, and they would be the primary targets of the remaining TACTOM missiles in the opening duel for possession of Victoria.

Frigate London would pound the SAM sites, but in the resulting counterattack, the YJ-12 Coastal SSM’s would put a missile into that ship, and add to the heavy losses already sustained. As a last hurrah, the Chinese had a pair of Type 22 missile boats in the harbor, and the crews were running along the quays to get to them and cast off as the air raid sirens wailed. Before they could reach their boats, they heard the roar of missile engines, and saw two Tomahawks come racing in over the water to strike their war steeds, and blow them to smithereens.

It was a small consolation for the loss of the Type 26 Frigate London, the ninth warship lost in this battle, but Wells saw it as the fortunes of war. He might have used his Tomahawks at greater range, but the fact was that the YJ-12 could reach out 215 miles, and both sides had been in range of one another for many hours as the fleet approached the Seychelles. The Chinese fired their last two SSMs, hit nothing, and that little disagreement was now over. The SAM’s had been destroyed, and the way was clear for the helicopters to start bringing in the Marines.

47 Commando was part of the British 3 Commando Brigade, and the landings would be led by the 539th Raiding Squadron, and then followed up by Number 4 and 6 Squadrons off HMS Albion and HMS Bulwark. Knowing the British were going to the Seychelles for a good reason, Admiral Sun Wei ordered the last two J-31’s there to rig out for an air ferry operation to Mombasa. The three helicopters at the airfield had come off a ship to get there, but none had the range to reach the African coast, and so they would be prizes of war.

The night raid was therefore underway right on schedule, at 20:00, and it would not be opposed. The helos thumped in, moving quickly to the airfield where they would find no more than 60 Chinese military personnel who were there as service crews for the few planes that had been operating from the island. These men surrendered without a fight, for they were not soldiers and had no combat training at all.

Thirty minutes after the landings, the Commandos radioed Prince of Wales that the Union Jack now flew over the harbor and airfield at Victoria. The island had first been discovered by the British East India Company in 1609, and had been claimed by both France and Britain over the next 200 years, while largely remaining uninhabited. It had gained independence in 1977, but now the British were back, and the main island would be declared a protectorate for the duration of the conflict… spoils of war.

* * *

By the time he had consolidated his scattered fleet, Admiral Sun Wei had ten destroyers, including three Type 055, and two frigates. All the other frigates, and the two fleet oilers, had been sent home to Mombasa and Dar es Salam. He stood on the bridge, arms folded on his chest as he thought.

We have done well, he mused. Tactically, our ships defeated the British with little difficulty. Their opening strategy of using their fighters to strike us with small munitions was a good one, and it drained many SAM’s from the targeted ships. After that, I knew I had to get inside 300 miles, and engage immediately with our YJ-18’s. This forced the British to use their fighters defensively, but our attacks were so strong that we hurt them very badly. Now I, too, can claim that I have sunk an enemy carrier. Were it not for that unfortunate submarine attack, our victory would have been overwhelming, in spite of the loss of our base in the Seychelles. All things considered, this is victory, without question, and the loss of the Seychelles is of little consequence.

Now I sit 700 miles from the African coast, and the British are moving northeast. I will not catch them, and they have opened the range between our fleets to over 300 miles. So I will sail to Andrakaka harbor on the northern tip of Madagascar. It is just 300 miles to reach that port. There my ships can refuel, and rearm with any missiles in the ammo bunkers.

One salient fact remains—they could not defeat me, nor could they force my withdrawal further north towards the Arabian Sea as was undoubtedly their plan. So as long as my fleet remains here, the sea lanes to the Middle East are closed. The only route they have now is through the Pacific, and that will likely be the focus of future operations here. Yes, soon the Americans will appear, and then we fight the real battle for control of these waters. I must be ready, and with everything we have.

* * *

When Admiral Wells was informed that the Chinese fleet had turned away south, he breathed a sigh of relief. They must be low on fuel and munitions, he thought, and they are a long way from home, as we are. Yet this is far from over. They are heading to Madagascar, and that alone is revealing of their intentions. They want to get into port, refuel, and sortie again as soon as possible. I was remiss in not making sure that port at Andrakaka was destroyed. We focused on the airfield, but not the port, and that was a mistake. Tomorrow will be a day of rest for all sides in this dirty business, but soon we will meet them again, and we are much weaker now than when we sailed so proudly from Port Simon at Cape Town.

The losses hurt—a carrier, three destroyers, four frigates, and one very valuable submarine. Yes, the news on Howe was most discouraging. I’ll be writing and signing letters home from now until New Year’s. This is one of the hardest blows the Royal Navy has ever taken. We lost 13 ships in the Battle of Medway in 1667’s, and ten ships off Toulon in 1744. Here I’ve gone and lost nine… Whale Island may very well want my head on a platter when they hear about this. But I must look to the days ahead, as my great Grandfather would have done.

What to do?

First things first. I must get the fleet provisioned, and now that we have taken the harbor and airfield at Victoria, I can put in a request for an emergency airlift here from our bastion at Diego Garcia. It’s a long thousand mile journey there that I can ill afford at the moment. I must remain here, keeping my enemy close, instead of my friends, and anything they could lift out here would be most welcome.

Victorious has six older Sea Harriers, and I’ll transfer those to the airfield at Victoria. They should not be bothered by enemy fighters out here, and they can use their short range missiles for defensive purposes in the event the enemy sends cruise missiles against this base. I’ll post a Merlin Crow there as well, and we’ll leave the other helos for the Commandos. I think it wise that I also leave a pair of F-35’s. They make superb radar pickets, and if the enemy comes this way, I plan on using them to good effect.

As for the fleet, we will reorganize. I’ll want Victorious right off my starboard side. We will no longer operate as separate task forces. The remaining frigates will form an inner ring, tasked primarily with carrier defense, such as they might provide. The destroyers form the outer defense ring, and god be with them. Anything they fail to knock down may well blow right through the frigates, but it will at least be tried by their guns before it can get to a carrier. I’ll still have five destroyers and five frigates. The carriers can fly 32 fighters, so we’re still in this fight, one way or another.

Oh yes… Anson is still out there somewhere, a ghost in the stream. Sir Francis has done his job well, and knowing he’s out there is good for morale. Given all this, how should we proceed? The original plan of clearing the Chinese from their East African bases has simply gone down with all our ships. The enemy was much stronger than we realized, and we had deficiencies that the navy has overlooked for years. I think I must strongly recommend that we completely overhaul our frigates. As presently designed, they are useless. Reliance on the old Type 42’s is also questionable. The Sea Dart is obsolete, and cannot perform against the threats we now face. All we are doing with those ships is putting good men and women in harm’s way.

So by now I should be well on my way to Diego Garcia, but any move there will leave a strong enemy fleet sitting astride my communications back to Cape Town, and closing the sea lanes I was sent here to open. Now I have but two viable options. I could sail west, threatening the Chinese bases in East Africa, which is one of my principle objectives. That would draw the enemy fleet north from Madagascar to oppose me, but it would also allow them to use whatever air power they have in east Africa.

I don’t like it.

Option two is to head due south and throw down the gauntlet again against this Chinese Admiral. I would stay well east of Madagascar, which then takes their East African air power out of the fight. I suppose they might try hopping it over to the island, which means I would need my Tomahawks to finish the job on those bases. Yes, that sounds like my best play. It’s either that, or I must fall back on Diego Garcia, which any sane man would do after the beating we just took. But no, I won’t slink off and lick my wounds. Very well, I will inform Whale Island as to my intentions, and unless I get countervailing orders, we move as soon as we have provisioned.

06:00 Local, 22 NOV 2025

550 miles NE of Andrakaka, Madagascar

They were as ready as they could be. The emergency airlift from Diego Garcia to Victoria had brought in much needed supplies, and they helped themselves to diesel fuel in Port Victoria. Now it was time to move south and find the Chinese Fleet. It was a very big ocean, and the Merlin Crowsnest AEW Helo had but a 200 mile radar range, so Wells decided to use his F-35’s to form a forward radar picket as before. His first order of business was making sure the Chinese could not ferry air assets to the other bases in Madagascar, and for this he planned another surprise Tomahawk strike. With a 1600 mile range, they could fly paths to avoid the suspected position of the enemy fleet, and then turn to strike the bases from an unexpected direction. It would keep them well out of range of the enemy SAM’s, but the only rub was that the actual position of the Chinese fleet was as yet unknown.

DDG Daring had 16 TACTOM’s, and frigate Birmingham was an experimental configuration of a type 23 for land attack, carrying 24 more TACTOM’s in a Mark 41 VLS Bay. That put 40 arrows in the quiver of Admiral Wells, and he started using them at 06:00. Some would inadvertently fly paths that took them too close to the Chinese, and would fall victims to their HQ-9’s, but this only served to clue Wells as to the location of the enemy ships.

Only two were shot down, revealing the enemy position, and nine more swept south then cut across the wide rugged island of Madagascar heading for Narinda Bay on the east coast. They were completely undetected, hugging the terrain as they came in, and began striking targets all over that airfield. The communications jamming station the Chinese had set up was destroyed, and the aircraft hangars damaged and set on fire, destroying two rare J-11 fighters and a Z-8 helicopter. Four missiles targeting the west coast base of Toamasina hit the runway access points and naval docks. When it was over, nothing could fly from either airfield, and Madagascar was neutralized as an operating base for the foreseeable future.

* * *

So the second round has begun, thought Admiral Sun Wei. They have tested me, and most likely localized my position when we took down those two cruise missiles. And they are once again attempting to ruin our bases on Madagascar. My problem now is that I do not know where they are. I have two submarines picketed 125 miles to the north, but they report nothing. The base at Andrakaka is still not functional, and so I can only wait for satellite reports.

Yet there is one thing more I might do… Our planes in East Africa are 700 miles away now, but what if I called for a J-10 to mount nothing but reserve fuel, as if for a ferry operation. It could come out here, and linger for some time, using its radars like an AEW plan to help me locate the British fleet.

It was an excellent idea, and so he ordered the field at Dar es Salam to send one fighter due east, and another to move to Narinda Bay and see if the condition of that airfield permitted a landing. The first would get to a position 250 miles northeast of his fleet when it came under attack by enemy fighters and was destroyed. It was a callous thing to do, ordering that lone pilot out into harm’s way like that, but it had at least given the Admiral some clue. The British had to be operating further east of the point of that interception, though he was still in the dark as to exactly where.

This British Admiral learns quickly, he thought. He is staying far from our East African bases, denying me air cover and useful reconnaissance. Finding his ships may not be easy this time, as the YJ-18 is somewhat particular on downrange ambiguity when it comes to targeting. I cannot kill what I cannot see, but I must assume the enemy is already one step ahead, and knows exactly where I am….

Chapter 12

The Admiral was struggling to forge the first link in his kill chain, find the enemy, and the loss of his J-10 told him this battle may not be easy. At 12:45, radar reports began to slowly get traces of enemy ship contacts. They had a lot of uncertainty, but over the next few minutes, those rectangles compressed to a point some 330 miles due east of his position. He could see two British helicopters were up, one very near the surface contact group, and another midway between his ships and the enemy. In his mind, he could hear the blacksmith hammering on that first link. Now was the time to test those contacts, and see if he could get a target solution with a long range YJ-100.

Sun Wei waited, and finally locked on, sending two YJ-100’s off the Type 055 destroyer Nanchang. If he at least got them close to the target, the screening ships would have to respond, which meant they would go to active radars. That could help him further refine his contacts. At 500 miles an hour, his missiles would be 15 minutes getting to the enemy, but Sun Wei was a very patient man.

As it happened, the two F-35’s on radar picket had gone bingo fuel, and were already heading back to the carrier. So when the Merlin AEW helo picked up those two Vampires, Admiral Wells also collected some good intelligence. The enemy had turned on a heading of 90 degrees, and now he had fired two missiles…. So he at least had the scent, and was probably trying to flush out the quarry with this small jab. He would order Captain Kemp to send up the next two F-35’s and deal with the missiles before they got close.

Flight Whalesign 3 was up a minute later, and winging its way west. It took three Meteors, but the two planes dispatched those YJ-100’s easily enough, spoiling Admiral Sun Wei’s plan.

Frustrated, the Admiral signaled Dar es Salam to send two J-20s and a KJ-200 AEW plane. That at least had the range to get out here, and it could post itself right behind his ships, well within their protective SAM envelope. With drop tanks, those J-20’s could also reach his fleet, then he would be prepared to order them to use their radars to nail down the enemy location, and this time, if the F-35’s interfered, his Falcon Eagles could fight. He ordered his fleet to come ten degrees right, and all ahead full.

14:00 Local, 22 NOV 2025

Admiral Wells now contemplated his options. With every fighter still armed for air superiority and missile defense, he had no air strike card to play at this hour. But he had three ships that could fight at this range, which was just under 300 nautical miles. He knew his enemy would soon be coming into range with all their YJ-18’s, and seeing that they had increased speed to 25 knots made him feel like a horde of enemy cavalry had just gone from a canter to the gallop. The only thing preventing them from firing now, he knew, was that they may not be able to get good target locks this far out.

But I can fire with Daring, Dragon, and Argos Fire. I could put 45 Sea Hawks into the sky, our handle for these newly acquired American missiles. And Argos Fire could put 40 Long Range ASM’s out there, another gift from the Yanks. Thank God someone is building missiles with the range to actually strike an enemy. Yet as before, this would be my only long range throw. Should I pile on, and try for a few kills to shift the odds my way before they can counterattack?

He simply had to try.

A barrage of 33 Sea Hawks veiled the seas with smoke as they began launching from the two destroyers. Half way through their flight track, Argos Fire would put 20 LRASM’s out after them. They had the targets fixed on radar from two F-35’s and the Merlin helo. At 15:10 the alarms were sounding on the Chinese warships as the first group of Tomahawks started training in. Jammers on all twelve ships began wailing, and the fire control computers started processing target locks.

With three Type 55 destroyers, and five Type 052D’s, the Chinese fleet was a very powerful surface action group, with tremendous air defensive capability in all the HQ-9’s those ships were carrying. For the next ten minutes they engaged the Vampires, slowly chewing them up. In two instances, it came to close range missiles and guns, but the defense prevailed. Sinking a ship in a force that well protected was no easy task. Wells had to throw more than half his total long range missile inventory, and still came up empty.

* * *

“Backstand, Whalerider 3. Looks like they have a KJ-200 coming up behind the sea toads. Over.”

“Roger Whalerider. Standby.”

Just after the standing F-35 patrol reported that AEW plane arriving, things got wild. The two J-20s Admiral Sun Wei had ordered also arrived, one to the north of the Chinese fleet, an done to the south. They continued east, widely separated by over 100 miles, and the northern plane was planning to shoot down the only enemy aircraft they could see, the Merlin AEW helo. What they could not see were the two F-35’s in the Whalerider picket, which each put Meteors in the sky after that bogie.

When they fired, the Chinese planes finally saw them on radar, and the northern plane engaged, while the southern plane stayed the course east, activating its long range radars that could finger the seas 200 miles out. Admiral Sun Wei was now inside 300 nautical miles, spoiling to counterattack, and he was counting on that single plane to paint his targets.

The British saw only the northern bogie, but when it was identified as a J-20, it was enough to prompt an immediate scramble order from both Victorious and Prince of Wales. The flights had been spotted on deck, ready to go, and the pilots were giving the deck crews thumbs up as their engines revved. Sundog flight would again take to the skies off Prince of Wales, and Skybolt flight off Victorious, each with six planes. They would race west, the mission being fleet defense, because Admiral Wells smelled an attack coming. That lone J-20 in the north was 185 miles out, but it could have seen the fleet easily on radar. He had to assume that his position was now known to the enemy, and that it might be solid enough to prosecute. The northern bogie was found and destroyed by those meteors, and seconds later, they saw the other J-20 on radar.

“Gentlemen,” said Wells to the bridge crew. “We’ve been found. The fleet will prepare to repel enemy attack—battle stations all around.”

* * *

“All ships in range,” said Admiral Sun Wei, “fire YJ-18’s!”

His brave J-20 pilots had delivered the goods.

The Chinese fleet was coming in three waves of four ships each, the first two waves being all destroyers, the last having two frigates and two older destroyers. The first wave, led by Nanchang, had no less than 100 YJ-18’s to throw, and it targeted virtually every ship in the British fleet with four to eight missiles, 52 in that salvo.

Seeing this was his supreme moment for action, Admiral Sun Wei was going in hard. His second wave had 64 YJ-18’s, and they put out enough to increase the total attack to 100 missiles. Wave 3 ships were held in reserve.

* * *

The word came loud and hot from the forward radar picket. “Backstand, Whalerider. Bigstorm… Gorilla, Gorilla. Inbound now! Over.”

Bigstorm was improvisation on the pilot’s part, but the code Gorilla was milspeak for a large, undetermined hostile force. Wells knew exactly what it must be, and raised a finger to Captain Kemp.

“Go get them, Pete,” he said, his eyes hard and determined.

“Right sir!”

That sent down the order for all ready flights to launch in defense of the fleet, and Whalerider would be calling the tune to coordinate the interception.

“Sundog 6, come right to 270 and descend to Angels 30. Cleared hot. Skybolt, come right to 260, hold present altitude and engage. Seabat, Saber, come on up and join the party—Angels 36, and standby.”

There were now two dozen F-35’s up off those carriers, and they were carrying 96 Meteors in their weapons bays. Two of them would get that last J-20, effectively blinding the Chinese fleet again, but their missiles had already been programmed, and they were on the way in.

The fighters could see them coming on radar, and moved to engage. They sent their Meteors out hunting, seeing the explosions down low on the sea as they began to get hits, but the kill ratio was far less than hoped for. Sundog and Skybolt were only able to get 14 kills, still leaving 86 Vampires for Saber and Seabat flights in the second line of defense. They would do just a little better, getting 26 kills as the cruise missile storm closed to within 100 miles of the fleet. The fighter defense had knocked down 40% of the incoming vampires, but that still left 60 missiles out there looking for targets.

All the Royal Navy ships now turned on their radars, and as it happened, it was the American built ESSM that had been a special buy for Prince of Wales that locked on first and fired, when the Vampires were about 20 miles out. Admiral Wells was watching on radar, seeing a group of seven missiles accelerate for their high speed run, and jog left, away from the fleet. They had lost their targets, and seemed off on an aimless hunt for steel on the sea.

The remainder tracked on in, their target data now being updated by that KJ-200, which had finally gotten in range. The battle opened in earnest, the speed demons raging in, the British destroyers throwing everything they had at them. At 16:15, four Vampires came lancing in towards the heart of the fleet. York was able to get two of them with Sea Darts, and an ESSM off Prince of Wales got a third, but the last was too quick, streaking right past the bow of York, and finding the frigate Lancaster, which was cruising just a little over a mile off the starboard bow of Prince of Wales. There were groans when the frigate blew up, all of its useless Sea Ceptors just sitting there in the VLS cells, never able to fire.

For the next three hot minutes, the defense held, the missiles finding and killing the Sizzlers as they broke the horizon. Where there had once been blue sky, the sea was now hazed over with a grey-white cloud of smoke, which erupted with yellow flashes as the missiles found their targets. Broadsword was in the thick of things and getting many kills, the one new Type 31 frigate on hand, also built with the ESSM.

It was a white knuckled affair as Wells watched the Vampires raging in like Zulus against those four brave destroyers holding their thin red line, but this was not to be a debacle the likes of Isandlwana. The defense was holding, getting one kill after another, though it came to guns and chaff on more than one occasion. The last three ready fighters on Prince of Wales screamed off the deck, hoping to get their Meteors into the fight. They roared out to get after the final four missiles, killing two just as they were starting their high speed run. The last two came right at Daring, but the destroyer still had Asters, and swatted them down.

As the thunder of those last two explosions faded, Wells breathed a sigh of relief. Yes, he had lost another bloody frigate, but he had just enough of a defense left to hold the line, and now those 40 missiles that had been killed by the F-35’s before the YJ-18’s entered their final mad dash truly mattered.

“Tell the fighters to get that bloody AEW plane out there,” he ordered. “Boats away for search and rescue on Lancaster. Captain Kemp, what have we got left that can reach the Chinese?”

“Just twelve Sea Hawks, sir, and twenty SSM’s in the Argos Fire.”

“Let them fly. Let’s see if we can put them on the defensive, and buy some time to get fighters rearmed. How many planes are ready?”

“Only three, sir. The rest will turn over in a couple hours.”

“Very well. I’ll want a report from all destroyers on SAM counts.”

That was the crucial factor now in the mind of Admiral Wells—defense. How could he stop the bleeding, the loss of one ship after another? It would not take long to get that SAM update, and the news was grim. Daring had 15 Aster-30’s remaining, and Dragon only four. Broadsword had eight ESSM’s left. The two Type 42 destroyers still had plenty of Sea Darts, but being rail launched missiles, they could not volley fire like a VLS capable ship. That was a thin shield, particularly given the alert at 16:30 that the enemy had launched a second strike. Wells learned that only Argos Fire had any substantial defensive capability left. In modifying the ship, Fairchild & Company had doubled down on the VLS bays, so it still had 77 Asters available.

Commander Dean got the order to take Argos Fire west of the main fleet, and form a single ship screen. The carriers had but four fighters ready, but they would launch. These measures had to be enough, thought Wells. We simply cannot suffer any further losses here, and after this engagement, I must think on how to get this fleet to a safe harbor.

At 16:45, a lone F-35 had been given direct orders to ignore the incoming Vampires and forage ahead on military speed to get the Chinese KJ-200. It raced west, easily finding the AEW plane, and put two Meteors on it to end its brief watch. It was a very significant blow, because small circles of uncertainty now appeared around the last reported positions of all the British ships. The second enemy strike still had 42 missiles inbound, but now they had lost their long range radar picket, and the missiles would only fly towards the last reported position of their targets until they got close enough to use their own short range sensors.

When Wells learned the AEW plane had been killed, he clenched his fist, hoping he might have finally blinded the Chinese Fleet. Were there any more J-20’s about? If so, none had been detected in the last twenty minutes.

The air alert sounded. The first Vampires began to break the horizon. The last of the F-35’s exhausted their missiles to take down as many as they could. It was now 37 Vampires against whatever was left in those VLS cells, and much would ride on the Argos Fire, along with that ghost of a chance that the enemy may have lost their target fix. As the Vampires tracked in, many were north of the fleet, but some were close enough to turn and retarget. The SAM’s were leaping off every deck that had them, but the defense was just not good enough to stop a pair of leakers from getting past the destroyers. They found the frigate Birmingham, and Prince of Wales, their tails bright with fire as they attacked.

A hail of gunfire failed to stop them, and Admiral Wells felt his flagship shudder with the hit. Seconds later, he saw the Birmingham simply explode in ruin.

Fire, death, more blood in the sea, and another ship ravaged and sent to the bottom. Birmingham would die a quick death, consumed by flames, but at over 65,000 tons, Prince of Wales had weathered the blow she took. Damage was moderate, and flight operations would be inhibited, but that didn’t matter at that moment. The carrier would not have planes ready to fly again for a little over an hour, and that hour now meant everything.

The fleet still had Sea Darts in good numbers, but only 19 SAM’s of any other type that might kill a YJ-18. There were still two of the original five frigates alive, and they each had 32 Sea Ceptors that might defend against slower moving missiles. It was a critical situation that saw the fleet on the razor’s edge of oblivion. Wells knew that the only thing saving them for the moment was the fact that their enemy could no longer accurately fix their position… but that could change.

The Admiral shook his head, knowing deep down that the Royal Navy had been beaten here. It took every fighter we had to defend the fleet, he thought. They got over 50 kills on those incoming Sizzlers, and I can only imagine the havoc that would have reigned if those fallen missiles had been out there to come at us. I was lucky here to get off just losing the two frigates that went under. Prince of Wales is wounded, but still alive, yet she can only make 20 knots. We must disengage immediately, but can I find a safe port?

This is going to be a near run thing….

Part V

Rain of Arrows

“Trouble cannot be avoided, you either go looking for it or it will come looking for you.”

― Constance Friday

Chapter 13

Admiral Sun Wei had called for more air support, and four J-20’s had sucked their drop tanks dry to get out nearly 900 miles. As he had done before, he could use them to find the British ships, but the planes could not linger very long before needing to turn for home. They might also run afoul of unseen enemy fighters, as the first two brave pilots who died hours earlier. This time, no KJ-200 followed the J-20’s, as only one remained at Mombasa, and the Air Force refused to release it for operations.

In spite of his clear victory here, he now had several stark facts before him that would weigh heavily on his mind as he contemplated how to proceed. He was not worried about his SAM defenses, as his destroyers still had over 200 HQ-9B’s available. On offense, his VLS bays still held a little over 100 missiles that could reach the enemy, most being the YJ-100 now, a slow subsonic cruise missile. But he also had 40 more YJ-18’s, the missile he had tormented the British with to gain this victory.

His problem was one that many Generals and Admirals before him had faced—logistics. To make his second sortie, he had used most of the missile inventories that had been stockpiled in East Africa. He had sent a message home to inquire about replacements, but the fact was that China had little in the way of long range military air transport. Only two planes had the necessary range, the Y-9 and the new Y-20 heavy lift plane.

The Y-9 was China’s answer to the American C-130, and could carry a payload a little over 20 tons, but there were only ten built. Cruise missiles are much bigger and heavier than many realized. One YJ-18 missile had a weight of 2300 kilograms, which was 2.3 tons. So you could only put nine or ten such missiles on a single Y-9 transport plane, and it would take every plane China built to airlift enough YJ-18’s to replace those he had fired in this battle.

The new Y-20 heavy cargo lifter could do better, but the Admiral had been told those planes were not available. Only five of these had been built, and only recently delivered. The Air Force was simply not willing to risk them in the long flight over the Arabian Sea, especially since the Americans had basing rights in Oman. This meant that a strategic airlift into Mombasa would not be likely in the near future. He might badger the Air force and shake lose two or three planes, but otherwise, missile replenishment cargos would have to first go by rail through Pakistan to the big port of Karachi, and then by sea to any other destination. If they could make the hazardous journey from Karachi to Djibouti, which was 1575 miles, then they could go by rail again to Mombasa. To do any of this would take time, first to get the higher authorities to approve the missile transport operation, and then to conduct it. It was not going to happen.

The more Sun Wei considered this, the more he realized that his fleet was now playing with the hand they had been dealt before the war. While he knew he had one good attack left with his excellent destroyers, once those missiles were fired, he did not know when he would be able to sortie again in any real strength, unless he moved to Aden, where the Red Sea war supplies were stockpiled.

The British were beaten, now fleeing south at 20 knots. Their one attack with Tomahawks and a few higher speed missiles had been easily parried. His fleet was now sitting 900 miles southeast of his East African bases, and he knew that his primary mission was to control and block the sea lanes on either side of Madagascar.

This he had done, and it was clear to him, and most likely clear to the Royal Navy as well, that they could not drive him off. A fleet in being is a powerful deterrent, he thought. And I must not forget the Americans. The last satellite report showed they have a Carrier Strike Group somewhere south of Jakarta. That poses no immediate danger, being 3000 miles away at the moment, but given the strategic situation now, it is my belief that the American Navy will move first to Diego Garcia, and then into the Arabian Sea. In that instance, it is very likely that I will receive orders to move my destroyers north towards the Horn of Africa, where we would link up with our squadrons posted at Djibouti and Aden. Then we face the United States Navy, and I must have missiles for that fight.

So as much as I might wish to crush the British now with the hundred cruise missiles I still have here, this fleet must live to fight another day….

The Admiral turned to his adjutant, his mind made up.

“Order the J-20’s to orbit in place. They may return to their bases when fuel status makes this necessary. Then inform all ship Captains that we are turning for home port. This battle has been won, and we must prepare for action in the days and weeks ahead. I will address the ship’s compliment tomorrow. That is all.”

18:45 Local, 22 NOV 2025

Admiral Wells had been walking slowly back and forth on the bridge of Prince of Wales, a steady pacing that was not agitated, but reflective, measured. It was then that Captain Kemp came up to report that the last F-35 radar picket had just reported the Chinese fleet had turned.

“Turned? On what heading, Captain?”

“285 degrees northwest, sir.”

He gave the Admiral a searching look, waiting. The fleet had been running south, for Wells had it in his mind to try and reach the French Port Louis on Mauritius. That island was about 450 miles east of Madagascar, and from there he could at least watch the sea lane east of that big island with some authority. But his fleet had no teeth. Missiles would have to be flown in again from Diego Garcia, mostly SAM’s to give this fleet some ability to defend itself.

I could arm my F-35’s with SPEARS, enough being left for one more strike, but we still need those planes for fleet defense. They are my only shield now if we are attacked again. If I turn for Diego Garcia, there will be missiles waiting for me there. That’s where the Yanks are heading, and god knows we need them. So that’s where we will need to be, and soon. This Chinese Admiral could turn about and renew his pursuit at any time. Are they really going home?

“Captain,” he said. “The fleet will come about to a heading of 170 northeast. We’re going to Diego Garcia.”

As he watched the big bow of Prince of Wales begin that turn Wells knew he may have just been spared the ignominious fate of commanding the worst disaster in Royal Navy history. Ten ships were lost, and his flagship also bruised. His destroyers were empty, and the SAM’s on his frigates were useless. If the Chinese had hit him with another big salvo….

Yet he was going to escape. I was a near run thing, he thought, yes, a very near run thing, but we’re going to live to fight again.

24 NOV 2025

Diego Garcia

A Joint US/UK enterprise, Diego Garcia was truly one of the most strategic military bases in the world. A reef atoll, it had a large deep water lagoon that could harbor ships of any size, and in great numbers. The weather was good, as cyclones never formed in this region, and there was also a 4000 meter runway that could handle everything up to the size of a B-52.

When Wells brought in his weary fleet at 06:00 on the 24th of November, he was heartened to know that the Royal Navy kept a permanent task force on station there, consisting of the light carrier Ark Royal, Type 31 frigate Brazen, and two Type-23 frigates, Kenya and one named for its permanent home base, Diego Garcia. Those two ships had gotten the word from Whale Island that they were to receive modifications, a modular system that would give them the American RIM-162 ESSM.

It came from the older Mark 29 launchers, which were deck mounted and wholly self-contained. This precluded the need for complex wiring for targeting radars, and so two eight cell launchers were placed on Diego Garcia and Kenya, giving each frigate 16 ESSM’s in addition to their 32 Sea Ceptors. It wasn’t much, but those missiles could mean the difference between life or death for the ship when targeted by a high speed supersonic missile like the YJ-18. After testing at sea, the system was shown to work well, and so as soon as Wells put into port, he asked the American Commandant if his last two frigates could also be updated with the Mark 29. As it happened, there were several more of those launchers in storage, as the US had removed them from ships in earlier upgrades to their own vessels.

The wisdom of US naval designers was now being proved in the crucible of this war. The LHA Makin Island was also here, with Destroyers Meade and McClelland, and Wells was impressed by the power they could bring to sea. Their Mark 41 VLS cells could be loaded with a wide range of missiles, and these ships were each mounted with 40 Tomahawk MMT’s, 24 of the new US Standard Missile-6, and quad packed ESSM’s numbering 96 missiles.

“Now there’s a destroyer worth the name,” said Wells after touring Meade. “Our Daring class are fine ships, but they were built in a long and welcome stretch of peacetime for us at sea. In that interval, they seemed enough to do the job for us, but these American destroyers are literally twice as powerful. They were built for war, just like those of our adversaries.”

Wells observed that the US LHA carrier had been given both the ESSM as a medium range defense, and then the shorter range RIM-116, good out to ten miles. Having those two circles of defense around it made the ship much more survivable.

“If we can take a leaf from the US designers, we would be making a step in the right direction,” said Wells. “Let’s get Norfolk and Kent refitted with those Mark 29 ESSM launchers as soon as possible. And we must move mountains to get Prince of Wales fully operational, particularly those elevators that took damage when we were hit.

“Yes sir,” said Captain Kemp, a short, sandy haired man. “The engineers are right on that. We’ll get it sorted out. At least it was good to know that Prince of Wales can take a punch.”

“Indeed,” said Wells. “Let’s make it so she doesn’t have to take another. The Americans will be here soon, and that should buck up morale.”

“Yes sir, the Roosevelt group is 450 miles to the east, and with three more of these destroyers, and two of their cruisers. They should arrive in about 18 hours. After that, we’ll have the combined Australian/US support group—27 ships, sir, and ten warships in that group. The rest are hauling war supplies and US Marines.”

“We’re going to need them,” said Wells. “The one thing that will break this whole situation wide open would be for the Iraqis to get scratchy and go over the border into Kuwait. That’s what this whole affair is about. Unfortunately, we’ve failed to open the sea route from Cape Town, but things will change.”

“How do you see it, sir?” asked the Captain.

“Well Pete, When the Yanks get here, we’ll have muscle—real fighting power at sea, and enough to face down anything the Chinese have out here. We’ll move towards Oman, of course, because that’s where that troop convoy had to go, and more. If we don’t at least seize control of the Arabian Sea, then it really doesn’t matter that Cape Town can’t send ships north. So that’s where the fight will be. We may have lost the battle for the Indian Ocean, but something tells me that if we win this next fight for the Arabian Sea, we can reverse the whole lot in our favor.”

“It will rattle their cage if we move towards Oman.”

“That’s an understatement,” said Wells. “I think this Chinese Admiral that just handed us our hat will get order to move north, probably to the Horn of Africa. The Chinese have ships at Djibouti and Aden, and then they have a squadron at Gwadar, Pakistan, and another task force at Sri Lanka. It was a sad day when the Royal Navy left Colombo. Now the Chinese have the place.”

“Hard lessons, sir, but that was decades ago. Who could have foreseen all this? In 1990, the last thing we had on our minds was a showdown with the Chinese Navy out here.”

“True enough,” said the Admiral. “Well, a good slice of this war is going to be fought in this next campaign. If we fail to clear the way to Oman, then Saudi Arabia is completely isolated. We’ll combine with the Yanks to make a good go of things, which is why I wanted us here, and not at Port Louis on Mauritius. And there’s one more thing that might factor into this equation. The Indian Navy.”

Wells folded his arms. “Pakistan has opened Karachi to the Chinese, and I have no doubt they’ll be moving war supplies for this fight there as we speak. India and Pakistan are not friendly, to say the least. I would be very surprised if Washington and London aren’t burning the diplomatic midnight oil to get India into this war on our side. If they manage that, it could make all the difference. They had the strongest Navy in the Indian Ocean region, until the Chinese settled into all these bases. If they come over to our side of this argument, I think we can win this thing.”

“And if they stay neutral, sir?”

“Then we’ll do our best,” said Wells. “We’ll do our very best. The men have seen it now—that big grey elephant. We’ve been hurt, losing good crews and ships, and seen both our strengths and shortcomings since this thing teed off. Yet the Royal Navy isn’t finished yet, Captain, not by a long shot. We still hold Singapore, by the skin of our teeth, and this base right here, which puts us right in the middle of the stew.”

“About Singapore, sir… Can we hold out there?”

“That was the writing on the wall when we lost Illustrious and all her escorts. In fact, we should have seen the weakness in our frigates even earlier, in the Med.”

“The thing had just lit off, sir,” said Kemp. “Too easy to write off a loss as fortunes of war at that stage.”

“Yes? Well now we know better. We might buck up our frigates here with those Mark 29 launchers, but what we really need are more destroyers. After the losses started off Singapore, I put in a request to Whale Island, and they dispatched Legion and Lance from Gibraltar on the 18th. They’ll be coming with another attack boat to replace Howe, And that lot will reach Cape Town on the 28th of November, but it will take them another five days to reach Victoria in the Seychelles.”

“Better late than never, sir,” said Captain Kemp.

The British fleet had been rejuvenated there at Diego Garcia, refitting those frigates while they waited for the Roosevelt group. Wells took stock of his fleet, now with three carriers, five destroyers (including Argos Fire and a pair of Type 42’s), and nine frigates. He had recouped all the losses sustained in his advance to this point, and then some. The UK had two more Type 31 frigates feverishly fitting out in the Clyde, but beyond that, no other ship would be commissioned into the navy during this war.

With Wells now commanding 17 Ships and three more support vessels, and the Americans contributing ten ships, the Western Alliance now had a substantial fleet for this operation. Then there were another ten US and Australian warships escorting the troop and supply convoy. But as yet unknown to Admiral Wells, there was another small TF entering the scene, and it had come a very long way to get in on the action here

After resting at Sendai for some days, Vladimir Karpov made good on his plan to go south. With the American Navy waiting on convoys sealifting war supplies from San Diego and San Francisco, a long quiet spell settled over the Pacific. Yet no sooner had Karpov returned to his normal routine, when he could feel the lure of combat with the first reports coming in from Singapore. So he had taken Kirov and Kursk south, entering the Celebes Sea on the 18th. Two days later he was in the Java Sea, in a position to either support Singapore, or transit the Strait of Malacca or the Sunda Strait to get into the battle that was forming up in the Indian Ocean. He had ordered a supply ship to come all the way down from Petropavlovsk, laden with more missiles should he need them, and he certainly would.

Yes, Karpov could smell a good fight from over 3000 miles away, and there was no way he was going to miss out on this one.

Chapter 14

Admiral Sun Wei pulled on a pair of spectacles and read the decrypted message he had expected from Beijing. He was immediately pleased to see one of the signatories was Navy Commander Admiral Shen Jinlong, and another was Zhang Wendan, the Navy Chief of Staff. When he read the message, he swelled with pride. He was herewith promoted to Commander in Chief, Indo-Arabian Operations. The message was meant as much to honor him for the victory he had achieved over the Royal Navy, as well as to direct him to a coded plan briefing that he would find in the secure safe aboard his flagship.

He had set his flag aboard DDG Longshen, the Dragon God, the intrepid ship that had come all the way from the Canary Islands, a journey of many thousands of miles. Now he went to the safe to open his coded orders. The PLAN Naval Staff had devised several operational plans for various contingencies. There were three envelopes, and he compared their assigned codes to that received in this signal, selecting the appropriate message.

As I suspected, he mused while reading the order. I am to take my destroyers, and two frigates north to the tip of the Horn of Africa. And this is why no provision is being made to airlift missiles to Djibouti for transport by rail to Mombasa. That port is no longer vital. The enemy move to consolidate at Diego Garcia had been discussed, analyzed, and wargamed many times before the war. It means only one thing in this situation, that they are preparing a bold thrust towards the Arabian Peninsula. Therefore my fleet is needed there to help repel this operation. Once in position, I will assume command of regional forces from Djibouti and Aden, raising my strength to 20 ships again.

I am to coordinate with the newly appointed commander of the Arabian Sea and Bengal Bay Forces, Admiral Hong Buchan. He served in the Med before being ordered to withdraw through Suez. Some say his head is as thick as his neck, but I see him to be a competent and aggressive fighter. Yet he can also be impulsive, so I must hold the reins tightly on this one. He will have another 20 ships, and so we will be stronger now than ever before.

Between our two fleets, sits Oman, and the southeast end of the Arabian Peninsula. The Americans have a small naval presence there, but strong air power. This may mean we would have to fight with an enemy force at our backside, while we face their main thrust, which is not good. So we may have to neutralize these bases in Oman, which will have the further benefit of inhibiting the American effort to land troops there. There is just one drawback… It means we would have to strike Oman. Those attacks would come with the big operation we are expecting on the Arabian Peninsula.

So now the fires of this war will spread to a most volatile region. It will no longer be hidden in the vast emptiness of the oceans, but the sea battle ahead may end up deciding the outcome. Here is the code name the Iraqi’s have chosen: Sayf Alsahra', the Sword of the Desert, yet it will soon begin with fire arrows, and among them, our gift to the Iranians. Now the struggle for control of those vast oil reserves in the Middle East will finally begin.

* * *

The strategic situation in the Indo-Arabian sector was complex, to say the least. On the Arabian Peninsula, the House of Saud could count on Bahrain, Qatar and the Gulf States, including Oman, but it had strong enemies in Egypt, Iraq, Iran, and Yemen, all backed by China. Sitting at the mouth of the Gulf of Oman, China and Pakistan were hand in glove, the China-PAK alliance active for many years. To make matters worse, the Gulf of Aden was heavily dominated by the Chinese, with bases in Djibouti and Yemen.

At the same time, Chinese bases on Sri-Lanka at Colombo and Hambantoa were also in unfriendly waters, and the only line of communications to Sri Lanka ran northeast through the Bay of Bengal to Burma, where China had pipeline terminals at Chittagong and Sittwe. The bases on Sri Lanka had been established to stretch that line of communications around the proverbial elephant in the region, the powerhouse lending its name to the vast seas to the south, India.

While they had not openly clashed in decades, China and India maintained guarded and watchful relations, mostly because of China’s cozy relationships with Pakistan. This put the world’s second most populous nation, nuclear armed, and with a strong military and navy, right in the middle of China’s soup kettle. There was no way China would ever dominate a billion people in India, and so the last thing the Chinese wanted was open war with New Delhi.

Yet things happen.

The province of Kashmir had been a bone of contention between India and Pakistan since 1947, and it remained a dangerous flashpoint. Should it flare up into open warfare, Pakistan might naturally call on China to pay the rent for its access to ports and airfields in Pakistan, and that would put Beijing in a most uncomfortable position. There had also been squabbles and mutual claims over slices of territory along the Indo-Chinese border that had caused conflict in the 1960’s.

Now, with most of China’s land army in Manchuria entangled with the Siberians, the last thing Beijing wanted was to have to move troops to the Indian border, in those mountainous regions that were so difficult where military operations were concerned.

At sea, China’s Indo-Arabian fleet was strong, but Beijing had enough on its hands in facing down the US and UK. If India joined that coalition, the sea lanes China had been trying to control and protect from the Middle East to Burma could be easily broken where they stretched around Sri Lanka. India’s eastern and western fleets could squeeze that chokepoint in a pincer move, and with the “Malacca Dilemma” still not solved, China could see its energy lifeline jugular decisively severed in such a scenario.

This is why Washington and London were urgently negotiating with India to consider active support for their coalition. Decisions made in New Delhi might therefore determine the outcome of the entire conflict in this region, and what happened here would likely decide the war. India knew this, and fully realized that it was a decisive Joker in the deck, it’s allegiance or neutrality having great consequences for both sides. If China could not control the sea lanes from the Middle East to the South China Sea, it was only a matter of time before it would have to sue for peace.

This made the price Beijing was paying for its seizure of the Ryukyus to secure the “First Island Chain” very high. It began with war against Japan, which soon brought the US into active operations in the Pacific. Then China supported long held plans in the dark corners of the mind of Saddam and Qusay Hussein, and the Arabian Nightmare was born. This led to the brief, violent actions against the Royal Navy in the Med, and again at Singapore, as one domino after another made its thundering fall. The regional squabble with Japan had become a world war in a matter of thirty days.

Now things were about to escalate further as Iraq prepared to unsheathe its Sword of the Desert. That meant the war for the great prize in the Middle East—Saudi Arabia, was about to begin.

That night, in the dark nested hollows of mountains in Iran, the grim opening salvos of that battle were preparing to launch. Iran had a large inventory of ballistic missiles, about 300 of its Shahab-1, 200 of the updated Shahab-2, and about 50 Shahab-3. The earliest models had little range, so it would be the #2 and #3 versions that would be used in this attack. To these, China had gifted Tehran with many batteries of its DF-11A missiles, and all these weapons had long posed a deadly threat to the fragile and vulnerable pipelines, refineries, terminals and oil fields of the region.

But those were not the targets. The entire point of this campaign was to secure the oil facilities intact, not to destroy them. Instead, the rain of arrows would fall on the bases and ports that hostile powers in the region would rely on in any conflict. The main targets selected were: King Khalid Airbase in northern Saudi Arabia, King Abdul Aziz AFB on the coast, Al-Udeid AFB in Qatar, and Al Dhafra AFB in the United Arab Emirates. The ports were not considered as vital in the Persian Gulf itself, as they would also prove useful when captured. Since hostile forces had to first get past the Chinese Indo-Arabian Fleet to access them, China did now worry about US Marines landing there, aside from a few battalions that were quartered in Bahrain and Qatar. Any other allied forces would head for Oman, and then move overland through the U.A.E. into Saudi Arabia.

At 03:00 in the dark of the early morning, the order was given to let the fire arrows go, and just over 100 missiles of various stripes would be launched. They would be coming very fast, at between 4500 and 6500 knots, and did not have far to fly, which made any defense a chancy thing. The Saudis had several Patriot batteries strung out along their coast in a defensive front, and these began to track and fire soon after the launch. They would get at least 20 confirmed kills, with three other missiles suffering significant deviation from their flight path that caused them to miss their targets entirely. The remaining arrows, about 75, would all hit the ground somewhere close to where they had been aimed, causing a great deal of chaos and damage.

At Dhafra AFB, one of the hardest hit, numerous weather shelters were flayed with shrapnel, and the cargo terminal building was heavily damaged and set on fire. Runways and access points were left with smoking craters, an avgas bunker was immolated, and many hangars damaged. At Ad-Udeid in Qatar, two big B-1B bombers that had been hosted in open parking were totally destroyed, along with two F-15 Eagles, three Seahawks, and a KE-3A Sentry Tanker left burning on the tarmacs. Dark fingers of smoke began to rise over all these air bases, but the response to the attack would be swift and pointed.

The US had launched a single B-1 just minutes before the missiles came, and it was loaded with 24 JASSM cruise missiles on a mission to strike the Iranian radar network. This had been part of a standard patrol that had been mounted each day in the event of hostilities, and that day had come. It quickly dispatched its ordnance, hitting coastal radars from Bushehr to Bandar Abbas, which slowly blinded the Iranian air and naval commands. The island of Abu Musa was also struck to neutralize that airfield near the Strait of Hormuz, and then the main campaign would begin with the fighter bombers.

Saudi Arabia was infuriated by the surprise attack, even though they expected trouble soon. Yet they had no similar strategic missile brigade to counterattack.[1] Instead it would send its Tornado Fighters up with Storm Shadow cruise missiles, and they would not be alone. Qatar immediately ordered a reprisal against the Shiraz SSM complex that had attacked Al-Udeid, which remained operational in spite of the damage. For this it sent a squadron of nine Rafael fighters up, each carrying a pair of SCALP missiles, the same as the British Storm Shadow.

The USAF had another B-1 loaded and ready, and there were nine F-15’s ready to go with JASSM. The US Army did not have ground launched SSM’s to throw back at the enemy either, but the Air Force had plenty of wings that could get the job done. Over the next three hours, in a pre-planned strike campaign, the Saudi and USAF units based in the Kingdom, and in Qatar, would begin to systematically take Iran’s air defense and missile complex facilities apart. The Bushehr Naval base docks in the north were also destroyed. Only missile TEL’s that were hidden in mountain caves for a second missile strike would survive to make another attack on Al-Udeid, but the airfield was massive, and most of those missiles simply found the empty desert around it, doing little more damage.

With that, the rain of arrows would burn out, but the real fighting was about to begin.

* * *

There had been no US Naval presence inside the Persian Gulf when the war broke out, except for the single LA Class sub Pasadena. A second LA Class boat, the Toledo, was lurking in the widening maw of the passage south of the Strait of Hormuz. All other local USN units were in the Arabian Sea bases of Oman.

At As Sultan Harbor near Muscat on the Gulf of Oman, the US had a single Ticonderoga class cruiser, Bull Run, with two destroyers, Robert Rodes and Starke. LHA Tulagi was also there, with a pair of Freedom Class Littoral Combat Ships (LCS), Hunter and Ranger. Far to the south on the Arabian Sea at Salaha Harbor, the US had another two LCS ships, Recon and Scout, and a few unmanned recon sea assets.

The LCS ships had been upgraded so they at least could fight other patrol craft and frigates at range, with the addition of eight Naval Strike Missiles. The TF had sortied for the first time to escort a couple tankers in the Gulf of Oman that were moving south to harbor near Muscat, and establish a security patrol near the big oil terminal port of Al Fujairah to the north.

Now that hostilities had erupted in the region, the Iranians had sent what little they had of a navy out to look for targets of opportunity. Their patrol boats and frigates had found and killed the tanker Burgan, a 40,000 tonner, in the north Persian Gulf region, but they in turn were set upon by the Royal Saudi Navy, which cleared the area and sunk any Iranian vessel it detected.

Iran was now looking south to the key chokepoint of the Strait of Hormuz. Light up a few tankers there, and the world would know that Iran had the power to do what it had long claimed—choke off the world’s largest supply of oil at their whim. How long they could do that was another matter, and that little contest was now about to begin.

The Iranians had five batteries of coastal SSM’s that could range on the area, numerous fast attack craft, at least six hidden diesel subs, and a small flotilla at the port of Jask south of the Strait. It was that group that would soon come into direct conflict near Muscat as it sortied out to look for prey….

* * *

“I don’t know, Jim, but OMCOM is a little edgy about this situation. Washington wants us to show the flag, but we’re hung out here on our own until Roosevelt gets close, and its feeling mighty lonesome.”

That was Captain Peter Duncan on the cruiser Bull Run speaking with his XO, James, Fallon. OMCOM was, of course, Oman Command, and it was indeed a lonesome stand. There were just not enough big deck carriers to keep one on full time patrol on the region, which had been quiet for many years. Then all hell broke loose in the Pacific, and now the Navy was rushing CV Roosevelt to the scene, but it was many hours away, still approaching Diego Garcia at that hour.

“I hear ya,” said the XO. “Chinese walloped the Royal Navy down south, and they have a pretty damn strong fleet up here. In fact, we’ll be in missile range from the moment we leave port.”

“Better at sea than tied up at a dock,” said the Captain. “Did you get the Intel on that local TF?”

“It’s been like Chinese checkers out here, sir, but I think we narrowed it down. They have two of their hot new Renhai class DDs, and a couple older Type 051D’s—it’s an upgrade model, and we don’t have much in the way of specs on it yet. Beyond that, they have a corvette and two more frigates.”

“Seven ships… and two of them Renhai Class. That’s a lot to tangle with. Where are they now?”

“Here sir, about 100 miles northeast of Cape Ras al Haad. That’s about 165 miles east of our harbor.”

“So they are in missile range…. That report on the YJ-18’s was sobering.”

“Yes sir. They copied that one from the Russians, but they sure kicked it into high gear on that terminal run.”

“Word is that our ESSM’s can handle it, but seven ships can haul a lot of throw weight. If we get into a scrap with them, we’ll need air support from those Strike Raptors at Seeb.”

That was the airbase near Muscat, very close to the As Sultan Harbor where the US ships were now casting off lines. And yes, they were going to need all the help they could find.

Chapter 15

You could not kill what you could not see…. That was now the dilemma being face by the Iranians as one radar site after another was destroyed by US and Saudi air assets. They could not forge the first link of their kill chain, and had little in the way of AEW planes that could surveil the region. China might pass along satellite data, but it was not enough. So they resorted to the old fashioned fallback of fighter jet reconnaissance missions, hoping to find fat, oil laden fish in the Gulf of Oman.

The results there would be mixed. An old F-4 Phantom would take off from Jask airfield, fly low over the gulf, and then climb to look for tanker traffic. About 50 miles out, it spotted a big ship heading south, and reported the contact to TF Jask, which had the frigates Alvand, Alborz, and three Thondor class patrol boats, each carrying four Chinese built C-802 missiles. Sometimes thought of as the Chinese Harpoon, the missile had about the same range as that American made weapon, roughly 70 miles, and was perfect for use in these constricted littoral waters.

One of two F-22 Raptors that had been covering the US TF was diverted to investigate the F-4 when it was detected. Racing northwest towards the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz at 1000 knots, the pilot saw both the F-4 and four missiles heading for the big 150,000 ton Singapore flagged tanker Amethyst. It was ordered to engage the missiles first, and then take down that fighter.

Unlike the F-35, which could carry only four AIM-120D’s internally, the Raptor could bring six. That allowed them to put one on each of the four missiles TF Jask had fired, and one on that F-4, still leaving one arrow in the quiver if anything missed. All four missiles were destroyed, but the F-4 dove and slipped the noose on that first shot. The Last AMRAAM would find and kill it a minute later.

“Bertha, Achilles-1. Grandslam, and we are Winchester.” The raptor pilot reported he had swept the table, but seeing their missiles defeated, the Iranians doubled down. A second Thondor missile boat pushed four more chips out onto the table, firing all its C-802’s.

“Roger Achilles-1, cleared RTB. Achilles-2, vector 350 and burn the oil. Bertha, Over.”

“Roger that, Bertha. Achilles-2 turning on 350, and Buster.”

The second Raptor in that flight had been ordered to get northwest fast and see if it could intervene. At the same time, two more F-22’s were scrambling from As Sultan air field, with another pair of Strike Raptors carrying the GBU-53.

It was a real footrace now. The F-22’s were almost twice as fast at the C-802, which was a subsonic missile at 520 knots. But the missiles had been fired just 50 miles from the tanker, and Achilles-2 had been 120 miles away when it was ordered to turn and burn. So the Vampires were about 20 miles from their targets by the time the F-22 was getting in range. At 15:20, it put four missiles out after the Vampires, and they went racing in to try and save the tanker.

On board the Amethyst, a crewman on an upper deck had seen the C-802’s tracking in and rang the bell to sound an alarm. Then he crossed himself as the Vampires pushed inside the five mile mark, burning their way towards all that oil. He saw a flash of light to the east, and white angels were streaking through the sky, their tails bright with fire. One by one, they found and killed those cruise missiles, the last just two miles from the ship. It was as if God had answered his prayer that hour, flinging his arrows to save the ship.

Frustrated, the third Iranian Thondor now fired its four missiles, and the drama would replay yet again. Yet the Iranian F-4 had also detected another ship hovering off the great oil terminal port of Al Fujairah, and it was also targeted by the frigate Alvand. From the Iranian point of view, their missiles were simply exploding, as they had not seen any of the Raptors on their fitful radars.

“Ulysses, Bertha. These guys have fired again. Take it to them. Cleared hot. Over.

“Roger Big Bertha, Ulysses on the Indians.”

The Strike Raptors were going after the source of the trouble, vectoring in on TF Jask. They raced in and sent a cloud of GBU-53’s at the Iranian ships, which had nothing but guns and chaff for defense. With 32 bombs in the air, that wasn’t going to have any chance of stopping that attack.

Light frigate Alborz was the first to be hit, three bombs blasting into the 1500 ton ship. All three patrol boats were smashed, and the sole survivor, frigate Alvand, turned and went all ahead flank for home.

It would never get there….

“Bertha, Ulysses. Bury my heart at Wounded Knee. The Indians are goners. Grandslam, Over.”

“We copy, Ulysses. RTB.”[2]

Two more F-22A’s, Achilles five and six, would now scramble to take up the watch as the Strike Raptors turned for home. The air cover had done its job, killing every missile fired at those two tankers, and then sinking all five Iranian ships, ending the naval threat from the port of Jask.

18:00 Local 24 NOV 2025

These incidents had turned on the lights in HQ compounds all through the Gulf of Oman. The Iranians were somewhat humiliated over the fact that they could not even put a single missile on those lumbering tankers, but the only thing they could do was order a hidden diesel sub to move in their direction. The American Raptors could not kill torpedoes. At Jask airport, they had nine Mirage F-1’s, which were relatively useless in any contest for control of the airspace. Their only missile was the R550 Magic, with a five mile range. Yet they might arm with bombs and make a suicide run at the tanker, for that is what it would become against the American F-22’s. At the moment, they were staying on the ground.

About 130 miles east of Jask in Iran, the Chinese had a squadron of J-10B’s at Char Bahar, and they threw up a CAP patrol to screen a KJ-200 AEW plane. That was the last Iranian airfield, on the Gulf of Oman, but further east, just across the Pakistani border, was the Chinese base at Gwadar. The US noted that the Chinese Arabian Sea Task Force did not appear to be entering the Gulf of Oman. You could draw a line from the Pakistani border to the Cape Ras al Haan where the coast of Oman bent sharply south, and the Chinese were staying east of that border.

As for the US Security Patrol, they had standing orders not to engage land targets in Pakistan, or any aircraft, ship, or sub identified as Pakistani. That was a fuse they did not want to light. So Bull Run turned northwest, about 30 miles off the coast of Oman, intending to make its way north towards Al Fujairah and the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz. Then something happened to knock the tensely balanced situation out of whack.

The Chinese J-10 patrol was hugging the Iranian coast, about 115 miles from the US TF, and it made a sudden turn towards the Americans, switching on its radars. They were trying to resolve the contact made by their KJ-200 on the American ships, but that sudden move was like a gunslinger reaching to his hip as far as Captain Duncan was concerned on Bull Run. He went after them with Standard Missile-6, killing two of the three J-10’s.

That missile fire quickly allowed the Chinese TF to confirm the known American cruiser in the region was now at sea. Captain Duncan’s move might have been made out of an abundance of caution, but it immediately turned what looked like a tense standoff into an active engagement. There were a pair of dragons out in the Arabian Sea, and now they would wake up.

DDG Chilong, the Fire Dragon, was the local cop on the beat, operating out of Gwadar under Captain Yu Han. He was reinforced by DDG Feilong, the Flying Dragon that had come all the way from the Med, and these ships formed the nucleus of a very powerful TF, as Captain Duncan knew. Now he had all but dared the Chinese to do something about the shootdown incident, and they did, with a barrage of 16 YJ-18’s. Captain Duncan was now going to get a firsthand look at what that missile could do, or so he believed.

“We’ve been fired upon,” said Fallon, leaning heavily over the radar station aboard the Bull Run. “Looks like 16 Vampires.”

“Standby to repel missile attack,” said Duncan, knowing his SM-6 fire had poked a stick in the beehive. The Chinese weren’t doing anything he would not have done under similar circumstances, but he noted the salvo coming their way was not too heavy.

“Mister Fallon, contact Muscat and tell them they’d better get some more Raptors up.”

Those vampires were coming at a sedate 530 knots, which left plenty of time for the Air CAP to take a shot at them, which they did. The two F-22s killed six of the enemy cruise missiles before turning for home, and now more planes were scrambling off the airfield at Muscat. They just climbed, acquired the targets, and fired immediately. Not one of the YJ-18’s would get close enough to start that dreadful high speed terminal run, and Captain Duncan smiled, glad that the USAF had his back.

20:00 Local 24 NOV 2025

Aboard DDG Chilong, Captain Yu Han had been watching the attack on radar. When the last of his missiles were killed well before they reached their target, he knew there must be hidden aircraft out there in the deadly space between the two TF’s.

Yes, he thought, the American stealth fighters are very good. Reports from Admiral Sun Wei indicated that the British used their carrier planes almost exclusively to defend their fleet. It took overwhelming force to break them, and that means I might have to be more aggressive here if I am to make any mark on this American task force. A man cannot get fat with just one bite.

To begin with, their ships are much better at air defense than the Royal Navy ships, and this air cover will make them very hard targets. The enemy fighters would have to be defeated or at least worn down before we could get at those ships.

He considered what to do, knowing that the Americans were not the only ones with stealth fighters. There were two squadrons of J-20’s at Gwadar, but to use them he would need permission from the Zone Commander, Admiral Hung Buchan. That should not be difficult, he thought. That man was always spoiling for a good fight. It has been said he learned to run before he could walk!

It was then that the Captain would realize just how dangerous the American Air Force could be. Four more Strike Raptors had taken off from Muscat and then turned south before angling southeast behind the coastal range. They then crossed the rugged mountains and came at the Chinese fleet from the southwest, their weapons bays loaded with 24 GBU 53’s each. That would put 96 bombs in the air, a most uncomfortable attack, because it drained SAM’s at a terrible rate, even if these were not heavy ship killing bombs. Each one that hit would still do damage, so they had to be engaged and defeated, one by one.

The Arabian Sea TF was sitting with 160 HQ-9B’s in the VLS bays, between the two Type 055’s. The remaining SAM defense was 128 HQ-16’s, a medium range missile good out 21 miles. After that it was all short range HQ-10’s with 92 of those good out to 4 miles.

At 20:57, minutes before the hour, a massive red stain appeared on the Chinese radars as the Strike Raptors let those bombs fly. Every ship in the task force was targeted with at least a dozen bombs, and the Renhai Class ships got anything that was left over to pile on them even more. As it happened, the two dragons were screening the other TF ships, and now they looked over their shoulders, saw the attack coming, and prepared to roar.

The destroyers could put out a terrible volume of fire in need, the HQ-9’s having proved themselves as lethal defenders in many engagements over the last month. They would end up firing every HQ-9 they had, clouding up the night with a ghastly grey pall of missile smoke, but that shotgun of fire was enough. Some of the bombs got close, prompting gunfire that sent rending streams of 30mm rounds into that grey shroud. And then it was over, with all 96 bombs found and killed, and not one scratch on any of the Chinese ships. The damage done, however, was the loss of all that long range missile defense.

Captain Yu Han knew now that his wisest course was 15 degrees northeast, back to a safe harbor at Gwadar. There were several ships there that might sortie to help cover him, and now the J-20’s would fly like bats from their nests in the dark, and begin winging their way towards the war smoke on the sea.

* * *

“That did it,” said Lt Commander Fallon on the Bull Run. “Damn, the Air Force won this one. We didn’t have to fire a missile after we took down those two J-10’s”

“Those GBU’s really pull the SAM’s,” said Captain Duncan. “The report I read said the British used them to good effect early on, but then had to go defensive with their F-35’s. Looks like the Chinese are headed back to Gwadar. Report it to OMCOM, and tell them we’ll proceed as planned to clear the strait of Hormuz.”

“Aye sir, they’ll be glad to hear it. Say, these guys aren’t all that bad. They roughed up the Royal Navy, but they couldn’t lay a finger on us.”

“And we didn’t have to lift one either,” said Captain Duncan, but don’t think it will stay that way. There’s trouble here, Jim, deeper and wider than the Gulf of Oman, and that much trouble always finds a way onto your lap. This isn’t over.”

It certainly wasn’t…

Part VI

Arabian Nightmare

“They will smile, as they always do when they plan a major attack late in the night.”

― Dejan Stojanovic

Chapter 16

Midnight, 24 NOV 2025

Sergeant James Stoker pulled off the side of the road, the big engine of his Humvee rumbling in the night. Part of an advance cadre of recon specialists, he and Lieutenant Michael Ives had been told to get forward and find out what was happening on the ground out near the northern border town of Halfar al Batin. It was actually 50 kilometers south of the Iraqi border, but there wasn’t much more than empty desert north of the city. They stopped there briefly, to liaison with officers commanding the Saudi 8th Mech Brigade, trying to ascertain their intentions, and where they might be planning to deploy. Then they took a secondary road north to the smaller settlement of As Sufayri, pulling in to the Rakan gas station just at the edge of town. They were going to need the fuel.

The two men were close comrades in arms, serving together in the 82nd Airborne for over eight years, and, having each other’s backs on more than one occasion in that time. On a first name basis, “Bram” Stoker would often call the Lieutenant by the handle the men in the battalion had given him, “Ivy Mike,” because he could have an explosive temper when things went FUBAR on his watch. Ivy Mike had been the name of a big thermonuclear test blast on the 1st of November, 1952, over ten megatons, and it seemed to fit Michael Ives well enough when he blew his lid.

“Topped off and growlin’,” said the Sergeant as he listened to the Hummer purr. They had driven through the small settlement, and out into the empty nothing of the desert night, all lights off and navigating with night vision goggles. The desert was laced with the thin tracks of other vehicles that had wandered about in this area. They passed some strange lines of earthen digs in the sand but saw nothing else in the black night. The moon was down, and it was very dark.

“Zero Dark Thirty tonight,” said the Lieutenant. “Can you believe there’s supposed to be a wildlife safari camp out here somewhere?”

“No shit?” said the Sergeant. “Camels humping it out here LT?”

“God only knows. Well, we passed Hill 1194 ten klicks north of that rat hole where we gassed up. I’m figuring that dark spot up ahead will be Hill 1178. Let’s get up there and have look see.”

“Roger that,” said Stoker, putting the hummer in gear and moving on to reach the hill about twenty minutes later. It was not a prominent rise, just an elevation in the land with ragged sides, so the Hummer was left below when the two men hiked up to get a look north. All seemed quiet and still, with no sign of any movement on the desolate terrain ahead. So they hiked back down taking the Humvee north of the hill until they came across a series of what looked like military dugouts, light prepared positions in small circles, spaced about two kilometers apart.

“LT, Kuwati troops maneuver out here? Those look like company defense positions.”

“More like platoon revetments,” said Ives, “probably made by troops of AFV’s. But there’s nobody here now. GPS has us just 37 klicks south of the border. There’s supposed to be a guard post out there somewhere near the wire.”

“Guarding what? There’s not a damn thing out here.”

“Guarding the border, Jimbo, what else. Hey, kill the engine for a minute, I want to listen up.”

Stoker complied, and the silence of that desert night fell heavily all around them. The night sky above was as clear as they had ever seen it, and the Milky Way rose prominently in a vivid display of stars and hazy gas. They got out of the hummer, walking a few yards into that empty silence, a feeling of awe settling on them. Then the Lieutenant touched Stokers arm, as if he heard something that suddenly put him on guard. They stood there, listening. A wind came up, and they could hear the sands simmering and whispering, but behind it, there came a distinctive pop, pop, pop, that their well-trained ears immediately knew as gunfire. The LT looked at the Sarge, nodding his head.

“Looks like the reports were good,” he said. “Sound travels a good long way in the desert. That has to be fighting out near the border.”

They didn’t know it at that moment, but they were listening to the Iraqi Samarra Brigade crossing the frontier, and getting after a Saudi border patrol. Back in the states at Bragg, they had followed the news of the naval fighting for some time, and the fighting in China. They were amazed at the balls the Siberians had when they decided to try and take on 1.4 billion Chinese. When things had flared up in the Med, they got orders to get ready to deploy. “Strike Hold” was the Ready Brigade, and they would be the first to go.

Stoker figured there was some shit going down in the Med, as he put it. “Hell,” he had said, “damn Egyptians shut down the Suez Canal. Maybe they want us to go over there and take charge.”

“Maybe,” Ives had replied. When they learned they were going into Sigonella, that seemed to add up for some action near Suez. But they did not stay long. They were on the big C5 Galaxy airlift planes the next night, winging their way into the darkness. The next thing they knew, they were in Saudi Arabia.

The two men waited there for some time, until the sound of that distant gunfire abated. Then, on a whim, Sergeant Stoker got down on the ground.

“What’s up Stokes? You itching to do some pushups?”

“Hell no. I’m going Indian on you, LT. Hush up. I want to listen to the ground.”

Stoker took off his helmet, pressed his ear to the ground, and the Lieutenant could see the starlight in his eyes. He got up, brushing the loamy sand from his trousers, and smiled.

“They’re coming,” he said definitively.

“Who’s coming?”

“Saddam’s grandkids, who else? Try it, LT. You can hear the AFV’s out there chewing up the ground.”

Lieutenant Ives shook his head, but with a grin. He took a deep breath of that desert night air, and felt the wind from the north on his face, cool and carrying the scent of earthy sand. Then he heard what Stoker had clued him in to just a moment earlier. They had been out for desert training many times, and Ives knew the sound of a tracked AFV in the distance when he heard one.

“Damn,” he said. “No shit, Stoker! They are coming. Let’s get back to the Hummer.”

They turned and went back to Hill 1178, hiking back up and standing on higher ground to surveil the land ahead. Then they saw a faint flickering on the edge of darkness, and Ives knew it had to be headlights on the vehicles. It grew over the next few minutes, that single point of light expanding with others that soon spread across the horizon.

“I make it about 35 klicks out there,” said Lieutenant Ives. Much of the elevation in that hill’s label was gained from the ground it sat on, and it was really no more than three or four hundred feet above the surrounding terrain. That would put the horizon about 36 kilometers out, and something had just crossed it—war. They both instinctively knew that was what they were looking at, war.

“Has to be at least a regiment,” said Stokes.

“Brigade,” said Ives. “Iraqi Army is all organized as brigades. “Hear that? There’s more hum than rattle out there stokes, so my bet is that this is a motor rifle brigade, not heavily mechanized.”

“Damn!” said Stokes. “Iraqis crossed the border? This is some serious shit, LT.”

“Alright, let’s get back to Halfar and clue in the Saudi’s. Better get them on the radio. By the time we get there, the Iraqis will be gassing gup in that hamlet we stopped at north of the city!”

* * *

Stoker and Ives delivered their warning to the Saudis, and then contacted OMCOM to make their full report. They were told to wait there at Halfar al Batin, and observe what the Saudis were doing, reporting every three hours. It was soon clear that the local commander. Lt. General Saifur Rahman Hamid, was preparing to make a stand. The General’s name meant “Sword of the Most Gracious,” and he seemed keen on using it. They saw that columns of troops and vehicles were arriving there every hour, coming up the road from the south.

“Where did all this come from?” asked Stoker.

“King Khalid Military City,” said Ives. “It’s about 60 kilometers southwest. But you’re right, all this couldn’t have come from that one base. I think they pulled units from the Hail district to the northwest.”

“Looks like they want to fight right here,” said the Sergeant.

“It does indeed. Hell, there must be five brigades here, and they’ve deployed on a 40 kilometer front from the way I read the map.”

“What’s so important about Halfar?” asked Stoker.

“That’s just it—nothing, really. There’s a big pipeline underground here. Runs all the way from Dammam to the Med—Trans-Arabian Pipeline. That has to be it.”

“Well shit, LT. They’d have to deploy on a much broader front to defend that, and well forward. Iraqis could cut that pipeline anywhere.”

“Just what I was thinking,” said the Lieutenant. “We better let OMCOM know that half the Saudi Army is out here on a limb, and spoiling for a fight. But for my money, I’d say they ought to be humping it southeast towards the coast. That’s where the main event will be. This is a sideshow.”

The tension was building over the next few hours, covered by a frenetic energy as the Saudi troops moved through the dusty streets of the city, coming from many directions. The men were unloading trucks, moving crates of ammunition, mines, wire, and setting up gun positions. North of the city, Ives could see them digging small revetments, just like those they had seen earlier in the desert. There was an urgency to their movements, tinged by uncertainty and fear.

Sergeant Stoker had been listening on the radio set in the Hummer, picking up news of what was happening as he switched from one military band to another. From what he could gather, there was a big invasion of Kuwait underway to the northeast. Reports were scattered. Nothing seemed definitive or certain, but he had heard this kind of radio traffic many times before, and he felt a palpable edge of panic beneath it all.

“Iraqis rolled into Kuwait,” he told the LT. “You were right. That’s where the main shit is. These guys we eyeballed earlier were probably just making a recon in force near the border out here, but where are they now?”

“Did you see that scuffle in the sky an hour ago?” said Ives. “Fighters were mixing it up. Iraqi air force was probably trying to reconnoiter this area, and they most likely saw all this business underway. If we were right, and that was a single brigade we saw earlier, then I don’t think they want to tangle with all this Saudi stuff. I just identified the locals here. They have 6th and 8th Mech Brigades, 45th Armored, King Saud Light Infantry and Border Guards on the flanks. Colonel Jahid says more troops are coming this way from Hail.”

“Strength in numbers,” said Stoker. “Bucks up morale before a fight. Did you report all that to OMCOM?”

“Of course, but they weren’t happy about it. They wanted me to make certain the Saudis were really digging in here, and when I told them what we’ve observed, the revetments and dugouts and all, the Major on the other end of the line was pissed. I don’t think OMCOM wants the Saudis out here. If they hit Kuwait hard, then most everything they have is going to be up there, not here.”

A blind man could see that.

* * *

The darkness in the desert night was near complete, for the sickle moon had set four hours earlier, leaving only the scattered diamond stars on sable black silk in the sky.

On this day Theodosius-I made his first entry into Constantinople in the year 380. The Thames River froze solid in 1434 and again in 1715. Mount Vesuvius was grumbling and vomiting lava in 1759. The Texas Rangers mounted up for the first time in 1835. Blue and Gray soldiers mauled one another at Chattanooga in 1863. A man named Clyde Coleman filed a patent on the first electric automobile starter in 1903. General Pershing pulled his troops out of Mexico in 1916. The FBI Crime Lab officially open in Washington DC in 1932, and the German Blitz began with the bombing of Bristol, killing 200 in 1940. Four years later in 1944, US bombers made the first raid on Tokyo from bases taken in Saipan. On a lighter note, in 1966, a British rock band named “The Beatles” recorded Sergeant Pepper’s Lonely Hearts Club Band.

And in 2025, the artillery of the Iraqi 1st Army began pounding the border outpost town of Abdali, a few kilometers south of Safwan. There, the 5th Mech battalion of the Kuwaiti 6th Brigade had dug in along the desert frontier, and they were about to be hit by three Iraqi brigades of the Republican Guard Hammurabi Division. As the troops hunched in their trenches and bunkers, the thump of helicopters was heard, moving like dark, unseen spirits in the night. They would deliver the Iraqi 2nd Special forces battalion to take up blocking positions on the road just south of the Kuwaiti positions, cutting off any possibility of an easy retreat.

Further east near the port of Umm Qsar, the last brigade of the Hammurabi Division, 18th Armored, was also attacking across hastily strung wire and shallow minefields that had been sewn by the 10th Al Tahir Commando Battalion of Kuwait. Here the Iraqi forces would be joined by a contingent from Iran, which had begun crossing from Abadan into Iraq an hour earlier. It included three tank brigades of the 92nd Armored Division, and three more Revolutionary Guard Infantry Brigades.

To the west, the 39th Battalion of the Kuwaiti 6th Mech would receive the full weight of the Iraqi Al-Medina Division, all four brigades, including two armored. Further southwest, the Iraqi 3rd Tawakalna Division reached the border fence, burst through, and found no opposition, only empty desert stretching for miles and miles into the Ratqa Oil fields. Crossing the undefended border to the south, the six mechanized brigades of the Baghdad and Nebuchadnezzar Divisions rolled through the darkness in long columns, turning south towards Highway 70. Their mission was to cut off the great metropolitan center of Kuwait City, and then wait for their comrades to smash their way into Kuwait and come down to join them.

That was the Republican Guard, tasked with the invasion of Kuwait, but it was not the only border to be violated that night. West of Kuwait, about 25 kilometers north of the Saudi frontier, the rest of the 1st Iraqi Army began to roll south. This force was a collection of independent mech and motor rifle brigades, and the 35th Nasirya was the first to cross, with a sharp firefight engaging border guards at the small outpost of Ar Ruqi at the end of Highway 50.

The bold headlines in the New York Times said it all the following morning: IRAQ INVADES KUWAIT! Clashes reported on Saudi border. In light of this momentous event, the skirmish between Iranian patrol boats and US air units in the Gulf of Oman was buried, well below the fold.

Chapter 17

03:00 Local, 25 NOV 2025

As the war finally ignited in the Middle East, Iraq already possessed 10% of the world’s known oil reserves. Now Qusay Hussein and his aging father, Saddam, were reaching to up that total to 17%. If those “clashes” in the desert east of Kuwait along the Saudi border augured a full invasion of the Kingdom there, then another 20% of the world’s total oil reserves waited to the south. As Iran controlled 10% of known world reserves, that would bump the total to 47% if this great military operation prevailed, and the House of Saud was brought to its knees. If Bahrain and Qatar were added to the plunder, then the Persian Coalition, backed by China, would have seized half of all known oil reserves on earth!

That was what was at stake, the real great prize of the war, not the useful but relatively worthless islands in the Ryukyu chain bordering the East China Sea. This was the real Great Game that China had gambled on so boldly, and once the attack was underway, no one would have to ask for fighter support, as Captain Yu Han had a few hours earlier when his ships docked at Gwadar. Knowing the air forces of Iran and Iraq were weak, China had agreed to provide air cover with numerous squadrons of J-10’s and the more modern J-20’s as well.

As the UN convened an early morning emergency session, China issued a stern warning that so called “hostile” nations should not interfere in what they claimed was now a “local” conflict in the Middle East. Yet seeing this trouble on the way weeks earlier, the United States had already ordered its 1st Marine Division to sea. The Marines were going to Darwin, as part of a secret operation dubbed Able Sentry, and from there, they would move by sea to Oman. The entire 82nd Airborne Division was also added to this order of battle.

That was what Admiral Wells and the US naval forces were mustering for at Diego Garcia, where extensive war supplies had been pre-positioned for years. The only regret the US generals had was the fact that they had little or no real military footprint in Saudi Arabia or the Persian Gulf. The 11th MEU, a battalion sized Marine force, was stationed at Bahrain, but while the Saudi’s would buy US tanks, planes and Patriots in droves, they had never wanted US troops on their soil… until now. US Fighters flew from Al Udied in Qatar, but there was no CENTCOM HQ there. All operations in the region were commanded by OMCOM in Oman, which also had the 12th and 15th MEU’s at its disposal, and 1/75th Ranger Battalion.

Those would be the only ground forces the US would have to react locally. Everything else would have to come by air or sea from the US, and to reach Oman, the sea lanes had to be secured. It was a tall order, because the strength of Chinese naval units in the Indian Ocean would not see them easily brushed aside. Even as the Iraqi troops crossed the border into Kuwait, Admiral Wu Jinlong was preparing to lead a newly reinforced effort against Admiral Pearson’s beleaguered Royal Navy contingent at Singapore. What good was the oil if it could not be moved by sea to China? The Malacca Dilemma still remained unsolved.

* * *

The shock of the invasion was profound in Riyadh, where former Prince, and now King Salman was awakened with the news. Lieutenant Ives’ report had been accurate. The Saudi Army had alerted its 6th and 8th Mech Brigades days earlier at King Khalid Military City in the north, and they joined the 45th Armored Brigade near the city of Hafar al Batin. From there, the two lane Highway 50 ran northeast to the border near Ar Ruqi, where the Iraqi’s had already driven off Saudi Military border guards, as Sergeant Stoker and Lieutenant Ives had determined. But why were the Saudis staging there?

Hafar Al Batin was important because it sat right astride the long Trans-Arabian Pipeline, which ran from the big terminals and refineries near Dammam, all the way to Jordan and on through to the Mediterranean coast. In this history, that underground line was carrying two million barrels of oil per day, and plans had been made to increase that even further to five million barrels, since the East West Pipeline from Dammam to Yanbu on the Red Sea was now useless. When Egypt slammed the gates of the Suez Canal shut, oil tankers could no longer call on that port.

The attack came at a very bad time for the Saudis, for their army had been fighting the Houthi Rebel factions in Yemen, which had pulled in five brigades. That night, they would be ordered to withdraw from Yemen, leaving only a watch on the border as they moved the bulk of their forces to Riyadh. The only other troops near that pipeline were those of the Saudi 4th Armored Brigade, at Fort Ulya, west of An Nairyah.[3] The pipeline flowed from that city, along Highway 85 to the northwest and Hafar Al Batin. So the 4th Armored received orders to move north of the road into stony terrain between the heights of hill 928 and 879.

In truth, the Saudi’s realized that with so much of their army far to the south, they would not be able to set up any cohesive defensive front along that long, vital pipeline. If the Iraqi Army was coming in force, it would be able to reach and cut that artery at any number of places, so the Generals began to lower heads over the map tables in the wee hours of the morning on the 25th, trying to decide just where they could make a stand.

In Kuwait, the resistance at the border would last only a few hours against the Republican Guard. The Kuwaiti Army then pulled back in an arc around Al Jahra, the gateway city west of the capital. They were going to try and hold there, and at Kuwait City, and if that failed, they had pre-arranged authorization to retreat into Saudi Arabia.

Those first tense hours in the darkness before dawn would reveal the extent of what the Iraqis might be planning. Summoning the Ambassador to Riyadh did no good, and he claimed to be clueless as to what was happening. For honor’s sake, the Saudis lodged a formal complaint and demanded all Iraqi forces withdraw from their sovereign soil, but that wasn’t going to happen.

The Iraqi response was to simply forge ahead, and by mid-day, they would have eleven brigades pushing south towards Hafar Al Batin, through difficult desert terrain. That area had been a kind of no man’s land, where the hostility of the terrain itself was the main obstacle to be overcome. It was a mix of sandy and stony desert, wrinkled by deep wadis, with occasional hills spiking up. The Iraqis could have moved from the border outpost town of Ar Ruqi down Highway 50 to Hafar Al Batin, but instead they moved due south along a narrow desert track, intending to bypass that city, essentially cutting it off. No matter where they went to the south, the Trans-Arabian Pipeline was dead ahead.

That afternoon, the Kuwaiti positions on the Al Jahra line were being assaulted from the north, while also being cut off far to the south as Iraqi forces pushed for Highway 70, which ran from Al Jahra to the beak of the southwest border zone. Enemy special forces battalions were also landing south of the city to set up blocking positions. It was soon evident that the position was hopeless, and it was now uncertain whether those troops, about five battalions, could even be extracted. When the Kuwaiti Emir learned this late on the 25th, he realized his small army had no chance to stop what was happening. All he could do was to try and salvage as many battalions as possible, and begin the retreat south to Saudi Arabia. That night, the soldiers were weeping as they abandoned the royal palace and capital city, and the Emir formally asked for asylum with the Saudis, for himself, the Royal family, and any Kuwaiti nationals that might escape. It was willingly granted.

* * *

Army Lt. General James Scott, Commander at OMCOM had met with his opposite number in the Saudi Army, Prince Sultan Akim, and convinced him that the effort to screen and hold Halfar Al Batin was a fruitless deployment.

“They will cut that pipeline somewhere soon, and holding there does nothing to prevent that. All you will do is see those forces screened and bypassed if this attack pushes further south. I would recommend that you move southeast, down Highway 85, and quickly, before that road is cut.”

“Abandon King Khalid Military City?”

“Holding it would leave all troops there isolated in time.”

“Yet it is a major supply center,” the Prince equivocated.

“Save what you can, but my recommendation stands.”

“And if the enemy continues down Highway 50? It will take them deep into our homeland, and if they were to reach Highway 65, then they would pose a direct threat to Riyadh.”

“That is a long way to go,” said Scott, adamant. “Should they attempt such a move, our 82nd airborne Division would be able to move an airmobile brigade out there to stop them. What you need to do is marshal your forces to protect the key oilfields and industrial infrastructure near the coast. You certainly don’t want to give up the oil terminals and port at Al Jubayl, Ras Tanura, or the facilities around Dammam. That is where they will make their main effort. Why come to Saudi Arabia if not for those refineries, pump stations, gas separation plants, and all the well sites?”

“What if they merely seek to cut the Trans-Arabian Pipeline?”

“With all respect, sir, they won’t stop there. I wouldn’t. They know that time is of the essence. Your army is dispersed, with many brigades in the south. Those oil fields and facilities are among the greatest prizes on earth, and if the Iraqi’s took this risk, courting open war with the United States in the bargain, then that’s where they are going—all the way to the fields at Ghawar.”

Prince Sultan Akim frowned, taking a deep breath. Then he nodded his assent. “I will order the northwest group to move as you advise.”

“Very well,” said the General. “This move will also allow you to join with any forces that can get south from the Kuwaiti Army, and that at least gives you some concentration north of these vital facilities along the coast.”

“And your forces? Your 82nd Division? When will they be coming?”

“Sir, the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit has already crossed the causeway, along with the Bahrain Armored Brigade, to deploy in defense of Dammam. We have several more battalions to move from Oman, and expect three Brigade Combat Teams of the 82nd Airborne to be in country here within ten days—the first arriving tomorrow at King Fahd Air Base outside Dammam. Following them, we will have three full brigades of our 1st Marine Division coming by sea, but that arrival depends on our clearing the way through the Arabian sea.”

“Five brigades,” said the Prince, “assuming your navy prevails. Correct me if I am wrong, General Scott, but the last I heard, the Iraqi Army had at over fifty brigades…”

“Sir, when you see what a good US Brigade Combat Team can do on the ground, you will understand that numbers do not tell the real story here. We’re coming, and we’ll see this thing through to the bitter end. These forces I mention are just the tip of the spear. I can assure you that the United States is prepared to move heavy armored divisions here to make good on that commitment. The House of Saud has a very powerful friend.”

“Indeed,” said the Prince. “And it seems Qusay Hussein and his Iranian cohorts also have such a friend—and he lives in Beijing.”

* * *

“Hey LT, I got OMCOM on the radio again.”

“Those bastards are nervous today,” said Lieutenant Ives. He took the call, and when it was over he looked at Stoker, and ‘I told ya so’ look on his face.

“Why the shit eating grin?” said the Sergeant.

“It’s just like I told you,” said Ives. “OMCOM twisted the Saudi General’s arm, and they want all this shit out of here. The Colonel told me they’re going to pull out to the southeast, down Highway 85. We’re to go with them, and advise OMCOM on their progress.”

“So they finally got the message,” said Stoker. “Alright, I gassed up and we can move anytime you want. Better to get out in front. That way we can count the sheep as they go by. Any idea where they’re heading?”

Ives was looking at the map. “There’s a good position near As Sadawi and Um Kedad, but that’s still too exposed on this road. I think they’ll go all the way to Al Wariyah. There’s a highway strip there, and a pump station for this pipeline underfoot. One of their armored brigades was stationed to the south of that area, at Fort Ulya.”

“So that means the Iraqi’s can have Halfar, and that will cut the pipeline, and the road to Hail as well.”

“No big loss,” said Ives. “Yes, it’s a good L.O.C. out to Hail, and Jordon beyond, but I don’t think the Jordanians will be coming down to lend a hand. Hell, the Iraqis might not come here at all.”

“Kuwaiti Army is retreating south,” said Stoker.

“Of course,” said Ives. “They only had a couple brigades, and OMCOM says the Iranians are already knee deep in this too. Those guys will probably be having dinner in Kuwait City by this evening. So now you know why we’re here, Bram. OMCOM must have seen that buildup on satellite weeks ago, and that’s why we got the airlift out here.”

“You think the brigade will come up on the line?”

“Not just yet. No, they’ll move our battalions to key facilities near the coast. That’s my guess. It will take a while for the rest of the division to get here, and who knows what else is coming from the States. Until then, this is a Saudi show now. It remains to be seen if the Iraqis are coming here, or if they’ll be satisfied with what they get in Kuwait.”

“What would you do, LT?”

“What would I do? I’d keep right on going like a proverbial bat out of hell if I were the Iraqis. If they dawdle about in Kuwait, or stop on that border, then that would be a godsend for our side. It would give us the time we need to get our stuff in theater, and then we’d clobber them. Time is on their side at the moment, and if they’re smart, they’ll use it to best advantage.”

“Damn!” said Stoker. “Then this is the shit we’ve been training for in the Mojave Desert every year.”

“Yup,” said the Lieutenant, “and here we are, right in the middle of it. Come on, let’s get moving.”

Chapter 18

06:00 Local, 25 NOV 2025

By the time the Baghdad Division of the Republican Guard reached the outskirts of Kuwait City, the Royal Family and Guards had all fled south, along with thousands of Kuwaiti nationals, in long lines of civilian cars and trucks. Iraqi helicopters hovered over the city like dark locusts, smoke rising from burning buildings where a few brief firefights with local militias had rattled the dark morning. The day that followed would one of the most difficult in the history of the small oil-rich nation, as Iraqi troops eventually spread through the town, killing anyone who resisted, raping, looting and carting off everything they wanted.

The army would not stay in the city long, much to the relief of the Kuwaiti citizens. All the Republican Guards Divisions were ordered to continue south to the Saudi border, as reserve brigades followed behind them, securing the great prize they had seized in one wild day.

Southwest of Kuwait, the Andan and Al Faw Motor Rifle Divisions of the Republican Guard crossed into Saudi Arabia where the Kuwaiti border made its sharp dogleg, and further west, eight more independent Iraqi brigades were already well south of the border, reaching Highway 85 and the Trans-Arabian Pipeline that morning. Hafar Al Batin was cleared and occupied just before sunrise.

It was a swift, stunning, and sweeping victory, but one that was never in doubt once Saddam had given his approval for the invasion. After that, Qusay Hussein let loose his dogs of war, and they rampaged through the desert, driving all before them, or crushing it beneath their tank tracks. By noon on the 25th, a shaken world would read the news that Kuwait had fallen, and it was now the House of Saud that was scrambling to build its defenses up in the north. The aging Saddam had finally grasped his black gold prize, just 35 years late, at the end of a long life he had never been able to live on our timeline. Now it remained to be seen if he could hold what he had taken.

* * *

The Saudi Army was much bigger than that of Kuwait, and much better armed. The US had opened its larders long ago, and Saudi tank brigades all fielded the M1 main battle tank. The Army had seven armored brigades, five regular mech infantry brigades, five more national guard brigades and five lighter infantry brigades, so it was quite capable of putting up a good defense.

The problem was that all these units were dispersed across the Kingdom, and some were in Yemen fighting the Houthi insurgency. But all day on the 24th, the units had been moving, and slowly, as the day lightened on the 25th, a semblance of a planned defensive front was being set up.

Saudi troops had abandoned King Khalid Military City, and moved southeast on Highway 85 where they were rallying near Fort Ulya. That area offered good defensive ground to either side, and would serve to anchor the front in the west. The line would then stretch northeast to the coast at Ras al Khafji, which was now held by what was left of the Kuwaiti Army. They were there, and south of another border town Al Wafrah.

As promised, the 1st Brigade Combat Team of the 82nd Airborne Division arrived by strategic airlift on the 25th. Based at Fort Bragg in North Carolina, it had already hopped the Atlantic to Sigonella in the Med days before the invasion. The “Strike Hold” Brigade was now the designated “Ready Brigade” of the division. From there it would fly high over Libya under the watchful eyes of F-22’s based at Sigonella, then turn east over the Sudan to Saudi Arabia. The brigade landed at King Khalid air base north of Riyadh, and their equipment would continue to arrive over the next few days as more of the division’s troops were winging their way into the theater. Lieutenant Ives and Sergeant Stoker were proud to have been among the first in country.

Yet US planners knew it might be some time before any stronger reserves could arrive in Oman by sea, as that all depended on the naval battle that would be fought to secure access to ports. In many circles, the situation looked grim. After seeing what had happened to Admiral Wells, and the heavy losses inflicted on his fleet, the US Navy knew it was in for a fight. Roosevelt was in theater, and now the USS Independence was ordered to begin moving to the Indian Ocean from Guam. The Saudis would simply have to hold until this situation could be resolved, and so they began to lobby their neighbor for support.

Bahrain had already graciously sent its sole armored brigade over the causeway into Dammam, but wanted it there, and not on the main front. Qatar vowed to send an armored brigade for the defense of the big Ghawar oil fields. The UAE was stronger, with 450 tanks distributed among seven brigades. If the Emirates would march, Saudi Generals would have strong reserves behind them, even if the American forces were delayed, or failed to arrive at all.

In the meantime, long columns of Saudi armor and mechanized infantry would roll all night and through the morning. General Scott had convinced the Saudi Royal Family that there would be no direct threat to the capital at Riyadh, and that he would have two more Brigade Combat Teams of the 82nd Airborne there soon to deal with any contingencies. He therefore urged the Saudis to release units held in reserve at Riyadh, and get them moving northeast, up Highway 80 towards Dammam. Most were then diverted up Highway 75 towards Highway 5 at Nairyah, and from there they were ordered west towards the vicinity of Al Wariyah or east towards the coast. Nairyah was therefore the HQ and forward operating base of the army for purposes of this initial defensive deployment.

The morning of the 25th, the Iraqi 46th MR Brigade arrived at King Khalid Military City, drove off a small security detachment, and occupied the place. It would soon be joined by the 47th MR Brigade, but neither showed any signs of moving down Highway 50 towards the interior of the Kingdom. (From there it was 425 kilometers, or about 263 miles to Riyadh.)

The Iraqi attack would instead come right down Highway 85 towards the Saudi defensive position near Al Wariyah reserve airstrip. That portion of the road had been designated as a highway landing strip, and it was always kept clear of blowing sand by troops that had been garrisoned at the nearby Fort Ulya to the southeast. A 1325 foot tall signal mast marked the location for pilots, and there was also a small pumping station there moving oil through the Trans-Arabian Pipeline. It was there that the Saudis had their 8th and 20 Mech Brigades waiting on defense.

The Iraqis opened the battle with desultory artillery fire at about 13:00 hours that early afternoon, but it was just harassing fire. They were bringing up three mech infantry brigades, 1st Dwaniya, 34th Nasirya, and 27th Kut. They also deployed their 6th MR Brigade well south of the highway to screen that flank, but they were waiting for the 48th Armor Brigade, which was still 50 kilometers behind.

At the same time, another strong column was coming down a secondary road from the north towards a series of escarpments around Hill 879, which was 20 kilometers north of Highway 85. That was the right flank of the Saudi position, where they had a lot of tanks from their 12th and 45th Brigades around those escarpments.

That force would soon be challenged by the 7th Andan and Al Faw Divisions of the Republican Guards, but the Iraqis would be all day getting deployed. Most of their strength, including the three stronger Republican Guard Divisions, was still in Kuwait, slowly moving south to the Saudi frontier. Two brigades of the Baghdad Division had crossed near the coast near Ras Al Khafji, but then stopped to wait for their comrades to come up in support. This slow advance, precipitated by traffic jams on the major roads and the difficult off road terrain in many places, gave the Saudi Army the precious time it needed to get their brigades north.

As darkness fell over the land, the Saudi and Kuwaiti troops could hear a continuous rumble to the north, as if the earth itself was groaning under the weight of heavy armored vehicles. Three hours after midnight those tanks the Iraqis had been waiting for arrived and tried to bull their way through the blocking positions. Their 48th Tank Brigade had 42 tanks, mostly T-80’s bought from the Chinese. They would run into the Saudi 4th Armored Brigade, and get a shock that augured well for the future security of the Kingdom. The Saudis had 48 US M1 tanks, and they just blew the Iraqi brigade to pieces, the big guns tracking, firing, and lighting up the darkness with their rapid fire.

The sharp firefight was so one sided that it left the Iraqis with just 8 tanks, the rest burned and smoking in the pre-dawn grey. So they fell back along the highway, and began heavy artillery bombardments to try and clear the road ahead. Put enough heavy 155mm rounds on a position, and you will either move or kill anything on the ground it was occupying.

As this was going on, the 7th Andan and Al Faw Divisions of the Republican Guards put in a strong attack ten kilometers north of the highway, near the high ground of Hill 928. Here they used their infantry dismounted, and with six brigades, they were able to swarm through the darkness, infiltrating through gaps in the Saudi lines.

Saudi Tanks from their 12th Armored brigade were up on the height of Hill 879, firing down on the Iraqi infantry. Their rocky nest was unassailable because of its steep escarpments, and it could only be approached from the east. Yet now the brigade found that more Iraqi infantry had flanked that hill behind them, and they were being cut off.

Brigade commanders were struggling in the darkness and confusion to learn what was happening, but the Saudis soon realized that the 11th Brigade of the Andan Division had infiltrated through their lines and had to be dealt with in order to extricate their 12th Armored Brigade. Any reserve units, the Turki Brigade, and the King Faisal Light Infantry, were sent to that sector to join the breakout attempt being mounted by the armor. They were able to drive a wedge into the Iraqi Infantry, forcing them back and clearing a route for the armor to get back down off the high ground.

Yet this Iraqi attack had been mounted as a feint. It was meant to force the Saudis to cover Highway 80 as they did, while the main attack would roll south from the Kuwaiti border, closer to the coast.

It was there that Iraqi General Kamel Ayad, his name roughly meaning “the perfect one with power,” launched a multi division assault, aimed mostly at the segment of the front that had been occupied by the retreating forces of Kuwait. Fifteen kilometers west of Khafji, the full weight of the Al-Medina Republican Guard Division fell on just two battalions of the Kuwati Royal Guards, who were really no more than light infantry forces in armored cars. All along that line, the Iraqis threw one brigade after another forward, in what became a massive wave of dismounted infantry backed by their tanks and APS’s. The Kuwaiti troops were the weakest point in the front, and they simply could not hold.

The battle began in the desert, then rippled east towards the coast where several Saudi brigades had set up positions around Khafji. That anchor held on the coast, with the Baghdad Division stopped and repulsed, but in the desert to the west, the Kuwaiti line collapsed, and that would fatally compromise any further defense of Khafji. Fighting went on all morning, the landscape shrouded with smoke from burning vehicles, but by noon it was clear that the sheer weight of the Iraqi Army was breaking through that front in the desert, and Khafji had to be abandoned.

Iraqi infantry swarmed over the few isolated companies of Kuwaiti tanks in the desert, clearing the way for the more mechanized Republican Guard units. It was a kind of scissors paper-rock fight. When the Iraqis had tried to use their armor as scissors to cut through the Saudi Line, the heavier Saudi armor brigades stood like rocks and smashed them.

So the Iraqis then dismounted their infantry and sent them forward like smothering paper, the anti-tanks teams bringing down the elephants by simply overrunning them and attacking the tanks from all sides. What was evident in all this was the fact that the Saudi Army, and even more so that of Kuwait, had no real idea of how to fight a real combined arms operation on the ground, and their inexperience showed. They were not protecting their tanks with infantry, but operating them independently. The Iraqis may not have been any better, but they just had massive numbers, particularly in infantry, and so they prevailed.

The breakthrough through the center took the Iraqis all the way to another small designated highway airstrip, Al Kibrit, this on a secondary road that ran east to Bandar al Mishab on the coast south of Khafji. The small settlement would give its name to that battle, the first feather in the Iraqi cap as they took the fight into Saudi Arabia. By mid-afternoon on the 26th, it was clear that the hastily built defensive front had been fatally compromised. The entire eastern half of the line began to retreat down the coast road toward Ras Tanajib. The Western segment, a more concentrated Saudi force, still held their ground around the Al Wariyah road strip and pump station, but it was clear that it would not be long before the Iraqis would cross the desert and reach Highway 85 behind them.

A general retreat was ordered, down that long highway as the last hours of November 27th faded away. The Saudi Army was rallying on a new line, this time south of Ras Tanajib on the coast, and bending southwest and across Highway 85 into the desert beyond.

* * *

Needless to say, after this first great butting of the heads between the armies of Iraq and Saudi Arabia, the Royal Family in Riyadh was somewhat nervous. The new front line was now just 120 kilometers from the big oil center of Al Jubayl, where there were oil refineries and terminals at Port Fahd, pump stations, tank farms, power generation facilities and two airfields, Abu Ali and a much bigger field at King Abdul Aziz AFB. Fifty more kilometers south on the coast was the even bigger terminal port of Ras Tanura and the major supply hub of Dammam.

General Scott looked over the map, thinking the new defensive front looked solid. It was shorter, more compressed, and this time largely composed of Saudi troops, without a weak center, as the Kuwati troops were mostly off the line now. The US was now making a full court diplomatic press to get Qatar and the UAE to commit to the support of the Saudis. Qatar, with a small army, nonetheless agreed to send five battalions, but the Emirates came through in a much bigger way, with five full brigades.

News of that commitment was a great relief to the General, and in spite of a nervous King Salman, he assured the Saudis that they had the means to hold. US advisors were being moved forward to the front to coordinate with Saudi forces, and see if they could not impart something of the fine art of mobile combined arms combat to them. The first thing they advised was that the Kingdom’s good armored brigades needed to be integrated with mechanized infantry at all times, and never fight without it.

That night, the 2nd BCT of the 82nd Airborne Division would land at Prince Sultan / Al Kharj AFB southeast of Riyadh, and it would soon be given orders to get moving north….

Part VII

Endzone

“You got one guy going boom, one guy going whack, and one guy not getting in the endzone.”

― Coach John Maddon

Chapter 19

“Ha!” said General Kamel Ayad. A big, heavy set man, the General was quite satisfied with what he had just accomplished. Kuwait was in the fold, and now he had the Saudi sheep on the run.

“Ha! Did I not tell you they would break? Now we pursue them south, ever closer to the real prize, the great fields of Ghawar.”

“Careful, General,” said the Iraqi Defense Minister, Abdul Bakir, his dark hair catching the light with an evil gleam. “Is the army still fresh? The men must be tired after 72 hours hard fighting, and in need of rest. Do we not need to bring up more supplies before you go rushing off further south into the Saudi desert?”

“Supply is still reaching the front as we speak. No, we must keep the pressure on, and hit them again—before the Americans come up and put some backbone into them.”

“But look at these reconnaissance photographs! As they retreat, they are tightening their lines—eliminating the gaps. Your infantry can no longer infiltrate. You will have to simply put your head down and charge at them like a wild bull.”

“That may be true, said the General, “ but this bull has sharp horns. When we break through, they will be put to flight again. We must gain the junction of An Nairyah.”

“Indeed… Well General, I am to tell you that Qusay has obtained some intelligence. The Army of the United Arab Emirates is moving, and that of Qatar. Look here, this photograph tells the story well enough. Those are mechanized columns coming up Highway 5. They will reach Dammam by tomorrow, and the Americans already have troops there, along with a brigade from Bahrain. Frankly, I do not think we will have the strength to unhorse all these chariots.”

“Always the naysayer, Abdul. You spend too much time running a comb through your hair and looking into a mirror! Tell Qusay that if he is worried, then let him invite more Iranian forces to our tent. And where are the Syrians and Egyptians?”

“That is a sensitive matter. They are Sunni states, just like Saudi Arabia! Yes, they have aligned themselves with the Chinese, but soon they will see that has put very little mutton on their plates. Suez is closed, and no ships come to Egyptian ports now. Things there are never good, and now they are terrible. No, the Egyptians will not cross the Red Sea, nor will they get past Israel if they strike east through Sinai, so they will not do that either. Syria has claimed they can spare nothing, because of the insurgency they are fighting.”

“And all the North African states will do nothing as well,” said General Ayad. “They have Sunni majorities, but they do not love us. Saddam and the Ba’ath Party may be Sunni, but Iraq is and has always been a Shiite majority, and they know this all too well.”

“As for the Iranians,” said the Defense Minister, “Qusay is leery about inviting too many to our tent, as you say. Yes, if we need them, they will come. But he fears they may be unruly guests.”

“As long as they will fight for us, then let it be. War is not polite, Mister Defense Minister. You of all people should know that. So we must press on, if only to take enough from the Saudis to make it hurt. Then you and others might negotiate our withdrawal from their kingdom in exchange for Kuwait. That would be honorable. Yes?”

“Don’t be a fool, General. Do you think the Americans will allow us to just snatch away seven percent of the world’s oil reserves in a single day?”

“Allow us? We have already done it!”

“Yes, but they will want to reverse that. They will not be satisfied until we are kicked all the way back to our borders.”

“Perhaps, but they do not have the force to do such a thing. They have but one division in Saudi Arabia. I have many more.”

“And if they send more troops? Then what?

“The Chinese have told us they will prevent that. There is only so much they can airlift. The rest must all come by sea, and if you have been reading the headlines lately, you will have seen the Chinese Navy has been fairly good at sinking ships.”

“Yes, British ships, not Americans.”

“Well I do not sail ships. I command the Army, and thus far, I have done what I was asked to do. Qusay has told me to come here and rub the Saudis noses in the sand, and that is what I will do. Now… If you’ll excuse me, I have orders to write.”

Those orders to his division commanders would be fairly simple. The Saudi Army is in front of you—attack it!

* * *

The commitment of forces from the U.A.E. was a godsend, because the Saudi Army was realizing it was overmatched by the combined forces of Iran and Iraq. Behind them came two more MEU’s from Oman, which had come off the Amphibious Ready Groups based there, the 12thand 15th. Thus far, the two BCT’s of the 82nd Airborne had not advanced to the front line action. 1st BCT was deployed around Al Jubayl and Ras Tanura to guard the oil terminals, airfields and ports. 2nd BCT had then deployed along Highway 80 as it approached Dammam, screening the big Saudi Aramco facilities near Abqaiq, and blocking the way south into the vast Ghawar Oil fields.

On the main front, the Saudi Army had finally concentrated on a front extending from the coast at Ras Tanaqib, and southwest behind An Nairyah and into the desert beyond. The weary Iraqi troops were making selective attacks, many of their brigades needing rest and resupply, but on the extreme left of the position, near the escarpment close to a small desert airfield called Sulfa, a new offensive began.

That area was lightly defended, and it was clear that the Iraqis were looking for a way around that flank. At the urging of US advisors, the Saudis ordered their airborne brigade to take to the helicopters and thump their way west, landing at Hadhar Airfield, about 55 kilometers southwest of Nairyah. Light patrol units in the area had noted the arrival of Iraqi Special forces by helicopter an hour earlier, and so both sides were moving this highly mobile forces into that sector, looking for advantage.

At the moment, US Planners at OMCOM were not overly concerned, because the U.A.E. Contingent, five brigades strong, had made good progress, coming up Highway 615 into the Ghawar Fields, and then moving up to Highway 80 behind BCT2 of the 82nd Airborne. With no direct threat to the oil fields at that time, it was decided to move the brigades from the Emirates right on up Highway 75, into a position where they could watch that extended left flank.

The Iraqis made two more attempts to break through the main Saudi line, one along the coast led by the Baghdad Division, supported by Iranian armor, and another on the extended left flank of the line. That coastal position was held by the Kuwaiti forces, all concentrated near the town of Manifah, and now the Iraqis made a big attempt to push through.

As before, the Kuwati forces were just not able to hold, and the battle of Manifah soon became a breakthrough zone, forcing the Saudis to shift their 11th Mech Brigade to that area.

“That brigade won’t be enough to hold,” said General Scott at OMCOM when the news came in. “Satellite imagery this morning shows a big reserve column coming down from Kuwait along the coast.”

“B-1’s have been working that over pretty good, sir.”

“Yes, all the way from Diego Garcia. We need to move those units into the Kingdom, and get the sortie rates up. Where is the U.A.E.?”

“They came up Highway 75, sir, and the head of their column is at As Sarrar south of Nairyah.”

“Watching that left flank? Hell we don’t need them there. The ground west of Highway 75 is murderous. The Iraqis have light forces there, but they won’t get over that stony ground easily. Better to shift the Emirate Force east, towards Al Jubayl.”

That decision was made, but it would then take half the day to get those troops east. Roads connecting Highway 75 to Highway 5 closer to the coast were few and far between. There were also many areas of impassable sand dunes between the two highways, and some could only be negotiated using thin desert tracks, which slowed the column a good deal.

As they moved, the Iraqis were pushing as hard as they could along that coastal road, now trying to break and turn the Saudi right flank as well. At the same time, they put in a big artillery barrage at the units holding the center near Nairyah, and heavy fighting renewed there soon after. Analysts at OMCOM thought it was a pinning attack, to prevent the Saudi’s from moving forces west towards the coast.

It was the U.A.E. that came riding to the rescue, all five brigades reaching the fighting that morning. They put in a sharp counterattack on the main coastal road just south of Manifah, and the remainder of their force extended their line west into the desert to stop any breakthrough there. This wall of fresh, well-armed troops, with good armor, was enough to bring the push along the coast to a complete halt. Yet by this time, a flood of reserves from both Iran and Iraq had reached the scene, and so they simply began to shift the attack further west, just beyond the lines of the Emirate contingent.

The fighting raged south of An Nairyah, and then five Iraqi infantry brigades, all dismounted infantry, made a human wave attack, emerging like dark Jinn rising through the blowing dust and sand. East of the town, the Hammurabi Division was making a big push to try and envelop the Saudi defense, and to the west, the Andan Division of the Republican Guard was pushing hard to reach Highway 75 and cut the city off.

The battle for Nairyah was over when that wave of Iraqi infantry swept over the town, and beleaguered Saudi forces, in danger of being surrounded by those flanking attacks, were forced to retreat. Just when it had seemed like the dike was reinforced in the coastal sector, the center was now giving way under that intense pressure.

The Twin battles of Manifah and Nairyah had put wind in the flagging sails of the Iraqi Army. The Republican Guard was now massing its divisions in the center, hoping to exploit the confusion in the Saudi lines. The drove south into the widening tangents of Highways 75 and 85 where they met at Nairyah, with the main effort pushing down Highway 85. If it prevailed, it would effectively flank the solid wall of resistance established by the U.A.E. forces earlier that morning. As officers of every stripe watched the changing situation at OMCOM, there were more than a few furrowed brows.

General Walter Conyers of the US 82nd Airborne, a balding man with over 40 years in the saddle, noted several airmobile incursions by enemy special forces behind the Saudi lines.

“I don’t like the look of that. Reports are that they have special forces troops taking up blocking positions on the roads behind the Saudis, and this breakthrough down Highway 85 is going to cut off the U.A.E. forces on the coast. I think we should advise the Saudis to get further south. They’re in danger of envelopment on too many sectors of the line.”

“I’ll inform the liaison officer, sir.”

“Right. Now that 3rd BCT is in country, I think it’s time we get it north. Let’s get them up here, where Highway 75 meets Highway 80. There’s a good heliport out near Abwab off Highway 75. I want that occupied.”

“Very good, sir. 1st Battalion 75th Rangers are also at Al-Udied in Qatar. Where do you want them?”

“Here, at the Saudi Aramco Refinery near Abqaiq. That gives us a pretty good screen in front of Ghawar. Now let’s hope the Saudi’s can conduct a fairly cohesive withdrawal.”

Over the next several hours, they watched as both wings of the front fell back until the line was reestablished from Ras al Khair on the coast, and southwest across Highway 85, stretching through the desert all the way to Highway 75. But the Iraqis had made good progress on that road, pushing aggressively south in their pursuit, looking to exploit any opening they could find. Near the coast, their lines were now about 40 kilometers north of the first big gas separator plant as Highway 5 approached Al Jubayl. So the tide of the fighting was starting to get uncomfortably close to the oil rich heart of the Kingdom.

A big tank fight happened at the junction of Highway 85 with the coastal Highway 5, right near the airfield and well site of Abu Hadriyah. There the Iraqi 26th and 34th Armored Brigades clashed head on with the 2nd Armored Brigade of the U.A.E., slowly forcing them down the road towards the airfield, but at great cost. Burning tanks littered the highway, the dark smoke of fires staining and thickening the clear blue sky.

That night, the last of the Saudi left wing began the long retreat south on Highway 75, stopping west of the desert airfield at Thadj. The next friendly forces they would encounter would be the men of the freshly deployed 15th MEU battalion near the Abwab Heliport. It was now attached to 3rd BCT, 82nd Airborne Division, which was holding just north of Urayaarah. That town screened a vital road junction where Highway 80 ran from Dammam on the coast all the way southwest to Riyadh in the heartland of the Kingdom.

But the Iraqis had no interest in the capital, at least not at this point in the campaign. It had no oil. Thus far they had made enough of an incursion into the Kingdom to hold a strong bargaining position if it came to that, but their suit would only lengthen if they were to secure some of the big oil infrastructure regions, and well sites of the mighty Ghawar.

The withdrawal down Highway 75 had opened that road to the Iraqis, and reconnaissance noted a long line of trucks moving south in the early hours of November 28th. No less than eight Iraqi motor rifle brigades formed that long column, and behind them, the Andan and Al Faw divisions were resting in the broken battlefield.

Casualties had been extremely heavy, on both sides, particularly in the armor brigades, where some units beginning the war with 36 tanks has single digits still operational. The vaunted Hammurabi Division had just 20 tanks left, but the Saudi Army had suffered as well.

While the Saudis had better equipment, they had little experience using it. Most units of the Iraqi Army were equally raw, but the sheer mass of that army made up for any lack of prowess in battle. The ability of the Iraqi infantry to make massive attacks and infiltrate gaps in the line had been most effective.

Yet now the battle was rolling ever nearer to General Walter Conyers and his 82nd Airborne Division, one best trained in the US Army. There was a growing tension in the desert air, because if they persisted, Iraq and Iran would leave no doubt as to the fact that they were now at war with the strongest military on earth.

Unfortunately, most of that power was over 5000 miles away….

Chapter 20

Ivy Mike and Bram Stoker had another assignment that night. Even though their brigade was us at Al Jubayl on the coast, they had been assigned to the Division Intelligence pool, and sent well south this time, to report on suspected movement west of Highway 75. Earlier that day, air reconnaissance had seen a concentration of Iraqi forces around the old desert airfield of Hadhar, but the initial assessment had been that these were brigades reorganizing and resting after the intense fighting around Al Nairyah.

There was no paved road that led to Hadhar, just dirt roads that made their way through the shifting sands, there when they are used, gone when no one came that way. Lieutenant Ives tried to find a reported secondary road using satellite imagery, but all he could see was the empty desert.

Yet the relatively flat and open ground was easy going for tracked vehicles, except in areas of dunes or heavy sand. As highway 75 ran due south, it was fringed by rocky terrain to the west, an area of about 20 kilometers. But beyond that broken ground, things flattened out to empty, hard arid desert, and that was where Hadhar, and several other desert airstrips, had been set up. US planners at OMCOM were worried about it, because it looked like a natural route south.

What they did not know was that Iraqi special forces battalions had been scouting the way south all the previous day, and that night there was a major movement south by the Talwalkana, Nebuchadnezzar, and Al-Medina Divisions of the Republican Guard. They had followed thin desert tracks connecting these little used desert airstrips, to the southernmost strip at Muhaysh. There the ground became more difficult again, with dunes to the west and stony ground to the east, so the column stopped near Hill 1165 to rest, all lights blackened. At 03:00, they planned to move again, looking for the road east towards the junction of Highways 75 and 80.

Infrared air recon saw the long column glowing, and the alarm was raised at King Khalid AFB to get Strike Eagles up. On the ground, Lieutenant Ives and his sidekick Sergeant Stoker had checked in at the headquarters of Panther Brigade, 3BCT of the 82nd Airborne, and then they went up Highway 75 through the hamlet of Urayarah to a substation about 10 kilometers south of the Abwab Heliport. It wasn’t long before they spotted trouble.

The Iraqi 2nd and 3rd Special Forces Battalions had been operating on the ground all night, moving like shadows over terrain they found very familiar to that back home in Iraq. They had picked their way through rocky gullies to a small hill, labeled 912, and Sergeant Stoker spotted movement there before dawn on the 28th of November.

“Look there, LT, that’s infantry on that hill south of the road.”

“Right, Colonel Jenkins at Panther Den told me they tangled with our patrols last night. We need to get north up 75, and then get off the road to the west. Its rough country, but I think we can get through.”

They worked their way west of the highway, using hills marked on the map to guide them. Hill 1083 was the highest point on the map, and also easier to get to in the Hummer, so they were up on that hill at 03:00, just as the Iraqi Republican Guard column began to get moving. The silence of the desert was suddenly broken by the deep distant growl of big engines.

“Intel was right,” said Ives. “There’s got to be a big column out there, probably just beyond that high ground on the horizon. They must have used that open valley north of this air strip to get down this far last night, then tried to lay low.”

They watched for some time, until the sound of tanks was palpably evident on the cool desert air. It was a big column, bigger than a division, and that raised Sergeant Stoker’s hackles.

“These guys are heading right for 3rd BCT.”

“Damn right. Get on the radio and report it. This is serious. That’s got to be a full division.”

It was, in fact, the Al Medina Armored Division, led by its 14th Mech Brigade, with 2nd and 10th Armored Brigades following. What they did not know, was that three other brigades had already passed this point, and they were well to the east, two independent infantry brigades and the 10th Mechanized Brigade of the Talwakana Division. There was even more force at the tail of the column, as yet unseen.

“Rivet Joint, Panther One, this is Redtail. Major movement to your west and approaching Grid 988-7. Heavy, heavy. Over.”

Now they could hear the sound of helicopters, flying low over the ground bringing in more Iraqi special forces teams. It was clear to the Lieutenant that this was a major offensive advance, and he stated so in his urgent report to 3BCT.

The 82nd was put on notice, and now it was going to war.

* * *

For years, as the military missions began to shift away from anti-terrorism deployments, the TO & E’s of various US Army units began to change to reflect the growing “Great Power” competition underway. This was even reflected in the structure of the 82nd Airborne Division, which had begun by adding a so called “tank battalion” to its order of battle. It began with Alpha Company, 4/68 Armored, a new unit attached to the 82nd. The catch was that instead of “tanks” like the M1A2 Abrams heavy tank, it had light armored vehicles, the LAV-25A2, a vehicle the USMC was using.

After that first company found its way into the division structure, a new idea emerged from the RAND think tank for the conversion of an Airborne BCT into an “Airborne Light Armored Infantry” force. Since the LAV-25 could be deployed by parachute, or carried in C-17’s, the addition of 12 transport LAV’s and another 8 recon versions would add additional protection, ground mobility, and firepower to an otherwise air lifted brigade.

In this history, that concept was embraced by converting the 3rd BCT of the 82nd Airborne with this new TO & E, not just one battalion, but all three. That put 60 LAV-25’s on the ground at Rivet Joint One, which was the code name given to that vital road junction where Highway 75 and 80 crossed one another. The division also had the 73rd Cavalry Regiment, with a squadron attached to each of the three BCTs, and after moving by helicopter to their deployment zone, the were each assigned ten M1A2’s from prepositioned war stocks that had been in the Kingdom. So while the 82nd remained a light infantry force by design, it nonetheless had some teeth in its structure, and all the infantry battalions were also lavishly supported by Javelin and TOW AT systems.

That said, the warning sent by Lieutenant Ives was quite stark. He was advising 3BCT that a heavy column was heading their way with both APC’s and tanks. This deep envelopment was much bigger than anyone at OMCOM had surmised, and it got General Walter Conyers quite concerned. He had flown from OMCOM in Muscat to King Fahd Airport near Damman to get in the saddle for the fight that was drawing closer by the hour.

It soon became clear that the Iraqis had masked the entire front along the lines of the U.A.E. and Saudi forces, and then sent the bulk of their Republican Guard divisions on this big overnight maneuver east of Highway 75. What concerned him most was that the Saudi lines ended around the town of Hanidh on Highway 75, which was 75 kilometers north of the 3rd BCT positions. There was nothing on that road, which made that a big 75 mile gap now that there were strong enemy forces approaching Rivet Joint One. His 3rd BCT was an island, with no friendlies on either flank for miles.

“Goddammit,” he said. “We need to reinforce that flank, and fast. What about those two Marine battalions?”

“They came up Highway 615, sir, and just reached Black Gold.” That was Supply Base Ahsa, in the heart of the Ghawar oil fields. Asha was the largest city in that region, encompassing Al Mubaraz, Al Hasa, Al Qarn and Al Hufuf.

“Then let’s get the Marines to Rivet Joint One, on the double. The Saudis are still too far forward given this development. They need to fall back into this area where the heavy dunes will limit the Iraqi infiltration tactics. That should allow them to extend their line south. One more thing. Tell 1/75 Rangers that guard duty is over at the Aramco Plant. Get them moving down Highway 80 to reinforce 3rd BCT. Then we’ll need to pony up assets from the other two BCT’s. Detach both recon squadrons and have one infantry battalion from each brigade ready for airmobile lift on my command. This thing is getting close to paydirt, and we’ve got to hold the line.”

“How soon before the Marines get here, sir?”

“You mean 1st Division? They could be two goddamn weeks for all I know. That’s up to the Navy. The Saudis are asking for support from Qatar, and now that they see the U.A.E. is in this thing, they’re more inclined to answer that in the affirmative. And our good friend the Sultan is mobilizing his people the get them over here as soon as possible.”

That was, of course, Taimur bin Assad, the current Sultan of Oman in this history, who succeeded Qaboos bin Said Al Said that very year. Oman had perhaps the second largest Army on the Arabian Peninsula after that of Saudi Arabia, and might be able to contribute seven or eight Brigade/Regiment sized units once they were fully mobilized. At that moment, however, The Iraqi Army was knocking on both the front and back doors of Ghawar, and they had to be stopped.

* * *

The Eagles and Apaches were also on the prowl that morning. Two Squadrons of F-15 Strike Eagles were based near Riyadh, and they began targeting the Iraqi column that had made its bold advance on that deep left flank. They were joined by 1/17th Heavy Attack Helicopters, their Apaches going in to try and slow the enemy advance and clog up their roads with burning vehicles.

The Iraqi advance continued in spite of these attacks, though it would take them all morning on the 28th as the brigades of the Al-Media Division began to arrive just east of Rivet Joint One. The Karbala Infantry Brigade had taken a position on Hill 853, which was right near Highway 80, about 15 kilometers west of the junction. They soon found themselves mostly surrounded by four US battalions, until they were joined by the19th Mech Brigade of the Talwakana Division, and their LOC west was secured.

Even with the addition of those LAV-25’s, US Airborne troops weren’t about to make assaults against such a heavily armored enemy force, but they would dig in and hold their ground. The brigade artillery battalion was busy all morning, shelling that hill, and Hill 912 20 kilometers north, which had been occupied by an Iraqi special forces battalion. The Iraqis did not press any attacks either, beyond scattered mortar fire. They were waiting on the rest of their corps….

After they made their report, Ives and Stoker had skedaddled east, the Hummer bouncing over the rough ground. They made their way to Hill 781 near Highway 75, just in time to see even more Iraqi troops arriving about ten kilometers to the north along that road. As the Saudis withdrew, they had extended their line south to take up positions along the Highway, as far south as the heliport at Abwab, so the right flank of Rivet Joint One was finally covered.

US reserves continued to flow to the scene, with 3/325th Battalion arriving by helicopter from 2nd BCT at Al Jubayl, and 1/504th Battalion humping it up Highway 80 from 1st BCT in Dammam. The Armored brigade of Bahrain, with 60 older M60A3 tanks, informed OMCOM that it would stand ready to move down Highway 80 if called upon to provide armored support. Around noon, General Conyers decided that the Iraqi infantry up on hill 853 had too good a look at the US positions, and he ordered it taken.

The soldiers of 3rd BCT stormed up that hill, supported by their own artillery and attack helos, and kicked the Karbala Infantry Brigade off those heights by 01:00. Atop their new perch, soldiers of 1/73rd Recon could see the distant smoke and dust rising from big movement to the west. That afternoon, they saw the mech brigades arriving, and now the full scale of the Iraqi concentration was known—a full corps of three Republican Guard divisions.

General Conyers’ force had now swelled from four to ten battalions, but they were looking at an equal number of Iraqi brigades, with at least 100 tanks, and plenty of AFV’s. The position the US forces now held stretched from a refinery substation ten kilometers north of Urayarah, due south over the newly captured Hill 853, and another ten kilometers south to the Mobile 1 airstrip and pipeline pump station. Beyond that, and all along that flank, was the craggy escarpment of Jiba Ash Shuab, which pretty much made any enveloping sweeping maneuver further south around Mobile 1 dubious at best, if not impossible. So the 82nd dug in and waited to see what Saddam’s boys would do. In the meantime, they would watch the fireworks as that concentrated enemy force became the object of F-15 Strike Eagles, B-1’s out of Al Udied in Qatar, and the Buffs,[4] all the way from Diego Garcia.

* * *

It was a move that was sound in principle, well executed, yet fraught with potential shortcomings that could make it very risky. Taking three divisions of the Republican Guard and running them into that valley sweeping south towards Highway 80 was an almost impudent move, as the US Generals at OMCOM saw things. Lt. General Scott, the theater commander, summed things us nicely.

“Alright, here’s the latest photo recon from the Air Force this afternoon, and this concentration is the Talwalkana, Nebuchadnezzar, and Al-Medina Divisions of the Republican Guard, three of their very best. They’ve been fighting, and on the move for 96 hours, so they have to be winded, and now this move around that flank has them at the end of a very long supply line, and some of it over rugged terrain. In short, we think they’re tired, hungry, and perhaps needing fuel, but as these photos show, they appear to be organizing for an attack up Highway 80 towards Dammam.”

The photos didn’t lie. They showed the mechanized companies forming up, armor behind them, but what was notably absent was artillery. The big Iraqi self-propelled guns were cumbersome and slow, and none of the battalions had made it that far south. So the Iraqis would attack without the historical queen of the battlefield, artillery. All they had was a few organic guns and mortars.

“Gentlemen, they think they’re looking at a thin line of Khaki out there, just another brigade they plan to blow through. But if they’d squint, and look a little closer, they’ll see the Stars and Bars on the shoulders of our troops, and that makes all the difference. We’re not just anybody and his mother out there, we’re the 82nd Airborne Division, United States Army. We’ve built up to perhaps two brigades in strength against ten of theirs, but that’s deceptive. Any one of the ten battalions we have on the line has the raw muscle, firepower and fighting prowess to equal any Iraqi brigade you put in front of it. So they’re going to have to bunch up on us, and we’ve got the air power to hurt them when they try that.”

“Sir, what about the thrust coming down Highway 75?” came the obvious question from Skip Johnson, Liaison officer for the 82nd.

“That’s what we think they’re counting on. That attack is being made by their Andan and Al Faw divisions, also Republican Guard, but light motor rifle brigades, with one armored brigade in the mix. That said, at noon we saw movement south from An Nairyah, and we’ve now identified yet another Republican Guard division moving south on 75, the Baghdad Division, with three mech brigades. So that makes it a six pack, gentlemen—six of the eight Republican Guard divisions committed to this one offensive. Their intention is obvious. The two groups want to meet and shake hands at Rivet Joint One, but that isn’t going to happen—not on our watch. This is going to be the biggest fight the 82nd has had since the German counteroffensive in 1944. What happened there, Skip?”

“Sir, the 82nd Airborne Division faced off against 1st SS Leibstandarte, 2nd SS Das Reich, and 9th SS Hohenstaufen Divisions as they attempted to reach and relieve Kampfgruppe Pieper.”

“Well, did the Germans get through?”

“No sir—not on our watch.”

Chapter 21

As it approached the industrial city if Al Jubayl from the northwest, Highway 85 intersected with Highway 95 near the town of Abu Hadriyah, which then ran parallel to the coast southeast to Dammam. About 25 kilometers from this intersection, southeast on Highway 95, the road is flanked by two large industrial plants, the Kursaniyah Gas Plant east of the highway, and the Fadahili Gas Plant to the west. These sprawling facilities stretched for nearly a mile, an ugly gaunt mass of pipes, tanks and metal grating. In addition to recovering gas from both on and offshore fields, the facilities had cogeneration plant with the capacity to produce 1.3 gigawatts of power and 3.2 million pounds of steam per hour.

On the night of November 28th, the Fadahili Plant suddenly erupted in fire from a massive artillery barrage from seven battalions, the flames towering up into the black sky with an evil orange glow. In that ghastly landscape, with the terrain scored by years of excavation to the east, it seemed as if the earth itself had split open and demons had risen from hell. Dark silhouettes of the firefighting teams danced before the flames like vagrant spirits, and soon a deathly black smoke rolled up into the night, blotting out the stars.

Two strong brigades from the U.A.E. had set up defensive position forward of the plant, and now they looked over their shoulder at that massive inferno, which seemed deliberately ignited there to prevent their withdrawal.

Before the barrage, some debate had been held to consider whether the plant should be defended or simply abandoned. Even if taken by the Iraqi’s, it would still be intact, some argued. If defended, it might incur severe damage, and that was exactly what had happened. There were very many similar plants in Saudi Arabia, and this one had been utterly destroyed as an example of what would happen if the Saudis and their allies decided to defend them.

Now the beleaguered U.A.E. brigades fell back south of that burning wreck of twisted metal and reorganized, the men coughing and gasping for clear air after that brief retreat. If the Iraqis wanted what they had just destroyed, they could have it. It was just one of five separate attacks they had launched that night at the witching hour.

In the south, they had rumbled up to Hill 853, now held by the US 73rd Cav Regiment, and there the vaunted Republican Guard brigades would meet with a bloody and costly repulse. There were twenty M1A2 Abrams tanks in the defense, and they easily stopped, and badly mauled, the Iraqi T-85 tanks purchased from the Chinese.

An older, under gunned tank dating to the late 1980’s, the Type 85 models had all been discontinued decades ago in China, and the older inventories sold off to client states. The Chinese had recovered T-72s in the first Siberian War, and learned its main gun could defeat the armor on every tank model in that series, a sobering discovery that led them to develop something better in their Type 90 models.

In another history, even the older M1A1 tanks had routinely devoured the Iraqi T-72’s which made this encounter at Hill 853 an even more jarring experience for the Republican Guard units that had tried to take that position. Here they had armor that would have been beaten by older T-72’s, let along the modern M1A2 tanks that had joined the 73rd Cav. The attack raged on for two hours, with the mech infantry advancing into the US Javelin fire and taking heavy losses. The 82nd Airborne Division stood like a rock, and it could not be moved.

North of that sector, the Andan and Al Faw Divisions, reinforced by the Baghdad Division, were trying to bull their way past the Saudi 12th Armored and 6th Mech Brigades on Highway 75 south. Known as the battle of Hill 732, the Iraqi forces clawed their way forward, gaining about five kilometers, but the Saudi line, battered and bleeding, nonetheless held. Like a grinding football game, the Iraqi team had reached the ten yard line, and now it was going to the fullback with its Republican Guard divisions simply trying to pound their way through the defense, but without success.

At dawn, US forces at Rivet Joint One were pleased to see that four battalions from Qatar had arrived, two mech and two more of armor, which put another 41 Leopard II tanks on the field. The Iraqis in the south now had 61 T-85 Tanks left after their failed assault, and they fell back on the high ground around Hill 1007 to the west. They had expended a great deal of ammunition, and many of the brigades were simply burned out. Unfortunately, they were a very long way from a good supply source now, and the Iraqi commanders began to realize the precarious nature of their situation.

Before them stood a hardened, implacable enemy, with much better equipment, command of the skies above, and troops that would not give an inch. Behind them there was nothing but the stony desert and a single dirt road winding its way west through a forsaken valley.

Everything depended on the 2nd Corps on Highway 75. They simply had to get through and flank the American position from the north, which might force it to withdraw. And that road was the only way the weary 1st Corps would ever get replenished with fresh supply. The 20th and 8th Saudi Mech Brigades in front of 2nd Corps were equally battered, their battalions down to 50% strength. All it would take was one more push, and so the Andan and Al Faw Divisions came at them again at noon, under a hot, merciless sun.

Not needed behind the US 82nd, the Qatari battalions were sent north, swinging through the desert east of highway 75, and arriving just as the 4th Al Faw Brigade was getting up steam and making a good advance. Realizing the crucial nature of this sector, the US asked the Emir of Bahrain to release his armor brigade for action, and that was granted, sending those 60 M60A3’s into the fight. Those, with the 40 Leopard IIs in the Qatari battalions, would be enough to stop that attack. It was like good linebackers slamming into the runner to support the tackles, and there would be no first down.

The yardage, when it finally came, did not come at Rivet Joint One, or along Highway 75. Far to the northeast, near that burning gas plant at Fadahili, the withdrawal of the U.A.E. brigade had left a crack in the line that was quickly exploited by hordes of Iraqi Infantry. They pushed through, west of that raging fire, and began overrunning the 6th King Fahd Armor Brigade. That breakthrough now put a big question on the table for General Kamel Ayad. He had held one division of his Republican Guard in reserve, the best of the lot. The Hammurabi Division was sitting at Abu Hadriyah, 35 kilometers north of the burning gas plant, and if committed now in the wake of that swarming attack, the breakthrough might be exploited enough to unhinge the entire Saudi defense further west. The division still had 72 tanks, in two brigades, and a pair of very strong mech brigades, and it went storming down a secondary road, passing the burning gas plant to the west, and grinding on into that breach.

It was 4th down and seven, the endzone tantalizingly close. It was either one more running play with that Republican Guard division, or the Iraqi Army was going to have to give up the ball. General Ayad knew a field goal would not be enough. The Iraqis could smell the oil burning, and it was like a shark smelling blood.

The exploitation began at sunset on the 29th, the tanks and APC’s of the Hammurabi Division surging through the gap in the line and forging a way into the desert to the south. If they turned east towards the coast, they would be cutting off everything at Al Jubayl, and might force their enemies to give up that big industrial center, which would be a great plum. If they turned west they could sweep behind the Saudi lines, potentially cutting off their defense in the desert as it extended west to Highway 75. If they kept on straight ahead, the way to Dammam was wide open.

06:00 Local, 29 NOV 2025

Lt. General Conyers in Dammam was not going to have it either way. He had every confidence that he could hold Jubayl, even if it was cut off, but he was worried about the Saudi forces in the desert.

“They have some good units out there, the King Salman Armored brigade being the best of them. What they have to do now is maneuver and counterattack this breakthrough on its western flank, and we’re going to block it on the eastern flank with 1st BCT.”

“They just have the 1st and 2nd Battalions left, sir. Everything else went to Rivet Joint One.”

“That will be enough. What we’ll do is pull the other two battalions from 2nd BCT in to reinforce. They’re holding the airfields at Ras Tanura and King Fahd, but there’s no threat there. This is for the money, gentlemen. Get those battalions moving.”

By midnight, four battalions from those two BCT’s put a full brigade strength force in front of the Hammurabi Division, and it was joined by the King Faisal Armored Brigade, really a battalion sized unit now, with 18 tanks, but it was backed up by the strong King Khalid Mech Brigade. Another mech battalion also crossed the causeway from Bahrain to add further support.

The Hammurabi Division would not go without a fight. It directed three brigades to a point in the blocking enemy line, and they were going to fall on 2/504 Battalion, of the 1st BCT, but they just could not move them.

The US troops were dug in well, and the Iraqi’s had come too far south in their headlong exploitation, outrunning their own artillery. The American battalion had 18 anti-tank launchers, Javelins and TOW’s, and they were putting them to work. They could see the Iraqi infantry dismounting from their AFV’s, and crouching in small groups behind them. Out in front, the big T-85’s lumbered forward like war elephants, the 125mm guns on this variant began switching to HE rounds, as they could not see any enemy armor ahead.

Then the US infantry opened up on them, the squad leaders calling the tune. “Javelin!” The missiles were suddenly dancing out over that deadly space between the two sides, and there would come loud explosion, ending the life of one T-85 after another. In 1997, just before the first Sino-Siberian war, it was the best tank the Chinese had. Now those stocks had mostly been sold off, and it was the best the Iraqi’s had in 2025, but it had met its match, and then some.

The Javelin was a lightweight, shoulder fired weapon, weighing just under 50 pounds, and consisting of a launch tube and a 127mm missile. It could range out 2500 meters, with good accuracy, a fire and forget system that used an imaging infrared seeker to find its target. One “gunner” and a second ammo carrier made up the two man firing team, and together they could send out a tandem warhead that had two shaped charges. The first would detonate any reactive armor that may have been applied to the tank, the second was for the dirty work, and it could penetrate the equivalent of 750mm armor. The missiles would scoot out from the launcher, then arc up into the sky to look down and find the targets, then they would dive for the kill at a near 90 degree angle, striking the thinner top armor of the targets.

That was enough.

2/504 was holding, the Javelins getting kills and the infantry putting down lethal anti-personnel fire to stop the Iraqi infantry. As more and more tanks and APC’s became smoking holes in the ground, the ardor of the dismounted Iraqi infantry flagged, and things seemed to be more preferable to the rear.

It would only get worse for the Hammurabi division. The last remnants of the Kuwaiti armor, two Chieftains and three Challengers, came rumbling up behind the 82’nd, and they were a welcome sight. A US Sergeant leapt on top of one, and shouted orders for the gunners inside to track their turrets left or right and engage targets, and more help was not far off. Some “experts” were on the way.

General Conyers had determined his position at Rivet Joint One was solid as a rock, so he detached the two battalions of the 73rd Cav he had sent there earlier, and they would ride through the pre-dawn hours, racing east to support their brothers, each with ten US M1A2 Abrams tanks. That was going to be the straw that broke the camel’s back.

The Hammurabi Division Commander could see that his hour of glory had passed. He had gained five yards, but no first down, and no touchdown. It was time to huddle and see what was left to be done.

* * *

General Kamel Ayad, knew he had lost the ball. His prized halfback had made a daring dash through the enemy line, but it was stopped. Enemy fighters and dark winged bombers were now circling overhead like desert vultures. They would begin pounding his prized division, and the futility of his position now became apparent.

“We cannot get through,” he said to an aide. “Those damnable American airborne troops will simply not break! And now their fighters pick off our tanks and APC’s like carrion. The entire 1st Corps of the Republican Guard is now sitting in the desert east of the Americans, and they cannot break through to the fields at Ghawar!”

“Must we retreat, sir? Is it over?”

“Nonsense,” said the General. “We need time, that is all. Our troops are weary. They have come all the way from our own border, some 320 miles for 1st Corps in just five days. What other army has done such a thing? We have all of Kuwait, and good positions inside Saudi Arabia. We have also showed them what we could do to their precious gas plants and refineries. While they may have stopped us, I do not think they have the strength to mount any serious counterattack. So we will consolidate, dig in, and resupply. I am sitting in the parlor while the Saudis think to have their dinner, but I will be a noisome and unruly visitor. Just you wait and see.”

That was a fairly accurate assessment of the situation. The Iraqi attack was played out. In its most reaching moments, it had found the 82nd Airborne Division in front of it in both key attacks, and they had given no ground. The Saudi Army had fought like tigers, and they had taken severe losses, but still remained a cohesive force, battle hardened by these last five days. Soon the brigades of the Sultan of Oman would come west to join their ranks, making any further offensive plans by the Iraqis unfeasible.

Yet General Ayad was correct. The Arabian coalition did not yet have the strength to mount a real counterattack. For that it would take heavier units coming from the United States, and the closest was the 1st USMC Division, waiting at Diego Garcia for the outcome of the great naval battle for control of the Arabian Sea.

Part VIII

The Lion’s Den

“One will not break through to the enemy with theory. Directness is most important, when in front of the lion’s den…”

― Rati Tsiteladze

Chapter 22

08:15 Local, 29 NOV 2025

The missiles rose into the clear morning sky, climbing rapidly up and reaching speeds of 3000 knots in a matter of seconds. They were a secret weapon Iran had been working on for some time with assistance from Chinese engineers. The weapon system was called Kalij Fars, which meant, simply enough, “Persian Gulf,” built from the Fateh-110 single stage solid fuel ballistic missile, mounted with a 650Kg warhead. Its relatively short range of 300 kilometers meant that its targets would be limited to the Gulf, and the Strait of Hormuz, which made it a kind of defensive weapon against naval incursions into those maritime spaces—because Kalij Fars was a ship killer, designed with an optical seeker to look for moving targets at sea.

The Iranians had dropped the chador on the missile in 2015 in this history, announcing it now had the means to find and kill American carriers entering the Persian Gulf. That was one reason why the Navy ended big deck carrier patrols there years ago. Operating only from the Arabian Sea with those valuable assets, and on a sporadic basis. The shift to the Pacific saw four US carriers based there, and two on the Atlantic. Of those, one was assigned to the Med, the other to the Arabian Sea, but it had been in Norfolk for maintenance when these events flared up.

That was why Carrier Strike Group Roosevelt had taken so long to get to the scene, departing from San Diego for the long journey to Darwin, only this time, the Iranian missiles were not targeting a carrier. The US Security Patrol out of As Sultan Harbor in Oman had been spotted approaching the Strait of Hormuz, and so the Iranians thought they would test the system on the cruiser at the heart of that small task force.

CG Bull Run was ready for trouble of this sort, for US intelligence knew the missiles had been deployed, and so every cruiser they floated had the latest version of their long lance SM-3. Three times faster than the ballistic missiles it was targeting, they were away in a fiery wash once that enemy launch was spotted. Four Vampires had been detected, and eight SM-3’s went out after them, finding and killing all four targets before they even got half way over the Gulf they were named for. Their broken shards would fall there that morning, and take their rest in the sea.

Captain Peter Duncan on the cruiser Bull Run took offense to that attack, and for more than one reason. His ship had sailed with 16 SM-3’s, and he had just expended half of them to stop those missiles. “They want to play darts this morning,” he said to his XO, James, Fallon. Have we refined that contact up ahead?”

“The group is still fuzzy, but we just picked up something turning the corner on the Musandam Peninsula, and at 35 knots.”

“Has to be a patrol boat,” said the Captain. “Let’s say hello with one of the escorts. Give it to an LCS. We’ll see what that new Norwegian missile can do.”

“Aye sir.” The Captain was speaking of the new Naval Strike Missile that had been added to all Freedom Class Littoral Combat Ships. Before that addition, they had been relatively toothless, having Hellfire mission modules that could let them threaten fishing boats at a range of five miles, or discourage Somali Pirates, but little else. Iranian patrol boats outranged the LCS, and would have fired and fled long before the they ever got close, but that was no longer the case with the NSM mounts added. Each Freedom Class ship now carried eight of the missiles, with a 100 mile range.

The US Navy had superb radars and support from aerial recon assets and satellites, so finding a target was generally not their problem. But you had to have a missile with the range to hit the damn thing, and here the glaring flaw in the LCS concept was finally corrected. The ships could finally fight at range, and two Naval Strike Missiles were sent out after that skunk, only to discover that the single target was actually a group of five Iranian Patrol boats. Unlike Bull Run, they had no SAM systems to defend against the missile attack, and so PB Zafar went up in smoke and fire at 08:45 that morning.

Bull Run then joined Hunter and Ranger, with two Harpoons, while the LCS ships threw out a couple more NSM’s. They soon wiped the table clean, sinking the remaining four Iranian attack boats. Three years earlier. The Iranians would have had the draw on the US Littoral Combat Ships with four times the range, and that with the Iranian C-704 miles, which could only get out 20 miles. This time the tables were turned, and it was the US that had the advantage of range.

In our history, there were 16 ships in the Freedom LCS class, and all of them combined could not have successfully engaged or defeated the five Iranian patrol boats under fire that morning. They were, in effect, lightly armed coast guard cutters, with a 57mm deck gun that had a five mile range to go along with its Hellfires. The Iranian boats would have scooted just inside that 20 mile range and fired off ten C-704’s, with a strong possibility of hitting and sinking several ships, while all the US force could do in return was use harsh language.

Lockheed saw the problem clearly enough, and submitted a proposal to the Navy to convert the ships to a “Small Surface Combatant Variant.” They wanted to add a VLS section for ESSM or SM-2, and swap in a better deck gun, but the US Navy passed on the proposal. Instead, the Saudis bought the idea, ordered four ships, and they would get that boat with an Italian made 76mm deck gun, 64 ESSM’s for air defense, supported by 21 more RIM-116C’s, and they even strapped on eight Harpoon II’s. Just one of those ships would have put down all five Iranian patrol boats, where all 16 of the US boats, the entire class, would have remained helpless to lay a finger on them.

Go figure…. At least in this history, the United States Navy wasn’t about to build ships that could not fight known threats it was likely to face, and prevail. It was never any mystery as to what kind of threat the LCS might encounter in littoral waters. They were the province of the fast attack craft, offshore patrol boats, and larger corvettes, all known, right down to the missiles each were carrying. The mystery was why the Navy commissioned ships that could not engage and win against these threats, and why they never corrected the problem in our timeline.

Those five boats had been based on the island of Abu Musa, and an hour later, a pair of Raptors up on CAP detected two more patrol boats near that island. The data was shared with the navy ships, and Captain Duncan saw that they were just outside the firing range of the LCS boats. So he handed the mission to his destroyers. DDG’s Rodes and Starke each had 28 Multi-Mission Tomahawks, with plenty of range for any fight at sea, so they fired four. But all this commotion had given away the position of that task force, allowing the Iranians to try and get off a shot in return.

These boats had a better missile, the Chinese made C-802 with a 110 mile range. The Separ had the range first, and fired all four of its missiles. Then, in a coordinated attack, two Iranian shore batteries would also fire their C-201 Silkworms, so both sides had missiles in the air at 09:45. Four minutes later, the crew of Separ pointed excitedly at a low flying cruise missile, just five miles out. That boat would die seconds later, along with Derafsh, which never had a chance to fire. When the remaining Silkworms tried to creep across the Musandam Peninsula and get at the American ships, the US air defense was more than adequate, killing seven more missiles without breaking a sweat.

In that brief hour, the US Maritime Security TF had just eliminated the Iranian surface threat in the Strait of Hormuz region, and it would be some time before those silkworm batteries were reloaded. Thoughts now turned to the expected undersea threat when LCS Hunter detected a Goblin just five miles from the TF on its towed CAPTAS Mark 4 sonar. They had stumbled upon a hidden diesel boat, Ghadir Class #944.

Captain Duncan was quick to lay out his orders. “Let’s get ASROC on that contact, on the double, then launch the ready Seahawk. The task force will come about to 180 degrees and all ahead flank.

It was shoot and scoot. You never wanted to be inside ten miles from a hostile sub—ever. The ASROC was a rocket torpedo with a 22 kilometer range that could get a weapon on the target very quickly, and possibly force it to go defensive if they were sitting there ready to fire torpedoes. Then the ships had to be somewhere else, and fast. Those orders filled the bill, and it was the Seahawk that got to the Goblin first, and just before the Iranian boat could get its firing solution locked in. Captain Duncan was pleased at the result, but he knew that had been a close call.

“Goddammit, isn’t Toledo out there?”

“Yes sir, about 11 miles off our starboard side.”

“Well they should be forward of this task force. Get a signal to the to that effect. That one was whisker close.”

“Aye sir, signaling Toledo to take position ahead.”

That improved LA Class sub had not detected the Iranian boat, as it was just starting to slow after a sprint at 20 knots. Drifting at five knots, it might have heard the threat ahead, and now it was on guard. With surface threats dispatched, the mission had changed to ASW patrol as the TF began to enter the narrow Strait of Hormuz.

The Iranians had yet another Ghadir Class boat lying in wait ahead, #943, and it was creeping just over the layer at 3 knots, silently stalking the noisome US ships. What that boat could not hear was the Seahawk out there looking for it, now flying with impunity under US SAM and air cover, and dropping passive sonobuoys well forward of the US ships. They turned up trouble at 12:18 Local time, ruining the lunch mess.

The sub contact was about five miles beyond ASROC range, so it was going to be up to the Seahawk to put harm on the enemy sub. Luckily, it had a very refined contact, and swooped in to get a Mark 54 torpedo in the water. Drifting at 100 feet below the surface, the Iranians had no idea they had been found until that torpedo hit the water, less than half a mile from the sub. By that time, it was far too late, and number 943 would be struck and killed less than a minute after the Captain gave the order to turn and run.

A diesel sub relied on one thing—stealth. If it was found, it was usually dead within minutes, because it could simply not run and hide after that. The shallow water in the Strait also prevented it from diving deep, leaving it few evasive maneuvers that might save its life.

The US ASW hunt would continue, but that had pretty much pulled the cork out of the bottle. The only other Iranian sub was Ghadir #942, on the other side of the long Musandam Peninsula, and the Saudi Navy was out hunting that Goblin.

* * *

This sweep of the Strait of Hormuz was just a preliminary operation. It was going to take more work before that sea lane might be declared open for anything other than a warship. Mines were always a worry, the sub threat could return, or more fast attack craft might venture out from Jask, though the latest satellite report showed no more based there. Beyond that, the Air Force was going to have to find and kill the missile batteries with anti-ship missiles inside Iran, and that meant they would have to penetrate Iranian airspace to hunt them down.

At the moment, the squadrons in theater were all generating air support and strike sorties against the Iraqi Army, but by the time the convoy carrying the USMC drew near, that work would have to be done. As to when that might happen, no one could say just yet.

The next problem was going to be much farther east, when the Chinese Fleet moved towards Singapore again—only this time, they reinforced with an additional carrier. That move underscored the importance of that sea transit zone, for Singapore had long commanded that entire region, and it simply had to be neutralized, or nothing the Chinese hauled from the Persian Gulf would ever get into the South China Sea.

China could not invade and occupy the place, as the Japanese had done in the last war. There was no way they could ever mount a campaign similar to that conducted by General Yamashita, where he earned the nickname the “Tiger of Malaya.”

In WWII, Japan, with a population of just 73 million, was able to invade and occupy Korea, Manchuria, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Malaya, Singapore, Java, Borneo, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, New Britain, Iwo Jima, the Marshalls, Marianas, Solomons, New Caledonia, and the Fijis, (in this history). Here, with an industrial base over ten times that of WWII Japan, a population of 1.4 billion, and a navy that would have easily crushed the IJN, modern China had expended most of its amphibious carrying capacity in the operations to seize and hold the Ryukyus, and it had precious little else to spare for other adventures.

It was a strange truth that, as weapons and military power got so much more powerful in the modern era, the ability to conquer and successfully occupy and control other countries became almost impossible to achieve.[5] Therefore a landing on Singapore, facing three enemy divisions, was completely out of the question. Yet China could use its missiles to strike and destroy the airfields and docks the Royal Navy relied upon to sustain its fleet there, and that would have the effect of opening the route through the Strait of Malacca.

To achieve this end. The South Seas Command was now upping its ante and sending 30 ships, a fleet composed of two carriers with the J-31, four Type 055 heavy destroyers, nine type 052D destroyers, and fifteen frigates. Three submarines would deploy forward of the main fleet TF’s. As before, the forward airfield at Ranai on the main island of Riau was a key contributor for air support. The next closest base was Miri in Malaysia, on the big island of Borneo.

For his part, Admiral Pearson had no business even being at sea. He had just seven ships remaining serviceable, the light carrier Invincible with just seven F-35’s left, an older Type 42 destroyer, Liverpool, and five frigates. Yet at least three of the five frigates were Type 31, armed with the American ESSM and the Naval Strike Missile. With these came the four ready frigates of the Royal Singapore Navy, and they had the Aster -15, and the American Harpoon. A group of six RSN patrol craft also carried a total of 48 harpoons, but they would have to get inside 75 miles to use them, which wasn’t likely to happen.

Admiral Pearson was conflicted with his dilemma. Intelligence indicated that he would be outnumbered three to one in warships of frigate size or better, two to one in carriers. Was he just signing the death warrants for ships and men if he sortied now? Yet what was he to do, simply sit in the harbor at Changi Naval base, until the cruise missiles found his ships there? There was a third course, and that was to simply withdraw, slipping away up the Strait of Malacca or down through the Sunda Strait into the Indian Ocean.

If he took the Malacca Strait, he was still controlling it, and might sit off the northern tip of Sumatra thumbing his nose at the Chinese and daring them to come after him. That would allow the Chinese to move into the Karimata Strait between the Java Sea and South China Sea, where they might wreak havoc on the facilities, airfields, and ports around Singapore, not to mention the 200 plus tankers and container ships hovering near that bastion. Unless ordered to do this, it would not serve honor, or do well to abandon a good ally in Singapore. So David went out into the Lion’s den, hoping against hope he could survive.

The odds were steep, but the Admiral had an unseen comrade in arms, a man named Vladimir Karpov, who had shaken the mantle of grief from his shoulders over the loss of his brother self, and turned to the one sure thing that would focus his mind and energy again—combat at sea.

Chapter 23

Kirov had come a long way to get in on the action here, which was no problem for Karpov’s flagship, but required Kursk to find fuel. The US graciously sent an oiler up from Darwin, and Kursk topped off in the East Java Sea before they continued west. They were now in the heart of Indonesia, the old “Dutch East Indies” that were such a bone of contention in WWII.

“Well Karpov, this is a tall order,” said Fedorov. “The Chinese have a great many ships out there now, and help from the Americans is still 1500 miles to the northeast.”

“They don’t have to come all the way down here, Fedorov. In fact, they could attack us now, presuming they were the old hostile force we faced so many times. Remember, their Tomahawk has a 1600 mile range. Besides, they have an aircraft carrier, so they will probably just sail into the west Celebes Sea and throw air strikes across Borneo. That’s what I’d do if the Kremlin were here.”

“Yes, and if we had planes on it that could make air strikes,” said Fedorov.

“Don’t remind me. Yes, why build an aircraft carrier if you don’t make one that can fight? No other nation on earth has been able to build a carrier that could remotely match the performance of an American big deck ship. They learned well in the last war, and carrier operations have been at the heart of their naval strength ever since. Yet this navy here has its power more distributed, fewer carriers, but with destroyers cruisers and heavier ships that are real monsters in combat. I think they took a leaf from our book, Fedorov. Remember, they were terrorized by a massive battlecruiser with missiles in WWII. The shadow of Kirov lays heavily on them.”

“Strange,” said Fedorov. “You would think they have records, photos of this ship from WWII, and then we suddenly appear here in 2025.”

“Those who knew what we really were, and where we came from, will not be surprised by that,” said Karpov. “The Royal Navy certainly knew about us, and formed that group to keep a watch on us. Surely they told the Americans.”

“I would assume so,” said Fedorov. “They called us Geronimo, a mysterious raider that seemed to appear out of thin air, and then vanish as the hunting Royal Navy closed in. The Japanese called us Mizuchi, the name of a sea demon.”

“But did they ever really know what we were?”

“Some must have learned our true identity. Remember that modern Japanese ships under Admiral Kita shifted to the past, so men like Yamamoto must have known about us.”

“That must have chilled his blood, to think our presence there was even possible. Well, we lived that through. Now we have another war to fight. What will happen here? Are we going to watch the British get hammered before we can get up there to help? We’re 450 miles southeast of Singapore.”

“Ah, but with missiles that can range out 700 miles. So we can coordinate with the American Tomahawk strike.”

“Already thinking ahead, aren’t you,” said Fedorov.

“Like any good chess player.”

Fedorov nodded. “How do you feel? Did you get the rest you needed? I realize you took quite a blow.”

“Don’t worry, Fedorov. I’m fine. Yes, I grieve the loss of my brother. Yet his very presence here was terribly haunting in some ways. Imagine seeing yourself thirty years from now, bent with age, and grey. Strangely, now that he’s gone, I feel more myself. I’m all here now, if that makes any sense. My mind is not always drifting out to that of my brother self, wondering what he is experiencing, and worrying about him. Now I know all that—everything he experienced, all memories within me now.”

“I understand,” said Fedorov. “At least I think I do. Face it, we were doppelgangers when we arrived here, and our plan took the lives of our local selves.”

“Unfortunate, but true,” said Karpov. “This may seem callous but, in one sense, I felt that didn’t matter, because here I was, still alive. Time had to choose which of us would survive, and she chose me. That wasn’t the first time that has happened. I survived the coming of my brother, and now he is gone, but I’m still here, all one man now. Time and Fate have chosen me yet again.”

“Don’t let it go to your head,” said Fedorov. “Alright, what is your plan here?”

“We’ll continue north towards Singapore. The British have already identified the general position of the Chinese task forces. They’ve even spotted one of their carriers. It will be heavily protected, but that’s never stopped me before. At the moment, it’s about 500 miles from us, and that’s an easy throw for our Zircons. I could swing them over the British fleet, and then dogleg them toward the Chinese—making it look like the British fired them.”

“Better let the Royal Navy know that first. They’ll see missiles headed right at them, and they are very squeamish about speedy lances like the Zircon. They’ve lost a lot of ships.”

“All because they built inadequate air defense into both their destroyers and frigates,” said Karpov. “The Type 42’s they’re still floating are obsolete. Their Daring class is a good ship, with superb radar, but it needs twice the number of Asters to survive in high intensity modern combat. So they’ve already lost a third of all their destroyers. As for their frigates, only the Type 31 is effective. Their Sea Ceptor can’t catch high supersonic or hypersonic missiles, and that makes those ships easy to kill with a missile like the YJ-18, something they stole from us, mind you. So they’ve lost a third of their frigates too. Those are heavy losses—ships, officers, and good crews going into the sea, and all because their Navy did not build ships that could fight and defeat known threats.”

“Strange,” Fedorov agreed.

“Hell,” Karpov continued, “their carriers are so ineffective that the British Admiral Wells had to use his entire air wing defensively, trying to shoot down incoming Chinese missiles. They had no effective strike capability. Sound familiar?”

“Ah,” said Fedorov. “Just like we did when we fought in 2021. I read the report. The British did make a good attack with that Small Diameter Bomb you hated so much.”

“Indeed, but then they were forced onto the defensive because their escorts were inadequately equipped for modern air defense. I’m not demeaning the Royal Navy. God knows they are a fine, professional force at sea. Give them the right tools, and they’ll beat you Monday through Friday. In this case, I think their government’s penny pinching left them in the lurch, even though their navy here is twice the size of the Royal Navy we left behind in 2021. Britannia no longer rules the waves in that history, and they are struggling here too.”

“What did you think of the Chinese Admiral’s performance?”

“Outstanding,” said Karpov. “He had no carriers, very limited air support, yet he used the few assets he had to get his targets, and then he just pounded them. He struck at every weakness in the British fleet that I’ve noted here, and certainly had the victory. No Fedorov, if we beat the Chinese in this war, the United States Navy will really have to step up and do the heavy lifting. That said, let’s see what we can do to help the Royal Navy here. A lot is riding on this. If they lose Singapore as a functioning base, then a standing naval task force will have to be at sea here to keep the Strait of Malacca closed, and given the Chinese tactics to date, it will have to be strong. They are close enough to these objectives to be able to really use mass in their engagements. The situation shaping up in the Indian Ocean is a perfect example. By withdrawing their Mediterranean Fleet, they bulked up their Indian Ocean Fleet to over 40 ships!”

“Makes tangling with them a chancy thing,” said Fedorov.

“Quite so,” said Karpov. “I wish I had Admiral’s Lazarev and Nakhimov with me now, and a few more new destroyers like Kursk.”

“Don’t forget Kazan,” said Fedorov. “Ivan Gromyko is out there somewhere.”

“Yes,” said Karpov with a smile. “He is.”

02:25 Zulu (09:25 Local) 29 NOV 2025

The New Jersey Task Force was nearly 1300 miles away from the nearest Chinese ship in the South China Sea that morning when they fired, but the missiles would not be aimed at any ships. The Big J, or the “Black Dragon” as the ship was called, is sitting in harbor as a museum in our world, but here the ship had been extensively modernized with a major refit. The navy wanted to see what a ship could do if it retained armor to resist damage from missile strikes, and then carried a load of firepower to deal out devastating blows in reprisal. Big J was one of two chosen, the other being the Iowa, and now it was steaming forward of the new US carrier Independence, in effect, acting as the forward screen with two companions, destroyers Buckner and Thomas.

The battleship had four Mark 41 VLS bays, or twice the missile load of a Ticonderoga class cruiser. It also retained one of its former 406mm main gun turrets, which could still fling shells out over 20 miles. Throw in six twin 127mm secondary batteries and four Phalanx mounts, and the Black Dragon could really breathe fire. Those VLS cells presently held 32 SM 2’s, 32 SM-3’s, 48 SM-6’s, 160 ESSM’s and a whopping 96 Multi Mission Tomahawks. For all that power, New Jersey would not fire that hour. The mission was instead handed off to her two escorting destroyers They each carrier 28 TACTOMs and 28 more MMT’s, and it was the TACTOM that would rule the hour. Those missiles were going out after the Chinese airfield at Miri.

The long arm of the US fleet wanted any assets there reduced or destroyed, because they intended to take up a position about 300 miles east of Miri, in the Celebes Sea, and they did not want their operations challenged or interfered with by Chinese fighters based there. Malaysian Borneo (the provinces of Sarawak and Sabah), was independent from the long Malaysian Peninsula in this history, and China had been cozy with it for some time. So it had secured basing rights at Miri, and permission to build a radar site. There it placed a dozen J-10 fighters, and six J-31’s to act as replacements for the carriers, along with several helicopters and a single J-20 that had landed there after having engine trouble.

A massive fan of cruise missiles were launched creating a vast arc as they all veered off on separate vectors. In time the missiles formed a great letter C on the US radar scopes, extending over 350 miles from north to south. They were going to cruise right over the Philippines in the northern half a of that arc, and the rest would come in over the Celebes Sea. Their targets at Miri were 1025 nautical miles away, and cruising at 500 knots, it was going to take them a little over two hours to get west to Miri.

As they made that long approach that morning, the British were using a few of their F-35’s off the Invincible to scout the Chinese positions. They had found one of the two Chinese carriers, cruising southwest of the main Riau Island in the South China Sea, another of the many island bastions in those waters that had been claimed by China. Admiral Pearson’s problem was that he had no means of striking that target, as it was presently 160 miles away, outside the range of his ship’s missiles. But that was not a problem for Admiral Wu Jinlong that morning. He had the range hours ago….

* * *

The four DDG escorts with the carrier Zhendong would open the battle from the Chinese side that morning, each one picking a target in the British formation and firing four YJ-18’s. At the same time, five J-31’s would rise from the upturned ski-lift deck of the carrier, each carrying a pair of anti-radiation missiles to target the British radars once they went active. They would be detected on radar about 110 miles out, coming at 530 knots, which raised the adrenaline in the British Fleet. Their assumption was that these were the fast YJ-18’s, or Sizzlers as they called them, and they were the missiles that had killed the majority of Royal Navy ships lost in the war to date.

That detection triggered alarms all through the fleet, and a scramble order rattled Tengah airfield on Singapore, where six ready Eagles took to the sky. Two had launched earlier as a radar picket, and now they turned towards the threat, each carrying six AIM-120C missiles. As with Admiral Wells earlier, the British would rely heavily on the support of fighters as a defensive shield, and they knew they had to get to the YJ-18’s before they started their high speed sprint. Two F-35’s were the first to fire four Meteors, then those first two Eagles engaged.

“Tally ho!” shouted an Eagle pilot to his mate. “Fox Three, Missiles away!”

Those four fighters would score a heartening 14 kills. The last two leakers were then taken down by the Type 31 frigate, Battleaxe. Seconds later the missile warning lights came on and those two Eagles were under attack.

“Break right!” came the call as the two planes maneuvered. They had been fired on by unseen J-31’s, stalked by the long range PL-15 missile, and one of the two planes was hit. The other evaded, diving for the weeds, the riveting nature of the moment smothering the realization that a friend was suddenly gone. There would be no time to grieve. That second Eagle pilot would not get home to think about it, dying 30 seconds later when a PL-15 ran up his flaming tail.

The ready alert Eagles that had just scrambled from Tengah AFB were now 35miles off the coast, moving swiftly at 520 knots. Up ahead they got radar hits on a tight formation of J-31’s, surprised they could see the planes. That could mean only one thing—the planes were carrying something externally which was reflecting the radar. Otherwise, the stealthy Chinese fighters would have been damn near invisible.

The Eagles had the AIM-120C, with a 60 mile range, and might have been under fire by now if the Chinese fighters were carrying the PL-15, but with those anti-radiation missiles, the loadout called for the lighter PL-12, which had just a 50 mile range. Now the Eagles would have their revenge, firing a flurry of AIM-120’s. The AMRAAM’s were good that day, finding and killing all five of the valuable J-31’s, much to the chagrin of Admiral Wu Jinlong. Only one of the Eagles was killed in return. Eagle Flight had avenged the loss of the radar picket planes, and then some.

* * *

The first Chinese attack had been a dismal failure. The planes were not escorted, they arrived too late, and there was not enough mass in the attack to make any real breakthrough.

That was a great waste of five good planes, thought Wu Jinlong. The attack was ill timed, and had no saturation. It was entirely defeated by their fighters, and no more than two missiles off one of their ships. Now I must order the six reserve J-31’s to deploy from Miri Airfield to replace those losses. This carrier must maintain a full air wing. That leaves me with 15 fighters, but those from Miri will bring us back up to strength.

Furthermore, the action is getting too close for comfort. It is clear that the British are attempting to close inside 100 miles, but our advantage is to stay outside their missile range.

“The task force will now come to 105 degrees west,” he said. “Also, signal Captain Zheng on the Shandong. If they have any J-31’s armed with the YJ-91 externally, they must switch to air superiority loadouts at once. They are to use the PL-15, and only in the internal weapons bays. The British are using their fighters as an air defense shield, and we must smash it.”

The Admiral was going to use his J-31’s in their strongest role, to sweep the skies clear of enemy fighters, radar pickets and AEW planes. His mood would soon lighten, because his forward sub screen had a boat up quite close to the advancing British fleet, and it was about to fire.

Chapter 24

The Type 041 Yuan Class diesel boat had been creeping at just four knots, angling toward a point that would see the British ships come across its bow. The Captain had six Yu-10 Torpedoes ready, and five targets now in range. That torpedo would normally be fired inside eight miles, but it could run 27 miles before exhausting its fuel, so getting this close was a good guarantee of a hit. Fast at 65 knots, any ship targeted this close in was in real trouble. Every ship in the fleet, including the four RSN frigates, now turned away from the attack, and went all ahead flank.

Invincible immediately launched a pair of Wildcat Helos with Stingray torpedoes. They raced to the suspected contact point, put two sonobuoys in the water, and had the location of that Goblin in short order. A minute later, a Stingray had found the sub, which was just 70 feet deep in these relatively shallow waters, where the bottom was less than 200 feet. The white water bubble that emerged on the surface told the tale well enough. That sub was gone, but not before it had put five deadly torpedoes in the water, which were now closing on their targets, even though the controlling wire to the mother ship was cut.

The four RSN frigates had been found, and the swift, silent fish were running true, having locked on with their own internal sensors. Supreme was the first to be hit, its back broken in the terrible explosion. Steadfast was next, her bow gutted by the lance that found her. Stalwart took the third hit, soon to roll over like a skewered whale and die. Intrepid was the last to go up in fire and smoke, the entire squadron of four frigates wiped out.

The fifth and last torpedo fired was after the Type 31 frigate Archer, soon to be fatally hit, with a raging fire aft, and systems down all over the ship. Adding insult to misery, a second Yuan class diesel boat was able to make certain Archer would not survive, and also put a torpedo into Battleaxe before it too was pounced upon by the helicopters and killed.

In that one fell blow, Admiral Pearson had lost six of his nine frigates, and with them went any chance of staying in this fight. Even before the terrible shock of the attack struck home, he knew that any man in his right mind would simply turn and run from this ordeal. He was never going to get close enough to the Chinese ships to fire anything at them. They had the speed to remain at a distance, where they could use their own missiles with impunity, and with the bravery of being out of range.

Grim faced, and somewhat pallid when the news came, he turned to his flag adjutant and issued an order, his tone almost solemn.

“Signal all remaining units. Launch helicopters to recover men in the water. Then this squadron will withdraw to Singapore immediately.”

The Admiral went to the ready room aboard Invincible, and drafted a message to Whale Island:

“29 NOV 2025 - 04:20 Zulu - 11:20 Local – Fleet attacked by two enemy diesel subs, which were subsequently sunk by Royal Navy helicopters. All RSN frigates in escort hit and sunk, along with HMS Archer and HMS Battleaxe. Given these circumstances, and with no further allied support at hand, it is my decision to withdraw to Singapore, and if necessary, to transit the Strait of Malacca so as to preserve what remains of Her Majesty’s Far East Squadron. With regret, and respectfully, Admiral William J. Pearson, Commander, Far East Fleet.”

The gravity of this decision could not be understated. It meant that the Royal Navy was relinquishing control of the eastern end of the Malacca Strait, and by extension, the approaches to the Sunda Strait between Java and Sumatra.

* * *

But support from allies was at hand. Karpov stood on the bridge of Kirov, looking at the BDA report on the Chinese attack.

“A submarine attack,” he said aloud. “A goddamn submarine… Fedorov, the British fleet looks like it is turning back for Singapore.”

“They lost six ships,” said Fedorov. “Those four RSN frigates were the only large combatants in Singapore’s navy. Without them, the British will simply not have the ability to defend against the kind of attacks the Chinese have been throwing.”

“Well then,” said Karpov, folding his arms. “It’s time they picked on someone their own size. Mister Samsonov, we will give them some covering fire as they withdraw. Target this squadron here. Put two Zircons on each of these three ships in the forward screen, then four on these two leading destroyers in their inner screen. For the carrier, allocate six. Their missiles are very good, and those are two Type 055 class destroyers there, but let’s shake them up a bit. The American Tomahawk strike is just starting to hit Miri. This attack, from an unexpected vector, might blow the foam off their beer.”

The missiles arced high into the stratosphere, reaching the speed of Mach 5 in little time. Then they fell like lightning toward the Chinese ships, and when they were 25 miles out, the first ship to fire on them was destroyer Changsha, which was actually positioned just behind the carrier Zhendong. They barely got to the first two Zircons before they reached the frigate Henyang. As the range closed, and the missiles slowed to 2300 knots, the HQ-9’s finally began to fire in volume, but the Vampires were just too fast to get them all.

Type 055 destroyer Huoshen, the Fire God, took a direct hit and there was a tall column of fire as her heavy magazines exploded. A second missile pushed all the way through to take the carrier Zhendong amidships and Admiral Wu Jinlong felt the ship shudder with that hit.

Samsonov looked up at Karpov, a glint in his eye. “Sir, sixteen missiles fired as ordered, thirteen destroyed by enemy SAM fire, one malfunction, and two hits, both on prime targets.”

“Not bad, Comrade! I think we got their attention. Yes?”

Karpov smiled.

* * *

Aboard Zhendong, damage reports were coming in swiftly after that hit. There was no fire, but the missile had penetrated into the hangar deck and put all air operations on reduced capacity. Then the communications station relayed the news from Miri. The airfield was now under heavy attack by enemy cruise missiles. Facilities there were severely damaged—hangars, shelters, the ammo depot, control tower, tarmac spaces, runway access points, and the air strip itself. Virtually every plane hosted there was destroyed in the attack, including a full squadron of twelve J-10 fighters. Miri had simply ceased to function as a viable base for the Chinese.

As much as he was elated at the exploits of his submarines, Wu Jinlong was disturbed. The attack on Miri could only mean one thing—Tomahawks, which meant the Americans were coming. At this point, he did not know where they were. Satellites had not provided any intelligence, but the direction of the attack, coming from the east, led him to believe they were moving his way from the Pacific.

They were reported to have two carriers at Guam, he thought. How many are headed in this direction? I need better intelligence. As for the British, they are beaten. There was never any doubt as to that outcome, but these missile that just struck us have done serious harm. What were they? Who fired them? Again, our intelligence leaves much to be desired. Could these have been fired by the Royal Navy ships? Impossible, neither they, nor the Americans, have a missile that can move at such speeds, which leads me to suspect….

Yes, those were certainly not Tomahawks. They were almost twice as fast at sea level as the American LRASM-B, but now I must remember the fate of our carrier Haifeng, pummeled by terrible high speed missile fire… from the Siberian ships. The battlecruiser that fought in the Beihai Sea also used such missiles, so I think I have answered my own question here. There can be no doubt that the Siberian Navy is responsible for this attack, but where are they operating? Are they with the Americans? We must redouble our efforts at reconnaissance.

The Admiral looked at his watch seeing the time had just drifted past 07:00 Zulu, which meant the Singapore missile strike was now launching as planned from southern Hainan Island back home. Time to take the iron rod and stir the coals….

07:12 Zulu (14:12 Local) ~ Changi Naval Base, Singapore

The British fleet had made a speedy withdrawal, without having even fired much of a shot. Its fighters had dueled with the Chinese, and effectively fixed their position, but they could do little else. The enemy submarine screen had proved fatal to Admiral Pearson’s designs, a withering blow equivalent to that delivered by HMS Anson north of Madagascar. As the last four ships of Admiral Pearson’s fleet entered the Singapore strait, the crews could hear the distant moan of air raid sirens coming from the island. Launching just a few minutes earlier, the DF-21C’s were now descending from the upper atmosphere at over 6000 knots.

Then they saw bright flashes and tall columns of smoke rising from the island, as if the earth itself had cracked open, venting noxious sulfur into the sky like a volcanic rift. Naval docks 3 and 4 were completely destroyed, and with them went HMS Ocean, which was berthed there when the lances fell on the harbor. Docks 6 and 7 were also damaged, and one of the piers collapsed in a flaming wreck into the water, the steamy smoke hissing up as it fell. Three buildings near the quays were on fire, as firefighters rushed to the scene.

On the other end of the island, Tengah airfield was hosting the heart of the Singapore air force ready fighter squadrons, and it was also attacked. The planes took heavy damage, with seven Typhoons, six F-16’s, four Eagles, and a Poseidon ASW plane destroyed, along with three Wildcat Helos. The control tower at the field was completely wrecked, and fires were burning out on a part of the runway.

As Admiral Pearson stared at the rising black smoke, he realized what a disaster he now had on his hands. There was no way he could take his last four ships into that inferno. What if more missiles were on the way at that very moment?

“Helm,” he said stalwartly. “Steady on 270. Take us through to the Strait of Malacca.”

“Aye sir, steady on 270.”

* * *

As Admiral Pearson gave that order, his opposite number was contemplating the next phase of his plan. For all its virtues in standoff naval warfare, the Chinese military had some real shortcomings when it came to ordnance that could attack land targets. Most every cruise missile in the VLS bays was designed to attack enemy ships, but not land targets, unlike the dual use Multi-Mission Tomahawks of the US Navy. So if Wu Jinlong wanted to use his ships to put more harm on those bases, he would have to sail into deck gun range.

As for air delivered ordnance, he had very few standoff weapons at his disposal. His J-31’s had the best weapon, the LS-6-500 pound extended range bomb, which could be released 30 miles out. The J-10 could use the standard range version of that same bomb, but it could only be released 12 miles out. Everything else required the planes to get within four miles or less of their intended target.

But first things first, thought the Admiral. I must defeat what remains of their air power. Once that is done, and we control the airspace, then I might contemplate rearming my J-31’s for a strike mission. A pity we were only allocated those 16 DF-21’s. Yet as I pursue this, the Americans, and the Siberians remain to be seen or engaged. Yet I must only assume that they know my present position, and that they are heading my way.

“Admiral sir!” A lieutenant of the watch interrupted the Admiral’s muse.

“What is it?”

“Enemy fighters have just launched cruise missiles. We believe the target is Ranai Airfield on Riau.”

“Where are the J-31’s?”

“They engaged, sir, but they were too late to stop the launch.”

“Nonsense!” The Admiral was angry. “Order the fighters to move forward. They must stop the enemy planes before they can launch. Then warn Ranai. Tell them to scramble any ready fighter at once. I will not have those planes destroyed on the ground before I have a chance to even use them.”

A flight of British Typhoons had launched twelve Storm Shadows, but as the Chinese had two frigates posted just southwest of the island, they engaged and killed seven. The remaining five all struck the airfield, and scored two plane kills, an ASW plane and a much more valuable KJ-200 which had been preparing to take up the next watch in another hour. Most of the fighters scrambled, and escaped harm, which was now sending a massive fighter sweep southwest towards Singapore. The Admiral would soon get the satisfaction of learning his planes had shot down a Gulfstream AEW plane from Singapore in reprisal.

Shortly after 16:30, these squadrons of enemy fighters were spotted on radar Changji and Tengah. Given their determined course towards the island, it looked like a strike operation, and so the order was given to scramble fighters and get after them. Tengah had a pair of Falcons and twenty F-15 Eagles ready, and they began roaring off the field. Even as they climbed, they ran into a storm of PL-15’s.

The enemy fighters had seen them taking off on radar and unleashed their arrows. The carnage was terrible, on both sides. The Eagles would soar into the thick of it, swooping, turning, diving to evade the PL-15’s. But enough survived to fire their AMRAAM’s, and they ended up destroying the entire squadron of J-10’s. Unfortunately, they would suffer heavy losses in a crossfire of missiles fired by unseen J-20s, which were scissoring in from the north and south. With the aerial duel raging for 45 minutes, none of the 20 Eagles would return. The Chinese would lose those 12 J-10’s and four J-20’s. The six remaining J-20’s that had scrambled then made an interesting discovery.

They had been thinking to return to base, but orders came to stay on station, and act as an AEW picket. Switching their radars on, they soon detected two ships in the Karimata Strait, cruising about 75 miles southwest of Borneo, and heading north. They had found the Siberians….

10:30 Zulu (17:30 Local) 29 NOV 2025

Karimata Strait

Karpov had continued his advance north until he got Kursk in range, though his contacts were very uncertain. It wasn’t until the air force of Singapore put up another G550 Gulfstream AEW plane that they firmed up. Kazan also reported it was missile ready, and so Karpov decided to attack. There was no use waiting for the Americans.

A flotilla of three Chinese ships was operating south of the main enemy body, and Gromyko would put four Onyx missiles on each one, allocating 12 more missiles to ships screening the enemy carrier they wanted to target. Karpov ordered Kursk to join this attack, firing half of her 64 Onyx missiles, with 16 of those going after the carrier. They were gunning for Shandong.

Part IX

The Gathering Storm

“There are five dangerous faults which may affect a general:

(1) Recklessness, which leads to destruction;

(2) cowardice, which leads to capture;

(3) a hasty temper, which can be provoked by insults;

(4) a delicacy of honor which is sensitive to shame;

(5) over-solicitude for his men, which exposes him to worry and trouble.”

― Sun Tsu, The Art of War

Chapter 25

“Kazan and Kursk report missiles away, sir,” said Nikolin.

“Understood,” said Karpov, waiting. He wanted to see what kind of defense the enemy would have against the stealthy Onyx, a missile every bit as good as the Chinese YJ-18. In fact, Karpov deemed it better. It was a high supersonic weapon throughout its entire flight path, capable of reaching 1600 knots, and it was stealthy.

The salvos from Kazan were parried, for there were actually four Chinese ships in the target group, a single Type 052D destroyer, Kunming, and three frigates. The follow up salvo from Kursk would break through to score a devastating hit on that destroyer, blasting open its hull. Frigate Zhaotong took the next hit, in spite of a brave defense. Then Huangshan would be struck amidships, leaving only frigate Shaoguan afloat in the forward screen, desperately trying to pull men out of the burning sea. All the stricken ships had been stationed at Mischief Reef at the outset of the battle, ordered to join Admiral Wu’s fleet muster, but they would never see those coral reefs again.

Frigate Yangzhou was out on the northern horizon, all alone as an intermediate radar picket. They saw the stream of missiles coming, and began firing HQ-16’s at 17:52. After getting five hits, that frigate would succumb to a withering hit aft, which would send it down within minutes. After that kill, the remaining missiles were beginning to enter the main body, the leading Vampire now just 13 miles from the carrier Shandong. They were getting flanking HQ-9 fire from Chilong the Fire Dragon, and Type 052D destroyer Yinchuan. Several of the Onyx missiles malfunctioned in the intense jamming, and none would get through.

Angry at the attack, the Chinese Admiral ordered an immediate counterattack. Most elements of the fleet had now mustered to form a large 20 ship force. A total of 32 missiles would come off the destroyers, with 16 allocated to each of the two Siberian Ships.

Karpov expected a counterattack, but he knew he had a much quicker punch. He would go after the carrier Shandong this time, and with a two handed attack.

“Samsonov, put four Zircons out here, about 30 miles northeast of that carrier. Then sneak four more here, on a more direct vector. Let’s see if our first salvo can draw their fire to allow the second to get through.”

It was a clever ploy, and a flurry of HQ-9’s were out after the first salvo, when the second suddenly appeared on radars, coming from a different direction. Three of those four were killed, but the last found the carrier. All the ships saw the explosion, but when the report got to the bridge, no vital systems reported damage. The hull was charred and burned where the missile went through above the water line, but it struck non vital spaces. Karpov’s uncanny luck in hitting prized high value targets like carriers persisted, but his work was not yet done.

Minutes later, the Chinese counterattack began and a combination of YJ-18 Sizzlers and YJ-100 cruise missiles came in at the two Siberian ships. The next few minutes were quite harrowing, and Fedorov stood near Nikolin’s post, seeing how the younger officer gripped the arm rest of his chair as the missiles began to rush off the deck, and the sky began to fill with dark explosions. The tension on the bridge was palpable, because the YJ-18’s were sprinting, and getting in very close. They could see the Gargoyles hissing at them like venomous snakes, and the AK-600 Gatling guns began to rattle out their fire. The sound of the explosions shook the windows on the bridge, but then it was over. All the enemy missiles had been killed, and a dark haze of grey white smoke settled around Kirov like a shroud.

Karpov smiled. “I don’t think they like us, eh, Samsonov? We have put down four ships, hit both carriers, and yes, they are clearly not happy with us. Good. We will keep it that way, but let us open the range a bit. They have shorter range missiles on their frigates, and we do not want them in the equation. Helm, come to 180, and we will take the range outside 200 miles.”

“Sir,” said Rodenko. “We’ve lost signal integrity on the surface contacts. The uncertainty factor is increasing each second. Chinese fighters just took out that AEW plane over Singapore, and we were relying on that for a good position fix.”

“Another good reason to open the range now, as we have no way of knowing whether the British have assets on Singapore that can refine those contacts any further. It may be that our best bet now is to wait for the Americans. Where is the British task force?”

“As of 19:20, they were 86 miles northwest of Singapore, in the Malacca Strait.”

“So it’s clear they are withdrawing. And the Americans?”

“They are 590 miles east of Borneo, about to enter the Celebes Sea south of Mindanao.”

“Very well…. Then I think we’ll bide our time, unless the Chinese hit us again. In that event, I just might get angry.”

* * *

Turnabout, they say, if fair play, and even more so in time of war. As the Chinese fleet concentrated, an old British warrior was slowly creeping up on them at 12 knots. Eleven miles out, the sub Trafalgar slowed to five knots, listening to the sound of all those screw rotations. The sonar station was working up solutions, and Captain Samuel Wood, soon had five Spearfish ready to get out and look for some vengeance after what the navy had been through of late. They knew what Anson did north of Madagascar, and they were eager to weigh in.

So just before 18:00 local, as the sun was low on the horizon to the east, five Spearfish went out for the hunt. The targets were the frigate Xuchang, Type 052D destroyers Hefei and Changsha, Type 055 heavy destroyer Shanshen, the Mountain God, and the older Type 051B destroyer Shenzhen. All but the last were just inside eight miles, and the swift Spearfish could run twelve miles at its top speed of 80 knots. In this attack, detecting the incoming torpedo quickly was the difference between life or death for the targeted ships.

The frigate Xuchang got wind of both the sub and the torpedo first, heading its way, as they were the first ship targeted, but it was a bearing only detection, with much uncertainty. That was enough to force the Captain to come about and go all ahead flank, and all the ships that were off his port side did the same. Then the uncertainty dissolved, and there were suddenly four more torpedoes out there, all in a line from north to south in a classic torpedo fan spread. The entire Chinese fleet now lurched east like a herd of sheep beset by five ravenous wolves.

Then Xuchang blew up, and one by one, tall water spouts rose up on all those destroyers. The Spearfish had been deadly accurate, and so fast that there had been no time to evade. Trafalgar was relentless, the crews reloading those tubes, and four more fish were soon in the sea, this time with the carrier Zhendong in their sights, just eight miles out.

Minutes later, Admiral Wu Jinlong heard and felt an explosion, and now he knew his ship was doomed. A second hard thump cemented that, as Zhendong rolled with the hit. As he reached for the arm of his chair to steady himself, he saw the horrific second explosion ravage Shanshen, and the Mountain God began to roll over heavily to its starboard side. Destroyer Changsha was also hit a second time, and now he knew his enemy was exacting a terrible vengeance for the many ships his own submarines had sunk earlier that day.

The British fleet had been like Daniel going into the Lion’s Den, only the outcome for Admiral Pearson’s ships had been very bad. Now brave Trafalgar was David facing Goliath alone, and his sling was deadly accurate. That single sub had run up on the flank of a massive Chinese formation, and gutted it. Admiral Wu now had no choice, giving the order to make a boat ready so that he could transfer his flag to the carrier Shandong.

Of the ships hit, only destroyer Changsha and the carrier Zhendong were still afloat, attended by a destroyer and frigate. As the Admiral made his way towards Shandong, the fleet reorganized around that carrier, still fifteen ships strong. In spite of a diligent search by helicopters, the marauding sub escaped detection. The news that destroyer Changsha had also sunk that hour lay like another lash upon Admiral Wu’s broad back.

They have used all their torpedoes, thought the Admiral, and with terrible effect. Perhaps they are still out there, lurking, and we must be vigilant. I was remiss in failing to deploy a strong ASW screen. That must be corrected immediately.

Chances are that Zhendong will not survive this ill-fated mission. That carrier still has 11 valuable J-31’s aboard, but conditions do not permit them to launch and transfer to Shandong. Sending Zhendong to Ranai will do no good, as there are no facilities there. No, it will have to be detached to the oil terminal at Vung Tau, Vietnam. We invested a great deal there, and now the Vietnamese can repay us. Zhendong can only make 11 knots, and it is over 400 miles to that port, so it will be vulnerable at sea for a good long while.

Clearly, I will have much to answer for when I make my report to Beijing. At the very least, I must fulfill my mission with the ships still under my command. I have already driven the Royal Navy from their nest at Singapore, but how long can I stay here to control these waters? The Americans are coming….

* * *

At 22:30 hours, the darkness around the American carrier Independence was lit up by missile fire from two of her escorting destroyers, Sherman and Sheridan. This time, the target was Ranai Airfield, as the American plan to “prepare the battlefield” entered phase II. The airfield at Miri would be hit again by DDG Hancock, and now Ranai would get the same treatment, removing all local land based air support from the Chinese hand. When Independence got closer, the carrier wanted to rule the skies, uncontested.

* * *

That night the oil burned long in Beijing as the naval command tried to determine how to proceed. Admiral Zhang Wendan, Chief of Staff, took a late meeting with Admiral Zheng Bau, Chief of Naval Operations South.

“The situation with our South Seas Fleet has changed,” said Zhang. “This submarine attack has complicated matters a great deal. Zhendong is badly damaged, and must seek a friendly port.”

“Yet we still have Shandong active,” said Zheng Bau.

“True, but the attacks at Miri, and now Ranai, continue. Satellites have finally located the position of the American carrier Independence. It is now entering the Celebes Sea, and coming west.”

“Of course, where else would it go in this situation?”

“Well, that is a problem.” The Chief of Staff was clearly the more cautious of the two, seeing things in the situation he did not like. “Without land based air support, Wu Jinlong can only rely on the planes he has aboard Shandong —eighteen fighters.”

“Four more are on the way from Miri. They got the airfield in good enough shape to get the remaining planes out.”

“That makes 22 aircraft. How many will the American bring on their carrier? Forty? Sixty? Without Miri and Renai, our J-20’s will have to come all the way from Tan Son Nhat in Vietnam. That is over 500 miles north of Wu Jinlong’s present position. What exactly is he to do now? Hasn’t he already accomplished his assigned mission? The Royal Navy has fled up the Strait of Malacca.”

Zheng Bau tapped the map table. Pointing to the Strait of Malacca. “Sea control,” he said. “That is the root and stem of his mission. Driving off the British was the flower, but at root, that is why we sent that fleet south, to secure the Strait of Malacca.”

“More easily said than done,” said Zhang. “The British can still exert control sitting north of Sumatra. Surely you will not want Wu Jinlong chasing them through that narrow waterway. He could be trapped there, and forced to enter the Indian Ocean, which would remove too much strength from our South China Sea. Furthermore, if you say Wu Jinlong should now turn and fight the Americans, then he is in the wrong place at this moment. He would have to be sitting just west of Miri airfield to get his cruise missiles into the Celebs Sea. What will he do at Singapore? I say he should be recalled at once. First escort Zhendong north to Vietnam, and see if we can gain the support of their navy again to recoup our losses. Then let us see where the Americans go, and what they are planning. The South China Sea must not be left exposed.”

Zheng Bao nodded. Yes, he knew he could not send that fleet into the Strait of Malacca, or the Indian Ocean. It was the heart of the defensive force for the South China Sea, which was his primary charge. They had doubled down in their effort to defeat the Royal Navy at Singapore, but there were limits to what they could do there. Surely they would not harm or bother the hundreds of ships hovering off that port. They would need them to come to China one day soon, or so he believed.

“The Americans,” he breathed.

“And the Siberians,” said Zhang Wendan. “How did they get so far south from the Beihai Sea? They were the ones who drew first blood, with those terrible hypersonic missiles. We must make every effort to get our hands on that technology.”

“Nothing was discovered at Haishenwei while we occupied the port,” said Zheng. “But we did learn enough to develop the missile that had been the bane of the Royal Navy, our YJ-18. Very well… I will agree that we should and must make every effort now to see Zhendong to a safe port. Then the fleet can refuel at Veng Tau, and we will discuss the situation further when we see what the Americans do.”

“Agreed,” said Zhang Wendan. “Discretion now, valor later.”

* * *

The new orders would reach Admiral Wu at 02:00 local time on the 30th of November. He was awakened by an aide with the news, rubbing his eyes as he read the message decrypt.

“Inform the Captain. The fleet will come about to 20 degrees north and make a rendezvous with Zhendong. That is all.”

As they moved north there would be another submarine scare that morning, when frigate Jingzhou reported a torpedo in the water. It was the RSN diesel boat Swordsman, and her Captain took an unlucky shot at the frigate. Unfortunately, he did not have very sharp teeth, The TP-613 torpedoes he was carrying could only range out a little over five miles at their best speed, and to go farther, they had to reduce to just 25 knots.

FFG Jingzhou had the alacrity to outrun the torpedo, and then the Captain bravely turned the tables on the sub, and came about to go hunting. He got his helicopter up for a search, went to active sonar, and closed the range. It was at some risk, but he got close enough to use his Type 87 ASW rockets, and killed the Swordsman that had taken that swipe at him, recouping just a little lost honor after so many of the fleet’s valuable ships had been killed by the silent enemy below.

Submarines….

This is why Karpov hated them so. Kirov’s superb long range radars could not see them. His Gargoyles could not reach out and kill them as they could with enemy missiles. Posting round the clock helicopter ASW patrols consumed both fuel and time, and often, the submarine Captains would just hover in the sea along your path, waiting to strike when ships came within range.

Submarines… They had sunk eleven ships in this second contest near Singapore, and largely decided the battle on both sides. The losses they inflicted caused each combatant to reconsider, regroup, and withdraw to safer waters.

So as the last six J-20’s that got out of Miri arrived, they took up a covering position, circling over the stricken carrier Zhendong, like a flock of dark crows.

Chapter 26

OMCOM was looking over the satellite data, noting that the Chinese Feet was beginning to muster out to sea in the Indian Ocean. That was the real matter at hand, and Admiral John David Randall was calling the tune.

“Alright gentlemen,” he said, wielding a laser pointer. Behind him a digital map covered the entire wall on a massive screen, and the audience of staff officers quieted when he spoke.

“What you’re going to see on the screen here is the current state of the Chinese Indian Ocean Command and fleet as of 15:00 today, and I will say at the outset that 90% of it is haze grey and underway.”

Randall was tall, broad in the shoulders, a sandy haired man that had come up through the carrier ranks, with service on Eisenhower, Truman, and Lincoln. He was a go getter, and a man that had been relied upon to get difficult jobs done, but he never downplayed the rigor of what might lie ahead.

“This is what we’re looking at. Out east off Somalia, we have two Surface Action Groups, both under overall command of Admiral Sun Wei. This is the force that tangled with the Royal Navy north of Madagascar, and they were tough—14 warships with two support ships. If they hold present course, they are making for a rendezvous with these two groups out of Djibouti and Aden, and that adds nine ships, bringing that command to 23 ships. A raptor out of Mogadishu flew 500 miles to get that intelligence, and its good. ”

The admiral circled the rendezvous point with his laser pointer, somewhere east of the Horn of Africa. Then a fleet icon lit up to the east, off the southern tip of India.

“This is the Colombo group, usually on patrol in the Bay of Bengal, but now moving west above the Maldives—twelve ships. Lastly, up north they have their Arabian Sea Group, which sortied from Gwadar three hours ago. Our Task Force Able out of Muscat tangled with them briefly, and they retired, but they’re back at sea—ten ships. So if you’ve done you math, that adds up to a grand total of 45 warships…..”

That got a murmur started through the whole audience, and Admiral Randall voiced the obvious heart of the reaction. “Gentlemen, they know we’re coming. They know where we want to go, and needless to say, these guys mean business. Now… Here’s what we have operational as of today. In spite of significant losses, the Royal Navy has consolidated at Diego Garcia with a 15 ship task force, including carriers Prince of Wales, Victorious and Ark Royal. They will be escorted by four destroyers and seven frigates. Our Roosevelt group adds seven ships, including two cruisers, and ARG Makin Island has that ship and two more destroyers. These forces will rendezvous with ARG Solomon Sea, which left Mogadishu four days ago to get out of harm’s way. Those three ships are about 650 miles east of Admiral Sun Wei. Mister Harper?”

“Sir, why didn’t the air assets at Mogadishu take a swipe at the West African Group as it moved north?”

“Because we told them to keep their powder dry and wait. All we have there that can get after a ship at sea are a pair of Raptors and six SuperToms. That would put a dozen LRASM’s in the air, but they wouldn’t put a dent on the bumper given what Sun Wei is floating. Those assets will have to coordinate any strike with our operations.

“Alright, the last of our surface war fighters are with Force Darwin, which is hauling the Marines out to Diego Garcia. That force has a US cruiser and three destroyers, with three Australian frigates and three of our amphibious ships, but they’re escorting 16 more ships with a lot of lives and equipment on board. Throw in two Seawolf class subs and that brings our forward deployed warship total to 30, with six in reserve. So this is about to be the biggest naval engagement since the Action off Fiji in the last war, and we may have more at stake here than Halsey did in that fight.”

The Admiral switched screens, now showing a large map of the Arabian Peninsula, where a prominent red line marked the current front.

“That red line is where Saddam and his minions have pushed as of 03:00 this morning. Our own 82nd airborne just stopped them here, at Rivet Joint One, and here, as they tried to cut off the defense at Al Jubayl. We’ve proven we can stop them, and God bless the 82nd Airborne out there, but we don’t have the muscle to roll them back. 1st US Marines needs to get in there, and as fast as we can move them. Behind them we have a full armored BCT from 1st Cav, and they’ll be more coming.”

“Sir, will 7th Fleet get in on this?”

“We’ve asked for the support, and Carrier Strike Group Independence is already heading our way. That said, the next screen I’ll show you has the situation in the South China Sea. As you know, Royal Navy Admiral Pearson got into a scrap with the Chinese some days ago as they made a move on Singapore. They held the fort, but at some cost. The South China Fleet, Commanded by Admiral Wu Jinlong, came south again for round two at Singapore. This time the British couldn’t hold. They ran afoul of a pair of Chinese diesel boats and lost six ships.”

Admiral Randall let that one sink in a bit before he continued. He wanted to impress the importance of ASW operations on the audience, something he had advocated coming up through the ranks.

“Admiral Pearson has withdrawn his remaining task force, just five ships, and he will be up off the northern tip of Sumatra by now. On the other hand, a British attack sub returned the favor and gored the starboard side of the Chinese fleet as they were heading south. Gentlemen, he got five ships, including one of their hot new Type 055’s, and then put two torpedoes into one of their carriers. The Chinese have withdrawn, and so we’re going to call that one a costly draw, for both sides.”

There was quite a stir when the Admiral tallied Trafalgar’s score, even going one up on HMS Anson’s exploits earlier that week. Then he turned back to the main screen.

“What this means is the Carrier Strike Group Independence has been put on notice to be ready to move into the Indian Ocean to support our operations, but that decision is still pending recon and assessment of what this Wu Jinlong does in the South China Sea.

“What about India, sir?” asked a staffer.

“Good question. They’re the elephant in the room, still neutral at the moment, as is Pakistan. If, however, the Chinese push Pakistan over the line, chances are that India would come in on our side. They already have a carrier group operating off Mumbai, and they would be most welcome. Now we get to planning and strategy.”

Admiral Randall switched screens again, showing a broad display of the Indian Ocean.

“Gentlemen, for the moment, the whole Arabian Peninsula should be considered to be behind enemy lines, and our mission is to break through and get reinforcements in there. But the Chinese also have an enclave here in the Maldives and at Sri Lanka at Colombo. So it will be our job to take those bases down as part of this operation. Their other land based support is in Yemen. They’ll have air assets at Sana’a, Aden, Riyan on the middle coast and Al Ghaydah up near Oman. They can also fly from Djibouti, and to some extent from Massawa in the Red Sea area. Because they have no carriers, we think they will muster their fleet somewhere within range of that land based air support. That at least allows them some means of contesting the airspace, or at least using it.”

“Not for long, sir,” someone put in.

“Well said. So one mission will be to deny them use of that airspace, and the bases that allow them to operate there. The bases in Yemen help them close the Red Sea. Colombo guards their maritime silk road from Burma, around India to the Persian Gulf. It’s their principle energy lifeline and the fleet they have here is tasked with securing and defending it. That’s what this is about—oil. Suez is closed and the Trans-Arabian Pipeline was shut down four days ago when the Iraqi’s crossed it. The British were unable to back this Admiral Sun Wei down, and so, for the moment, nothing is getting around the Cape of Good Hope. The last of the oil that was on the water when this war broke out should be making port in the US about now. After today, nothing else gets through until we open the sea lanes to permit that.”

Now the Admiral displayed a map of the Chinese maritime silk road, showing the sea lane connection from the Persian Gulf, around Sri Lanka, and on to ports in the Bay of Bengal at Burma, and through the Strait of Malacca to the South China Sea.

“That is the Line of Communications China has to the Middle East, much shorter than ours, but just as vulnerable, particularly with the US Navy out here. Our job is to decisively cut that line, and show Beijing just how much they have to lose by persisting with this madness.”

“Sir, why are they persisting? What’s their endgame?”

“Another good question,” said Admiral Randall. “This thing started with a scrap over the Ryukyu islands when the Chinese figured they were finally going to square things with the Japanese. We stood up, and that put them face to face with the United States Navy. They started stopping tanker traffic in the Med, probably to make a point that there could be a lot more at stake than the Ryukyus and Japan’s ruffled pride. Then, as it so often happens in war, one thing led to another. The Chinese knew they had no real play in the Mediterranean, so they shook the place up, and then pulled out. The same goes for their bases in the Atlantic along the African coast. The operation into the Arabian Peninsula had to be a major wartime contingency plan—all the marbles, gentlemen. It really all comes down to this—the Indian Ocean. This is where the war will be won or lost, because the most vital sea lanes on the planet are right here. If we win this thing, they may have no choice other than to throw in the towel.”

“How soon do we get started, sir?”

“24 hours will see all parties to this argument in combat range. The only wildcard will be what happens with the Independence. And let me tell you what the difference is going to be in this one—four aircraft carriers. We are going to get fighter recon patrols up with the Hawkeyes and find them first. The rest is done with mirrors. Find them, target them, hit them, kill them. Now I’m a carrier man from way back when, but I want you to think about what those two Chinese diesel boats did yesterday in the South China Sea, and what HMS Trafalgar did in return. This is a fight that we’ll take to them over, on and under the sea. Never forget that. We’re headed for the greatest full domain engagement since WWII.”

* * *

Four carriers…. Roosevelt, Prince of Wales, Victorious, Ark Royal, and maybe a fifth, Independence, would weigh heavily on the scales. The difference was air power you could take out into the Deep Blue when there was no land base that could serve you there. The Western Allies had that capability, and the Chinese did not. They brought two of their five carriers to the South China Sea against Admiral Pearson and saw both damaged, one by Karpov and Kirov, the other by HMS Trafalgar. Here, in this most important theater, they could not sail with a single flattop. In effect, the Chinese carrier arm was consigned to the littoral seas bordering China, and not a Deep Blue service arm at all.

That meant any deployment of Chinese air power had to come from the ‘String of Pearls,’ the many bases they had been building through the region for the last decade. As they had done in the second battle for Singapore, the US had a plan to prepare the battlefield before they engaged, and that meant denying the enemy the use of those key land bases they had to rely on.

Sri Lanka was therefore at the top of the list, a base that would allow the Chinese to interdict all traffic headed from the Arabian Peninsula and Persian Gulf to the Strait of Malacca. It had to be neutralized. The small field at Hambantoa was not a threat, with only a few helicopters based there, but the much bigger base at Colombo was hosting 45 aircraft, including 18 J-10’s, 18 more J-20’s, two AEW planes and ASW patrol craft. The big sealift convoy had a pair of US destroyers in escort, Benning and Anderson, and each one was carrying 56 TACTOM’s. They were therefore given Colombo as their primary target, and cleared to fire at 18:00, on the last day of November.

The explosions began to rip open the night when the missiles found the base, and when it was over, there were nine J-20’s and fifteen J-10’s left burning on the tarmacs, a major loss of more than a full squadron.

Immediately behind the point of enemy concentration were the bases in Yemen and Djibouti. They could provide defensive support, and long range recon flights by J-20’s to help locate targets. DDG Burnside, with the Solomon Sea ARG, would get the mission to strike the small Yemeni field at Al Ghaydah close to the border of Oman. Fighters from that field had already dueled with US CAP patrols defending an E-3 Sentry that was keeping watch on the Chinese Gwadar group. DDG Fremont would target the coastal field further south at Riyan.

That would exhaust the TACTOM’s carried by the destroyers, though most still retained their MMT’s for anti-surface warfare. But the preeminent strike asset for land targets was not cutting waves with its bow that day. It was deep beneath the sea. SSGN 726, the venerable Ohio, had been converted from a ballistic missile boat into a cruise missile platform, and each of her 22 missile cells could hold seven TACTOM’s. They was adding 154 missiles to the battle, and these were going to target the bigger air bases at Al Anad near Aden, Djibouti, and the big airfield at Sana’a in northwest Yemen. This put some 250 missiles in the air, all coming from deep within the Indian Ocean, so they would not be seen on Chinese radars for some time.

Of less concern were the bases in Pakistan, which were too far away to really matter, and politically sensitive, so they were not on the list. Nobody worried about striking the bases in Yemen, but Pakistan was another matter, a nuclear armed “client state” of China that was still sitting on the fence in this war. Yemen had been sparring with the Saudis for years, trying to export its Houthi rebellion to Saudi territory.

In considering this phase of the campaign, the great virtue of the Tomahawks would be seen, low and slow, but with a whopping 1600 nautical mile range. They represented seaborne strike capability that had no equivalent on the Chinese side. Beijing had built and deployed excellent anti-ship missiles, but few that were dedicated to striking land targets. That said, the only bases that would matter to the Chinese would be the three airfields the US was using in Oman, and Berbera AFB on the southern shores of the Gulf of Aden in Somalia.

That base was being targeted by some of the few planes the Chinese had in the region with any standoff land strike capability. They were nothing new, the old JH-7A, but they could carry the KD-88 Land Attack Cruise Missile, with a 100 mile range. All they had to do was take off, point their noses south, and fly about 40 miles into the Gulf of Aden to get in range of Berbera, which is what they did.

The US had a foil based there for that very reason, the new F-24A Hellcat. It had been one of the planes competing for the role the F-22 won, but here, instead of dropping the program, it stayed in development as a possible successor to the Raptor, and with a new long lance missile, the AIM-152B, sporting a 160 mile range. Six were up to patrol the Gulf, and they saw the strike package on their radars, with escorting J-20s. Then they let those lances fly.

That started a little air war, seeing four J-20’s downed in short order, the Chinese KJ-500 AEW patrol destroyed, and all the J-7’s chopped up by those new US missiles. Unfortunately, they had already fired their cruise missiles, so the attack they had been sent to make was coming in regardless of the plane losses. The Chinese scrambled the rest of their squadron, another nine J-20s, but the Hellcats earned their name, and had missiles out after them before they even knew they were there. All nine would be destroyed, establishing the F-24 as a dangerous new air superiority asset for the US.

As darkness shrouded over the sea, the Tomahawks were making a slow approach to their targets.

Chapter 27

18:50 Local, 30 NOV 2025

Indian Ocean, East of Somalia.

About an hour after sunset the Tomahawk storm was sweeping over the ocean, and the Chinese ships began firing at the missiles, until they realized they were just simply flying past them to other destinations. They got many kills, but the major strikes had been vectored over the Horn of Africa, and now the loss of that KJ-500 AEW plane out of Djibouti meant the Chinese were oblivious to the impending storm of flying metal and explosives heading their way.

The local commander at Djibouti had been shocked to see his entire squadron of J-20’s wiped out by the new American fighters. The only one killed on the US side was hit on the ground after it landed by one of the cruise missiles the JH-7A’s had fired.

Then reports came in that Al Anad AFB was under heavy missile attack, and he scrambled his last AEW plane to see what was happening. Even as it taxied to the runway, Tomahawks began falling on the revetments to the east. The plane took off amid smoke and fire rising from the field, and when it switched on its radars, the wave of missiles coming for the base was finally seen. Djibouti was about to take a pounding, and a missile would soon find him as he gawked at the scene from his control tower. The last thing he saw were the hangars and Avgas bunkers erupting with fire.

Half an hour later, planes in open parking at Sana’a started exploding as the Tomahawks reached that airbase. The resulting damage to all the targets was significant, with the loss of many planes on the ground and terrible disruption to operations. The control tower at Al Anad had also been destroyed, inhibiting the control of flight operations there. The interdiction strikes had done exactly what the US planners wanted, seriously reducing the ability of the Chinese to provide land based air support from any of those bases. That night, the satellites would look down for BDA analysis, and if necessary, Ohio was standing by with another 60 missiles ready for follow on attacks.

All of this added up to one great liability that now hampered the Chinese Fleet. How would they find the enemy? With air assets unable to fly deep recon missions into the Indian Ocean, they were relying on just one thing, satellites, and one in particular, Yaogan-13. It had just updated the general position of the Allied fleet, which was advancing in two groups, one where analysts had identified the British Carriers. By default, the other group had to be the Americans.

Their surface fleet had bullied the Royal Navy by getting just enough intelligence to target them at ranges between 200 and 400 nautical miles. In that donut, the Chinese could hammer them with the YJ-18 and YJ-100, leaving the British unable to respond, as their Harpoons and even the new Naval Strike Missiles had no more than 100 mile range. It meant the Royal Navy carriers were the only longer range strike asset, and the density of the missile attacks had forced those fighters to deploy as a defensive shield for the fleet.

That situation would remain unchanged for Admiral Wells, but the addition of the Roosevelt Strike Group had changed the equation dramatically. It was now the US Navy that had the dominant standoff naval strike weapon, the Multi-Mission Tomahawk, which they had in droves. Every destroyer carried them, giving the US an excellent first strike option in any engagement.

21:00 Local, 30 NOV 2025

“Stick, Bravo One. Skunks on the water. Over.”

“Roger Bravo One, Stick Copies. Standby. Over.”

The US had the general position of the Chinese task forces east of the Horn of Africa, but they needed more refined data for targeting. A Hawkeye was up, but Captain James Simpson on the Roosevelt was a stickler for fighter recon missions, and he had a flight of four US F-35’s 200 miles out to nail things down. Bravo One was reporting to the Big Stick, that he had independent confirmation on the Hawkeye detections.

Roosevelt was an old gal, with her keel laid down on Halloween, 1981. A few Old Salts called her “Spooky” because of that, and she was commissioned five years later in 1986. Now she was just shy of her 40th year of service, and looking forward to a rest for some maintenance. Her Midlife Refueling and Complex Overhaul had been completed in 2009, so there was plenty of time left on the hull.

The business end of the ship had two dozen F-35’s, 18 Super Tomcats, and six Growlers. By this time, the long serving F/A-18’s had all been retired, put into reserve or sold to Allied states. The Navy had doubled down on the F-35, and the SuperToms were an odd addition to the flight deck. They were not simply upgraded planes, but all newly manufactured with the advanced equipment built in, and other improvements. A big aircraft, they could carry loads of ordnance that were not yet able to fit in the internal weapons bay of the F-35, most notably the LRASM and SLAMMER for standoff strike capability. They were also often used for “Heavy Barcap,” or barrier CAP, where they could loadout with all of eight of the new AIM-152’s. It reminded the older officers who had flown the first Tomcats in their youth of the venerable Phoenix. The Toms would eventually be replaced by the new Avenger-II stealth strike plane, but that was only flying on the three newest carriers, Independence, Enterprise and John F. Kennedy.

Bravo One had just nailed the position of the nearest Chinese Surface Action Group, now about 415 miles away. The fix was good enough to go to the Tomahawks, and the weapon’s officers were already assigning targets to the escorts. Destroyers Hooker, Reynolds, and Ward would get the fire orders, each targeting three destroyer contacts in the eight ship formation. The three US ships were carrying identical loadouts, and for surface action they had 24 MMT’s and another 24 of the newer LRASM, the only three destroyers carrying those in this task force.

The targets were all ships of Admiral Sun Wei’s victorious group, now called the Dragon Gods after the Admiral’s Flagship, Longshen. They had won what history would call the Battle off Seychelles, even though those islands had been occupied by the British. Now he was first on the firing line again, having been appointed to overall command of the Indo-Arabian Theater.

The American plan was to lead with the missile strike, and follow with an air strike off the Big Stick. Simpson was going to throw a heavy punch, looking for an early round knockout. He would send 12 F-35’s with the Small Diameter Bomb, eight in each weapons bay. Twelve more Tomcats would fly on the flanks, six with slammers and six with the LRASM.

* * *

The Alarms on the Chinese ships sounded at 21:45 when the first two Vampires were seen on radar, just ten miles out. Because they were clocked at 600 knots, the Chinese knew they were not Tomahawks, and suspected that they were the new, more stealthy American cruise missile. How else could they get so close before being detected.

The formation was moving due east, with DDG Nanchang as the group leader, a Type 055 heavy destroyer. It opened fire first, along with DDG Kaifeng. There were six destroyers and two frigates in this group, and just over the horizon to the north, three more destroyers cruised with Admiral Sun Wei in his flagship. The first two HQ-9’s missed. The next two missed, and then the Chinese loaded up and finally brought down those two missiles inside three miles. Just as they died, the Tomahawks were seen crossing the 20 mile range marker, and orders were given for all ships to go weapons free.

At 21:54 the alarm sounded again and the next wave came in. It was destroyer Nanchang that held the fort, pouring out a lethal stream of HQ-9’s. The ship began the action with 53 in her VLS bays after taking pot shots at the TACTOM’s earlier, and ended it with 28, but the Vampires were defeated. The smoke had barely cleared when the first inklings of the air strike began to register on radar.

The Tomcat flights had been in range for some time, just waiting for the F-35’s to come up and find their release point. They began climbing to 50,000 feet, to give the GBU-53’s the best glide range possible. Meanwhile, the flight of four escorting F-35’s were painting the targets with radar to keep a firm lock, and sharing that data with all the other planes. Then the Growlers started earning their name with offensive ECM.

“Stick, Tomboy one. Slamming away.”

“Roger that.”

“Tomboy two is Winchester.”

“Roger, Tomboys. RTB. Over.”

Now the twelve F-35’s went to military speed, hastening forward to reach that sixty mile range marker. All that extra speed would be imparted to the bombs they would release, which made the GBU-53 a silent killer, with very little in the way of a radar or infrared signature. When it came to bomb design, no one could match the US, which had a dizzying array of ordnance for all occasions.

Now the Panthers were ready to rumble, and the Chinese would soon see two tight clouds appear as if from thin air on their radar screens. No whisper of the planes that had delivered those bombs was detected. The Tomcats released and turned for home, and there was not a single defensive missile able to reach or touch any of the US fighters. Unlike the British carriers, which really had nothing in the way of standoff ordnance except the Brimstone, Roosevelt had muscle.

Those 96 GBU-53’s were going to draw over 100 missiles from the enemy if they were to be defeated, and that was going to deplete many ships by the time the Slammers and LRASM’s arrived behind them. Every ship was firing, a waterfall of blue on the screens as the SAM’s raced out into that target cloud, like barracudas knifing through a school of fish.

Between all eight ships, the defensive fire was good enough to stop the GBU’s but at great cost in ordnance. Formation leader Nanchang was down to 17 HQ-9’s. No other ship had that long range missile left, and DDG Kaifeng was completely depleted. Admiral Sun Wei did not yet see them on his radar screens, but another 24 missiles were still inbound, the SLAM-ER’s and LRASM’s off the Super Tomcats. At 22:10, they were finally detected 30 miles out, and Nanchang began to fire the last of its HQ-9’s. They would get eight of the twelve Slammers, and then the ships had to sit there and wait for the remaining Vampires to get real close. Nanchang had 47 HQ-10’s, but they had a four mile range.

The only other ship that had anything better was the frigate Huanggang, which had six HQ-16’s that could range out 21 miles. So the tense wait was on as the Vampires closed on the task force. There would be little time for those short range missiles to find targets inside the four mile range marker. About 18 miles out, Huanggang fired, getting three of the four Slammers with the help of Nanchang’s HQ-10’s. The last went for DDG Kaifeng, without any missiles left, but the 30mm guns saved the ship from harm.

That was the easy part. The LRASM’s were more stealthy, and twelve more were still on their way in. Aware of the danger, Admiral Sun Wei now ordered his flag group of three destroyers to turn and hasten south at flank speed, and also ordered the main body to swing north. He was riding to the rescue in case more Vampires were out there, and all electronic jammers were wailing in their wake.

At 22:20, the LRASM’s were finally detected, pursuing the Chinese ships at 600 knots. As he watched on radar, he could only think of how he had sent his missiles out after the retreating British ships, picking off one frigate after another as they tried to escape his steely reach.

They were coming in pairs, as fired by each of the Tomcats, and trailing the formation, DDG Haian was the first to challenge them with its short range HQ-10’s. It got the first missile, but saw the second surge through its gunfire to strike the ship with a rending explosion, low on the waterline. The hull was fatally opened to the sea, and a catastrophic flooding was underway in seconds. Reeling with that hit, Haian continued to fire its HQ-10’s bravely defending its comrades as its speed fell off and it began to wallow. Its 24 YJ-18’s were now out of the fight, and Admiral Sun Wei knew that entire screen of eight ships would have to be detached to seek a friendly port to rearm with SAMs.

The American carrier, he thought. We are just outside the range of our YJ-100’s, but they can strike us with impunity. We never saw the F-35’s that delivered those bombs, and they drained the life from our SAM defense in a matter of minutes. We were lucky to take only one hit in that attack, and I must commend the brave sailors on Haian, who fought so hard to defend their comrades. That ship will probably be lost, and I must make every effort to rescue those crewmen.

My impulse is to turn on them and close the range, but I must be cautious here. We are strong when gathered as one, but weak when one of our task groups is isolated, as I was just now. Yet it will be some hours before the Americans can rearm their planes for another big strike, and in that time, I can work to concentrate the fleet.

In the meantime, our SSGN Submarine Jin Hua is in position to make a surprise attack on the British. Those are the only ships we still have a reliable fix on until Yaogan-13 orbits this way again.

That sub, like the US Ohio, was a modified boomer carrying 32 YJ-18 Sizzlers. It fired two salvos, thinking to steal away the life of Ark Royal and her escorting frigate, Diego Garcia. The British ships were due east of the sub, and about 100 miles away, but when the missiles fired, unseen ships to the south suddenly intervened—with Standard Missile-6.

The best naval based SAM in the world, those missiles were able to cover the British with little difficulty, catching the Sizzlers half way through their flight path, while they were still low and slow. It sent Jin Hua deep, her Captain hastening to get away from the scene as fast as possible, because he knew helicopters would soon be out in the hunt.

Cruisers Gettysburg and Vicksburg were already sending up a pair of Seahawks, and they were hastening northwest toward the last reported position of the missile boat. It would not take them long to find it, as it was nowhere near as stealthy as a Western sub. Two Barracuda Torpedoes later, Jin Hua was gone….

Frustrated, Admiral Sun Wei now contemplated what he might do. The Nanchang SAG was retiring, and with it went 100 strike missiles, including 80 YJ-18’s. The lone Type 055 destroyer had 20 YJ-100’s, but the nearest target was at the very edge of its range capability, 425 miles away. He had no choice but to send that group to the closest port, which was Aden.

His Flag Group of three ships had Longshen, the Dragon God, Yingshen, the Eagle God, and Type 052D destroyer Naning. Between them they had another 112 strike missiles, for the Eagle and Dragon had been configured with heavy strike loadouts. That was more offensive power than any other group in the fleet, but should he use it now? He had just seen what had happened to Jin Hua. Would the Americans be able to still cover the only reliable target he had?

Do not be hasty, he told himself. We have seen what they can do, a combination of cruise missiles and air strikes. While our losses were minimal, seven other ships were forced to retire and replenish. But that was only a quarter of our strength, and they cannot make such an attack again for another five or six hours. Nor can they do so against the totality of our fleet. So I will wait for the convergence of our other task forces. The Americans are recovering and rearming. There is time. At dawn we will be in a much better position, and when we strike, the Eagle and Dragon will lead the way.

Part X

Eagle and Dragon

“Every bird of prey looks over its shoulder before it goes in for the kill, even a hawk. Even they know to watch their backs – every single one but an eagle. It’s fearless.”

― Michelle Horst

Chapter 28

There are always two sides to every question, and when it came to analyzing the present situation, Admiral John David Randall, Chief of Indian Ocean Operations, was meeting with Admiral Thomas Shannon, Military Sealift Command, to sort things through.

Shannon’s large convoy with the 1st USMD division had reached Diego Garcia, and the warships were replenishing. It was another 2000 miles to Oman, and the Admiral wanted to know where they were headed.

“Well, that division was originally slated for Japan,” said Shannon, “until they saw the buildup on the Kuwaiti border. So we moved it from Iwo Jima to Darwin to meet up with the heavy lift convoy there. Now there’s two possibilities. The largest port in Oman, and one of the most efficient, is Salaha. It’s a world class terminal transshipment point, with good berthing for our large ships, and S.O.A.G. company runs it like a clock. Thumrait airfield is just north for good air cover, but the one disadvantage is that the Saudi Empty Quarter is due north, and there’s no direct route into the Kingdom. It’s 650 miles from there to the U.A.E..”

“What about Muscat?”

“Also a good choice, with adequate size, deep water berthing, and cargo handling equipment. It’s covered by Muscat/Seeb Air Base, and is only 200 miles from the U.A.E.. The one drawback is that it’s right on the Gulf of Oman, which puts it within range of four or five airfields in Pakistan and Iran. Salaha would be safer. As Sultan Harbor at Muscat would be closer to the Saudis, but suppose they hit the place with DF-21’s right in the middle of that unloading operation? For my money, I would go with Salaha. It’s almost 600 miles to their big base at Al Anad near Aden. The two smaller airfields they operate in Yemen can be neutralized with another Tomahawk strike.”

“Alright, I’ll go with your recommendation and we’ll plan our sea control operation to be aiming for that port. How soon will you be ready to move?”

“Admiral, that’s up to you. We’ll be ready when you are.”

Admiral Randall nodded. “We’ve made the introductions, and they know we’re on the beat now. The curtain will be rising for act two of this thing around sunrise, tomorrow. We’re going to see what they do tonight after the skirmish today, and then make a final decision. I’ll keep you informed. What I can tell you now is that Independence moved into the Strait of Malacca today. They stopped at Singapore to fuel up the destroyers, and that position leaves them in a position to cover that port. The Chinese South China Sea Fleet retired to Veng Tau in Vietnam, but that isn’t saying they plan on staying there. Independence will continue up the Strait, because if the Chinese do move south again, they can strike them right across the Malay Peninsula. Sometime tomorrow, we may get a decision on whether Independence will enter the Indian Ocean, so this will bear on our operational planning.”

“I understand,” said Admiral Shannon.

After the meeting, Admiral Randall looked over the current situation map. The British had the early morning watch for December 1st and they put up three F-35’s in a flight coded Whalesign. As he looked over the screen, something seemed odd. Apparently the British had persistent radar signatures about 180 miles due north of their position, where none had been tracked earlier that day. It was too close for comfort. Word went out to that CAP flight to have a closer look.

03:00 Local, 1 DEC 2025

The operators on the Hawkeye were the first to see it, scratching their heads as a spate of undefined contacts danced on the screen. They knew there was heavy jamming in the airwaves, and it wasn’t odd to see anomalies in the readings—land based radar signatures appearing over the sea on wild bearings. This time it looked like six surface contacts, and they were reading as two cruisers and four destroyers, now due north of Roosevelt and 225 miles out.

The Hawkeye was 180 miles to the southwest at 30,000 feet. Had it been daylight, it would have been able to spot the ships on the sea under good sighting conditions. They did a systems check, then initiated a protocol to see which assets could read those contacts.

“Whalesign, Bertha 3. We have Indians at 195. Go dark. Over.”

“Roger Bertha, Whalesign dark.”

“Wizard One, Go dark, please.”

“Roger that, Wizard One dark.”

The Hawkeye wanted the three British F-35’s to go EMCON, along with the British Merlin to see if the contacts were being made by their own equipment or being shared by those networked assets. The Merlin crew responded by shutting off its Blue Kestrel 7000 and Searchwater 2000 radars, leaving the Hawkeye as the only AEW asset that was actively interrogating. They watched their screens for a minute. Then they went passive for 60 seconds to see how the contacts might change. They were getting very specific equipment matches, Chinese Type 517H-1 Knife Rest radar sets, a typical 2D long range air search radar mounted on their destroyers. That certainly wasn’t sea clutter or abnormal wave readings.

Environmental effects could alter radio wave propagation, or cause odd diffraction to produce false readings like this, but even after the contacts were purged and the Hawkeye itself went dark, they were reacquired as soon as the system went live again. The readings had not deteriorated while the system was dark, as it should have. There was no precipitation or low level fog reported. All was clear.

“Whalesign One, Bertha. Please detach and come to 195 for a joyride.”

“Roger Bertha. Joyriding on 195.”

The British were sending one of their F-35’s out to have a closer look. Whalesign #1 broke off and turned on the assigned heading, moving closer to the contact positions. Then unaccountably, the other two fighters saw the plane disappear from their radar screens about 120 miles from the contacts.

“Whalesign One, come in. Whalesign One, please respond. Over.”

At that moment, the operators on the Hawkeye saw that USA-224 was orbiting directly above the ghostly contacts, and they all suddenly vanished. The readings disappeared, and in their place a series of contacts registered another 130 miles to the north. Two other US satellites got SIGINT detection on those, and USA-224 was using its visual camera to verify that data. Yet the new contacts did not match the ghostly readings they had earlier. They were now reading as a single cruiser, and they even had the name pegged: Heshen, the River God. With it were five destroyers and two frigates, eight ships total, and all identified by their emissions, and named.

But where was Whalesign One?

“Number three did you detect any missile firings?”

“Negative, Flight leader. All clear.”

“Bertha, Whalesign, we’ve a lost sheep. Over.”

“Roger that, Whalesign. Our ghosts are missing as well. We’ll put in a SAR request. Standby Over.”

Planes One, Three and Four had gone out that morning chasing ghosts, and one was missing. It could have been mechanical failure, so Number Three was cleared for a low elevation pass over the sea, following the same route taken by his missing mate. He reported no sign of wreckage, no survival beacon signals—nothing. It was as if the plane had simply been swallowed by the dark.

One other odd thing about the incident was that the US Seawolf Class Sub Seatiger had been just 18 miles south of the mysterious contacts, and was so convinced they had found good prey that their sonar teams were working up firing solutions. It was clear that they had identified a lot of noise coming from the group, but they would later report that they heard nothing that might be attributed to an aircraft crashing into the sea. Minutes later, the sea was deathly quiet again.

“Bertha, Whalesign. We are Bingo minus fifteen. Over.”

“Roger that, Whalesign. Saber Flight is up and heading your way. Bertha over.”

Aboard the controlling Hawkeye, a crewman was noting the newly reported contacts from USA-224 were now breaking up and beginning to exhibit uncertainty for position and bearing. The satellite was gone, and it was back to the province of radars.

“Look sir, this segment of the group is more stable, but these contacts are bouncing. They read as a single cruiser and five destroyers.”

“We had two cruisers and four destroyers earlier.”

“Yes sir, but that was a guesstimate. The system could have been wrong.”

“It’s all a guesstimate, Farley. No one ever lays eyes on these contacts. It’s all digital.”

Farley thought he had solved the problem, but there was one big missing piece he was not able to fit—Whalesign One—and he was wrong.

05:00 Local, 1 DEC 2025

The moon had set long ago, and it was 48 minutes before sunrise when the Air Tasking Officers had been generating their orders for the last six hours. Roosevelt was operating round the clock. There was never any “down time” for things like sleep for the ship as a whole. The crews rotated, and the orders flowed to the Contingency Theater Air Control System (CTAPS) long before launch time. The Strike Teams from all involved squadrons were up and working, and the CAG (Carrier Airwing Commander) had already been briefed. In another hour, the Big Stick would be ready to rap some knuckles again, and let the enemy know who they were tangling with.

They had good target locations on the Chinese task forces, and a second Hawkeye was launching at 05:20 to make sure there would be no surveillance gaps when the early morning bird turned for home in another hour. Planes that had been serviced and loaded with ordnance were now making their way up the elevators to the flight deck. Bar none, USS Theodore Roosevelt was the most powerful airfield in theater. Come sunrise, it would be ready to take the fight to the enemy again, and in good strength.

* * *

On the Chinese side, Admiral Sun Wei was also busy with the task of trying to forge the first link in his Kill Chain. He had the approximate location of the Allied task groups, but it needed refinement. Without a carrier at hand to aid in that, he would now play a joker that he had kept hidden in his deck for some time.

About 100 to 150 miles off the Horn of Africa, there was a small archipelago of four islands, the largest and most prominent being the mysterious Yemeni island of Socotra to the east. Measuring 132 kilometers long by 50 kilometers wide (82 by 31 miles), the island was a desolate menagerie of exotic indigenous life forms found nowhere else on earth, and one of the most alien looking landscapes in the world. It had pristine beaches of pure white sand overlooked by craggy cliffs and twisted mountains where the strangest trees in the world grew. One was called the Dragon Blood Tree, its gnarled trunk and limbs reaching up into a saucer like canopy where its prickly needles all pointed directly up. The Chinese had come to call the island after that tree, and named it Long xue dao, or Dragon Blood Island.

Sparsely populated, Socotra had a single airstrip on the northern coast that had been kept deliberately empty of military assets. That night, however, two ships had hovered off shore near the northern tip of Ras Karma Airfield, which was just two miles over flat open terrain to the sea. The vessels had slipped out of the port of Aden the previous day, moving all night and through the dark early morning to reach the coast of Socotra well before sunrise. Running dark and in EMCON mode, they had arrived undetected, a pair of Type 079 amphibious ships, carrying a company of Chinese Marines, six Army HQ-9A batteries, with mobile radar sets.

That same morning, the Chinese had been patrolling with their AEW assets, and instead of sending them home to bases in Yemen on the Arabian Peninsula, they landed at Socotra. Those amphibious ships were also disgorging equipment to create a military FOB, or Forward Operating Base. The munitions delivered were exclusively the PL-10, 12 and 15 air to air missiles, and reserve HQ-9A’s for the SAM batteries.

The base had appeared deserted on US satellite imagery, but all the airborne assets from Yemen were now landing there instead of flying home. Four J-20’s had already landed to refuel, and six more were able to take off from the repaired field at Riyan on the Yemeni coast. Another half dozen had flown through the early morning darkness, all the way from Gwadar in Pakistan. They would all be reassigned to Ras Karma, which had tarmac space for about 16 fighters and medium sized planes like the KJ-200 AEW assets. So like a magician pulling a rabbit out of his hat, Admiral Sun Wei had produced an operational airfield within 250 miles of his mustering fleet, while the fields in Yemen were between 450 to 800 miles away. Though the base had limited capacity, the Admiral would hot rack planes there while others were airborne, and when they had to land, the sleepers would awaken and take off to make room.

Now six Mighty Dragons rigged for long range operations were heading southeast toward the Allied Fleet, fanning out as they went, their radars dark. Four were forward, with two farther back in reserve. At the assigned time, they would switch on radars and attempt to fix the position of the enemy ships for targeting data.

Before they could reach the desired point, they were going to have to pay the road toll. The US had a patrol of three F-35’s up, being joined by six more from Prince of Wales. US Ranger Flight spotted the incoming J-20’s and put their AMRAAM’s in the sky to stop them.

All the J-20’s switched on radars when that attack alarm sounded, but they saw no enemy planes—only those missiles, which danced out and quickly killed two of the four fighters. The remaining two forward J-20’s went to military speed, and darted forward at 1000 knots. Ranger Flight saw them, and already had two missiles out after the nearest. As it was caught and died, the two reserve J-20’s also charged forward at 1000 knots—but they could see nothing on their radar screens now, and just empty sky ahead.

Dragon six was the southernmost plane in the recon fan, and it was just seconds from being able to paint the Roosevelt group with its long range AESA radars when it ran into the six British F-35’s in Toba Flight. The Mighty Dragon never saw them, but it had fired a PL-15 at the US Hawkeye, which failed to get a kill, even as Toba Flight engaged it with Meteors. The J-20 died, but just after its radars sent home a position reading on the US carrier group.

Those last two reserve J-20s finally saw the British fighters when they fired their Meteors, about 140 miles to the south. What they did not see was Ranger Flight, just 60 miles away, and putting AMRAAM’s in the air. As the J-20’s closed to engage the British, they were suddenly under missile attack, and they would not live another five seconds….

Chapter 29

All six of Admiral Wei’s Mighty Dragons had died in that hot engagement, but one, Dragon #6, had managed to paint the Roosevelt carrier group. He knew he had to act at once, and put some pressure on that carrier, possibly preventing it from launching. Yet the Americans were 385 miles away, and only the YJ-100 had the range to attack them. The Gwadar group had 16 of those missiles, Colombo Group had 32, and his own Flag Group had 60, so he had over 100 javelins to throw, but he had to act immediately.

“General fleet order!” he shouted. “All Type 055 ships carrying YJ-100 will immediately fire half their inventory at the newly discovered targets.”

It was a long shot, he knew, and more to disrupt the enemy than to hurt him. For the US Captain had plenty of ways he could defend his carrier. As soon as the Vampires were spotted, Ranger Flight was already turning to engage with their remaining AIM-120’s. A scramble order to send up six more F-35’s was immediately sent to the Air Boss, and Archer Flight would soon be up to provide yet another layer of defense. Behind them, Captain Simpson had six more Super Tomcats loaded for heavy BARCAP, and they would be the inner defensive line.

That wasn’t all. His screening escorts were always there if any Vampires eluded the fighters, but he could make their job a little easier by simply maneuvering. A carrier could be anywhere in a 900 square mile circle in 30 minutes when it cranked those screws. Roosevelt was already pointed southeast, and the Captain just poured on the power and moved. So as the Chinese Admiral threw his punch, Captain Simpson would either block it, or just lean back like Ali and evade it.

“Archer, Bertha. Cleared Hot. Mad Dog, you’re off the leash.”

“Roger, Bertha. Mad Dog barking.”

The Tomcats were ready to cut those missile streams to pieces. Archer flight had split its fire between two groups, and ran dry, going Winchester at 08:05 that morning, and turning for Roosevelt. The Mad Dog took over, F-14’s carrying many more AIM-152’s. Only one Vampire of more than 50 escaped harm, and for that, there was SM-6. At 08:20 the all clear sounded, and Captain Simpson sent the Air Boss his orders—go get them.

Roosevelt would slow to 15 knots as the flights started catapulting off the deck. It would be a repeat performance of yesterday’s strike, aiming to neuter one more chosen TF of the Chinese fleet. There were two flights of six F-35’s carrying the GBU-53, for a total of 96 bombs. Then there were two more flights of Super Toms, one with Slammers, the other with the LRASM. Looking at the enemy dispositions, the Colombo group was 100 miles east of the remaining enemy TFs’ and so it was chosen for that day’s mission, being more isolated. Admiral Wells then ordered HMS Victorious to put up two flights of six F-35’s each for escort duties. Toba flight was still up there with Meteors off Prince of Wales, and it would be relieved.

With a 430 mile range, the LRASM’s were released almost immediately, the Toms turning for home. The Slammers would close to 160 miles and make the second release. As they approached, the F-35’s climbed to 50,000 feet and accelerated to 740 knots.

“Bertha, Mainswing. Call the pitch.”

“Roger Mainswing. Hot stuff, right down the middle. Swing away. Over.”

From the Chinese perspective, the only thing they saw on their radars were the Tomcats carrying Slammers, which had now turned for home. None of the F-35’s were detected, and then their alarms went off warning of a low sea skimmer, 20 miles out. It was the first of the LRASM’s.

The F-35’s now opened their weapons bays and started letting the GBU-53’s fly. Seconds later they turned for home, and the Chinese saw those two bright red fists on their radar screens. There were two Type 055’s in the group, Heshen, the River God as a forward picket, and Tianlong, the Heavenly Dragon guarding the three ASW frigates in the center with two other destroyers. Three more destroyers were fanned out to the rear. That formation now let go a torrent of missile fire, all HQ-9’s with an 80 mile range, and as before, they hunted down those GBU-53’s with merciless vigor.

One bomb got through to strike the River God, exploding one of her 324mm torpedoes and damaging the 130mm gun turret. No other hits were scored. Over 130 SAM’s had been expended, but Admiral Wei was pleased to learn damaged had been so light. The difference today was that the ships had not engaged Tomahawks before the strike, and so their SAM counts still left them in the fight.

It was clear that Roosevelt could execute a perfect strike, without losing a single plane, but could barely put a scratch on the enemy as well. As the disappointing results were returned, Captain Simpson decided he had to double down for round three, and use more F-35’s in the strike role.

“Mister Ripley, what’s left in the carrier magazine?”

XO Ripley would get than answer soon. Roosevelt still had 60 Slammers, plenty of anti-radiation missiles, 48 JSOW Broach, 36 more LRASM and 160 GBU-53. Those were the standoff weapons still in inventory, along with plenty of short range dumb bombs. The Captain reasoned that he had enough left for one big punch, and he had to make it hurt. Otherwise, he wasn’t going to back the Chinese Fleet down, and 1st USMC would be stuck at Diego Garcia.

“Check with the two Gators. They should have GBU-53 available too. Then get a message to this Admiral Wells,” said Simpson. “See what they might be able to contribute something on top of escort duty. And be polite, Ripley.”

“Yes sir.”

“Very well, we operate to keep the range outside 300 miles as per standing orders. If they want to follow us, they’re welcome. All that will do is pull them farther from any land based air support they have, not that it matters. They can’t see us, and they can’t shoot us down.”

That was an enviable position to be in. Simpson realized his limitations, but he also knew he was calling the tune out here, not the other side. He could stay at arm’s length, throw punches, and the Chinese couldn’t lay a finger on him. That’s what a big deck carrier does for you, and without a DF-21D in sight.

10:30 Local 1 DEC 2025

Admiral Sun Wei was no fool. He could see how the battle was developing, and clearly sized up his shortcomings in this situation. He had about 50 more YJ-100’s that could strike the American now. The rest of his power resided with the YJ-18’s on all the destroyers, but they needed to be within 290 miles of the target.

We have been steaming southeast at 25 knots to try and close the range, but we have not gained an inch, he thought. For a big ship, the American carrier is very fast. They will be able to keep us over 300 miles away as long as they wish. No wonder the Siberians developed a missile that could range out 700 miles, undoubtedly with the help of the Soviets.

If I persist, they can just lead me out into the Indian Ocean, but that course offers us no advantage. No, I must stay as close to our land based air cover as possible, so I will order a 180 degree about face. We go north west, back into the heart of the Arabian Sea. Then, if they wish to do battle, they must come to me.

Their Carrier Strike Group is a powerful foe. I had my way with the Royal Navy, because they had no credible strike option with their carriers. Here the Americans have real standoff strike power, and combined with their long range Tomahawks, they represent a strong and persistent threat. But they cannot continue to mount airstrikes like this indefinitely. There is a limit to what that carrier can hold in its magazines. Perhaps they withdraw southeast now for that reason. There could be unseen replenishment ships there, waiting to lift in fresh ordnance by helicopter. Then they start all over again, and they will slowly wear us down.

So what is to be done? I must think in the long run. What is it they want? They want to control the sea lane between Diego Garcia and ports in Oman, and I have interposed my fleet between their force and those ports. So how can I hurt them now? They are still hundreds of miles from Oman. I have a 300 plus mile lead on them if I make for the Omani coast. There are only two ports they could feasibly use to offload heavy warfighting equipment, Salaha in the west and As Sultan Harbor at Muscat in the east on the Gulf of Oman. So now I know what I must do—deny the use of those ports to the enemy.

Thus far I have sought to do battle with them, as I did with the British, but the Americans are an altogether different foe. So now I must change my strategy. Instead of killing their ships, I will simply kill their ports—just as they pounded all the airfields they thought we would be relying on. Yes, what a simple solution! Destroy the port facilities, and then where will their Marines and Army land?

Unfortunately, I cannot do this at range, for our missiles were not built for land attack, and I have too few fighters that could carry bombs and get through their air defenses. But I have a navy…. Every ship I command has deck guns…. Yes, I will simply go and sit off those ports, and then utterly destroy them!

The Admiral smiled as he gave his next order. “Issue a fleet wide communique. All task forces will come about to 350 degrees northwest, and all ahead full. We are going to Salaha.”

10:30 Local 1 DEC 2025

“Well now,” said Captain Simpson. “They’re withdrawing?”

“Yes sir,” said Executive Officer Bert Ripley. “Looks like they don’t like the Big Stick we’re carrying.”

Simpson’s eyes narrowed. “This guy in command over there is quite the cagey fellow. What do you think they’re up to, Mister Ripley?”

“Could be logistics,” said Ripley, thinking of the obvious. “We pulled a lot of SAM’s with that last strike.”

“Yes, but from just one of their task forces. That’s one big Dragon out there. They have five more Surface Action Groups we have yet to engage.”

“But they need fuel, sir.”

“True, but their better destroyers have legs, and I don’t think that’s the issue with them just yet.”

“Then they’re wanting air cover,” said Ripley. “They’re nearly 600 miles from the coast of Yemen and about 800 miles from Aden. If they want to make port somewhere, in Pakistan, it’s a thousand mile run.”

“They must have oilers out there behind them,” said Simpson. “I don’t know, but this move smells of something. Let’s get turned about and follow them. We can hold the range outside 300 nautical miles easily enough. Notify the British, will you?”

“Yes sir, keep your friends close.”

“Right, said Simpson. “And keep your enemies closer. We’ve got this beast by the tail, and now’s not the time to let go.”

“There’s one other thing, sir.”

“What is it, Mister Ripley?”

“This latest satellite report. It seems there’s new activity out on Socotra Island.”

“New activity?”

“Air units, sir. This latest recon pass showed a rotodome AEW plane there, and several fighters—J-20’s.”

“Interesting,” said Simpson, looking at the photograph. “Let’s put that little airfield out of business. Send that to the strike planners and have them work something up for the Tomahawks.”

* * *

At 13:45 Local, just a few minutes after the Chinese has posted their afternoon ASW patrol, the wounded River God ran into trouble—HMS Anson. The British sub had been between the Colombo group, and the main body of the fleet to the west, quietly looking for prey. The sonar team saw that one sheep in the flock was falling a little behind, for Heshen had been the only ship hit in the US airstrike that morning. Anson had crept to within 12 nautical miles, where her Captain, Francis Drake, decided to make a mad dash and fire. He accelerated to 24 knots, closed the range quickly to about 8 miles, then cut the engines to a creep.

“Shoot on generated bearings!” came the order, and a pair of Spearfish jetted out for the hunt.

“Steady on this course,” he said, wanting to keep his fish on the wire as long as possible. When it seemed that they were running true, he came about in a sedate maneuver, and started slinking away to the west. A minute later they heard two explosions.

The River God was dead….

That sent the entire formation to running full out at 30 knots to the north, as the lone Z-9 on the ASW patrol turned southwest toward the stricken destroyer, flying low over the sea. It stopped, deployed dipping sonar, but had no contacts. Anson was creeping away, not sprinting, wanting to be as quiet as possible. After 20 minutes of patient searching, the Z-9 had found nothing. A lion had downed the wounded wildebeest, and then made a good escape.

It was the second Type 055 heavy destroyer that Drake had sunk, and his 5th kill of the campaign, making him an undersea Ace in anyone’s book. He was second only to Captain Samuel Wood on HMS Trafalgar, and had just edged out HMS Triumph, credited with two kills and two more hits that ended in ship sinkings in the Med. So Drake was well in the running for the top spot as he moved away south, disappearing into the gloom of the Arabian Sea.

Chapter 30

That ‘something’ Captain Simpson had ordered up for the Ras Karma airfield would rise from the sea at 14:15, coming out of the silos of the USS Ohio. A small strike package of 15 TACTOMs was ordered up from a position about 500, miles south of Socotra. There was one KJ-200 there working on a mechanical problem, and ten J-20’s roosting on the tarmacs, but six were scheduled for air cover operations.

Flying unseen to the southern shore of the island, the Tomahawks now maneuvered nap of the earth through the folded mountains south of the airfield. By the time they emerged from the wrinkled valleys and gullies, it was almost too late to stop them with those HQ-9’s. An ammo truck near the runway was flayed by shrapnel from a near miss and exploded. The Avgas tanks were damaged, the KJ-200 AEW plane and three J-20’s were smashed on the tarmac. When the small strike ended, there were fires burning near the one small runway access point, which was deeply cratered. Nothing more was getting off that field until those fires were extinguished and that hole repaired.

18:00 Local, 1 DEC 2025

At sunset, the CAG reported to Captain Simpson that all planes were rearmed and ready for operations. In addition to those on the Roosevelt, more F-35’s would be available from the two Gators: Solomon Sea and Makin Island. That would double the GBU-53 count from 96 to 182, enough punch to really saturate any group targeted this time. At Thumrait air base in Oman, six more Strike Raptors were lining up for takeoff.

Combat at sea was all about saturation. There were times when Karpov had teased his foes with the speed and range of his Zircons, firing them in ones and twos to test enemy defenses, but if you really wanted to sink ships, you had to defeat a concentrated, highly accurate and lethal SAM defense first. This is why those initial rounds of combat between large fleets were often inconsequential. The defense was just too strong. This time out, Captain Simpson was rolling for all the marbles. He wanted to strike a definitive blow, and put enough harm on the enemy to compel them to withdraw.

The target of his morning strike had turned to rendezvous with an oiler to refuel the frigates, and had now become widely separated from the main body, which was cruising 180 miles to its west, and now passing Socotra Island. That eastern group had come all the way from Colombo and saw River God lightly damaged by a single GBU-53, until Captain Drake on the Anson found that ship and put it at the bottom of the Arabian Sea. The enemy TF had been engaged earlier, and seemed a natural target this time out for the prospect of getting kills.

“I don’t like the heading the main body is on,” said Simpson. “It looks to me like they’re moving towards our preferred port at Salaha. So this group to the east looks inviting. If we take that out, we open a direct route to Muscat, and if we move up there, we interpose ourselves between the main body and the Gulf of Oman. They have a lot of ships out there, and they’ll be needing fuel soon. If we block their route to Gwadar or Karachi in Pakistan, then they’ll have to use Aden or the Red Sea ports. We could bottle them up. So let’s get after that eastern group and see if we can clean their clock.

Twelve F-35’s sang the overture, moving in with GBU-53’s. While their attack had been defeated twice before, with only two minor hits registered, this time they got better results. FF Luzhou was hit three times and badly damaged, her engines compromised to leave the ship dead in the water. The frigate would sink that hour. DDG Feiyun also took three hits, and was soon fighting a bad fire amidships. FF Qingyan took a single hit that was just a scratch aft, and remained operational.

Yet those 96 bombs took the heart out of the collective SAM defense. DDG’s Yangwu was dry, along with the three remaining frigates. They were down to guns and chaff. Only type 52D class destroyers Baomin, Huantai, and the squadron leader, Tianlong had anything left, about 20 HQ-10’s each. In effect, that entire task force had been neutered defensively. While it retained offensive missiles, it had no defensive shield to allow it to get in range to use them. They immediately turned north for Gwadar, but their chances of getting there were slim. They were 750 miles away….

The F-14’s had been circling, awaiting tasking orders as a kind of reserve wildcard. Now they were ordered to fire their Slammers and LRASM’s, and when the air alert alarms rang again on the Chinese ships, the Captain of the Heavenly Dragon knew his squadron was in real trouble. The Slammers came in and pounded the destroyer Yangwu, pummeling it from bow to stern.

Then the twelve LRASM’s began to vector in, catching the already burning Feiyun on the right flank of the formation and blowing it to pieces. Six miles off its starboard side, DDG Anlan was hit next, her hull fatally compromised and the ship listing heavily in minutes. Then the big Fusu Class oiler took multiple hits, and erupted with a volcanic explosion of smoke and fire. The last two missiles retargeted to the frigate Baise, and it was doomed from the moment they locked on.

With those SAM defenses beat down to nothing, it was like bowling, with five of the eleven pins knocked down thus far in the strike—and there was more pain on the way. The six Strike Raptors out of Thumrait AFB in Oman had been standing by for tasking orders, and now they were vectored in to finish this attack. Their expanded weapons bays each carried 24 GBU-53’s, twice the hitting power of an F-35. The first two planes in that flight of six were able to target each of the six surviving ships with 8 bombs each.

Three were hit and burning, but the GBU often needed multiple hits to put enough damage on a ship to sink it. Merciless, the Raptors circled, lined up on the targets a second time, and the next two planes were ordered to fire. The four screening ships were targeted with eight bombs each, and the last 16 were reserved for the Heavenly Dragon.

Destroyer Zhentao and frigate Qingyan died first, Then DDG Huantai took multiple hits, ravaged with fire. DDG Baomin was listing, but hanging on, and taking multiple hits, Tianlong, the Squadron Leader, was a raging mass of fire. The Raptors had delivered the coup de grace, but seeing the terrible pain they had brought to the enemy, the flight leader decided they had had enough.

“Raptor 6, this is Widowmaker. Well done. You are RTB. Over”

“Roger, Widowmaker. Turning.”

Task Force Colombo was destroyed.

The oily sea around the ships was burning, and hundreds of men were in the water. The fiery silhouettes of their ships slowly keeled over and hissed into the sea, leaving the survivors in a ghastly inferno. They were 200 miles from their comrades to the west, and too far from any friendly shore to expect any help. There they were, some lucky enough to get into a boat, but too many either already dead or simply clinging to wreckage in the water. Thankfully, air temperatures were balmy, and the water was not too cold.

Only two ships remained afloat 30 minutes later, destroyers, Tianlong and Baomin, but they were both on fire, and in no shape to take on the weight of survivors. The Captain gave the order to launch all boats and sent men with them to pull as many survivors out of the water as they could, but the boats would not bring them to a burning ship that was going to sink soon anyway. It was a hellish aftermath that could have been worse. Two Strike Raptors still had full weapons bays, the attack called off once all the enemy ships had been pummeled that night. Tianlong and Baomin would last another two hours, and then slip beneath the sea, the last of eleven ships that had sailed from the Bay of Bengal and Colombo on Sri Lanka.

For those men that remained in the sea, it was the longest night of their lives, and for many, their last. They clung together, talking first of anger and revenge, then of loved ones at home. In time, a silence fell over the scene, hazed over with acrid dark smoke. As it slowly dissipated, they looked up at the clear night sky, and the glittering diamond stars were they last thing many would see.

When Admiral Sun Wei learned of the disaster he was stark and silent for a time. Damn that stubborn mule, Hong Buchan! He was ordered to bring that task force west to join the main fleet, but he was still heading north when this attack came in. Now he orders the remainder of the Arabian fleet to go steaming off as we plan our bombardment operation against Salaha. I must have words with Beijing….

Then he gave orders that fleet Auxiliary 920, the Anwei hospital ship, should move immediately to the scene of the attack. Called the “Peace Arc” in better times, the unarmed hospital ship was painted white, with bold red crosses so there would be no mistaking her for a combatant. Helicopters were already thumping their way off the decks of his other 28 ships in the main body. They would get there quickly to begin rescuing swamped crewmen, and taking the seriously injured to the hospital ship. Those that were sound of limb would return to serve again on ships of the main fleet, but too many would die that night, underscoring the ghastly nature of war.

* * *

At OMCOM, Admiral John Randall reviewed the BDA reports, pleased that Roosevelt had finally broken through to do some real damage. The presence of that ship alone, with its ability to strike the enemy from well beyond the range of their own missiles, was decisive. And the strikes were potent enough to wear down the defense and then sink ships. The US was following the simple maximum of warfare at sea, strike first, and do so with good effectiveness.

Yet the main body of the enemy fleet had not been engaged. The single carrier had been picking off flanking task forces, sending one home to Aden, and destroying the other. Now that main body was stubbornly holding to a course that would take it to Salaha Harbor, the big port the US has selected for the delivery of the 1st Marine Division. With the battle going well, those troops were already on the water again, and heading towards Oman.

The airfield north of that port had ten good fighters, including those Strike Raptors, but it was just 45 miles north of the harbor. That meant the enemy fleet would have it within its SAM envelope if it hove too off Salaha, which is what the Admiral now divined as the Chinese intention. It would make operations at that base difficult, for unless the inherent stealth of the fighters allowed them to remain unseen, they would be in SAM range the moment they took off. There were also more vulnerable support assets there, an E-3 Sentry, two Poseidons and a pair of KC-135 Stratotankers. There were even a couple of MC-130 Combat Talons, with a company of Army Rangers. Those would all be definitely spotted and attacked the moment they took off, so it was time to be elsewhere.

The next operational field in Oman was Masirah, on a small island just off the coast, about 325 miles to the northeast. He could order all assets at Thumrait to move there, and decided that should happen for the support planes immediately. There were also five ships in the port itself that were given orders to slip out of the harbor that night, and head north. With the enemy fleet just a little over 200 miles to the south, they were already at risk.

So at 21:00, Littoral Combat Ships Recon and Scout were escorting the cargo carrier Ocean Trader, light amphibious ship Swift, and PC Sea Hunter. The Strike Raptors had landed and the air crews were hastening to get those weapons bays reloaded. If the enemy was headed their way, they’d have something to say about it in the morning.

All this meant one thing—unless that main body was decisively defeated, and driven off before it could reach Salaha, that port was off the list for the Marines. They would have to go to Muscat, which is why the Admiral reasoned Roosevelt had hit that eastern enemy TF, to open that sea lane.

Seeing what it took to kill that TF, taking on another 28 ships in the main fleet was a daunting prospect. What they really needed now was a second carrier, and the only prospect at hand was the Independence, which was now just off the northern tip of Sumatra, some 2100 miles from the present position of Roosevelt. Even at the brisk clip of 32 knots, that was 35 hours away. So the Big Stick has to carry the weight for another day and a half, he thought. Time for the British to step up their game.

* * *

Admiral Wells was thinking the same thing aboard HMS Prince of Wales. The day had been uneventful, a blessing after the harrowing battle he had endured earlier. His carriers had been flying recon, CAP and escort missions, but no strikes. Now he informed Captain Simpson that he had a full squadron of 12 F-35’s mounted with the new SPEAR munition.

When the war came, Brimstone was seen to be all but useless as a standoff attack weapon, with only a 37 mile range. That was close, and well inside the 80 mile range of the Chinese HQ-9 SAM’s. So SPEAR was developed as the next generation standoff weapon, with a much better range of 80 nautical miles. Even if seen on enemy radars, the delivering planes could release, turn, and withdraw outside of SAM range easily enough, but it had one problem.

Like Brimstone, it had a small 8Kg warhead, so it lacked real punch against large surface combatants, and needed multiple hits to do damage. By comparison, the American GBU-53 had six times the hitting power, with a 48Kg penetrating warhead. The US considered that bomb a light strike munition, and SPEAR was a real featherweight, but at least it was something. Without it the British F-35’s really had no standoff attack capability, and could only drop short range bombs. Clearly no one in Whitehall or Whale Island seemed to take the possibility of a war like this as likely, because they were woefully unprepared for it when it came.

There is an old saying: if you want peace, prepare for war. The militaries on all sides futzed about, building ships and planes, seeing them retire and be replaced by new ones, and many never fired a shot in anger. No one really knew what a modern war would be like, or how their weapons might perform in actual combat. During the Falkland’s War, the British had to ask the US for stocks of Sidewinder missiles to survive. Here they were begging them for the Enhanced Sea Sparrows to save their frigates, because the Sea Ceptor could not catch or kill missiles that could travel at 1900 knots as they attacked. The British knew those enemy missiles were out there, but no one had ever seen them in action, so they deployed Sea Ceptor anyway. Now they paid the price.

What the Chinese had done was to look at the cards being held by their potential enemies, and then trump them with the weapons they would deploy. Until the US began to retool Tomahawks to make the MMT’s, the longest range surface warfare missile the West had was the Harpoon or Exocet at 75 to 100 miles in range. Strangely, even the new Naval Strike Missile could only reach out 100 miles. China decided it could fight in a circle between 200 and 400 miles out, and it proved that when engaging and clearly defeating the Royal Navy as it was configured before the war.

Here, the story was completely different. The US big deck carrier was unhinging all Admiral Sun Wei’s plans, and he had no means of adequately countering it. The bulk of his power resided in those deadly YJ-18’s with a 290 mile range, and Captain Simpson would never allow his carrier to sail inside that range. So Sun Wei had no more than 100 cruise missiles that could reach the carrier, the YJ-100’s, but they would not be enough to break through the concentric circles of defense around that target. The big deck carrier was again proving that it was the master of this battlefield, attacking with impunity, while remaining largely invulnerable to counterattack. The Dragon fire was hot for those it could catch, but the Eagle soared high above, ruling the skies, and it was utterly fearless.

Just before dawn on the 2nd of December, the pilots were getting their briefing. When ordered, the British planes would form up and fly with the Americans, or rather just behind them, so that both planes could time their weapons release simultaneously. Another big attack was in the offing. By 05:30, the Chinese Fleet was about 80 miles south of Salaha Harbor, and six Strike Raptors were again ready at Thumrait, each carrying 24 GBU-53’s. Those would be added to the two F-35 squadrons, another 24 planes each carrying eight GBU-53’s. Together those 30 aircraft could put 336 bombs in the sky, coming from both the north and south in a terrible pincer of flying steel and explosives.

Given that kind of saturation, Admiral Wells had every confidence his boys were going to start getting some payback for the pounding they had taken from the Chinese YJ-18’s. Ships were going to be hit today, he thought, and they were going to die.

Part XI

Carrier Killer

“I am not a killer. I just win—thoroughly. After all, winning isn't everything but wanting to win is.”

― Ziad K. Abdelnour

Chapter 31

Admiral Sun Wei was in a foul mood. The weight of the losses he had already sustained lay heavy upon him, and the battle was clearly not going as he had planned.

Our air assets are far too thin. They have been flaying us with their air power, and we have no credible defense beyond our SAM’s when their bombs come in hordes. Did I make a mistake in taking the fleet so far out into the Indian Ocean? Perhaps I should have just sat off the coast near our airfields in Yemen, using our SAM’s to help defend them. Then we could have moved up the coast of Oman, destroying all their bases as we went. With hindsight, this is what I should have done, but nothing can be done about it now. I still have 28 ships, and eight more at Aden. This is still a powerful fleet.

The alarms suddenly blared out a warning. They were under attack, yet there had been no sign of enemy planes. This was maddening, he thought. The enemy flies like vagrant spirits, unseen, unheard, until they strike like demons.

“Battle stations!” he yelled. “Prepare to repel incoming strike.”

06:40 Local, 2 DEC 2025

“Dawnrider, this is Bertha, you are cleared hot on assigned targets.”

“Roger that, Big Bertha. Going hot now.”

“Whalesign, Bertha, Mark your targets. Cleared hot.”

“Roger Bertha, Whalesign engaging now. Over.”

The attack would come in two stages, because the GBU’s fell faster than the British SPEAR, which came at only 400 knots. The Chinese formation was like a great lambchop on the sea, and the tail end of the bone was the Gwadar Group, eight ships that were the focus of both F-35 squadrons. So 96 bombs would come in the first wave, pulling so many SAM’s from the VLS bays, that every last HQ-9 in the task force was expended, and the entire group had no more than 24 short range HQ-10’s left. Only one ship had taken a serious hit, the frigate Liuzhou, which was now on fire. DDG Zhengzhou also took a hit, but no systems were damaged. Yet now the entire task force was very vulnerable, and 96 British SPEAR’s were coming in that second wave. The bill they had been sent out to get paid was only seconds away from a very hard settlement, or so they hoped.

DDG Zhengzhou was soon ripped from one end to another with a series of flashing hits, and it was not going to survive. The ship that had started its war in Algiers would die here. Captain Yu Han’s squadron flagship Chilong, the Fire Dragon, was battered to a hulk, and the first ship to sink. Liuzhou took additional systems damage, but had no flooding, and was still limping north. Amazingly, all remaining ships were unscathed.

The attack did far less damage that had been expected. Even the GBU clusters from the Strike Raptors were roundly defeated, and one plane had been unable to release. In the Flag Group, the Admiral saw DDG Naning struck forward, a blow that destroyed its deck gun, but his five destroyers had put up terrible defensive fire, and survived.

As the enemy planes broke off and turned for home, he began issuing orders to reorganize the fleet. Instead of five task forces, he regrouped to three. His Flag Group of five took the vanguard, and behind him, seven ships formed the Chihai or Red Sea Group. The last TF was the Arabian Sea Group, with nine ships, northeast of his Flag. That made 21 warships, with frigate Liuzhou and three oilers detached, and two destroyers sunk.

The attack that Captain Simpson had sent out as a haymaker had not scored the knockout blow he was hoping for. Now it seemed there would be little he could do to save Salaha if the enemy was going there to use their deck guns as he believed.

Now Admiral Sun Wei was going to throw his strategic punch at the enemy. As his fleet approached the coast, he gave orders for the other two task forces to turn northeast, heading up the Omani coast. He would continue on alone with the five destroyers in his flag group, thinking their deck guns would be sufficient to destroy the naval dock. By 09:00 on the 2nd of December, he was coming into range. Since DDG Naning had lost its deck gun, he had four 130mm guns he could use to bombard the docks. It would be the first offensive use of naval deck guns in the war. All this time, they had sat mute, showing how naval combat had now left the big guns behind, relying almost entirely on missiles in 2025.

The bombardment raked the quays and docks with fire, but 130mm rounds were not all that heavy, and did not have much thump. Dock crews had been warned of this impending attack long ago, and most any equipment of value had been evacuated inland. If the guns had been bigger like those on the old WWII battleships, they might have pounded those docks in minutes, but here, half an hour into the bombardment, it was still like throwing pebbles at them.

Rounds were sending up tall sprays of water, others making direct hits. Some sailed wildly over the docks into the warehouses and marshalling yards beyond, blasting long rows of containers lined up there. The four destroyers fired for an hour, the shell casings bouncing onto their forward decks, guns reloading from the magazines, and firing again. They continued pecking away, like icepicks against great bergs, but it would take at least 240 good hits to really destroy just one of those heavy concrete docks. The results were so bad that the Admiral had to recall his Red Sea squadron and have it join the bombardment with six more destroyers.

After two hours shelling the harbor, one of the four major docks lay in smoking ruins, the others being damaged but none hit badly enough to prevent repairs. Admiral Sun Wei’s plan had run up against the limitations of the 130mm deck guns, and while he had put harm on the port, his blow was far from fatal.

Now he had a decision to make, where to go?

If I turn west for Aden, the fleet could be trapped there. I would, in effect, be retiring, and giving up the field of battle. Going to Aden would re-unite the entire fleet, strengthening my force, but then the Americans would get between us and the Gulf. No, I will not concede.

So I must follow the lead of the Arabian Sea Squadron, and move northeast instead. Even if it means I leave the Aden group behind, we move to block the entrance to the Gulf of Oman and Persian Gulf. And we also gain the support of our bases in Pakistan, and perhaps even the Pakistani Navy. So we go northeast. There is time yet. They cannot rearm and strike for some hours, which may give me time to refuel some of the destroyers. I will now absorb the Red Sea Squadron into the Flag Group for better defense. We must move quickly. Time is of the essence.

* * *

Captain Simpson on the Roosevelt had been unhappy with the big strike. Debriefing showed that the Air Force Raptors had not coordinated well, and two had failed to release their bombs after coming under SAM fire when their position was discovered. As soon as the first planes released, the Chinese had just flung HQ-9s in that direction, and some went after the planes.

He also learned that one full train of British Spears had gone astray, missed its target, attempted retargeting and then ran out of energy. All told, they had hurt the enemy, but they should have done more. Checking the magazines, he had only three GBU-53’s left, and so had to order up underway replenishment from AOE Camden. They would airlift about 120 of those bombs, and some additional missiles for the fighters. So while Sun Wei was refueling, Roosevelt was replenishing, and then the race for the Gulf of Oman would be on.

“Sir,” said XO Ripley, “Independence is now 500 miles east of Sri Lanka, which puts them about 1800 miles from our position.”

“Good, but that’s sour grapes.”

“Well, word from Salaha is that only one of the four docks was damaged beyond easy repair. They’re already working on the other three. Salaha may still be an option for the Marines.”

“We’ll cross that bridge later,” said Simpson. “The Chinese have ships at Aden, and their main group now looks to be heading northeast.”

“Gulf of Oman, sir. They want to head us off, and get Pakistan to cover their backs.”

“Not if we get up there first. Ripley, you tell the destroyers we’re going to start turning the screws in another half hour—ahead flank. I’m not going to let them cut us off and block access to the Gulf.”

So as the Chinese fleet ran northeast along the coast, the Allied fleet was 330 miles out to sea, but on a parallel course. Between the two forces, there were three submarines, HMS Anson, USS Seawolf and Seatiger, all trying to get into position to ambush the Chinese as they advanced. Another kill, and Captain Drake would be top dog in the undersea world, and with the Chinese ships running at 25 knots, they would not hear these stealthy boats easily.

* * *

What Admiral Sun Wei dearly needed now was some air cover. He had three J-20’s at Ras Karma on Socotra, but the runway access point was a deep crater surrounded by bubble, and there were no earth movers at hand. The work had to be done the old fashioned way, with pick and shovel, and that took time. So those three Dragoons were shut in for the foreseeable future.

A Squadron of twelve J-10’s was based at Riyan airport, and six of those took off to cover the movement of the wounded frigate Liuzhou, which had been making for the coast near Al Ghaydah in north Yemen. There were AEW assets at that field, but they could not fly without fighter cover. So that J-10 flight would be reassigned to Al Ghaydah, There were six J-10’s left at Al Anad AFB near Aden, six more at Massawa on the Red Sea coast, and 15 at Sana’a, but that was 6550 miles to the west. No J-20’s were available at all on the Arabian Peninsula or Red Sea district. Any that remained were in Pakistan, at Gwadar and Jinnah near Karachi.

The planes at Gwadar, a dozen J-20’s, were the only assets he might call on as he moved northeast, and he angrily thought they would not be enough.

The Americans will have fighters at Muscat, and closer at Masirah. Those planes would be able to intercept anything flying south from Gwadar. This is simply unacceptable! And I have been remiss. Hong Buchan was to have brought his Bengal Bay Squadron to join our main fleet, but he stubbornly stayed well east of our position, thinking he ruled the Arabian Sea. Look what that got him. Now his ships are at the bottom of the sea, and he complains to Beijing that we failed to support him.

The Admiral was so upset that he sent a terse coded signal to Naval Headquarters in China:

“We have put heavy damage on the port of Salaha, and now move to interdict Muscat and the Gulf of Oman. Yet victory will elude us for lack of adequate air support. The enemy carriers strike us at will! This is unacceptable. Requesting all available J-20 Squadrons be transferred to Pakistan at once in support of this fleet before further losses are inflicted by enemy air strikes. Furthermore, request all units of Arabian Sea Fleet to be under my immediate command.”

Admiral Shen Jinlong, Commander in Chief of the Chinese Navy, made this request to the air force, demanding support, and made certain that the message was copied to appropriate civilian leadership. Wang Ziwen, Chief of the Air Force, had most of his better squadrons assigned to the Siberian front, and he might have said that no J-20 squadrons were available, but the drawdown of hostilities there was the excuse he needed to answer this call.

To make such a transfer, the planes would first have to fly all the way over the Taklamakan Desert to the farthest reaches of Xinjiang Province. There were no regular bases there, but two reserve fields could be used to refuel the planes, one at Kashi near Kashgar, and another at the old desert Silk Road city of Khotan (or Hotan). From there it would be an air ferry of a little over 1000 nautical miles to Gwadar or Karachi, up over the roof of the world in the Himalayas. Transport aircraft would also have to lift in more missiles for the planes, and diplomatic channels had to clear the way first with Pakistan.

It was clear to Beijing, at least on one level, that their fighting Admiral was instinctively moving to maintain communications with Pakistan, and by extension, the homeland. If he had gone to Aden, there is no doubt that the entire fleet would have been isolated, and either have to fight its way out of the Gulf of Aden, or simply sit out the war in the Red Sea.

As to their other fighting Admiral, Hong Buchan, a private communique from Sun Wei to Beijing revealed his lack of cooperation, and the subsequent destruction of so many ships when they were isolated from the main fleet. Hong was therefore ordered to assume a new post as Military Liaison to Pakistan, and facilitate the buildup of air units as planned, much to his chagrin.

“Sun Wei seeks to blame me now for his incompetence!” he would complain to subordinates. “He must have poisoned the tea in Beijing with my name, saying I am to blame for the loss of those ships, while it was he who insisted on bombarding that port, losing valuable time. The fleet needs to be near the Gulf of Oman! Now the Americans are increasing speed to try and get there first. Liaison to Pakistan? See that the air reinforcements are properly based? I am not in the Air Force. I am a Navy Admiral!”

He complaints fell on the ears of all around him, but he did not say anything further to Beijing. Yet his heart darkened with ill will towards Sun Wei, and he was scheming on how he could recover face, and besmirch the Admiral, making all right again under heaven and earth, and with him in charge of the Indo-Arabian Fleet.

17:15 Local, 2 DEC 2025

85 miles east of Omani Coast, Arabian Sea

Captain Sir Francis Drake was on the prowl again, and he had come a long way to get into the position he now held. There were seven contacts ahead, skunks on the sea, and the closest had been identified as DDG Chaoyong, Type 052D. The destroyer was the outer picket of a formation moving at 25 knots, hastening up the coast of Oman. Behind it, five more contacts were detected in its wake. Chaoyong was now about 9 miles away, and Anson was creeping at 5 knots. As the destroyer came on, the range would diminish rapidly to about eight miles, and he would fire his first Spearfish.

“We have to be stingy here, gentlemen,” he said. “We’ve only four Spearfish left, so make tube one ready.” Normally, he would have used two torpedoes to ensure his kill, but the ammo was running low.

“Tube one ready, sir!”

“Sonar?”

“We have him sir. Generated bearing good. Solution confirmed.”

“Range to target?”

“Sir, eight point five miles and closing.”

“Good enough,” said Drake. “Shoot on generated bearings. Then come left twenty degrees and steady at five knots. Make your depth 500 feet.”

“Sir, aye, torpedo away, coming twenty degrees left to 380 and diving to 500 feet.”

“Torpedo running true,” said the fire control station. “Sir, torpedo has not acquired. Circling…. Reacquired target, and closing at 80 knots….”

“Explosion in the water,” came the sonar report. “It’s a hit!”

“Good show. Give me fifteen knots.”

“Aye sir, ahead fifteen.”

That hit was fire and flood aft aboard Chaoyong. Its towed sonar array equipment was destroyed, along with a triple 324mm torpedo tube. The fires had spread to one of the two 32 cell VLS bays, and it was now useless as the crews desperately tried to extinguish the flames before the missile blew.

A Z-9 helo that had been on ASW watch was now hovering at 150 feet, and using its dipping sonar, but it had a very short range. Now it moved toward the location where they fleet had heard that torpedo launch. It then hastened southwest, finding another spot to dip, but could not find the stealthy British sub.

Chapter 32

Chaoyong’s flooding went from bad to worse, and the ship slowed to three knots. The rest of the fleet hastened on, like a herd of bison running from a leopard

“Come about,” said Drake. “Make your heading 122 degrees southeast, and steady on sixteen knots.” The undersea pirate had just taken the number one spot in for hits, and only time would tell as to whether that hit would become a confirmed kill. That would happen at 18:30 that night, and Drake was now the top Sea Dog.

It was the first bite by the undersea predators lurking nearby, and now a tiger was about to pounce. The three Chinese oilers, a pair of Type 908 Fusu Class, and one Type 933 Fuchi class replenishment ships had been trailing the formation, about 30 miles behind. They would have the misfortune of being found by Captain James Wade, USS Seatiger, and they got six torpedoes sent their way, all but one struck hulls, the last registering as a dud.

While the blow was not as colorful as that delivered by Captain Drake, who had braved the entire formation of enemy ships to get his kill, it was nonetheless a significant hit. All three tankers had fire and flooding, and were mission killed in terms of being able to lend any further support to the fleet. A Z-9 investigated, dipping three times, but could not get a whisper of the stealthy Seatiger.

At this juncture, OMCOM took stock of the situation and concluded that short of engaging them immediately by air strike from Roosevelt, they could not stop the Chinese from reaching the Gulf of Oman. Given the results after three strikes, and with so many ships still operating in the Chinese fleet, Captain Simpson informed Theater Commander Admiral John Randall that he did not have sufficient ordnance to make more than one good strike. It was therefore decided to wait for the Independence to get into range, and then combine the weight of two carriers.

What this meant, of course, was that the 1st USMC Division could not go to Muscat, not if the Chinese reached the Gulf of Oman in strength. Admiral Randall explained the situation to Military Sealift Commander, Admiral Thomas Shannon.

“Alright,” he began, “another change of plans. After the bombardment at Salaha, we opted to try and bring the Marines into Muscat, but that isn’t going to happen any time soon. Repairs to the naval docks are going round the clock at Salaha, and so we’re going to stick with the original plan.”

“They thought they were going to burn the place down.” said Shannon.

“That they did, but only one of the four major docks was really beaten up to a point where it couldn’t be helped, and we had time to move most of the cranes and other dock equipment out of harm’s way. So now we think that port will be operational by the time the Marines get there. We’re moving the Roosevelt group, and the Royal Navy units, into a position where they will block any movement towards Salaha from the gulf of Oman. The Chinese may roost there a while. They’ll be needing fuel, because we got three of their oilers, so we think they may put into Karachi.”

“Better there then out where they can get after my transports.”

“Don’t worry, we won’t let that happen. But there is one other task force we have to deal with. We hit it earlier, and it retired to Aden. Those ships could make a stab towards Salaha from the west, so they’ll have to be engaged if they do. All the more reason to have the Independence in position.”

“Good enough. What’s happening at Singapore?”

“That port is still functional. They threw some DF-21’s at it, but not enough to close it down. In another couple of days it will be 90% operational. The Chinese withdrew to Vung Tau, near the Mekong Delta, but they will regroup there and could make another move south. That’s a problem, because the Royal Navy pulled out the last five ships they had there. They just don’t have any real offensive punch beyond 100 miles, and so they’d just be targets.”

“Well damn, John, who’s holding the fort?”

“At the moment, the light elements of the Singapore Navy. They lost their frigates, but still have a good number of patrol boats.”

“Patrol boats?”

“I know, its damn thin. Well, the Siberians are down in that area with that hot battlecruiser of theirs, so given the situation, I ordered Hap Turner’s group to meet up with them.”

“Turner… You mean the New Jersey Group?”

“Right. We reinforced it with the last two destroyers that were part of that SAG, Stoneman and Sumner. They were late getting out of Guam with some sensor repairs. There were also a three Virginia Class boats on escort with the Independence, and we assigned two of them to join the British sub Trafalgar. They’ll set up a defensive screen. Beyond that, the Air Force is going to ferry in some air assets to Singapore. We beat up the Chinese airfields down there pretty good, so this will buck up our control of the airspace, and with those three subs, we’ll control things under the wavetops as well.”

“What about Enterprise?”

“Can’t move her just now. That group is holding the watch on the East China Sea. Washington reached Pearl, and will be escorting in the next sealift you set up there, bound for Japan.”

“Sounds like we could use a couple more flattops.”

“Six was plenty for peacetime operations,” said Randall, “and we kept readiness at the top of our list. Never more than one ship in extended maintenance at a time. But with this war, we wish we had ten. They’re rigging out JFK, and if this thing gets any worse she just might cut her teeth in real combat. For now, Ike is in bed at Norfolk, and Truman is in the Eastern Med to provide air support for the Saudis. So the best we can do is get two big decks together, and right now, that’s going to be in the Arabian Sea.”

“At least the Army stopped Saddam.”

“For the moment. Yes, it seems we’ll hold the line there, but we’ll need everything you can bring us to roll them out of there. So with your permission, I’ll issue orders to retool 1st USMC to Salaha as we planned.”

“I hope you keep a sharp eye out for their subs,” said Shannon. “The undersea boys have been having a field day out here.”

That was an understatement.

2 DEC 2025 ~ Karimata Strait

While those course changes were underway in the Arabian Sea, Kirov and Kursk were still in the Karimata Strait. Karpov had thought to take the Sunda Strait to get into the deep water of the Indian Ocean. Gromyko would certainly prefer that to the shallow waters here. But He had received a message from the Americans, requesting he make a rendezvous with the New Jersey Surface Action group.

The big battleship had lingered to wait for its other two destroyers, which left Guam late. When DDG’s Stoneman and Sumner came up, the Black Dragon got orders to meet up with the Siberians. That would make a seven ship Surface Action Group, and with two of the most powerful ships afloat in that order of battle. Karpov had plenty of time to meet his supply ship in Jakarta, and replaced the Zircons he had fired. He was thankful that the Soviets had even made the missile in this history, but as Fedorov often said, sometimes the details of an altered time were remarkably true, while on the macro scale, things could be must different. That was certainly the case here.

The “air assets” that Admiral Randall had referred to in his meeting with Shannon were fighters and support planes transferring in from US bases on Yap and Palau. There would be six Raptors, another flight of six Avenger II’s and an E-3G Sentry. Bombers from Guam were always available, and could weigh in with air strikes as needed.

As always, the US wanted to keep a sharp eye on what the Chinese were doing in the South China Sea, and waiting for satellites wasn’t always the best option. Guam also had a special asset, the SR-72 Aurora, a 2900 MPH strategic recon plane which was able to take a look at the situation from 85,000 feet, which was 5000 feet above the service ceiling of the Chinese HQ-9B, so the plane could loiter or scoot by with impunity, fuel being the only limiting factor, as Guam was a long way off, over 2000 nautical miles.

The report was sent to Captain Henry “Hap” Turner on the New Jersey, and he did the courtesy of sending in on through to Kirov. Karpov was on the weather deck when it came in, using his field glasses to see if he could spot the tall battlements of the American Battleship. Nikolin came out to say he had a message decrypt, and Karpov headed for the warmth of the bridge. He saw that Fedorov was hunched over the light table where the digital display was marking the positions of ships in the region. The Admiral hung his field glasses on the hook where he always left them and read the message.

“My,” he said, handing the message off to Fedorov. “Have a look at this.”

Fedorov glanced at it darkly, seeing the one thing that was cause for concern. “Twenty-five ships?” he said, giving Karpov a sour look.”

Even as he read the message, the digital display was already updating with the positions of the contacts being reported.

“The Chinese never do things small, Fedorov. They have regrouped, and here they come again. This crab like formation just south of the Mekong Delta is built around the carrier Shandong. It looks like the one we hit earlier is still in port, Zhendong.”

“That’s a relief,” said Fedorov.

“Oh? Look here, the intelligence indicates they think there is a second carrier—Taifeng. It would be in this group to the east. This means they’re upping their game here. That carrier is the flagship of the East China Sea Fleet, but obviously things are at a low boil there now, and this is a much more strategic situation. It means they could have as many as 60 fighters on those carriers. It makes sense, because the US took out their local bases and they were soft on air power. They can’t just rely on satellites. They need eyes in the sky to find and fix our position, and now they’ll be able to do that.”

“And we’ll need to find them as well, because that recon plane can’t loiter there very long.”

“Oh, I wouldn’t worry about that. The one thing the Americans do better than anyone else is reconnaissance. They’ll have the Chinese order of battle chapter and verse before long.”

“So, it looks like you’ll get another crack at a carrier.”

“Indeed it does.”

“Yet that’s a lot of ships, Karpov. We have only seven, ten if we count the submarines. We’re outnumbered over two to one.”

“Well,” said Karpov, “we have about 120 missiles we can throw with our ships. The American’s have another 150. That’s 270 offensive missiles, enough to put at least ten on every one of those enemy ships. So we’ve got some clout, and they’ll soon know it. It’s likely that we’ll get air support, and those three subs will be very dangerous for them. They haven’t really learned their ASW operations yet. But once bitten, twice shy. Zhendong is really still in port because that British sub put torpedoes into it. For my money, as good as my Zircons are, a torpedo is the most dangerous weapon in all naval combat. The Chinese may have subs out there too, so I hope Tasarov has the wax out of his ears.”

* * *

Wu Jinlong was a skilled and dedicated Admiral, but he was also a realist. Speaking with Admiral Zheng Bau, Chief of Naval Operations South, he asked the one question that still rankled the Chinese naval command structure.

“Suppose I reach Singapore in strength. What then? What am I to do there? Sun Wei attempted to bombard the port of Salaha in Oman, and sat there for nearly three hours wearing out his deck guns. Yet he was only able to put serious damage on one of the naval docks there. Surely you do not want me to attempt to destroy Changi Harbor the same way.”

“Of course not,” said Zheng. “Your mission is to control the Singapore Strait. From that position, you also shut down the Sunda Strait. So you must drive off any naval forces the enemy still attempts to muster there. This time, it is the Americans and Siberians. Consider it a defensive operation. They are using those waters, and we will take that away from them. If we had done so earlier, they would not have a second carrier ready to enter the battle for the Arabian Sea.”

Both men knew that was the main concern now, for things had not been going well in the Indo-Arabian theater. “So then you wish me to drive off these forces, and then maintain a strong naval presence there?”

“Precisely…. But one thing more. Putting pressure here may compel the Americans to recall that second carrier here again, and that would aid our operations in the Arabian Sea. We must think of these two campaigns as one. Sun Wei is the right hand, you are the left, and our Kung Fu must be good. Stated simply. If Sun Wei can prevent the arrival of strong American forces in Oman, then we hold a strong bargaining chip in Saudi Arabia. The Iraqis can trade ground gained there for all of Kuwait, and we can insist on nothing less.”

“And what if the Americans see that theater as the decisive front?” said Wu Jinlong. “That is where they did send that second carrier, and they leave only one small surface action group here guarding Singapore. My mission would be different here if we actually posed a threat to that island. Yet with the largest standing army on earth, we do not have the means of seizing Singapore. It’s disgraceful. Why did we commit all our airborne and Marines to the Ryukyus?”

“That was necessary to secure the First Island Chain, and as a prerequisite to further action against the Japanese.”

“The Japanese? What action? Don’t tell me we are contemplating the invasion of Kyushu!”

“Nothing of the sort, but we must end their meddling once and for all in this war. They will hanker for their islands back, and we must crush their navy to show them how futile their designs are. From this day forward, the Ryukyus belong to China, and that includes Okinawa. We have eliminated those chokepoints at the edge of the Pacific.”

“And what business do we have there? We saw what happened when we attempted to overreach and take Iwo Jima.”

“That was unfortunate, and perhaps premature, but we will go one day, and beyond. In time we will push all the way out to the Second Island Chain. Then it will be the Americans complaining when we make these so called “freedom of navigation” patrols through the Marianas. They have few bases left to roost here in the Western Pacific. If we are to truly control this region, we must push them out, push them east, all the way back to Hawaii.”

“Very ambitious,” said Wu Jinlong. “Well, I will tell you that we will never do this with the carriers we have now. We were not yet ready for a major conflict like this. We should have waited five more years, and conducted these operations in 2030.”

“Yes,” said Zhang Bao, “with at least two more fleet carriers. That is in the past. The situation is before us now, and we must act accordingly. So, go and show the Americans we can drive them off—and the Siberians. Yes, we have a bone to pick with them. Pass like thunder and lightning. Move like the wind. Topple mountains, overturn seas! If the Gods block you, slay them. If Buddha stands in your way, kill him! You must prevail.”

Chapter 33

The last hours of December 2nd were slipping away as the Chinese fleet moved south towards Ranai on Riau. That airfield was still not in any shape to receive aircraft, but repairs were ongoing. A KJ-200 out of Tan Son Nhat airbase was loitering over the fleet, its radar eyes extending out 240 miles to the south.

Three task forces made up the fleet. First came the SAG Saigon, a mixed group of four Vietnamese destroyers and five older Chinese frigates. Forty miles to the north, Admiral Wu Jinlong now set his flag on China’s last real fleet carrier, Taifeng, and he was escorted by a strong surface group.

A new ship was about to make its debut in the war, the next evolution of the Type 055, designated the Type 057A guided missile cruiser. It was built on a modified Type 055 hull and superstructure, but instead of having only two 64 cell VLS bays forward, a third bay, with 32 cells was mounted on the island above the helicopter hangars. It was entirely dedicated to SSM ordnance, carrying 32 YJ-18’s. The main VLS bays were then primarily loaded for air defense with 96 HQ-9’s between them, with room left over for 8 Yu-7 ASROC missile torpedoes, 16 long range YJ-100’s and another eight YJ-18’s. A medium range SAM system, the HQ-16A, was also added in a separate small bay forward, with 16 missiles, and the ship had two laser turrets augmenting its three 30mm Gatling guns. It was the first of its kind, and a dangerous harbinger of things to come in the Chinese Navy, christened as CG Zanshi, the Warrior.

Two other Type 055’s escorted the carrier, Fengshen, the Wind God, and Daishen, the Lightning God, appropriately named ships to accompany a carrier named Taifeng. Both were strongly weighted for air defense, with each carrying 100 HQ-9’s. A single Type 052D destroyer was positioned for close escort, and there were four new Type 054B frigates, the latest evolution of that design.

On these newer ships, the Chinese had removed the traditional triple mount 324mm torpedoes. Experience had shown that they would almost never be used in actual combat, as they required the firing ship to be right on top of the enemy sub. In fact, they often became a liability when the ship was hit, easily damaged or even exploding when hit by shrapnel or any SSM ordnance. Instead, they were replaced by the YU-7 ASROC, which could fire from a VLS bay at an undersea target up to 30 miles away. On these new frigates, the two older Quad YJ-83 SSM mounts were also replaced by three triple YJ-12 mounts. The older missile could only range out 100 miles, and the newer one could reach 215 miles.

So the Chinese were evolving their navy to increase SSM range and air defense across the board. The appearance of Zanshi, the new Warrior class ship, was sobering. While not as powerful as either New Jersey or Kirov, it showed Chinese ambitions and interest in heavy surface combatants. At that time, no one knew that ship had sailed from Shanghai. It was actually thought to be a third Type 055 escorting the carrier, and no one knew how many more were in the shipyards.

It is clear that Beijing does not want this carrier harmed, thought Wu Jinlong. That said, I must be aggressive here, as Zhang Bao exhorted. Pass like thunder and lightning. Move like the wind. And there they are, a pair of Type 055’s, cruising off my bow named after lightning and wind. My enemy is strong, but we are stronger, and yes, we must prevail.

TF Saigon would be called upon to deliver the first blows of this campaign. The Vietnamese destroyers were French built, and carried the Naval SCALP cruise missile, a land attack weapon with a 550 mile range. DDG Da Nang was selected to fire its 16 missiles at Changi Airfield, and see if they could put more damage there to impede enemy operations. Basically a Storm Shadow, the missiles were very stealthy, and not seen by a pair of F-22’s on CAP until they were almost right below them.

“Sentry, Boxer. We have Vampires, low. Very close. Over.”

“Roger Boxer, rough ‘em up. Cleared hot. Sentry, over.”

That would send out the AMRAAM’s after those cruise missiles, and also sound the alarm at Changi and Singapore harbors. There were two strike packages on the field, loaded with ordnance, and they were ordered up at once to save the planes from damage, along with two more Raptors.

“Sentry, Boxer. No Joy. Over. Vampires are ghosts.”

“Roger Boxer. Standby. Over.”

The AMRAAM’s had little luck in their hunt, with five of six failing to find targets. Word was flashed to Changi, and radars on the SAM defense sites switched on. Singapore had bought the French Mamba, which was basically a land based TEL mounted Aster-30 missile system ranging out 60 miles for long range defense. The inner circle was an older RBS-97 I-Hawk system, ranging about 20 miles. Six Avenger-II’s carrying LRASM and six more British Typhoons with Storm Shadow roared aloft, heading north up the Malay coast with their Raptor escort.

Minutes later, both the E-3 Sentry and the flight of Avenger II’s got the next whiff of those incoming Vampires, just eleven miles from the orbiting AEW plane, down at 300 feet elevation. That was a latecomer, first of the missiles were already making their attack on the airfield. One was engaged and hit by the short range Israeli built SPYDER battery they had overflown. Four got through and raged into the open tarmac space with thundering explosions. Four more followed them. The missiles mostly tore up concrete, but one of the last found a Poseidon slated for ASW patrol and blew it apart. Neither the I-Hawks nor the Mambas got off a single shot. Being positioned in the center of the island, they could just not illuminate the Vampires to get a good lock. It was therefore decided to move them close to the airfield on the eastern end of the island.

“Sentry to Avenger 1. Come to four zero degrees. Tasking order hot. Put it all on the Gator. Over.”

The E-3 had pegged the position of Shandong, which the US now called the “Gator,” after the smaller Marine carriers that supported their fleet. That flight of six planes could send 24 missiles out, and they had the range now….

07:00 Local, 3 DEC 2025

Aboard Kirov, Nikolin had been listening closely to the radio traffic between the E-3 Sentry and those aircraft. He was able to determine that a strike order was sent, and informed Karpov at 07:00.

“Sir, they have fired SSM’s at one of the Chinese task forces.”

“Could you determine the target?”

“I’m not sure what it is, sir… Something called a Gator.”

“Gator…. Alligator…” Karpov’s eyes narrowed. “That’s what the Americans call their light amphibious assault carriers. It must mean they have found Shandong, the only light carrier the Chinese could have operational out there now. Samsonov, standby for missile combat.”

Karpov rushed to the tactical screen, zooming in on the targeted formation. There it was, Shandong, surrounded by a cluster of eight escorts. Now his screen finally updated from the network, and he could see the intended flight paths of the SSM’s.

“They are LRASM’s” he said, “The air launched version, which is a sea skimmer at 600 knots. Good, that gives us time to warm up the Zircons. Samsonov, give me eight, in two sets of four. I want you to send them up here, northwest and behind that carrier. Make your attack vector 115 degrees.”

“Aye sir. System responding. Missiles being keyed.”

“Send the first salvo when ready. Hold the last four.”

“Ready Sir. Firing as ordered.”

It was the same strategy he had used to hit this carrier earlier, but the ship had been struck in non-vital areas, and the damage repaired in a single long day in port. Now Karpov was gunning for Shandong again.

The Chinese CAP of J-31’s would detect the missiles, storming out at over 4000 knots, altitude unknown. They raced over the fighters, which were powerless to stop them, and passed the Chinese formation, about 50 miles to the west. They might have thought they were ballistic missiles because of their profile, heading north towards Vietnam. Then the missiles made their first of three planned turns, coming to about 65 degrees, now at just over 3000 knots. When they made the second turn, coming to 115 degrees on the assigned attack vector, the ships began to fire the only missiles that might catch them, the HQ-9B. That turn had slowed the Zircons to 2600 knots, still faster than any other SSM on earth.

DDG Xining was trailing about 3 miles behind the carrier, and was first to fire two SAM’s. DDG Jinlong, the Golden Dragon, had also put two missiles out. The first pair both missed their blazing fast targets. Those fired by Jinlong wheeled and were able to get one Zircon. Then the Type 052D class DDG’s Xining and Xiamen poured out more fire, putting six missiles in the air to get after the last three Vampires. The Zircons made their final turn, two more found and killed, but the last was inside five miles and coming at just over 2000 knots. It could close to the target in ten seconds. Both HQ9’s missed it, the guns fired and failed, chaff rockets bloomed around the carrier, but could not fool that demon, then the jammers screamed out in vain, and Karpov had his first hit.

It was a glancing blow, and in fact, one of the frigates actually clipped the missile with its gunfire just as it was about to strike the carrier, but it forged on through, achieving a partial penetration of the hull, and exploding with angry red fire, very low on the waterline. White smoke and steam was hissing as the seawater extinguished the flames, but the threat would not come from fire, but from water. There was soon serious flooding reported forward, beneath the ski lift bow of the carrier.

When Samsonov confirmed the hit, Karpov beamed.

“Outstanding!” he said, clapping his CIC man on his broad shoulder. Samsonov, quiet, stalwart, was only too happy to take the praise.

“How do you like that, Fedorov? We hit them on the very first salvo of the battle, and that will hurt them here. Mark my words.”

Fedorov could see how Karpov clenched his fist, and noted the light of battle in his eyes. He was his old self again, the shroud of sorrow thrown off. Now he looked to the tactical board, watching the first of the LRASM’s begin to make their approach.

* * *

The Chinese had found they could still launch fighters, and now the engines of their J-31’s were revving up to take off, the planes leaping off the end of that ski jump bow, and streaking off to the west. More enemy missiles, down on the water, had been seen by the Falcon CAP patrol off that carrier, and it was already engaging them.

Shandong was slowing, the real extent of the damage forward now being reported to the Captain Zheng. The 30mm gun that had been fired by a nearby frigate had clipped the missile, tilting it downward so it hit very low on the water, and at a glancing angle. That had ripped the hull open like a fiery dagger, and the carrier was in serious trouble of foundering, the pumps unable to control the incoming rush of the sea. Crews were desperately sealing off watertight doors, but the flooding spanned many compartments, and the ship was already down at the bow.

As if realizing their peril, J-31’s were still bravely trying to take off to gain the safety of the open sky, rather than facing an ignominious end in the sea. They leapt off the ship, one by one, like dark birds from a tree limb. As the first trains of LRASM’s began to vector in, FFG Jingzhou fired off her HQ-16 SAM’s in defense. The American missiles were stealthy, and only ships at certain angles to their advance seemed to be able to get any radar illumination on them.

Karpov nodded his head, smiling.

“Now, Samsonov. Fire the second salvo, the same as the first.”

“Aye sir! Missiles away!” the excitement of the moment was catching. Fedorov came over to watch on the radars with Rodenko, and Nikolin was leaning to try and get a peek. Only Tasarov sat, unmoved beneath his headset, his mind and thoughts in another world, deep beneath the sea.

Brave Jingzhou was able to take down one train of four Vampires, which had even befuddled DDG Chilong, the Red Dragon. From that ship’s angle, they could just not resolve a firing solution on the American missiles. Now the J-31’s began to swoop lower, like the falcon hawks they were named after. They were adding their PL-15’s to the defense, and getting hits from above.

In the heat of that action, four lances came in from the west at a terrible speed, and DDG Xining was the only ship that had a firing solution. It sent eight HQ-9’s out after them. They killed three of the four, the last forging on through after Shandong. It was guns and jammers that saved the carrier from a second hit, but three more LRASM’s had weathered the gauntlet of fire, and now they were bearing down on the target.

Even at a range of just eight miles, the destroyers Xiamen could not get a target lock. Frigate Wenzhou, was equally frustrated, but two others, Weifang and Wuzhi, were inside three miles from the carrier, and had a better angle for their HQ-16’s, but they were not getting hits. Then Shandong fired its secret weapon.

The Chinese had installed them on all their high value ships, lasers, and a light sword flashed at the missiles, getting a hit on the leading Vampire. The turrets hummed and fired again, knocking down the second missile. Weifang fired two more missiles, but they would not get the last before the lasers found it and knocked it down. Those turrets had saved the carrier from what looked like certain destruction, a light speed close in defense weapon that had weighed heavily in the balance. The SAM missiles seemed like slow dogs by comparison.

“Did you see that?” Karpov looked at Fedorov. “That white line there indicates a laser burst. The Chinese have raised the stakes.”

“Didn’t stop our first Zircon,” said Fedorov.

“I think it took them completely by surprise. The LRASM’s were slower, and the lasers had to come on line, apparently just in time to get those last three American missiles. But look how close they came. Even the J-31’s were unable to get at many of them. Tomahawks would have never gotten through that defense. There were ten escorts around that carrier! Look, it’s turning to head north. I think we mission killed the damn thing with that first hit.”

“Amazing,” said Fedorov. “This indicates that 32 missiles were fired in this engagement, and only our Zircon got through in that first salvo, but you may be right. The carrier is turning.”

“They’ll be angry,” said Karpov. “Expect a counterattack, and soon. I’d fire again, but look how they are surrounding the carrier with all these frigates. They are literally forming a wall of steel around that ship.”

“Message from the Americans, sir,” said Nikolin. “It’s their E-3 Sentry aircraft.”

Karpov inclined his head, somewhat puzzled to be contacted by the orbiting Sentry. Then Nikolin conveyed the message.

“Congratulations, Cyber One. Sentry confirms Gator down. Repeat, the Gator is going down.”

“Acknowledge that,” said Karpov smiling. Then he turned to the CIC station. “Comrade Samsonov, you have just sunk another aircraft carrier!”

Everyone on the bridge gave a cheer.

Part XII

Malacca Dilemma

“Never expect a yield of milk from a bull…”

― Bikash Chaurasiya

Chapter 34

Fedorov remembered a time when Karpov would have hovered over Samsonov at the CIC, even insisting on toggling the switch to fire the missiles, wanting to make sure it was his hand sending out the fire and steel. Yet now he seemed a changed man. With every hit, he had turned to Samsonov, praising him, handing him the laurels. In truth, he thought, neither man killed that ship. It was Kirov. The great battlecruiser had received the targetign information from the American Sentry, and Samsonov had merely seen that it was correctly transferred to the fire control system. Yet he had programmed in the three turns required to move the missiles where Karpov wanted them. After that, it was all Kirov, the mindless ship that had carried them so far, into so many battles, and without ever suffering defeat.

I wonder, thought Fedorov. Was Kirov just an extension of our will? After all, it did nothing unless the officers and crew told it to. Then again, were we merely the means the ship used to impose its steely will on the sea? You could look at it that way, he thought. Now we must brace for the inevitable counterattack, never an easy time on the bridge when the missiles come for us. Let’s hope we can pull through, as we always have. Karpov has always kept us safe.

Has he? Again, wasn’t it Kirov that has kept us safe? The ship has radar eyes that see things none of us know. All we do is give the command to fire. From that moment forward, our lives and fate are solely in the hands of this ship. It seems a living thing, with a computer mind of its own. Yes, a great Sea Dragon, Mizuchi, and we are just riding its scaly back, watching it breathe fire in battle, and hoping we live to find calm and safe water yet again….

07:45 Local 3 DEC 2025

Aboard the carrier Taifeng, Admiral Wu was mortified. Shandong was gone…. He knew that ship and crew, having moved his flag there after Zhendong was torpedoed. Now he was on the finest carrier in the navy, Taifeng. Pass like thunder and lightning, he thought. Move like wind. We open the battle by striking at Singapore, and within minutes, Shandong is gone….

How can I live down the shame? This is the third time I have been ordered to command the waters off Singapore, and while I have driven off the Royal Navy, two precious aircraft carriers that were under my command have suffered hard fates. Without them, we cannot sail far from our shores, no matter how many destroyers we build.

That thought sat on his shoulder like a dark and noisome crow. This war is not going well for us. It may seem so in a strategic sense. Yes, we have closed Suez, and still dominate the Arabian Sea, but when Sun Wei came north, our watch ended on the sea lanes between the Cape and Diego Garcia. Yes, the plan to seize Saudi Arabia is well underway, but there is a limit to what the Iraqi Army can do. With the Siberian front still dangerous, can we afford to send military aid there? Yes, we have the Ryukyus, but the Americans have backed Japan, and that issue is not resolved. Yes, I have driven the British from Singapore, but something tells me the Americans and Siberians will not leave so quickly.

In the broader sense, look at what we have lost! We have had to abandon all our bases in the Mediterranean, and along the West African coast. Sun Wei has been wrestling with the British and Americans, and now he withdraws to the Gulf of Oman. I cannot even secure the waters off Singapore and maintain a fleet there, and the loss of Shandong burns….

Consider our naval losses. Half our carriers are laid up with two on the bottom of the sea. Eight of 25 Type 055 destroyers have been sunk. We have lost 22 other destroyers, and 18 frigates! This does not even include the five Korean destroyers lost, and the single ship from Vietnam. So add those and we have lost 56 ships!

The Americans? We managed to put damage on one of their new destroyers, and a scratch or two on their battlecruiser, but not a single ship in their navy has been sunk! We can only console ourselves with the fact that we could easily master the Royal Navy, sinking a submarine, two of their carriers, five destroyers and 13 frigates, with six more sunk from the Singapore fleet. That makes 27 warships, but we lost twice as many ships as our enemies. This does not bode well.

Sun Wei was unable to match even a single American carrier group in the Arabian Sea, and he had over 30 ships! The Americans strike him time and again with their fighters, and he can do nothing in return. I think we have been fooled by the success of our YJ-18 against the British. That missile killed their ships easily enough, but against the Americans, it cannot reach their speedy aircraft carriers. Yes… They can stay outside our range, and hound us with fighters day and night. We should have loaded out with a preponderance of YJ-100’s instead of the YJ-18. Those have a 430 mile range, and they would push that carrier farther off, perhaps to the limit of its fighter strike radius. I must inform Beijing of this. Surely they must see it as well. Yet how many more of these missiles do we still have?

I suppose I should be more realistic. War is war. We must expect losses, but right now, Beijing must be getting concerned, particularly after the loss of Shandong. It was that damnable Siberian battlecruiser. It sunk the Sea God, Haishen. It damaged Shandong earlier, and now it finished the job…. So what to do?

I have 112 of those longer range YJ-100’s, but look, the enemy ships have disappeared from our radar screens again, and now I must re-acquire them. At least Shandong was able to launch most of her J-31’s before it went down. Yet now I must find a place to base them. I will have to transfer all ten of my helicopters to ships that do not have one assigned. Then I can make room for more J-31’s. I will order my fighters to sweep south, destroy the enemy CAP, and find those damn ships again! To aid in that, the Vietnamese group will continue to pound their airfields.

Beijing cannot be happy with what I have done here. I may have but one chance to redeem myself, and I can only do that by sinking enemy ships and driving them off. And at the top of my list I must kill that Siberian ship—Kirov, the demon no one even knew about until it suddenly appeared. Yes… That ship must die.

Admiral Wu Jinlong was a very determined man.

Time Unknown

“Whalesign Three, Come in. Whalesign Four, do you copy? Please acknowledge. Over.”

The pilot of Whalesign One was confused. He had been ordered to investigate the sea ahead, a dangerous mission, because he would be flying right into the potent SAM envelope of the contacts ahead. They were registering as destroyers, and that meant HQ-9’s, with an 80 mile range. Thus far, the F-35 had been able to penetrate that deadly airspace unseen, but there was always a chance of being detected.

Yet now he had lost contact with the two other planes in his flight, which was most unusual. He had detected no missile firings, and all his equipment seemed to be functioning normally—but was it? Those ghostly radar emissions ahead kept moving, disappearing, returning. The radar had never acted like that. His first thought was that he was being heavily jammed, but that wasn’t the case here, the radio spectrum was quiet and clear. He should be getting pristine returns on those surface ships. Was his radar dodgy?

The radar may be fouled, he said, but why the difficulty making radio contact? They had to hear those calls…. “Whalesign Leader, this is number one. Come in please….”

Silence….

His plane suddenly ran into turbulence, and he decided to climb a bit. Then he would point the nose down and have a look at the sea from good elevation. The radar continued to show hazy uncertainty on the contacts ahead, and then there came a bright light, and seconds later a strong jolt. It was as if his plane had been hit with a shock wave, buffeted by a strong force that saw him struggling to recover control. Turbulence was never really anything that mattered to most pilots, but this was something different.

Now his radars saw what it was, and the tried and true Mark-1 eyeball confirmed it.

“Damn,” he said aloud. “Someone threw a nuke!”

He could see the angry fire of a massive mushroom cloud ahead off his left wing, climbing into the sky with its terrible wrath. What in the world was happening? Was that ours? Did we throw one at the fleet I was out here to investigate? Nice of them to clue me in on it. Damn!

“Flight leader, this is Whalesign One—Firebright! I repeat Firebright! I have eyes on the mushroom. Over. Whalesign Three, come in!”

There, down on the sea, he saw what he had come to find, ships, ships, ships —glowing red and gold in the evil light of that detonation. Now his missile warning came on, and the blood chilling warning told him he was under attack. He turned left into a barrel roll, then came around and dove for the sea. Both maneuvers were good for befuddling missiles, which could not track a barrel rolling plane easily, or turn as tightly as a fighter could. Diving for lower altitude would also force the missile’s radar to fight clutter from the sea if it was trying to reacquire the plane. The dive gave the plane much needed speed, and speed was your friend when under attack like this. If he had to, he would turn again, putting the missile at his three o’clock position, and forcing it to make a continuous turn to follow him. The intention was to bleed energy from the missile as it tried to track and close on his plane.

The maneuver seemed to work, and now he poured on the power. Missile range decreased at lower altitude and for every 100 knots he threw on the fire, that missile would have to work all that harder to catch him, further bleeding off its energy.

He was up over 700 knots, felt another hard jolt, more turbulence, and then clear air. His warning light went dark, alarms quiet, and he seemed to be completely alone on that cold December morning. He pulled into another turn, radar active, looking for that broiling mushroom cloud again, still wary of that missile…. But both were gone.

WTF?

“Whalesign Leader, this is Whalesign One. Come in! Whalesign Leader, do you copy?”

No one came back.

It was as if he was the only living man within a thousand miles. The mushroom was gone, the ships were gone. There was no missile after him, only the dark morning sky, glittering with stars.

“Now this is downright bonkers,” he said aloud. “Where’s that bloody nuke?”

He circled, scanning every horizon visually, and he knew he had not gone too far from what he had seen, but nothing was there. Yes, it was bonkers. What was he, away with the fairies out here? Rats in the attic? A screw or two loose? Things like this just did not happen.

“I must be as barmy as the bloody radar,” he breathed. “Best wing for home.”

He came around, to a heading that should take him home to the carrier, and announced his intention to return on the radio, but there was no response. There was still plenty of fuel, and he was bound to find the fleet in any case. Yes, the whole bloody fleet was out there ahead.

Or so he believed….

* * *

“Strange,” said Karpov. “Every get a feeling that something was wrong, but you can’t seem to put your finger on it?”

“Is that why you’ve been checking the radar and sonar stations every half hour,” said Fedorov.

“Have I? Well, I suppose I have. Got this itch, Fedorov. Something is amiss, but I’m not sure what it is. Rodenko reports nothing unusual in the radar field. Tasarov says all is quiet below, but I can still feel it. Something is wrong.”

Fedorov gave him a look. “Perhaps a meal would do some good. I can hold the watch if you want an early lunch.”

“At a time like this?” said Karpov. “We’re likely to have a missile storm heading our way. The American battleship just put in an attack on that leading task force, the one with Vietnamese ships that was firing cruise missiles at the airfields on Singapore. Now there’s another small package coming in for Ranai airfield, air launched.”

“Rodenko says he thought the Chinese were recovering the planes they scrambled off that carrier we sunk.”

“Indeed? Well, we’re lucky the Chinese J-31 doesn’t load out much in the way of anti-surface ordnance. Strange. The Chinese are quick studies. You would think they would have copied the American GBU-53 by now for their stealth fighters. That would give their carriers a little clout. At the moment, the best extended range bomb they can carry only has a range of 30 miles. They’re stealthy, but not that good. Get in that close to this ship and my Gargoyles will have a feast.”

“The Chinese are still coming south,” said Fedorov. “Is that what’s bugging you?”

“No, I expected they would. It just means we have to move south with them, and keep the range outside 300 miles so they can’t use their YJ-18’s. It’s a dance out here, Fedorov. They take a step forward. We take a step back. There’s plenty of sea room yet. So no, it’s no bother. I just feel like there’s something else going on… a feeling of presentiment, but with no clear danger in sight, aside from that Chinese fleet up north. That I can deal with, but this…. This inner feeling is something else.”

“You mean like that sound Troyak reported once on that mission to Siberia?”

“Sound? No, I don’t think it’s anything like that. It’s just an inner feeling, a hunch, but laced with adrenalin. Something is telling me to be wary, but it’s nothing I can see.”

“I’ll check with Tasarov. His ears are the best we have. Does it have to do with the ship? I could go down and see what Dobrynin thinks.”

“No, no, it’s probably nothing. Maybe I’ve been in combat too long. Could just be a case of raw nerves. I feel fine, but there’s something…. Something…”

Fedorov nodded. “Get some lunch, Admiral. Give me a shot at the big chair for a while. If they hit us, it will probably be with their YJ-100. Our SAM’s can track and kill those easily enough.”

“Alright, Fedorov. I’ll take your advice and see what’s on the boil in the officer’s mess. In fact, I have some business to attend to there. But yes… Check with Tasarov once in a while. They have subs out there too. They bushwhacked this Admiral Pearson the last time he showed the flag, and gutted all the RSN frigates that were good enough to sail with him.”

Karpov headed for the hatch and ladder down.

“Admiral off the bridge,” said Rodenko.

“I have the Con,” said Fedorov. “You are officer of the deck, Rodenko.”

“Aye sir.”

Chapter 35

Captain Samuel Wood had heard that his old friend Francis Drake had just made another kill, and now he was thinking to even the score and stay in the race. Drake had a very new boat, HMS Anson, and Wood had one of the first really good attack boats the Royal Navy commissioned, HMS Trafalgar. So he would show them the old girl could still dance.

He had been creeping up on the leading Chinese task force, and now had a frigate in his no escape kill zone, about five miles out. It was the Type 056 corvette Guangyuan, out well ahead of the Vietnamese group as a forward picket. Sonar had contacts on many other ships, but they were over 15 miles away.

Captain Wood briefly considered simply waiting there, allowing the frigate to go by, and then attacking the main group where he might get at many more targets.

“Sonar, can you confirm that this is a Type 056?”

“Yes sir, without question.”

That was a small 1500 ton vessel, usually used in littoral waters like this. The formation was just 50 miles west of the Riau main island. The ship had hull sonar, but no towed array, and it had slowed to just five knots.

“Con, reading active sonar from that ship.”

“Very well.” Wood now assumed the frigate might have heard them, and even though its only ASW defense was a pair of triple YU-7 torpedo mounts, it would have to get within two miles to use them. He decided he had better dispatch the ship quickly, and then maneuver. He gave the order to fire.

The 80 knot Spearfish crossed the four miles to the target in little time, and the 300kg warhead blew that corvette off the sea. Seconds later, the sound of active sonars reverberated through the depths, a moaning chorus under the sea.

“Helm, come right to 130 degrees and give me ten knots.”

“Con, sonobuoy drop detected.”

“Come left to zero-seven-five.”

“Zero-seven-five Aye, sir.”

“Con, main contact group has changed heading. Now on 270 west. Speed 18 knots. More sonobuoys in the water, I read four now.”

Sonar updated their report, and Captain Wood knew this was a dangerous situation. He was being hunted by a Z-18, not the less efficient Z-9, which only had short range dipping sonar. The Z-18 was bigger, and would be able to lay a web of sonobuoys to help locate his boat, so he had turned to the north east, trying to get into the wake noise of all those surface ships.

“Sir, sonobuoy drop, very close off the port side.”

“Helm come to five knots, and steady on.”

They would hear three more buoys drop, this time off the starboard side of the boat, as Trafalgar slowly crept on at five knots, sweating. The water here was very shallow, with the bottom just 240 feet down. Wood was hugging that bottom, also hoping to take advantage of ground clutter to make it more difficult for sonar to get a reading on him.

“Buoy drops progressing to the southwest,” came sonar.

“Steady on,” said Wood. He had killed the Mountain God, Type 055 destroyer Shanshen, sunk Type 052D class destroyers Changsha and Hefei, killed the older Type 051 destroyer Shenzhen, and 054 class frigate Xuchang. Now Guangyuan was the smallest fish to become ensnared by his undersea net, but he would take the credit for his seventh confirmed kill, and still glowed with the knowledge that he had also put two torpedoes into the carrier Zhendong, and drove it to port. That outstanding record had just brough him neck and neck with Captain Drake on HMS Anson, and from the sound of all that active sonar looking for him, there were still plenty of fish in the sea.

* * *

Orlov had not been well the last few days, and after toughing it out, he eventually went to see Doctor Zolkin. The diagnosis was merely fatigue. War needed many servants, and Orlov was Chief among them on the ship, assigning all the work details, training evolutions, inspection teams. The only things below deck he didn’t have to worry about were the reactor section, which was Dobrynin’s realm, the Damage Control teams, which came under Byko and the engineers, and of course, the Marines. That said, he was still often in and out of the Helo Bay, to see to some loadout required or make sure the ordnance teams had moved things where they belonged.

Whenever the ship made port, his work continued, and sometimes redoubled, because he was supervising all the missile reloads and replenishment of the main magazines. It seemed there was never any time for rest, but now Zolkin admonished him to take some time off, and get a good meal. He gave him something to help him sleep better, which was another thing that was often difficult any time the ship was in a battle zone. Missiles could be fired off at any hour, and the ship would quaver with alarms and the sound of men moving to battle stations. It seemed to him that Karpov’s wars would never end.

Get a good meal….

That was what sent him to the Officer’s Mess early that day, but much to his chagrin, there was Admiral Karpov, at his usual table, leaning heavily over a deep bowl of soup.

Orlov remembered that it was only a few weeks ago in real time since he had conspired with Sergeant Silenko, and Ivan Volkov, deep in the can with them as they plotted to remove Karpov from command. It had been that visit to the Northern Shamrock that changed things.

Karpov must have gotten wind of the plan, he thought as he eyed the buffet. Yes, he must have known that Voronin was coming for the ship that night in Severomorsk. And Volkov made me a lot of promises, but what does it matter now? I was to have my salary doubled, and bumped up to Captain of the 1st Rank, but none of that happened. Volkov was just using me. He had no real authority to promote me, and even if I did get that extra money, what would I do with it? It seems we are forever at sea, always looking for a fight somewhere; always looking for war.

He took some cold cuts, fresh bread and cheese, and a smaller bowl of the soup, which was really a beef stew that day. Then he tromped over to a table, and was thinking to sit with his back to the Admiral, before he thought twice. He then sat down, twenty feet across the room, and dipped his bread into the thick soup. It seemed the Admiral was lost in something he was reading on a pad device, oblivious to the fact that Orlov was even there. That, of course, reflected the resentment the Chief had long harbored with Karpov, who seldom ever spoke with him, unless there was something extra he wanted done that day—more work. He was very surprised, then, when he heard the Admiral call out his name.

“Ah, Chief Orlov! The soup is very good today, yes?”

Karpov was finishing up, standing and going to the bar for a little more tea. He filled his glass, and Orlov thought he would just leave, but he was very surprised, and somewhat let down, when Karpov approached his table.

“May I join you?”

“Of course, Admiral,” said Orlov, wondering how much extra work Karpov was going to dump on him this time.

“Chief… I was meaning to sit with you a while, and talk. In fact, when I learned you had been to sick bay, I told Zolkin to send you here for an early meal. Things have been… difficult these last weeks, and particularly since I got that news of my brother from Siberia.”

“Understandable,” said Orlov, taking a big spoonful of soup.

“But that is not the only reason,” said Karpov. “Nor will I lay it all on the Gods of War, though we have been a little busy since the Chinese came south again. No… It was this business with Voronin, and Volkov, and yes, with Sergeant Silenko and yourself.”

The silence after that was thicker than the soup. Orlov shifted uncomfortably. Not knowing what was coming next. He thought he had skated out of that situation, because Karpov never imposed any disciplinary measures on him for his part in all of that. Here it comes, he thought, pursing his lips and waiting for Karpov to continue, his eyelids narrowed.

“Chief, Fedorov came to me and let me know what happened. It was that damn Ivan Volkov. He’s the man that was behind that business all along. First he tried to get rid of Troyak, and managed to move in some security men disguised as Marines in Silenko’s squad. Then he sent Voronin, that pompous ass, but he soon learned that he wasn’t going to throw his weight around here, not on this ship. Orlov, it was Volkov behind it all, and he tried to recruit you to his side of the fence with a lot of promises. Yes? He wanted to use you to get more men on this ship.”

“That he did,” said Orlov. “Look Admiral, if you are here to discipline me, just get it done. I know what I did, and why.”

“Do you? Do you really know what you did? Chief, when Voronin stuck his ass in my chair on the bridge, and refused to budge, I had to order Samsonov to remove him. And by God, the man pulled his service pistol—right there on the bridge! You know what happened next? Every man on that bridge stood up and squared off to Voronin, and you could see fire in their eyes. Yes, a lot of clenched fists up there, even with the junior officers. I’ll tell you what, Chief. That felt damn good. I did not expect it—not Voronin with his pistol, or all those men standing to back me up. I never realized how the crew felt about it all, about me I suppose, until they stood up like that. Loyalty, Orlov. On a ship like this, if the officers and crew give that to me, it’s Gold.”

Orlov dipped his bread, eyes averted. “You’re going to rub my nose in it now?” he said sourly. “You’re going to tell me how disloyal I was to let Volkov bend my ear?”

“No Chief, quite the contrary. I’m going to ask you to stand up here as well, just like the others. If you have issues with me, so be it, but you’re a senior officer here. If you can’t stand up for me, then stand for the men, for the ship, for Kirov. I know I give you the short end of the stick, as they say, and all too often here. There’s a lot of work to be done, and I look to you for most of it. Aside from this business with Volkov, I have no complaints—you get things done. But every man on this ship has to really stand up now, because every other day we’ve got missiles out there with our names on them.”

Orlov nodded, but said nothing. Karpov stroked his chin, thinking a moment. “Chief… We call you that, but you are really a Captain of the 2nd Rank. I hear Volkov promised you a leg up to Captain of the 1st Rank. Then you learned he had no authority to do that. Clever man, Volkov, but he’s also a liar. Well, I think I’ve overlooked you too long, undervalued you. Yes, I’ve taken you for granted, and you never got the respect you deserved for the things you get done—for all the hard work you do. That changes now. So I came over here to tell you this. For the outstanding manner in which you perform your duties as Chief of Operations, you are hereby given that promotion that Volkov never really had in his pocket, but I have the authority, and I even went to Admiral Volsky with this as well. Yes, you can trade those four thin stripes on your cuff for one nice thick one now, and you can put a third star on your shoulder. From this moment on, you are officially Captain of the 1st Rank.”

Orlov looked at him. “You are promoting me?”

“Exactly, and with Volsky’s hearty approval.”

“I am first rank now?”

“Indeed, and that comes with a new cabin in the officers’ quarters section. Choose any vacant room you wish. It also comes with a raise in salary, and that will be retroactive two months, so it will be enough to double your normal pay next period. I know it isn’t much, but some day we may actually get to go ashore again like we did in Japan, and actually spend some of that money. Chief, I want you at my side. I want to know I can rely on you, and that the ship and crew can all rely on you as well. You can have a tough hand on occasion, but now that third star is going to give you just a little bit more of the respect you deserve.”

Orlov raised his eyebrows, slowly realizing what was happening here. Yes, Karpov did have the authority to do this, and Volsky put his name to it too. He had been six years working up from Captain of the first rank, stuck on the second rung of the ladder for a good long time. Now he would finally get to the top, and be a real Captain.

Karpov continued.

“Ivan Volkov said the same thing to you, yes? Well now I say it, only this time, I can make it stick. I gave the quartermaster orders this morning to send you a new service jacket, dress uniform, and Captain’s cap. And Chief, if there is anything you want, any request you might wish to make, feel free. You have my ear, any time you have anything to say. Come to me here, and we’ll eat together sometime. Or if you are on the bridge, sound off when you have something in mind. You’re a full Captain now, and your opinion matters. Please act like one. Make us all proud.”

Orlov was really quite surprised. This was the last thing he expected, and he didn’t quite know how to react.

“One more thing,” said Karpov. “You are now at the top rank for senior officers, and just one more step up to a Rear Admiral. As you will still be Chief of Operations, I am thinking you need some support. So I want you to look over the roster. You know the men well enough. Select candidates for your operations staff, and then start delegating some of the drudgery of the work load you carry to them. Be careful, and thoughtful. Choose men you know you can rely on. Then start moving things off your shoulders, and task those men as you see fit. You are a supervisor, and that should be more the way you see yourself now with this promotion. I know I can count on you, and I will count on you. Come to me with five names, and Volsky and I will look them over and select three—but I want your recommendation on that, first and foremost. If there is one you feel strongly about, let me know.”

Orlov nodded, still not knowing what to say. But there is one thing that always serves well enough: “Thank you, Admiral,” he said, and smiled for the first time in a very long while.

Karpov extended his hand. “Congratulations, Chief. I will make a general announcement to the crew regarding this promotion as soon as I get back to the bridge.”

Chapter 36

Time Unknown

It was cold, too cold in the Arctic winter, and colder yet if they took the airship to any higher elevation. So Volkov had stayed low after the storm, and he knew he had to find a safe harbor now, somewhere to hover over the icy landscape, cable the ship and get the engineers out to have a look at the outer shell. They had inspected the interior framework, and made a few repairs, tightening cables and making a few welds on the duralumin beams.

Tunguska was a fine ship, particularly now after the addition of modern radars and defensive missiles…. And the other things he had loaded. Bigger than the Orenburg, he thought, a vague memory rising from some unknown furrow of his brain. Strange how that happened. Chilling to think that other versions of himself had lived out their lives, and one in particular had risen to the top of a loose federation of breakaway republics from the Soviet Union—the Orenburg Federation.

Because of these lost memories embedded in his mind, he knew Tunguska was a very special beast, one that could literally move in time. Its duralumin bones held strange residues mined near Vanavara, a site very near the epicenter of the event this ship was named for. When he learned Tyrenkov had ordered the airship destroyed, along with its sister ship, Siberia, he immediately sent men to stop the demolition, and just in time. Then he moved his personal effects aboard, munitions, food, comfort items, and the two airships took to the sky, heading north over the desolate Arctic ice.

A chat with a Yeoman had led him to believe that Karpov had deliberately hunted storms with this ship, an odd thing to do at first take, until he realized how much power a typical thunderstorm could generate. He then suspected that they were using that energy to catalyze the duralumin frame. They had even installed a long antenna to help with the harvest of that energy, grounding it right into the frame of the ship.

So he had loaded up the ships, and then he went north, on a little storm safari. So many questions plagued him as they cast off. What if this plan worked as he suspected, and this ship did move in time. Where would they end up? How could he exert any control over the damn thing? There were no rudders here for steering the currents of time. The last thing he wanted was to slip back into the past. Even though he could get himself into a very powerful position there, the notion was fraught with danger. He knew another version of himself had lived, and most likely died there, the memories of that life still haunting him from time to time. Better in the future, he thought. Better after this nasty war here has run its course. Then I can appear and begin picking up the pieces.

In the end, he realized the future was the easiest place he might land if he moved. It was unmarred by all the other versions of himself, free of complications that could lead to paradox, unconquered territory. He reasoned that Time would have to work very hard to send him to the past, but moving him forward would be relatively effortless.

So he settled in with Trushin, his personal aid, and Voronin, the bothersome security man. Of course he had to bring them in on what he was planning, and get them over the hump of incredulity and utter astonishment when he told them he was going to try to move in time. Voronin listened, half believing, yet harboring doubts and inwardly thinking I was daft, he thought.

But now he’s finally a believer.

Here we are again, right back in the New Siberian Islands, the Northern Shamrock. Only one look at the place is enough to tell me this is not the same time we were in before. We could clearly see the crater where that errant missile landed, the lance I had aimed at Tyrenkov’s heart. There is the plane he used to come here that very hour, and make good his escape. Yes, he had to get aboard Kirov to do that. Oh, he might have tried what I just accomplished, these old airships, but Kirov would have been a much safer play, and far more comfortable.

He smiled, realizing that Tyrenkov thought he had burned all the bridges. He had been very lucky to get to these airships before they were destroyed, but where had that luck delivered him after they finally found their Arctic cyclone? It was clearly the future, he knew.

That impact crater is well weathered, certainly not fresh. So yes, it was as I suspected. We have gone forward, but how far? It may take some doing to answer that question. I have had men listening to the radio round the clock, but they hear nothing. The world seems as quiet and desolate as this Arctic wasteland around me here.

So I think the war has ended…. Yes, it’s come to its fiery, bloody end, probably taken most of the world with it. We were such mindless fools. We built those terrible bombs and missiles because they represented absolute power, a means for even a small and backward country like North Korea to be able to spit in the eyes of the other world powers. And when push came to shove, it was too easy to use them.

Well then… What should I do here? We will anchor here briefly and see to external repairs. I must be certain the solar fabric is well, and able to provide backup power when we need it. It appears that the nuke I ordered here was the only one to touch this place—a near miss, because all the buildings are still standing, and there is Tyrenkov’s plane. Yet there is no ship out there in the bay; no sign of Kirov.

“Sir!”

Trushin came rushing into the stateroom.

“Yes, what is it?”

“Report from the ground party. They went down in the sub-cloud car an hour ago. They say the compound is deserted, except for a few wandering packs of wolves.”

“Wolves? Interesting. Tell the men to catch me a few.”

“Catch them, sir?”

“You heard me clearly enough the first time, Trushin. Don’t make me repeat myself. Rig out some kind of cage, and have them find me a couple tough old beasts. I once kept dogs, but taming a few wolves would be quite interesting. Yes? Here, give these to one of the Sergeants.”

“Pills, sir?”

“Tranquilizers. Tell them to stick them in a hunk of meat and throw it to the wolves. In another hour, they’ll be able to get a few caged up. Otherwise, we’d have to shoot the dam things to capture them.”

“Very well, sir. I’ll tell Voronin and the guards. But what has happened here, sir? Where is everybody?”

“What has happened? World War Three, Trushin, that’s what happened here. What else? We won’t be long here in the Arctic. It’s just too goddamn cold. No, I think we will be heading south soon. Have the ground party see if there’s anything useful on that plane down near the airstrip, and search every building. Then get me a pair of wolves and we’ll be on our way. That is all.”

Trushin nodded, and backed out through the door, closing it quietly. Wolves, he thought. Well, the man’s name is Volkov. So, the war is over, or so it seems. I wonder what’s left out there? I suppose we will soon find out. Amazing to think that we skipped out on the worst of it. Just where are we now? Volkov says we moved forward in time, as impossible as that sounds. How far forward? This place is eerie, scary. I’m glad I won’t be the one trying to collar those wolves out there.

* * *

They spent a long Arctic day at the Northern Shamrock, and by that evening, Volkov had a pair of strapping, snarling Arctic wolves caged in a nook off the main stateroom of Tunguska. He let them sit there, growling, biting at the wired cage, threatening to attack if they could, but there was nothing they could do to escape. One was a great grey beast, with an orange glow in his eyes when they caught the light. The other was ghostly white, with fur meant to blend in with the snowy terrain, and just a hint of tallowy yellow.

When the sun finally lowered and dipped just beneath the horizon, it was bloody red outside, the landscape painted auburn and crimson by the last fading light. Volkov had been dining, and he set aside a portion of choice steak for the wolves. They had settled down, smelling the food, still eyeing him darkly from their cage, and with hunger in their eyes.

“Well now, that is much better. Yes? We’re all friends here. We are three of a kind, are we not, brothers? Here, see if you enjoy al little I kept for you from my table.”

When he stood up, they took to snarling, growling and baring their teeth again, hackles raised and shoulders hunched as though they were about to jump right through the cage to get at him.

He stood there, calm as a rock, and then stared at them, right in their wolfen eyes. Long minutes passed when he met the angry fire of their eyes with his own, but his stare was unremitting. Things might have gone differently if the beasts had not been caged, but in time, the wolves began to quiet, stared down by the steely will of Ivan Volkov.

Then he threw the beasts food, enough for two so they would not fight with one another. He saw that both had all they might want, nice raw chunks of freshly thawed steak.

“Good… Good…” he breathed softly, which caused them to growl again. But he persisted, and then began to speak to them in a calm and steady voice.

“I have fire in my eyes like you do,” he said as they were eating. “Yes, and I have brought fire with me on this airship. This will be a first for the two of you, eh? Soon we will take to the skies again, and you will see and do what few of your kind have ever experienced. Yes, I have fire, and wrath in my heart as well. Tyrenkov thought he was clever, stealing away aboard that ship, but he neglected one thing—when you give an order to kill someone, be sure you see the dead body. In this case that pertains to this airship. You were just too hasty, Tyrenkov. Not like you. Very sloppy, but through your kindness, here I sit in this gilded stateroom, and with two new friends.”

He smiled, watching the wolves eat, and occasionally throwing them a few more choice chunks of meat from his feeding bowl.

“Eat well tonight,” he told them. “Oh, your meals won’t always be so sumptuous and filling. It is always best to feed a newcomer well the first night, so that they remember just how gracious I can be. But there will be days when you will wait, and be hungry, and days when the meals will be lean. Yes, every man must learn that—how to wait, and how to ride out the lean time, until the fat is rich again.”

He threw them yet another morsel as he spoke, knowing that they were now associating this satisfying meal with the sound of his voice.

“This is lean time for me, if you want to know the truth. The war was most inconvenient, destroying the country I was conspiring to rule just when it seemed I could finally grasp the reins of power. Yet there are other days, other places, other lands out there for the conquering, and with this airship, other times as well. Tunguska is tremendous power, is it not, but that is not all. You see, I have stolen some of the fire that just consumed the world I came from. Yes, three little eggs, all quietly nested here on this ship. Intelligence and a ruthless nature can take a man far, and determination, but with three nuclear weapons… well, that can take a man so much farther.”

The wolves had literally “wolfed” down the last of the meat from his bowl, a better meal than they had taken for many weeks. He poured out two generous bowls of water, and slid them through the special opening at the bottom of the cage. The engineers had done a very good job, he thought, and on short notice. They might get some meat thrown their way tonight too.

“Three little eggs, but big enough to make for a very bad day in places like Berlin, or Paris, or London or New York. That would certainly get someone’s attention, but I must use these little eggs wisely. Better to plant them, like seeds, and then wait for the proper time to use the first. Once that goes off, then I could say I had any number of them, deep in the bowels of the great metropolitan cities of my enemies. Let’s put Shanghai on the list too, and Beijing. And then what would they do when I light my hidden candles? How would they find me? All I would be is a voice on the radio, and I can be very clever in the way that signal is transmitted, so as never to give them my true location. Yes, I can make my demands, endure their laughter, until my first little egg goes off. If necessary, I’ll use number two, and then they might just believe me when I tell them I have twenty.”

He smiled. Looking at his wolves, who now watched him to see what else might come their way this night.

“My friends, we are going to cause a good deal of mischief… but not here, not now. No, this cannot be the place where Karpov and Tyrenkov ended up, not at all. They would never suffer the desolation that must be out there now, all those smoking radioactive cities. Such a waste. There is clearly evidence out there in the snow that they were here. Yes, they were here, but fled in that ship of theirs, and to who knows where? So I must try again. Tonight we rest here, and you can listen to your brothers braying and howling at the moon. That should give you some comfort. But tomorrow we take to the skies again, to find another storm, and you will find another life—at my side, my faithful wolfhounds.”

He stepped closer, and this time there was no snarling. The beasts were wary, yet they had already learned how to wait.

“You will be called Greyback,” he said to the biggest of the two, his eyes locked with the beast. “And you will be called Ghost,” he finished, shifting his gaze to the other.

“I haven’t time for dredging up fancier names, and those will do well enough. We will have a good deal of time up here together, won’t we? Soon you will come to see your situation as quite favorable. In fact, aside from the cage, you’ll get better treatment than Trushin. Yes, you will be fed well, only by me, of course. And we will sit with one another for hours at a time, and you will listen to all I may have to say, the sound of my voice, its soft, quiet, and reflective side, its hard and angry tones, and you will learn them well. Yes, you will come to know when I am frustrated, eager, excited, sleepy, and oh yes, when I am raging with anger. Soon you will learn your new names, and heed my call. Yes, you’ll become as faithful and true as any dog I have ever kept. Oh, you will never really be tamed. The wild is in your blood from birth, and it will never leave you. But you will be mine… And as long as we are meeting like this for the very first time, allow me to introduce myself.”

He gave them an evil smile.

“My name is Volkov, brothers. Ivan Volkov….”

The Saga Continues….

The Kirov series turns 50!

Celebrate Volume 50 of the series this March, Able Sentry, as the war in the Arabian Sea intensifies. Admiral Sun Wei seeks the support of Pakistan, their bases, air force, and navy. Yet the war is on a dangerous edge, and India will soon be forced to make a choice that could be decisive.

Now Captain Simpson and Admiral Wells are joined by Carrier Strike Group Independence, and the final battle to open the sea lanes to Oman is joined in the Arabian Sea. Backed into the Gulf of Oman, the Chinese fleet, supported by Pakistan, is still a very dangerous beast. The west must prevail, enabling Operation Able Sentry to bring the powerful 1st US Marine Division to Saudi Arabia, and open the way for further reinforcements by sea.

At the same time Admiral Wu Jinlong continues to press south towards Singapore, in spite of the terrible loss of the carrier Shandong. He vows vengeance, and swears that he will drive his enemies off, as he forced the Royal Navy to an ignominious retreat. Yet this time he meets a foe unlike any he has faced before—Vladimir Karpov, aboard the Siberian battlecruiser Kirov. And at his side, is an old warrior from the last great war, made new, and gilded with modern sensors and new weapons—the battleship New Jersey, with four American destroyers.

Reading the Kirov Series

The Kirov Series is a long chain of linked novels by John Schettler in the Military Alternate History / Time Travel Genre. Like the popular movie “The Final Countdown” which saw the US Carrier Nimitz sent back in time to the eve of Pearl Harbor in 1941, in the opening volume, the powerful Russian battlecruiser Kirov is involved in an accident during live fire exercises that sends the ship back to the 1940s in the Norwegian Sea, where it subsequently becomes embroiled in WWII.

Similar to episodes in the never-ending Star Trek series, the saga continues through one volume after another as the ship’s position in time remains unstable. The main 40 volume series is an alternate history of WWII, from 1940 to late 1944, showing the war as it is changed by the intervention of Kirov and crew. It is the most detailed fictional depiction of WWII ever written, covering most every major battle on land and sea.

Getting Started:

There are two key entry points to the series, the most obvious being Book 1, Kirov, where you will meet all the main characters in the series and learn their inner motivations. However, as the series describes a great loop in time, new readers can also enter with the current season 6 of the story, beginning with volume 41, Homecoming. The author is writing these final books to include all the necessary information new readers would need to know. This final season shows what would have happened to the ship and crew if they had not shifted to the past in book 1, and Kirov becomes embroiled in the outbreak of WWIII in the Norwegian Sea. At the conclusion of Season 6, new readers can then move to book 1 in the main series, and see what happens to the ship if it does shift back in time.

Detailed information on the battles covered in each book, including battle maps, is available at www.writingshop.ws. A listing of books in all six “seasons” of this amazing series appears below.

KIROV SERIES

KIROV SERIES - SEASON 1: Kirov

1) Kirov

2) Cauldron of Fire

3) Pacific Storm

4) Men of War

5) Nine Days Falling

6) Fallen Angels

7) Devil’s Garden

8) Armageddon – Season 1 Finale

KIROV SERIES - SEASON 2: Altered States (1940–1941)

9) Altered States

10) Darkest Hour (Naval Battles, Mers El Kebir)

11) Hinge of Fate (Gibraltar & The Med)

12) Three Kings (North Africa, Spain)

13) Grand Alliance (North Africa, Syria)

14) Hammer of God (Crete, Malta, North Africa)

15) Crescendo of Doom (North Africa, Tobruk)

16) Paradox Hour – Season 2 Finale

KIROV SERIES – SEASON 3: Doppelganger (1941–1942)

17) Doppelganger (Naval Action)

18) Nemesis (Barbarossa, Typhoon)

19) Winter Storm (Moscow, Operation Crusader)

20) Tide of Fortune (Moscow, Pearl Harbor, Operation Condor)

21) Knight’s Move (Japanese Offensive, Malaya, Singapore)

22) Turning Point (Soviet Counteroffensive, Java Sea, Supercharge)

23) Steel Reign (Operation FS - Fiji-Samoa, Sakhalin)

24) Second Front – (Torch, PQ-17, Portugal) Season 3 Finale

KIROV SERIES – SEASON 4: Tigers East (1942–1943)

25) Tigers East (Operation Blue)

26) Thor’s Anvil (Stalingrad)

27) 1943 (Pacific Battles)

28) Lions at Dawn (Plan Orient, Operation Phoenix, Tunisia)

29) Stormtide Rising (Tunisia, Syria, Baghdad)

30) Ironfall (East Front, Kharkov)

31) Nexus Deep (Operation Zitadelle, Rumyantsev, Sicily-Italy)

32) Field of Glory (Special Edition: Waterloo Campaign)

KIROV SERIES – SEASON 5: Prime Meridian (1943–1944)

(Historical material covered by each volume in parentheses.)

33) Prime Meridian (Italy, Operation Dragoon)

34) Event Horizon (Russian Autumn Wind, New Guinea, Makin)

35) Dragonfall (Drive on Dnieper, Solomon Sea, Philippine Sea)

36) 1944 (Battles in France, Operation Valkyrie)

37) The Tempest – (Overlord & The Marianas)

38) Breakout – (Cobra)

39) Starfall – (Market Garden & The Bulge)

40) Rhinelander – (Across the Rhine)

KIROV SERIES – SEASON 6: The Next War (2021)

Vol 1: Homecoming – (Alternative entry point for new readers)

Vol 2: Kill Chain

Vol 3: Twilight’s End

Vol 4: Resurgent

Vol 5: Deep Blue

Vol 6: Ice War

Vol 7: Eagle Rising

Vol 8: Tangent Fire

KIROV SERIES – SEASON 7: The Next War (2025)

More WWIII action to come, as the final season covers the war in 2025

Vol 1: Condition Zebra

Vol 2: Able Sentry

More to come…

Discover other titles by John Schettler:

Award Winning Science Fiction:

Meridian - Meridian Series - Volume I

Nexus Point - Meridian Series - Volume II

Touchstone - Meridian Series - Volume III

Anvil of Fate - Meridian Series - Volume IV

Golem 7 - Meridian Series - Volume V

The Meridian series merges with the Kirov Series, beginning with Book 16, Paradox Hour, when the Meridian team discovers the catastrophic damage to the continuum created by the battlecruiser’s unexpected shift into the cauldron of WWII.

Classic Science Fiction:

Wild Zone - Dharman Series - Volume I

Mother Heart - Dharman Series - Volume II

Historical Fiction:

Taklamakan - Silk Road Series - Volume I

Khan Tengri - Silk Road Series - Volume II

Mythic Horror

Dream Reaper

Copyright

A publication of: The Writing Shop Press

Condition Zebra, Copyright©2020, John A. Schettler

Notes

1

In our time, the Saudis bough the DF-3 and DF-21 ballistic missiles from China, but that had not happened here, for obvious reasons.

2

A lot of Milspeak here: Bertha = Controlling AEW plane, Buster = Go to maximum speed, Indians = surface task force, Grandslam = all targets killed. Over.

3

Pronounced Nah-ear-yah.

4

BUFF = Big Ugly Fat Fellow, or the venerable B-52 Bomber.

5

The US adventures in Afghanistan and Iraq are a perfect example.

Content

John Schettler
Kirov Saga:
CONDITION ZEBRA
The War in 2025

CONDITION ZEBRA:

Author’s Note:

Part I Nightmares

Chapter 1

Chapter 2

Chapter 3

Part II Rock of the East

Chapter 4

Chapter 5

Chapter 6

Part III Livewire

Chapter 7

Chapter 8

Chapter 9

Part IV A Near Run Thing

Chapter 10

Chapter 11

Chapter 12

Part V Rain of Arrows

Chapter 13

Chapter 14

Chapter 15

Part VI Arabian Nightmare

Chapter 16

Chapter 17

Chapter 18

Part VII Endzone

Chapter 19

Chapter 20

Chapter 21

Part VIII The Lion’s Den

Chapter 22

Chapter 23

Chapter 24

Part IX The Gathering Storm

Chapter 25

Chapter 26

Chapter 27

Part X Eagle and Dragon

Chapter 28

Chapter 29

Chapter 30

Part XI Carrier Killer

Chapter 31

Chapter 32

Chapter 33

Part XII Malacca Dilemma

Chapter 34

Chapter 35

Chapter 36

The Kirov series turns 50!

Reading the Kirov Series

KIROV SERIES

Discover other titles by John Schettler:

Copyright

Notes